PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Rilski Sportist vs Beroe Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 06 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record5-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game74.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.6/10
Around normal
6.7/10
Above normal
Position#10
Record1-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game90.7
Allowed / game87.8
BulgariaNBLRound 19· Arena Samokov
Other2026-27
Meetings · Rilski Sportist v Beroe
06 Mar 2027
RSP v BERO
upcoming
30 Apr 2026
RSP89
BERO69
18 Jan 2026
RSP94
BERO73
21 Mar 2025
RSP116
BERO109
05 Jan 2025
RSP95
BERO83
05 Nov 2023
RSP86
BERO82
17 Nov 2022
RSP100
BERO84
26 Mar 2022
RSP99
BERO71
02 Feb 2022
RSP83
BERO68
17 Apr 2021
RSP109
BERO67
28 Dec 2020
RSP74
BERO64
18 Jan 2020
RSP78
BERO75
22 May 2019
RSP v BERO
upcoming
27 Dec 2018
RSP67
BERO78
20 Oct 2018
RSP94
BERO93
28 Apr 2018
RSP91
BERO81
06 Apr 2018
RSP79
BERO77
13 Jan 2018
RSP96
BERO88
21 Jan 2017
RSP101
BERO85
21 Apr 2016
RSP95
BERO74
20 Feb 2016
RSP80
BERO71
06 Feb 2016
RSP85
BERO75
02 May 2015
RSP94
BERO86
18 Mar 2015
RSP88
BERO72
31 Oct 2014
RSP98
BERO82
15 Mar 2014
RSP78
BERO88
27 Dec 2013
RSP95
BERO64
24 Apr 2013
RSP99
BERO95
14 Dec 2012
RSP87
BERO81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rilski Sportist win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Beroe win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rilski SportistBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSportist
Date
Competition
Yambol
#13
W
96-64
96
64
+32
93avg 85
A11/10
NBL
Esenler Erokspor
#2
L
62-94
62
94
-32
49avg 85
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CSKA Sofia
#11
W
114-76
114
76
+38
112avg 85
H17/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#7
L
70-86
70
86
-16
59avg 85
A25/10
NBL
SCM Craiova
#34
L
86-103
86
103
-17
84avg 85
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lok. Plovdiv
#5
W
88-79
88
79
+9
76avg 85
H31/10
NBL
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
70-92
70
92
-22
no box
H03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Polytechnica
#14
W
95-65
95
65
+30
no box
A07/11
NBL
Sporting CP
#28
W
86-76
86
76
+10
no box
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Beroe
#10
W
82-76
82
76
+6
no box
A14/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
21-11
29-15
25-16
20-25
13-31
11-13
18-25
28-19
32-15
27-26
27-16
22-26
20-16
15-22
13-22
16-16
17-21
22-37
31-29
25-14
20-25
20-17
23-23
17-24
22-20
12-28
19-20
27-16
21-10
25-22
22-17
23-18
25-16
23-23
15-19
16-14
17-22
21-23
28-17
166.0Avg total
84.9Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)90.874.3165.2+16.583%
Season at home (2)101.077.5178.5+23.5100%
Season away (4)85.872.8158.5+13.075%
Last 10 (10)84.981.1166.0+3.860%
Last 5 (5)84.277.6161.8+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.888.8164.6-13.020%
vs Similar (4)91.886.2178.0+5.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)93.279.7172.9+13.580%
This opponent (Beroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BeroeBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeroe
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#3
L
76-117
76
117
-41
60avg 78
A16/04
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
89-96
89
96
-7
86avg 78
H20/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
69-89
69
89
-20
54avg 78
A30/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
80-90
80
90
-10
74avg 78
H02/05
NBL
Botev Academic
#4
L
86-90
86
90
-4
76avg 78
A11/10
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#5
L
95-98 OT
95
98
-3
92avg 78
H17/10
NBL
Minyor
#2
L
104-110
104
110
-6
99avg 78
A23/10
NBL
Polytechnica
#14
W
99-58
99
58
+41
98avg 78
H31/10
NBL
Botev 2012
#9
L
84-89
84
89
-5
no box
A07/11
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#3
L
76-82
76
82
-6
no box
H14/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-32
20-29
11-37
24-19
27-27
23-24
19-22
20-23
19-22
15-22
17-22
18-23
14-19
25-23
18-23
23-25
30-22
22-24
9-21
25-23
21-24
19-15
28-26
19-22
28-31
23-27
34-24
19-28
23-19
36-17
17-13
23-9
20-30
19-23
22-22
23-14
14-16
22-17
23-21
17-28
177.7Avg total
85.8Scored
91.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)90.787.8178.5+2.817%
Season at home (3)90.079.3169.3+10.733%
Season away (3)91.396.3187.7-5.00%
Last 10 (10)85.891.9177.7-6.110%
Last 5 (5)91.687.4179.0+4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)82.194.8176.9-12.710%
vs Similar (4)88.583.0171.5+5.575%
vs Weaker (6)88.781.0169.7+7.750%
This opponent (Rilski Sportist) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -0.3-0.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -0.3-0.3
Rilski SportistBeroe
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Rilski SportistLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yambol
#13
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A11/10
NBL
Esenler Erokspor
#2
L
33-56
33
56
-23
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CSKA Sofia
#11
W
60-34
60
34
+26
H17/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#7
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A25/10
NBL
SCM Craiova
#34
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lok. Plovdiv
#5
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H31/10
