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Rostock vs Heidelberg Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 122-113 (OT)
19-25 26-22 27-34 21-12 29-20
Position#15
Record0-1
FormWLWLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game85.0
Rostock 🏆
Germany
vs
Heidelberg
Germany
Position#16
Record0-1
FormWWLWL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game90.0
GermanyBBLRound 2· Stadthalle Rostock
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Rostock v Heidelberg
12 Oct 2025
ROS90
HEI79
02 Feb 2025
ROS88
HEI82
01 Oct 2023
ROS122
HEI113
27 Nov 2022
ROS84
HEI91
09 Dec 2020
ROS91
HEI88
24 Mar 2020
ROS v HEI
upcoming
17 Feb 2019
ROS77
HEI69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rostock winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Heidelberg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#17
L
77-99
77
99
-22
72avg 75
H09/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
L
75-78
75
78
-3
67avg 75
A14/04
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
94-85
94
85
+9
94avg 75
H18/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
79-104
79
104
-25
64avg 75
A23/04
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
76-108
76
108
-32
67avg 75
A26/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
99-70
99
70
+29
97avg 75
H30/04
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
86-116
86
116
-30
76avg 75
A05/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
92-87 OT
92
87
+5
no box
H07/05
BBL
Vechta
#5
L
76-84
76
84
-8
56avg 75
A23/09
German Cup
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
L
81-85
81
85
-4
68avg 75
A29/09
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
22-18
18-33
21-24
29-17
14-16
10-27
22-18
31-24
24-24
13-18
26-19
25-22
21-29
15-28
18-25
13-25
16-32
28-24
19-27
23-12
22-19
33-20
21-19
29-29
17-22
18-30
22-35
14-12
28-26
17-27
20-14
20-24
19-18
15-21
22-21
23-19
12-20
23-25
23-21
175.1Avg total
83.5Scored
91.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)81.085.0166.0-4.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)81.085.0166.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)83.591.6175.1-8.130%
Last 5 (5)86.888.4175.2-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)78.391.8170.1-13.425%
vs Similar (14)84.186.0170.1-1.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)90.779.3170.0+11.367%
This opponent (Heidelberg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HeidelbergGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeidelberg
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#9
W
109-100
109
100
+9
110avg 78
H09/04
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
78-75
78
75
+3
72avg 78
H14/04
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
86-90
86
90
-4
76avg 78
A19/04
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
74-91
74
91
-17
66avg 78
H22/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
102-96
102
96
+6
94avg 78
A26/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
109-91
109
91
+18
103avg 78
H30/04
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
89-78
89
78
+11
90avg 78
A04/05
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
L
74-81
74
81
-7
68avg 78
H07/05
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
89-82
89
82
+7
91avg 78
A22/09
German Cup
Alba Berlin
#2
L
81-90
81
90
-9
66avg 78
H28/09
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
27-34
26-19
32-25
17-29
16-14
27-10
18-22
23-24
27-26
13-17
23-23
18-23
22-18
19-19
15-31
24-24
25-15
30-31
23-26
32-30
22-19
32-19
23-23
21-17
23-25
22-22
23-14
22-20
18-16
14-18
20-27
26-22
24-30
19-13
20-17
17-21
22-23
19-26
23-20
176.5Avg total
89.1Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)81.090.0171.0-9.00%
Season at home (1)81.090.0171.0-9.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)89.187.4176.5+1.760%
Last 5 (5)88.484.4172.8+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)85.186.7171.9-1.629%
vs Similar (19)86.288.7174.9-2.537%
vs Weaker (3)101.093.0194.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -6.3-6.3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -0.8-0.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -6.3-6.3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -0.8-0.8
RostockHeidelberg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#17
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H09/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A14/04
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
55-48
55
48
+7
H18/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A23/04
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
29-57
29
57
-28
A26/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H30/04
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A05/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H07/05
BBL
Vechta
#5
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A23/09
German Cup
