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Parnu vs BK Liepaja Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 85-69
22-14 21-21 23-13 19-21
Position#9
Record7-8
FormLWWWW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game77.9
Parnu 🏆
vs
Position#11
Record3-12
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game89.2
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Parnu Spordihall
Other2025
Meetings · Parnu v BK Liepaja
26 Sep 2026
PAR76
BK L73
14 Jan 2026
PAR85
BK L69
19 Oct 2024
PAR81
BK L91
10 Feb 2024
PAR83
BK L79
10 Dec 2022
PAR90
BK L58
06 Oct 2021
PAR79
BK L68
27 Jan 2019
PAR96
BK L83
11 Jan 2017
PAR93
BK L75
25 Jan 2014
PAR59
BK L75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Parnu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BK Liepaja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
62-78
62
78
-16
53avg 69
H08/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#7
L
78-86
78
86
-8
68avg 69
A15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
90-83
90
83
+7
93avg 69
A23/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
97-70
97
70
+27
94avg 69
A06/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
80-90
80
90
-10
71avg 69
A13/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
L
73-82
73
82
-9
58avg 69
H17/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#14
W
81-64
81
64
+17
68avg 69
A21/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
76-72
76
72
+4
67avg 69
H27/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#8
W
85-71
85
71
+14
75avg 69
H07/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#10
W
88-76
88
76
+12
82avg 69
A11/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
16-22
18-19
13-18
17-13
14-21
21-24
26-28
26-20
22-24
24-21
18-18
16-19
38-17
22-24
21-10
24-16
22-23
14-29
20-22
11-22
20-22
20-19
22-19
22-17
24-15
16-4
19-28
21-14
20-27
13-15
22-16
20-18
19-23
23-20
23-10
19-17
22-20
25-20
22-19
158.2Avg total
81.0Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)79.577.9157.3+1.647%
Season at home (6)75.078.7153.7-3.733%
Season away (9)82.477.3159.8+5.156%
Last 10 (10)81.077.2158.2+3.860%
Last 5 (5)80.673.0153.6+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)76.490.8167.2-14.417%
vs Similar (5)73.478.4151.8-5.020%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)88.674.3162.9+14.3100%
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK LiepajaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiepaja
Date
Competition
Viimsi
#10
L
80-83
80
83
-3
66avg 75
H08/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
L
69-104
69
104
-35
51avg 75
A16/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#9
L
83-90
83
90
-7
68avg 75
H23/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#8
W
83-76
83
76
+7
66avg 75
A05/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#4
L
77-79
77
79
-2
66avg 75
H12/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
L
73-99
73
99
-26
62avg 75
A20/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#7
L
76-95
76
95
-19
62avg 75
A21/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Salaspils
#14
W
114-63
114
63
+51
118avg 75
A28/12
Latvian Cup
Latvijas Universitate
#13
L
84-103
84
103
-19
73avg 75
H05/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
W
87-78
87
78
+9
82avg 75
A10/01
Latvian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-29
17-10
16-28
23-16
15-26
10-30
23-25
21-23
20-26
24-22
21-24
18-18
15-21
20-18
25-18
23-19
21-17
17-16
23-25
16-21
15-29
21-22
18-23
19-25
9-24
19-26
31-28
17-17
27-16
29-15
39-17
19-15
22-31
26-30
14-19
22-23
25-15
23-20
22-18
17-25
169.6Avg total
82.6Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)78.589.2167.7-10.720%
Season at home (7)79.186.4165.6-7.30%
Season away (8)77.991.6169.5-13.838%
Last 10 (10)82.687.0169.6-4.430%
Last 5 (5)86.887.6174.4-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)75.188.0163.1-12.98%
vs Similar (5)80.685.6166.2-5.020%
vs Weaker (11)86.173.8159.9+12.382%
This opponent (Parnu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -0.7-0.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -0.7-0.7
ParnuBK Liepaja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H08/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#7
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A23/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
54-36
54
36
+18
A06/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A13/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H17/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#14
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A21/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H27/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#8
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H07/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#10
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A11/01
Latvia-Estonian League
79.7Avg total
40.8Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.042.881.8-3.830%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.043.582.5-4.515%-
Last 30 away (17)39.042.281.2-3.241%-
