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Parnu vs Rigas Zelli Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 69-64
10-16 16-19 17-16 26-13
Position#8
Record12-12
FormWLWWW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game77.0
Parnu 🏆
vs
Position#6
Record16-10
FormLWLLL
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game74.3
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Parnu Spordihall (Parnu)
Other2023
Meetings · Parnu v Rigas Zelli
10 Feb 2027
PAR v RZE
upcoming
08 Oct 2025
PAR76
RZE83
18 Dec 2024
PAR51
RZE87
02 Mar 2024
PAR69
RZE64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Parnu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rigas Zelli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
BK Ogre
#7
L
72-93
72
93
-21
56avg 70
A20/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
104-63
104
63
+41
116avg 70
H23/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
78-88
78
88
-10
65avg 70
H13/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
W
66-61
66
61
+5
68avg 70
H17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
87-76
87
76
+11
86avg 70
A21/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
93-88
93
88
+5
88avg 70
A26/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
77-78
77
78
-1
66avg 70
A30/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
92-70
92
70
+22
98avg 70
H03/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
93-63
93
63
+30
96avg 70
H07/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
83-79
83
79
+4
81avg 70
H10/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-30
21-22
15-18
23-23
31-12
22-17
30-21
21-13
21-22
19-29
14-14
24-23
11-12
18-11
19-21
18-17
19-12
25-21
17-25
26-18
26-35
25-16
27-16
15-21
18-24
22-23
14-11
23-20
23-16
26-20
24-21
19-13
22-18
17-11
23-19
31-15
20-21
25-15
23-22
15-21
160.4Avg total
84.5Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)78.677.0155.6+1.550%
Season at home (12)78.573.6152.1+4.958%
Season away (12)78.780.5159.2-1.842%
Last 10 (10)84.575.9160.4+8.670%
Last 5 (5)87.675.6163.2+12.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)72.083.9155.9-11.90%
vs Similar (12)77.777.3155.0+0.358%
vs Weaker (8)85.568.1153.6+17.488%
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rigas ZelliLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZelli
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#9
W
89-72
89
72
+17
90avg 73
A17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
W
84-72
84
72
+12
no box
A19/01
Latvian Cup
Keila KK
#12
W
78-71
78
71
+7
73avg 73
A24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#6
W
90-79
90
79
+11
no box
A28/01
Latvian Cup
BK Liepaja
#6
W
90-65
90
65
+25
no box
H02/02
Latvian Cup
Ventspils
#4
L
92-100
92
100
-8
78avg 73
A07/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
81-64
81
64
+17
68avg 73
H10/02
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
77-98
77
98
-21
69avg 73
A14/02
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
69-94
69
94
-25
no box
A17/02
Latvian Cup
BK Ogre
#7
L
75-83
75
83
-8
60avg 73
H27/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
22-22
26-22
17-10
14-19
27-18
22-18
21-17
18-17
22-15
24-20
14-19
18-24
25-17
26-13
21-25
24-14
26-10
20-23
20-18
20-37
26-24
17-18
29-21
22-18
19-19
23-20
17-7
20-26
14-24
24-23
19-25
9-18
23-27
20-19
17-30
26-20
19-20
17-24
13-19
162.3Avg total
82.5Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)80.474.3154.7+6.162%
Season at home (12)80.871.9152.7+8.875%
Season away (14)80.176.4156.5+3.850%
Last 10 (10)82.579.8162.3+2.760%
Last 5 (5)78.887.8166.6-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.187.0161.1-12.914%
vs Similar (5)79.881.4161.2-1.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)83.869.7153.5+14.183%
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -0.3-0.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -0.3-0.3
ParnuRigas Zelli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Ogre
#7
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A20/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
53-29
53
29
+24
H23/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H13/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
W
29-23
29
23
+6
H17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A21/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
D
51-51
51
51
+0
A26/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A30/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H03/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H07/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H10/02
Latvia-Estonian League
81.1Avg total
42.4Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.438.376.7+0.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.737.375.0+0.353%-
