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Rigas Zelli vs Parnu Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 02 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#1
Record9-0
FormWLWLW
Points / game93.7
Allowed / game74.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.0/10
Around normal
5.0/10
Around normal
Position#8
Record4-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game77.1
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Daugavas Sporta nams
Other2026
Meetings · Rigas Zelli v Parnu
02 Dec 2026
RZE v PAR
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
RZE83
PAR75
09 Nov 2024
RZE89
PAR76
25 Nov 2023
RZE85
PAR81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rigas Zelli win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Parnu win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rigas ZelliLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZelli
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
W
89-79
89
79
+10
80avg 83
H14/10
Eurocup
BK Liepaja
#11
W
85-69
85
69
+16
77avg 83
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
64-100
64
100
-36
53avg 83
A21/10
Eurocup
Keila KK
#9
W
103-70
103
70
+33
107avg 83
H24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
San Pablo Burgos
#30
W
79-71
79
71
+8
72avg 83
A28/10
Eurocup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#7
W
93-87
93
87
+6
88avg 83
A31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Le Mans
#12
L
65-71
65
71
-6
no box
H04/11
Eurocup
Tal Tech
#6
W
92-66
92
66
+26
no box
H07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Aris
#4
L
81-105
81
105
-24
no box
A11/11
Eurocup
Viimsi
#13
W
93-72
93
72
+21
no box
H14/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-18
29-22
16-19
17-20
21-20
20-14
24-19
20-16
20-29
16-21
19-27
9-23
25-18
27-21
26-14
25-17
17-21
22-14
23-19
17-17
21-18
24-20
22-35
26-14
27-18
13-10
9-19
16-24
21-15
21-16
32-12
18-23
14-28
18-35
20-25
29-17
28-18
29-12
21-22
15-20
163.4Avg total
84.4Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)93.774.1167.8+19.6100%
Season at home (5)96.672.4169.0+24.2100%
Season away (4)90.076.2166.2+13.8100%
Last 10 (10)84.479.0163.4+5.470%
Last 5 (5)84.880.2165.0+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)80.391.2171.5-10.817%
vs Similar (8)84.984.6169.5+0.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)91.677.1168.8+14.594%
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
Nancy
#4
L
61-84
61
84
-23
54avg 70
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#2
L
72-89
72
89
-17
63avg 70
A17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Vienna Basket
#32
W
86-69
86
69
+17
80avg 70
H22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
91-77
91
77
+14
92avg 70
H25/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Nitra Blue Wings
#35
L
80-82
80
82
-2
74avg 70
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
W
76-74
76
74
+2
73avg 70
H01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Szczecin
#16
L
69-82
69
82
-13
no box
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Ventspils
#5
W
89-80
89
80
+9
no box
H07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keravnos
#18
L
65-86
65
86
-21
no box
H12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Tartu Ulikool
#4
L
67-70
67
70
-3
no box
H15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-28
13-15
10-12
20-29
19-17
15-19
17-29
21-24
14-21
24-16
24-17
24-15
24-25
19-16
29-14
19-22
12-32
20-13
26-20
22-17
13-16
24-23
22-22
17-13
21-18
14-14
17-30
17-20
23-17
22-22
20-21
24-20
21-17
20-22
11-15
13-32
18-18
17-17
7-25
25-10
154.9Avg total
75.6Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.477.1154.5+0.250%
Season at home (6)78.274.8153.0+3.367%
Season away (2)75.084.0159.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)75.679.3154.9-3.740%
Last 5 (5)73.278.4151.6-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)72.483.3155.8-10.912%
vs Similar (7)78.476.3154.7+2.143%
vs Weaker (7)84.675.0159.6+9.686%
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +0.0+0.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +0.0+0.0
Rigas ZelliParnu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Rigas ZelliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H14/10
Eurocup
BK Liepaja
#11
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A21/10
Eurocup
Keila KK
#9
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
San Pablo Burgos
#30
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A28/10
Eurocup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#7
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Le Mans
#12
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H04/11
Eurocup
Tal Tech
#6
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Aris