NBL
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Polytechnica
#14
W
48-26
48
26
+22
A07/11
NBL
Sporting CP
#28
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Beroe
#10
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A14/11
NBL
80.4Avg total
42.3Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.440.785.1+3.757%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.942.488.4+3.557%-
Last 30 away (16)43.039.282.2+3.856%-
Last 10 (10)42.338.180.4+4.250%-
Last 5 (5)42.635.878.4+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.442.880.2-5.420%-
vs Similar (4)47.040.087.0+7.075%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)45.939.585.4+6.465%-
This opponent (Beroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BeroeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#3
L
41-61
41
61
-20
A16/04
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H20/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A30/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H02/05
NBL
Botev Academic
#4
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A11/10
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#5
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H17/10
NBL
Minyor
#2
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A23/10
NBL
Polytechnica
#14
W
59-36
59
36
+23
H31/10
NBL
Botev 2012
#9
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A07/11
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#3
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H14/11
NBL
90.4Avg total
44.1Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.144.387.4-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.140.584.6+3.760%-
Last 30 away (15)42.148.290.3-6.127%-
Last 10 (10)44.146.390.4-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)45.043.888.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)41.645.987.5-4.230%-
vs Similar (4)44.241.285.5+3.075%-
vs Weaker (6)47.241.288.3+6.067%-
This opponent (Rilski Sportist) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rilski Sportisttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rilski Sportist: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
54%
26%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.122.2
56.8%
55.5%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.0
32.1%
29.8%24.0
🏀 Free throws24.718.5
74.9%
71.2%18.5
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Beroetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Beroe: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
54%
26%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.025.6
54.5%
55.5%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.75.5
26.6%
29.8%16.5
🏀 Free throws25.019.0
76.0%
71.2%19.0
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rilski Sportist
WWWLWLLWLW
Beroe
LLWLLLLLLL
#3
League position
#10
+3.2
Net rating
-0.6
100.6
Offensive rating
96.6
97.3
Defensive rating
97.1
53.4%
Effective FG%
50.0%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
56.4%
14.9%
Turnover %
14.7%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.37
32.1%
3-point %
26.6%
62.3%
Assist %
62.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence100.6 · 96.6Defence97.3 · 97.1Shooting53.4% · 50.0%3-point %32.1% · 26.6%Ball care14.9% · 14.7%Free throws0.39 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Rilski Sportist   ■ Beroe
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Rilski Sportist wins
0
Beroe wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ABeroe82-76
11/11/26HSporting CP86-76
07/11/26APolytechnica95-65
03/11/26HKolossos Rhodes70-92
31/10/26HLok. Plovdiv88-79
28/10/26ASCM Craiova86-103
25/10/26ASpartak Pleven70-86
17/10/26HCSKA Sofia114-76
14/10/26HEsenler Erokspor62-94
11/10/26AYambol96-64
Beroelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HRilski Sportist76-82
07/11/26ABotev 201284-89
31/10/26HPolytechnica99-58
23/10/26AMinyor104-110
17/10/26HLok. Plovdiv95-98 OT
11/10/26ABotev Academic86-90
02/05/26HRilski Sportist80-90
30/04/26ARilski Sportist69-89
20/04/26HBalkan89-96
16/04/26ACherno More76-117

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rilski Sportist
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW83%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %83%100%75%
Points / game90.8101.085.8
Allowed / game74.377.572.8
Point differential+16.5+23.5+13.0
Avg total165.2178.5158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Beroe
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL17%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game90.790.091.3
Allowed / game87.879.396.3
Point differential+2.8+10.7-5.0
Avg total178.5169.3187.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %17%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Balkan550100%89.471.6+17.8
2 Minyor660100%106.790.8+15.8
3 Rilski Sportist65183%90.874.3+16.5
4 Botev Academic65183%90.381.0+9.3
5 Lok. Plovdiv54180%88.278.0+10.2
6 Cherno More64267%83.871.7+12.2
7 Spartak Pleven64267%81.575.2+6.3
8 Shumen64267%89.588.0+1.5
9 Botev 201262433%79.890.2-10.3
10 Beroe61517%90.787.8+2.8
11 CSKA Sofia61517%77.596.7-19.2
12 Levski6060%79.292.7-13.5
13 Yambol6060%74.094.2-20.2
14 Polytechnica6060%70.094.7-24.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.