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Bayern vs Rostock Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 26 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 108-76
25-13 32-16 24-28 27-19
Position#3
Record24-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game74.2
Bayern 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#8
Record14-16
FormWLLWL
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game88.0
GermanyBBLRound 31
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Bayern v Rostock
13 Apr 2027
BAY v ROS
upcoming
27 Apr 2026
BAY86
ROS64
22 Mar 2025
BAY91
ROS66
12 May 2024
BAY101
ROS73
26 Apr 2023
BAY108
ROS76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rostock winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#15
L
76-86
76
86
-10
72avg 72
A28/03
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
81-84
81
84
-3
79avg 72
H31/03
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
89-72
89
72
+17
87avg 72
H02/04
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
77-59
77
59
+18
73avg 72
A04/04
BBL
Real Madrid
#2
L
67-79
67
79
-12
56avg 72
A06/04
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#11
W
67-49
67
49
+18
70avg 72
A10/04
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
80-83
80
83
-3
72avg 72
H14/04
Euroleague
Bamberg
#9
W
73-72
73
72
+1
62avg 72
H16/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
95-89
95
89
+6
95avg 72
H19/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
78-69
78
69
+9
72avg 72
A23/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-21
16-27
11-23
22-15
22-23
18-22
20-12
21-27
16-18
24-16
18-20
31-18
26-18
11-11
24-19
16-11
13-19
23-21
8-16
23-23
18-12
22-9
7-14
20-14
18-19
20-15
9-17
33-32
15-18
22-20
20-19
16-15
21-21
26-14
26-24
22-30
13-12
15-19
22-24
28-14
152.5Avg total
78.3Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)81.574.2155.7+7.380%
Season at home (15)85.176.4161.5+8.780%
Season away (15)77.972.1150.0+5.980%
Last 10 (10)78.374.2152.5+4.160%
Last 5 (5)78.672.4151.0+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.083.7157.7-9.70%
vs Similar (10)78.579.2157.7-0.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)82.371.9154.2+10.492%
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
87-71
87
71
+16
no box
A15/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
78-102
78
102
-24
66avg 75
A04/03
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
86-79
86
79
+7
80avg 75
H12/03
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
94-88
94
88
+6
95avg 75
A18/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
L
72-76
72
76
-4
68avg 75
H25/03
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
W
71-69
71
69
+2
64avg 75
A02/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
77-99
77
99
-22
72avg 75
H09/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
L
75-78
75
78
-3
67avg 75
A14/04
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
94-85
94
85
+9
94avg 75
H18/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
79-104
79
104
-25
64avg 75
A23/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
19-11
30-17
14-23
18-25
21-27
17-30
22-20
21-15
19-17
20-22
26-25
30-20
18-21
19-26
27-21
20-13
18-23
13-17
21-23
15-12
20-23
16-14
20-20
16-24
22-18
18-33
21-24
29-17
14-16
10-27
22-18
31-24
24-24
13-18
26-19
25-22
21-29
15-28
18-25
166.4Avg total
81.3Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)83.588.0171.5-4.547%
Season at home (15)80.486.0166.4-5.640%
Season away (15)86.590.0176.5-3.553%
Last 10 (10)81.385.1166.4-3.850%
Last 5 (5)79.287.0166.2-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)79.289.7168.8-10.531%
vs Similar (16)86.486.9173.4-0.556%
vs Weaker (1)92.083.0175.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -6.1-6.1Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -0.1-0.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -6.1-6.1Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -0.1-0.1
BayernRostock
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#15
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A28/03
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H31/03
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H02/04
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A04/04
BBL
Real Madrid
#2
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A06/04
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#11
W
40-21
40
21
+19
A10/04
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H14/04
Euroleague
Bamberg
#9
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H16/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H19/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A23/04
BBL
