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Roseto vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 08 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 80-89
21-27 18-15 25-25 16-22
Position#20
Record1-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game91.7
Roseto
Italy
vs
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
Position#3
Record1-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game74.5
ItalySerie A2Round 4· Palasport
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Roseto winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RosetoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRoseto
Date
Competition
Imola
#10
W
99-78
99
78
+21
no box
H10/03
A2 East
Ravenna
#9
L
72-85
72
85
-13
no box
A16/03
A2 East
Assigeco Piacenza
#11
W
82-72
82
72
+10
no box
H24/03
A2 East
Treviso
#2
L
61-88
61
88
-27
no box
A31/03
A2 East
Verona
#4
W
106-85
106
85
+21
no box
H07/04
A2 East
Ferrara
#12
W
82-77
82
77
+5
no box
H14/04
A2 East
Fortitudo Bologna
#1
L
81-92
81
92
-11
no box
A20/04
A2 East
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
86-82
86
82
+4
85avg 83
H21/09
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
L
91-101
91
101
-10
90avg 83
A27/09
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
L
83-92
83
92
-9
75avg 83
A05/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-24
26-18
22-17
20-19
17-20
15-16
16-23
24-26
14-18
24-14
19-26
25-14
16-26
11-19
22-25
12-18
26-22
30-34
29-17
21-12
19-20
21-21
23-17
19-19
24-24
19-25
16-24
22-19
27-15
18-22
21-26
20-19
27-32
25-22
13-21
26-26
24-25
21-24
21-18
17-25
169.5Avg total
84.3Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)86.791.7178.3-5.033%
Season at home (1)86.082.0168.0+4.0100%
Season away (2)87.096.5183.5-9.50%
Last 10 (10)84.385.2169.5-0.950%
Last 5 (5)84.688.8173.4-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)76.386.0162.3-9.717%
vs Similar (12)81.881.1162.8+0.750%
vs Weaker (12)86.477.9164.3+8.567%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Rimini
#3
L
81-99
81
99
-18
72avg 74
A21/03
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
85-69
85
69
+16
83avg 74
H30/03
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
89-91 OT
89
91
-2
78avg 74
A06/04
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
78-85
78
85
-7
65avg 74
A13/04
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
82-84
82
84
-2
72avg 74
H19/04
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
85-81
85
81
+4
74avg 74
A27/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
85-72
85
72
+13
82avg 74
H03/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
85-94
85
94
-9
75avg 74
A06/05
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
62-78
62
78
-16
53avg 74
H30/09
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
86-71
86
71
+15
83avg 74
H05/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-28
31-22
22-22
14-27
17-21
20-22
25-15
23-11
30-17
15-20
17-27
17-15
16-22
25-21
22-31
15-11
25-16
23-22
17-27
17-19
8-18
25-26
20-18
32-19
23-13
25-20
21-21
16-18
18-32
24-24
22-19
21-19
10-17
20-16
17-20
15-25
23-8
24-19
20-20
19-24
164.2Avg total
81.8Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)74.074.5148.5-0.550%
Season at home (2)74.074.5148.5-0.550%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.882.4164.2-0.640%
Last 5 (5)80.679.2159.8+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.084.0166.0-2.00%
vs Similar (22)83.881.4165.1+2.455%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)93.380.3173.6+13.086%
This opponent (Roseto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +0.1+0.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +0.1+0.1
RosetoPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RosetoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Imola
#10
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H10/03
A2 East
Ravenna
#9
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A16/03
A2 East
Assigeco Piacenza
#11
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H24/03
A2 East
Treviso
#2
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A31/03
A2 East
Verona
#4
D
56-56
56
56
+0
H07/04
A2 East
Ferrara
#12
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H14/04
A2 East
Fortitudo Bologna
#1
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A20/04
A2 East
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H21/09
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A27/09
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A05/10
Serie A2
87.6Avg total
43.5Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.339.380.6+1.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.637.580.1+5.167%-
Last 30 away (15)39.941.181.1-1.227%-
