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Alba Berlin vs Rostock Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 104-79
22-25 29-21 28-15 25-18
Position#2
Record28-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game76.7
vs
Position#8
Record14-15
FormLWLLW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game87.4
GermanyBBLRound 30
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Rostock
31 Dec 2026
ABE v ROS
upcoming
20 Mar 2026
ABE89
ROS85
31 Dec 2024
ABE85
ROS96
24 Apr 2024
ABE91
ROS74
23 Apr 2023
ABE104
ROS79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rostock winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#8
L
87-93
87
93
-6
80avg 83
A28/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
56-72
56
72
-16
53avg 83
A30/03
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#17
W
79-61
79
61
+18
79avg 83
A02/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
W
76-47
76
47
+29
84avg 83
H05/04
BBL
Panathinaikos
#15
W
88-84
88
84
+4
83avg 83
A07/04
Euroleague
Gottingen
#7
W
91-78
91
78
+13
87avg 83
H09/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
W
76-70
76
70
+6
71avg 83
A11/04
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
88-71
88
71
+17
88avg 83
H13/04
Euroleague
Hamburg
#15
W
83-63
83
63
+20
81avg 83
A16/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
85-78
85
78
+7
93avg 83
H19/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
24-19
19-24
20-25
21-19
14-15
7-16
14-22
17-9
25-24
23-12
14-16
19-9
22-9
15-14
20-15
25-17
24-25
17-26
22-16
29-23
18-23
24-15
20-17
20-23
27-19
23-12
6-16
20-16
18-20
27-18
23-17
20-11
20-21
28-15
15-16
27-21
18-24
16-17
24-16
152.6Avg total
80.9Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)88.276.7164.9+11.593%
Season at home (15)87.575.1162.6+12.393%
Season away (15)89.078.3167.3+10.793%
Last 10 (10)80.971.7152.6+9.280%
Last 5 (5)84.672.0156.6+12.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)77.490.6168.0-13.212%
vs Similar (8)79.479.2158.6+0.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)87.174.1161.2+12.9100%
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Bonn
#1
L
62-77
62
77
-15
50avg 75
H12/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
87-71
87
71
+16
no box
A15/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
78-102
78
102
-24
66avg 75
A04/03
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
86-79
86
79
+7
80avg 75
H12/03
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
94-88
94
88
+6
95avg 75
A18/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
L
72-76
72
76
-4
68avg 75
H25/03
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
W
71-69
71
69
+2
64avg 75
A02/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
77-99
77
99
-22
72avg 75
H09/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
L
75-78
75
78
-3
67avg 75
A14/04
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
94-85
94
85
+9
94avg 75
H18/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
14-20
5-13
23-18
24-20
19-11
30-17
14-23
18-25
21-27
17-30
22-20
21-15
19-17
20-22
26-25
30-20
18-21
19-26
27-21
20-13
18-23
13-17
21-23
15-12
20-23
16-14
20-20
16-24
22-18
18-33
21-24
29-17
14-16
10-27
22-18
31-24
24-24
13-18
26-19
162.0Avg total
79.6Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)83.687.4171.1-3.848%
Season at home (15)80.486.0166.4-5.640%
Season away (14)87.189.0176.1-1.957%
Last 10 (10)79.682.4162.0-2.850%
Last 5 (5)77.881.4159.2-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)79.288.5167.7-9.333%
vs Similar (17)85.986.4172.3-0.459%
vs Weaker (1)92.083.0175.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +1.1+1.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +1.1+1.1
Alba BerlinRostock
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#8
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A28/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A30/03
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#17
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A02/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
W
41-18
41
18
+23
H05/04
BBL
Panathinaikos
#15
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A07/04
Euroleague
Gottingen
#7
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H09/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A11/04
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H13/04
Euroleague
Hamburg
#15
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A16/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H19/04
BBL
80.4Avg total
43.2Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.640.582.0+1.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.341.282.5+0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)41.839.781.5+2.173%-
