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Rigas Zelli vs BK Liepaja Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 81-79
25-25 22-20 17-20 17-14
Position#6
Record17-12
FormLLLLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game73.6
vs
Position#11
Record11-18
FormLLLWL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game81.6
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Arena Riga
Other2023
Meetings · Rigas Zelli v BK Liepaja
17 Oct 2026
RZE85
BK L69
10 Jan 2026
RZE78
BK L87
24 Oct 2025
RZE109
BK L71
15 Mar 2025
RZE90
BK L80
23 Mar 2024
RZE81
BK L79
02 Feb 2024
RZE90
BK L65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rigas Zelli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BK Liepaja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rigas ZelliLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZelli
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#6
W
90-79
90
79
+11
no box
A28/01
Latvian Cup
BK Liepaja
#6
W
90-65
90
65
+25
no box
H02/02
Latvian Cup
Ventspils
#4
L
92-100
92
100
-8
78avg 71
A07/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
81-64
81
64
+17
68avg 71
H10/02
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
77-98
77
98
-21
69avg 71
A14/02
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
69-94
69
94
-25
no box
A17/02
Latvian Cup
BK Ogre
#7
L
75-83
75
83
-8
60avg 71
H27/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
64-69
64
69
-5
49avg 71
A02/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
L
77-78
77
78
-1
77avg 71
H09/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
W
59-56
59
56
+3
43avg 71
H16/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
25-17
26-13
21-25
24-14
26-10
20-23
20-18
20-37
26-24
17-18
29-21
22-18
19-19
23-20
17-7
20-26
14-24
24-23
19-25
9-18
23-27
20-19
17-30
26-20
19-20
17-24
13-19
16-10
19-16
16-17
13-26
12-14
24-16
23-21
18-27
17-7
20-12
9-23
13-14
156.0Avg total
77.4Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)79.073.6152.6+5.459%
Season at home (14)78.971.2150.1+7.771%
Season away (15)79.175.9154.9+3.247%
Last 10 (10)77.478.6156.0-1.240%
Last 5 (5)68.876.0144.8-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.187.0161.1-12.914%
vs Similar (5)80.480.0160.4+0.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)82.470.5152.9+11.972%
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK LiepajaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiepaja
Date
Competition
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
65-90
65
90
-25
no box
A02/02
Latvian Cup
Keila KK
#12
L
89-97
89
97
-8
90avg 70
A09/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
79-83
79
83
-4
70avg 70
A10/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
69-68
69
68
+1
63avg 70
A13/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
70-83
70
83
-13
59avg 70
H28/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
68-81
68
81
-13
59avg 70
H03/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
69-91
69
91
-22
58avg 70
A08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
L
77-85
77
85
-8
66avg 70
A09/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
83-74
83
74
+9
81avg 70
H13/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
L
73-79
73
79
-6
65avg 70
H16/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-24
10-26
23-20
18-20
15-26
26-31
28-21
20-19
21-20
15-25
22-23
21-15
23-23
15-11
17-17
14-17
23-21
16-16
20-26
11-20
16-28
22-16
15-19
15-18
20-20
15-23
15-19
19-29
21-20
13-27
13-17
30-21
22-18
16-16
18-19
27-21
21-18
11-22
20-22
21-17
157.3Avg total
74.2Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)78.281.6159.8-3.338%
Season at home (15)79.677.5157.1+2.153%
Season away (14)76.785.9162.6-9.221%
Last 10 (10)74.283.1157.3-8.920%
Last 5 (5)74.082.0156.0-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)72.285.2157.5-13.015%
vs Similar (10)81.382.3163.6-1.040%
vs Weaker (7)78.673.1151.7+5.457%
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -5.4-5.4Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -0.1-0.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -5.4-5.4Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -0.1-0.1
Rigas ZelliBK Liepaja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Rigas ZelliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#6
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A28/01
Latvian Cup
BK Liepaja
#6
W
50-24
50
24
+26
H02/02
Latvian Cup
Ventspils
#4
L
46-61
46
61
-15
A07/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H10/02
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A14/02
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A17/02
Latvian Cup
BK Ogre
#7
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H27/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A02/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H09/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
W
37-19
37
19
+18
H16/03
Latvia-Estonian League
77.2Avg total