Last 10 (10)43.544.187.6-0.630%-
Last 5 (5)45.046.091.0-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)37.542.279.7-4.733%-
vs Similar (12)39.437.276.6+2.250%-
vs Weaker (12)45.040.185.1+4.950%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rimini
#3
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A21/03
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H30/03
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A06/04
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A13/04
Serie A2
Udine
#1
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H19/04
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A27/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H03/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A06/05
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H30/09
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H05/10
Serie A2
82.0Avg total
41.6Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.241.685.9+2.660%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.438.984.3+6.469%-
Last 30 away (14)42.944.787.6-1.850%-
Last 10 (10)41.640.482.0+1.240%-
Last 5 (5)40.038.678.6+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.038.086.0+10.0100%-
vs Similar (22)42.641.784.3+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)48.742.090.7+6.786%-
This opponent (Roseto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rosetotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Roseto: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀36%
🏀🏀🏀47%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.315.3
56.1%
50.8%30.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.713.3
42.1%
34.6%40.0
🏀 Free throws17.714.7
83.0%
74.4%14.7
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.118.3
55.3%
50.8%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.39.5
31.4%
34.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws21.016.0
76.2%
74.4%16.0
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/10 games with a box score before 08 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Roseto
LLWLWWLWLW
Pesaro
WLLWWLLLWL
#20
League position
#3
-8.4
Net rating
-0.4
113.2
Offensive rating
105.4
121.6
Defensive rating
105.8
59.9%
Effective FG%
51.3%
58.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
18.0%
Turnover %
17.0%
19.6%
Off. rebound %
24.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.33
42.1%
3-point %
31.4%
70.9%
Assist %
56.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence113.2 · 105.4Defence121.6 · 105.8Shooting59.9% · 51.3%3-point %42.1% · 31.4%Ball care18.0% · 17.0%Off. rebounds19.6% · 24.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Roseto   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Roseto wins
0
Pesaro wins
No previous meetings.
Rosetolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/25ABlu Basket Bergamo83-92
27/09/25AMestre91-101
21/09/25HFortitudo Bologna86-82
20/04/19AFortitudo Bologna81-92
14/04/19HFerrara82-77
07/04/19HVerona106-85
31/03/19ATreviso61-88
24/03/19HAssigeco Piacenza82-72
16/03/19ARavenna72-85
10/03/19HImola99-78
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/25HRuvo Di Puglia86-71
30/09/25HLibertas Livorno62-78
06/05/25AFortitudo Bologna85-94
03/05/25HBasket Torino85-72
27/04/25AVerona85-81
19/04/25HUdine82-84
13/04/25ACantu78-85
06/04/25AJuVi Cremona89-91 OT
30/03/25HLibertas Livorno85-69
21/03/25ARimini81-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Roseto
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game86.786.087.0
Allowed / game91.782.096.5
Point differential-5.0+4.0-9.5
Avg total178.3168.0183.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pesaro
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeLW50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game74.074.0-
Allowed / game74.574.5-
Point differential-0.5-0.5-
Avg total148.5148.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brindisi43175%79.564.5+15.0
2 Fortitudo Bologna43175%91.282.8+8.5
3 Libertas Livorno43175%75.867.5+8.2
4 Sebastiani Rieti43175%77.870.5+7.2
5 Verona43175%78.573.2+5.2
6 Mestre43175%79.877.0+2.8
7 Blu Basket Bergamo32167%89.385.0+4.3
8 Avellino Basket42250%79.075.2+3.8
9 Rimini42250%80.078.5+1.5
10 Basket Torino42250%77.576.5+1.0
11 Pesaro21150%74.074.5-0.5
12 Scafati42250%78.279.8-1.5
13 Cento42250%74.076.0-2.0
14 Pistoia42250%80.583.5-3.0
15 Roseto31233%86.791.7-5.0
16 Cividale41325%75.278.8-3.5
17 Urania Milano41325%84.591.0-6.5
18 Forli41325%73.081.0-8.0
19 JuVi Cremona41325%69.279.2-10.0
20 Ruvo Di Puglia4040%68.286.2-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Roseto2118251680
Pesaro2715252289
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