74.1Avg total
38.6Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.838.577.3+0.343%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.738.578.2+1.256%-
Last 30 away (14)37.838.476.2-0.629%-
Last 10 (10)38.635.574.1+3.150%-
Last 5 (5)38.031.869.8+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.741.678.3-4.914%-
vs Similar (10)38.838.677.4+0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)39.936.776.6+3.254%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A15/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A04/03
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H12/03
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A18/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H25/03
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A02/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H09/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A14/04
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
55-48
55
48
+7
H18/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A23/04
BBL
82.6Avg total
42.5Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.643.885.4-2.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.742.281.9-2.547%-
Last 30 away (15)43.545.488.9-1.940%-
Last 10 (10)42.540.182.6+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)43.441.885.2+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)40.947.588.4-6.531%-
vs Similar (16)42.441.383.7+1.150%-
vs Weaker (1)39.036.075.0+3.0100%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.017.8
57.4%
54.4%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.0
33.5%
35.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws19.514.9
76.4%
75.8%14.9
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.717.8
49.9%
54.4%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.89.4
37.9%
35.4%28.2
🏀 Free throws20.816.5
79.3%
75.8%16.5
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WWWLWLWWLL
Rostock
LWLLWLWWLW
#3
League position
#8
+6.2
Net rating
-5.8
111.9
Offensive rating
106.5
105.7
Defensive rating
112.4
54.1%
Effective FG%
52.7%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
19.3%
Turnover %
19.3%
33.5%
Off. rebound %
26.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.5%
3-point %
37.9%
57.5%
Assist %
62.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.9 · 106.5Defence105.7 · 112.4Shooting54.1% · 52.7%3-point %33.5% · 37.9%Ball care19.3% · 19.3%Off. rebounds33.5% · 26.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Bayern   ■ Rostock
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Bayern wins
0
Rostock wins
DateGameScore
03/01/23Rostock v Bayern65-78
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/23ACrailsheim Merlins78-69
19/04/23HFrankfurt95-89
16/04/23HBamberg73-72
14/04/23HZalgiris Kaunas80-83
10/04/23AWurzburg67-49
06/04/23AReal Madrid67-79
04/04/23AUlm77-59
02/04/23HLudwigsburg89-72
31/03/23HMonaco81-84
28/03/23APanathinaikos76-86
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/23AAlba Berlin79-104
18/04/23HGottingen94-85
14/04/23AHeidelberg75-78
09/04/23HFrankfurt77-99
02/04/23AChemnitz71-69
25/03/23HWurzburg72-76
18/03/23ABamberg94-88
12/03/23HCrailsheim Merlins86-79
04/03/23ASyntainics MBC78-102
15/02/23ABasketball Braunschweig87-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %80%80%80%
Points / game81.585.177.9
Allowed / game74.276.472.1
Point differential+7.3+8.7+5.9
Avg total155.7161.5150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%53%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)50% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Rostock
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL47%
HomeLWLLW40%
AwayLWWLL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %47%40%53%
Points / game83.580.486.5
Allowed / game88.086.090.0
Point differential-4.5-5.6-3.5
Avg total171.5166.4176.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%7%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bonn3028293%89.072.7+16.3
2 Alba Berlin3229391%88.477.0+11.4
3 Bayern3024680%81.574.2+7.3
4 Oldenburg31191261%85.783.7+2.0
5 Ludwigsburg30171357%86.785.0+1.6
6 Gottingen30171357%86.286.7-0.5
7 Ulm30161453%87.484.8+2.6
8 Wurzburg31151648%81.583.4-1.8
9 Rostock30141647%83.588.0-4.5
10 Chemnitz31141745%83.783.0+0.7
11 Bamberg31141745%87.487.5-0.1
12 Heidelberg30121840%86.790.0-3.3
13 Hamburg32122038%81.085.9-4.9
14 Syntainics MBC29101934%83.387.2-3.9
15 Basketball Braunschweig31102132%80.183.5-3.5
16 Crailsheim Merlins31102132%84.788.7-4.1
17 Frankfurt3182326%79.687.0-7.4
18 Bayreuth3062420%82.090.2-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern25322427108
Rostock1316281976
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