Last 30 away (15)39.139.378.4-0.153%-
Last 10 (10)42.438.781.1+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)44.839.884.6+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)36.141.277.3-5.140%-
vs Similar (12)37.838.276.0-0.350%-
vs Weaker (8)42.134.977.0+7.275%-
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rigas ZelliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#9
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A19/01
Latvian Cup
Keila KK
#12
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#6
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A28/01
Latvian Cup
BK Liepaja
#6
W
50-24
50
24
+26
H02/02
Latvian Cup
Ventspils
#4
L
46-61
46
61
-15
A07/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H10/02
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A14/02
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A17/02
Latvian Cup
BK Ogre
#7
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H27/02
Latvia-Estonian League
82.5Avg total
41.8Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.436.878.3+4.667%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.235.276.3+6.062%-
Last 30 away (17)41.638.179.8+3.571%-
Last 10 (10)41.840.782.5+1.170%-
Last 5 (5)39.646.686.2-7.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.942.380.1-4.414%-
vs Similar (5)40.641.281.8-0.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)43.133.576.6+9.689%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.820.3
60.1%
50.5%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.1
35.1%
32.1%30.3
🏀 Free throws18.913.3
70.4%
70.5%13.3
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rigas Zellitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rigas Zelli: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.319.9
52.0%
50.5%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.410.1
35.6%
32.1%30.3
🏀 Free throws17.712.0
67.8%
70.5%12.0
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Parnu
WWWLWWWLWL
Rigas Zelli
LLLWLWWWWW
#8
League position
#6
+12.6
Net rating
+2.6
113.7
Offensive rating
107.1
101.1
Defensive rating
104.5
56.6%
Effective FG%
52.5%
45.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
16.6%
Turnover %
16.7%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.1%
3-point %
35.6%
66.8%
Assist %
62.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.7 · 107.1Defence101.1 · 104.5Shooting56.6% · 52.5%3-point %35.1% · 35.6%Ball care16.6% · 16.7%Off. rebounds27.2% · 28.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Parnu   ■ Rigas Zelli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Parnu wins
1
Rigas Zelli wins
DateGameScore
25/11/23Rigas Zelli v Parnu85-81
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24HBK Liepaja83-79
07/02/24HLatvijas Universitate93-63
03/02/24HTal Tech92-70
30/01/24ABC Kalev/Cramo77-78
26/01/24AKeila KK93-88
21/01/24AViimsi87-76
17/01/24HRapla66-61
13/01/24HVEF Riga78-88
23/12/23HTallinna Kalev104-63
20/12/23ABK Ogre72-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/24HBK Ogre75-83
17/02/24AVEF Riga69-94
14/02/24AVEF Riga77-98
10/02/24HViimsi81-64
07/02/24AVentspils92-100
02/02/24HBK Liepaja90-65
28/01/24ABK Liepaja90-79
24/01/24AKeila KK78-71
19/01/24AValmiera Glass Via84-72
17/01/24ATal Tech89-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Parnu
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW50%
HomeLWWWW58%
AwayLLWWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %50%58%42%
Points / game78.678.578.7
Allowed / game77.073.680.5
Point differential+1.5+4.9-1.8
Avg total155.6152.1159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%42%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Rigas Zelli
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL62%
HomeLWLWL75%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game80.480.880.1
Allowed / game74.371.976.4
Point differential+6.1+8.8+3.8
Avg total154.7152.7156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%42%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo2423196%87.069.8+17.2
2 Prometey2422292%91.368.9+22.4
3 VEF Riga2419579%86.471.0+15.4
4 Ventspils2417771%93.184.0+9.1
5 Tartu Ulikool2416867%78.071.0+7.0
6 Rigas Zelli26161062%80.474.3+6.1
7 BK Ogre25141156%79.276.6+2.7
8 Parnu24121250%78.677.0+1.5
9 Rapla25111444%75.076.8-1.8
10 Tal Tech25111444%77.980.9-3.0
11 BK Liepaja24101442%79.181.5-2.4
12 Keila KK2491538%81.086.3-5.4
13 Valmiera Glass Via2451921%74.484.7-10.3
14 Viimsi2552020%67.185.4-18.2
15 Tallinna Kalev2432112%69.390.0-20.8
16 Latvijas Universitate2632312%67.385.1-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Parnu1016172669
Rigas Zelli1619161364
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