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A29/09
BBL
85.0Avg total
41.8Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.743.083.7-2.340%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.040.880.8-0.854%-
Last 30 away (17)41.244.785.9-3.529%-
Last 10 (10)41.843.285.0-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)41.440.281.6+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.247.586.7-8.325%-
vs Similar (14)42.440.983.3+1.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)39.735.375.0+4.367%-
This opponent (Heidelberg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HeidelbergLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#9
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H09/04
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H14/04
BBL
Hamburg
#15
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A19/04
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H22/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A26/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H30/04
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A04/05
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H07/05
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A22/09
German Cup
Alba Berlin
#2
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H28/09
BBL
90.2Avg total
45.0Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.445.389.7-0.937%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.743.686.3-0.929%-
Last 30 away (16)45.846.892.6-1.044%-
Last 10 (10)45.045.290.2-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)45.444.690.0+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)43.642.786.3+0.957%-
vs Similar (19)44.047.191.1-3.121%-
vs Weaker (3)46.737.784.3+9.0100%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.518.0
49.3%
54.6%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.6
38.1%
35.4%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.413.6
78.2%
76.0%13.6
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Heidelbergtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Heidelberg: 88.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.917.9
59.9%
54.6%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.713.0
38.6%
35.4%39.0
🏀 Free throws16.713.9
83.2%
76.0%13.9
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rostock
LLWLWLLWLL
Heidelberg
LWLWWWLLWW
#15
League position
#16
-13.0
Net rating
+2.3
107.3
Offensive rating
120.5
120.3
Defensive rating
118.2
52.5%
Effective FG%
58.8%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
19.2%
Turnover %
17.4%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.26
38.1%
3-point %
38.6%
58.7%
Assist %
60.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.3 · 120.5Defence120.3 · 118.2Shooting52.5% · 58.8%3-point %38.1% · 38.6%Ball care19.2% · 17.4%Off. rebounds30.3% · 31.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Rostock   ■ Heidelberg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Rostock wins
4
Heidelberg wins
DateGameScore
14/04/23Heidelberg v Rostock78-75
27/11/22Rostock v Heidelberg84-91
14/02/21Heidelberg v Rostock78-75
09/12/20Rostock v Heidelberg91-88
27/10/19Heidelberg v Rostock78-72 OT
17/02/19Rostock v Heidelberg77-69
09/12/18Heidelberg v Rostock81-82
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/23ACrailsheim Merlins81-85
23/09/23AVechta76-84
07/05/23HLudwigsburg92-87 OT
05/05/23AUlm86-116
30/04/23HBayreuth99-70
26/04/23ABayern76-108
23/04/23AAlba Berlin79-104
18/04/23HGottingen94-85
14/04/23AHeidelberg75-78
09/04/23HFrankfurt77-99
Heidelberglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/09/23HAlba Berlin81-90
22/09/23ABayreuth89-82
07/05/23HChemnitz74-81
04/05/23ABayern89-78
30/04/23HSyntainics MBC109-91
26/04/23ABayreuth102-96
22/04/23HBonn74-91
19/04/23AHamburg86-90
14/04/23HRostock78-75
09/04/23HBamberg109-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rostock
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game81.0-81.0
Allowed / game85.0-85.0
Point differential-4.0--4.0
Avg total166.0-166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Heidelberg
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game81.081.0-
Allowed / game90.090.0-
Point differential-9.0-9.0-
Avg total171.0171.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wurzburg110100%88.058.0+30.0
2 Vechta220100%92.579.0+13.5
3 Alba Berlin110100%90.081.0+9.0
4 Bayern110100%96.087.0+9.0
5 Basketball Braunschweig220100%88.081.5+6.5
6 Ulm110100%90.085.0+5.0
7 Crailsheim Merlins110100%85.081.0+4.0
8 Hamburg21150%72.583.5-11.0
9 Rostock1010%81.085.0-4.0
10 Bonn1010%79.084.0-5.0
11 Chemnitz1010%85.090.0-5.0
12 Oldenburg1010%86.091.0-5.0
13 Ludwigsburg1010%79.087.0-8.0
14 Syntainics MBC2020%82.090.5-8.5
15 Heidelberg1010%81.090.0-9.0
16 Bamberg1010%79.0101.0-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Rostock1926272129122
Heidelberg2522341220113
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