39.9Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.436.077.4+5.470%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.933.474.3+7.471%-
Last 30 away (16)41.938.280.2+3.769%-
Last 10 (10)39.937.377.2+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)37.032.069.0+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.942.380.1-4.414%-
vs Similar (5)42.039.681.6+2.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)42.732.675.2+10.194%-
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
24-50
24
50
-26
A02/02
Latvian Cup
Keila KK
#12
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A09/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A10/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A13/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H28/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H03/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A08/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A09/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H13/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H16/03
Latvia-Estonian League
78.6Avg total
35.5Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.441.678.9-4.233%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.740.479.1-1.740%-
Last 30 away (15)36.142.778.8-6.727%-
Last 10 (10)35.543.178.6-7.630%-
Last 5 (5)35.441.677.0-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)34.543.778.2-9.215%-
vs Similar (10)40.043.283.2-3.230%-
vs Weaker (7)39.035.374.3+3.771%-
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rigas Zellitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rigas Zelli: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.019.1
49.0%
50.5%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.1
31.3%
32.1%24.3
🏀 Free throws17.712.7
71.8%
70.5%12.7
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BK Liepajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Liepaja: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.217.3
50.6%
50.5%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.58.8
29.8%
32.1%26.4
🏀 Free throws18.714.6
78.1%
70.5%14.6
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rigas Zelli
WLLLLLWLWW
BK Liepaja
LWLLLLWLLL
#6
League position
#11
-3.3
Net rating
-10.6
97.9
Offensive rating
101.9
101.2
Defensive rating
112.5
48.2%
Effective FG%
47.9%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
19.3%
Turnover %
16.7%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.3%
3-point %
29.8%
57.0%
Assist %
62.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence97.9 · 101.9Defence101.2 · 112.5Shooting48.2% · 47.9%3-point %31.3% · 29.8%Ball care19.3% · 16.7%Off. rebounds27.5% · 26.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Rigas Zelli   ■ BK Liepaja
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Rigas Zelli wins
1
BK Liepaja wins
DateGameScore
02/02/24Rigas Zelli v BK Liepaja90-65
28/01/24BK Liepaja v Rigas Zelli79-90
12/12/23BK Liepaja v Rigas Zelli84-81 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/24HTartu Ulikool59-56
09/03/24HRapla77-78
02/03/24AParnu64-69
27/02/24HBK Ogre75-83
17/02/24AVEF Riga69-94
14/02/24AVEF Riga77-98
10/02/24HViimsi81-64
07/02/24AVentspils92-100
02/02/24HBK Liepaja90-65
28/01/24ABK Liepaja90-79
BK Liepajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/24HViimsi73-79
13/03/24HValmiera Glass Via83-74
09/03/24ATallinna Kalev77-85
08/03/24ABC Kalev/Cramo69-91
03/03/24HTal Tech68-81
28/02/24HPrometey70-83
13/02/24ALatvijas Universitate69-68
10/02/24AParnu79-83
09/02/24AKeila KK89-97
02/02/24ARigas Zelli65-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rigas Zelli
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW59%
HomeLWLLW71%
AwayWWLLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %59%71%47%
Points / game79.078.979.1
Allowed / game73.671.275.9
Point differential+5.4+7.7+3.2
Avg total152.6150.1154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%36%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)60% (5)0% (3)
Overtime %3%0%7%
BK Liepaja
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL38%
HomeLLLWL53%
AwayLLWLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %38%53%21%
Points / game78.279.676.7
Allowed / game81.677.585.9
Point differential-3.3+2.1-9.2
Avg total159.8157.1162.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %10%7%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo2928197%86.769.4+17.2
2 Prometey2925486%89.167.3+21.8
3 VEF Riga2923679%85.871.8+14.0
4 Ventspils30201067%91.284.8+6.5
5 Tartu Ulikool30191163%75.469.4+6.0
6 Rigas Zelli29171259%79.073.6+5.4
7 BK Ogre30171357%80.277.1+3.1
8 Parnu30151550%77.577.1+0.3
9 Tal Tech29141548%79.279.9-0.7
10 Rapla29121741%74.577.8-3.3
11 BK Liepaja29111838%78.281.6-3.3
12 Keila KK29101934%79.286.3-7.2
13 Valmiera Glass Via2982128%74.283.0-8.8
14 Latvijas Universitate3062420%68.683.5-14.8
15 Viimsi3062420%68.385.0-16.8
16 Tallinna Kalev2942514%70.289.1-18.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rigas Zelli2522171781
BK Liepaja2520201479
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