Last 10 (10)40.838.979.7+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)39.639.078.6+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)37.246.683.7-9.411%-
vs Similar (5)33.838.071.8-4.220%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)47.436.684.0+10.986%-
This opponent (BK Liepaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK LiepajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Viimsi
#10
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H08/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
L
25-56
25
56
-31
A16/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#9
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H23/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#8
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A05/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#4
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H12/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A20/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#7
L
28-50
28
50
-22
A21/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Salaspils
#14
W
56-31
56
31
+25
A28/12
Latvian Cup
Latvijas Universitate
#13
L
48-61
48
61
-13
H05/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A10/01
Latvian Cup
84.2Avg total
39.9Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.540.180.6+0.460%-
Last 30 at home (11)42.240.482.5+1.855%-
Last 30 away (19)39.539.979.5-0.463%-
Last 10 (10)39.944.384.2-4.440%-
Last 5 (5)43.245.688.8-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.544.081.5-6.523%-
vs Similar (5)39.639.679.2+0.080%-
vs Weaker (11)43.036.579.5+6.591%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.918.9
49.9%
53.1%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.4
34.7%
32.4%28.2
🏀 Free throws21.214.0
66.0%
69.8%14.0
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BK Liepajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Liepaja: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.519.7
52.5%
53.1%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.08.5
27.4%
32.4%25.5
🏀 Free throws24.716.9
68.4%
69.8%16.9
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Parnu
WWWWLLWWLL
BK Liepaja
WLWLLLWLLL
#9
League position
#11
+4.7
Net rating
-6.2
104.1
Offensive rating
101.9
99.4
Defensive rating
108.2
50.8%
Effective FG%
47.4%
47.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
17.3%
Turnover %
16.3%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.36
34.7%
3-point %
27.4%
60.8%
Assist %
52.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence104.1 · 101.9Defence99.4 · 108.2Shooting50.8% · 47.4%3-point %34.7% · 27.4%Ball care17.3% · 16.3%Off. rebounds29.2% · 30.4%Free throws0.33 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Parnu   ■ BK Liepaja
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Parnu wins
5
BK Liepaja wins
DateGameScore
23/11/25BK Liepaja v Parnu83-90
11/03/25BK Liepaja v Parnu98-84
19/10/24Parnu v BK Liepaja81-91
10/02/24Parnu v BK Liepaja83-79
07/12/23BK Liepaja v Parnu75-65
11/03/23BK Liepaja v Parnu102-98 OT
10/12/22Parnu v BK Liepaja90-58
05/03/22BK Liepaja v Parnu84-70
06/10/21Parnu v BK Liepaja79-68
27/01/19Parnu v BK Liepaja96-83
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26AViimsi88-76
07/01/26HBK Ogre85-71
27/12/25HKeila KK76-72
21/12/25AKeila Coolbet81-64
17/12/25HVentspils73-82
13/12/25AVEF Riga80-90
06/12/25AKeila KK97-70
23/11/25ABK Liepaja90-83
15/11/25ATal Tech78-86
08/11/25HValmiera Glass Via62-78
BK Liepajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26ARigas Zelli87-78
05/01/26HLatvijas Universitate84-103
28/12/25ASalaspils114-63
21/12/25ATal Tech76-95
20/12/25ABC Kalev/Cramo73-99
12/12/25HRigas Zelli77-79
05/12/25ABK Ogre83-76
23/11/25HParnu83-90
16/11/25AVentspils69-104
08/11/25HViimsi80-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Parnu
Latvia-Estonian League 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW47%
HomeLLLWW33%
AwayWWLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1569
Win %47%33%56%
Points / game79.575.082.4
Allowed / game77.978.777.3
Point differential+1.6-3.7+5.1
Avg total157.3153.7159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%17%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
BK Liepaja
Latvia-Estonian League 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL20%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %20%0%38%
Points / game78.579.177.9
Allowed / game89.286.491.6
Point differential-10.7-7.3-13.8
Avg total167.7165.6169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%0%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tartu Ulikool1715288%85.077.2+7.8
2 Rigas Zelli1814478%92.979.0+13.9
3 VEF Riga1713476%90.578.5+12.0
4 Ventspils1712571%91.482.9+8.5
5 Tal Tech1611569%84.980.2+4.7
6 Valmiera Glass Via1711665%88.980.9+8.0
7 BC Kalev/Cramo1610662%93.282.9+10.2
8 BK Ogre178947%79.578.9+0.5
9 Parnu157847%79.577.9+1.6
10 BK Liepaja1531220%78.589.2-10.7
11 Keila KK1631319%80.795.6-14.9
12 Viimsi1631319%74.689.6-15.0
13 Keila Coolbet1521313%76.192.3-16.2
14 Latvijas Universitate141137%75.794.1-18.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Parnu2221231985
BK Liepaja1421132169
← all games of the day
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