#4
L
32-63
32
63
-31
A11/11
Eurocup
Viimsi
#13
W
57-30
57
30
+27
H14/11
Latvia-Estonian League
82.8Avg total
44.0Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.840.385.1+4.570%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.838.184.9+8.780%-
Last 30 away (15)42.742.585.3+0.260%-
Last 10 (10)44.038.882.8+5.280%-
Last 5 (5)43.238.081.2+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.045.287.2-3.267%-
vs Similar (8)43.142.986.0+0.238%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)46.637.283.8+9.488%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nancy
#4
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#2
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Vienna Basket
#32
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H25/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Nitra Blue Wings
#35
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Szczecin
#16
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Ventspils
#5
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keravnos
#18
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Tartu Ulikool
#4
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
75.7Avg total
37.1Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.039.777.7-1.750%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.238.677.8+0.668%-
Last 30 away (11)35.941.577.5-5.618%-
Last 10 (10)37.138.675.7-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)38.636.875.4+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)36.239.675.8-3.431%-
vs Similar (7)37.139.977.0-2.757%-
vs Weaker (7)43.039.682.6+3.486%-
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rigas Zellitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rigas Zelli: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.021.1
55.5%
52.5%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.1
36.0%
31.4%27.3
🏀 Free throws26.219.0
72.5%
68.3%19.0
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.121.8
50.6%
52.5%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.47.3
27.7%
31.4%21.9
🏀 Free throws15.110.2
67.5%
68.3%10.2
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rigas Zelli
WLWLWWWLWW
Parnu
LLWLWLWWLL
#1
League position
#8
+9.4
Net rating
-2.4
98.8
Offensive rating
86.7
89.4
Defensive rating
89.1
54.9%
Effective FG%
47.1%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
15.2%
Turnover %
15.2%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.22
36.0%
3-point %
27.7%
62.9%
Assist %
70.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence98.8 · 86.7Defence89.4 · 89.1Shooting54.9% · 47.1%3-point %36.0% · 27.7%Ball care15.2% · 15.2%Free throws0.41 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Rigas Zelli   ■ Parnu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Rigas Zelli wins
1
Parnu wins
DateGameScore
07/03/26Rigas Zelli v Parnu83-75
08/10/25Parnu v Rigas Zelli76-83
18/12/24Parnu v Rigas Zelli51-87
09/11/24Rigas Zelli v Parnu89-76
02/03/24Parnu v Rigas Zelli69-64
25/11/23Rigas Zelli v Parnu85-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HViimsi93-72
11/11/26AAris81-105
07/11/26HTal Tech92-66
04/11/26HLe Mans65-71
31/10/26ABC Kalev/Cramo93-87
28/10/26ASan Pablo Burgos79-71
24/10/26HKeila KK103-70
21/10/26AHapoel Jerusalem64-100
17/10/26HBK Liepaja85-69
14/10/26HCedevita Olimpija89-79
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HTartu Ulikool67-70
12/11/26HKeravnos65-86
07/11/26HVentspils89-80
04/11/26HSzczecin69-82
01/11/26HValmiera Glass Via76-74
28/10/26ANitra Blue Wings80-82
25/10/26HLatvijas Universitate91-77
22/10/26HVienna Basket86-69
17/10/26AVEF Riga72-89
13/10/26HNancy61-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rigas Zelli
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.796.690.0
Allowed / game74.172.476.2
Point differential+19.6+24.2+13.8
Avg total167.8169.0166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+78%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Parnu
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game77.478.275.0
Allowed / game77.174.884.0
Point differential+0.2+3.3-9.0
Avg total154.5153.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rigas Zelli990100%93.774.1+19.6
2 VEF Riga108280%90.276.0+14.2
3 Valmiera Glass Via108280%89.876.4+13.4
4 Tartu Ulikool96367%81.375.3+6.0
5 Ventspils106460%86.183.4+2.7
6 Tal Tech106460%73.773.8-0.1
7 BC Kalev/Cramo95456%85.181.9+3.2
8 Parnu84450%77.477.1+0.2
9 Keila KK105550%74.381.6-7.3
10 BK Ogre94544%86.786.7+0.0
11 BK Liepaja104640%82.477.3+5.1
12 Rigas Juniori83538%80.088.5-8.5
13 Viimsi112918%74.386.8-12.5
14 Latvijas Universitate101910%76.891.6-14.8
15 Keila Coolbet9090%70.391.1-20.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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