Last 10 (10)43.237.280.4+6.090%-
Last 5 (5)43.440.283.6+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.544.185.6-2.650%-
vs Similar (8)39.241.881.0-2.538%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)42.937.680.6+5.379%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bonn
#1
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H12/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A15/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A04/03
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H12/03
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A18/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H25/03
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A02/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H09/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A14/04
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
55-48
55
48
+7
H18/04
BBL
80.9Avg total
41.3Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.443.785.0-2.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.742.281.9-2.547%-
Last 30 away (15)43.045.188.1-2.140%-
Last 10 (10)41.339.680.9+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)41.838.880.6+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)40.547.287.7-6.733%-
vs Similar (17)42.141.683.8+0.547%-
vs Weaker (1)39.036.075.0+3.0100%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.0
53.8%
54.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.4
36.6%
35.4%28.2
🏀 Free throws16.913.6
80.5%
75.8%13.6
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.417.8
50.3%
54.4%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.5
35.4%
35.4%25.5
🏀 Free throws22.417.7
79.0%
75.8%17.7
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
WWWWWWWWLL
Rostock
WLLWLWWLWL
#2
League position
#8
+11.7
Net rating
-4.0
111.2
Offensive rating
105.8
99.5
Defensive rating
109.8
54.3%
Effective FG%
51.4%
46.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
20.3%
Turnover %
19.3%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.38
36.6%
3-point %
35.4%
72.5%
Assist %
64.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 105.8Defence99.5 · 109.8Shooting54.3% · 51.4%3-point %36.6% · 35.4%Ball care20.3% · 19.3%Off. rebounds32.4% · 27.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Rostock
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Alba Berlin wins
0
Rostock wins
DateGameScore
30/10/22Rostock v Alba Berlin70-104
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/23HBasketball Braunschweig85-78
16/04/23AHamburg83-63
13/04/23HLyon-Villeurbanne88-71
11/04/23AChemnitz76-70
09/04/23HGottingen91-78
07/04/23APanathinaikos88-84
05/04/23HWurzburg76-47
02/04/23AFrankfurt79-61
30/03/23ABarcelona56-72
28/03/23ABaskonia87-93
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/23HGottingen94-85
14/04/23AHeidelberg75-78
09/04/23HFrankfurt77-99
02/04/23AChemnitz71-69
25/03/23HWurzburg72-76
18/03/23ABamberg94-88
12/03/23HCrailsheim Merlins86-79
04/03/23ASyntainics MBC78-102
15/02/23ABasketball Braunschweig87-71
12/02/23HBonn62-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW93%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWWWWW93%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %93%93%93%
Points / game88.287.589.0
Allowed / game76.775.178.3
Point differential+11.5+12.3+10.7
Avg total164.9162.6167.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%47%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rostock
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW48%
HomeLWLLW40%
AwayWLWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %48%40%57%
Points / game83.680.487.1
Allowed / game87.486.089.0
Point differential-3.8-5.6-1.9
Avg total171.1166.4176.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%7%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alba Berlin3028293%88.276.7+11.5
2 Bonn2927293%89.272.6+16.7
3 Bayern2923679%81.674.4+7.2
4 Oldenburg29181162%85.182.9+2.2
5 Gottingen29171259%86.886.9-0.1
6 Ludwigsburg30171357%86.785.0+1.6
7 Ulm29151452%87.184.9+2.2
8 Wurzburg31151648%81.583.4-1.8
9 Rostock29141548%83.687.4-3.8
10 Bamberg30141647%87.186.9+0.2
11 Chemnitz30131743%83.883.5+0.3
12 Heidelberg30121840%86.790.0-3.3
13 Hamburg31112035%81.286.5-5.4
14 Crailsheim Merlins29101934%85.989.5-3.7
15 Syntainics MBC29101934%83.387.2-3.9
16 Basketball Braunschweig3092130%79.983.9-4.1
17 Frankfurt2982128%79.086.1-7.1
18 Bayreuth2952417%81.089.6-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin22292825104
Rostock2521151879
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