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Ulm vs Rostock Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 May 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 116-86
29-29 22-17 30-18 35-22
Position#4
Record17-15
FormLLWLW
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game86.2
Ulm 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#8
Record15-17
FormLWLLW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game88.1
GermanyBBLRound 33
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Ulm v Rostock
24 Apr 2027
ULM v ROS
upcoming
04 Oct 2025
ULM87
ROS80
11 Jan 2025
ULM82
ROS72
03 Dec 2023
ULM89
ROS107
05 May 2023
ULM116
ROS86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rostock winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#7
W
108-101 OT
108
101
+7
no box
A01/04
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
59-77
59
77
-18
47avg 78
H04/04
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
112-78
112
78
+34
119avg 78
H09/04
BBL
Buducnost
#11
W
92-83
92
83
+9
87avg 78
H12/04
Eurocup
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
67-84
67
84
-17
53avg 78
A16/04
BBL
Turk Telekom
#3
L
76-86
76
86
-10
69avg 78
A19/04
Eurocup
Chemnitz
#12
L
86-92
86
92
-6
78avg 78
A21/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
W
97-84
97
84
+13
90avg 78
H25/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
79-91
79
91
-12
70avg 78
A30/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
128-122 OT
128
122
+6
no box
H02/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
28-18
25-13
13-36
18-26
11-11
19-24
11-16
26-23
32-14
26-24
28-17
16-30
26-23
26-9
24-21
15-23
20-28
22-12
10-21
22-14
15-20
20-16
19-36
21-26
20-24
24-19
21-23
9-23
27-15
32-21
29-25
12-20
21-28
25-22
21-21
31-21
24-27
16-27
27-23
180.2Avg total
90.4Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)88.486.2174.6+2.253%
Season at home (16)93.288.8182.1+4.462%
Season away (16)83.683.6167.2+0.144%
Last 10 (10)90.489.8180.2+0.650%
Last 5 (5)93.295.0188.2-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)77.285.5162.8-8.20%
vs Similar (9)83.379.3162.7+4.078%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)90.883.8174.6+7.071%
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
86-79
86
79
+7
80avg 75
H12/03
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
94-88
94
88
+6
95avg 75
A18/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
L
72-76
72
76
-4
68avg 75
H25/03
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
W
71-69
71
69
+2
64avg 75
A02/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
77-99
77
99
-22
72avg 75
H09/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
L
75-78
75
78
-3
67avg 75
A14/04
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
94-85
94
85
+9
94avg 75
H18/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
79-104
79
104
-25
64avg 75
A23/04
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
76-108
76
108
-32
67avg 75
A26/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
99-70
99
70
+29
97avg 75
H30/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
19-17
20-22
26-25
30-20
18-21
19-26
27-21
20-13
18-23
13-17
21-23
15-12
20-23
16-14
20-20
16-24
22-18
18-33
21-24
29-17
14-16
10-27
22-18
31-24
24-24
13-18
26-19
25-22
21-29
15-28
18-25
13-25
16-32
28-24
19-27
23-12
22-19
33-20
21-19
167.9Avg total
82.3Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)83.788.1171.8-4.347%
Season at home (16)81.685.0166.6-3.444%
Season away (16)85.991.1177.0-5.250%
Last 10 (10)82.385.6167.9-3.350%
Last 5 (5)84.689.0173.6-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)76.591.6168.1-15.117%
vs Similar (16)86.486.9173.4-0.556%
vs Weaker (2)95.576.5172.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +0.0+0.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +0.0+0.0
UlmRostock
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#7
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A01/04
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H04/04
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
58-37
58
37
+21
H09/04
BBL
Buducnost
#11
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H12/04
Eurocup
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A16/04
BBL
Turk Telekom
#3
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A19/04
Eurocup
Chemnitz
#12
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A21/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H25/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A30/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
55-48
55
48
+7
H02/05
BBL
85.3Avg total
41.7Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.441.884.2+0.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.443.087.4+1.440%-
Last 30 away (15)40.540.581.0-0.147%-
Last 10 (10)41.743.685.3-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)40.443.684.0-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.036.572.5-0.550%-
vs Similar (9)40.942.283.1-1.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)44.842.887.5+2.047%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H12/03
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A18/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H25/03
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A02/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H09/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A14/04
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
55-48
55
48
+7
H18/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A23/04
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
29-57
29
57
-28
A26/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H30/04
BBL
82.3Avg total
41.7Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.043.484.4-2.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.941.981.8-1.947%-
Last 30 away (15)42.044.986.9-2.940%-
Last 10 (10)41.740.682.3+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)43.644.087.6-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)38.947.886.8-8.925%-
vs Similar (16)42.441.383.7+1.150%-
vs Weaker (2)42.033.575.5+8.5100%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.017.1
57.0%
54.4%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.112.0
37.4%
35.4%36.0
🏀 Free throws20.414.4
70.6%
75.8%14.4
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.616.9
48.8%
54.4%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.210.2
40.5%
35.4%30.6
🏀 Free throws18.215.1
83.0%
75.8%15.1
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
WLWLLLWWLW
Rostock
WLLWLLWLWW
#4
League position
#8
+5.0
Net rating
-5.2
112.4
Offensive rating
109.0
107.3
Defensive rating
114.2
56.5%
Effective FG%
53.8%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
18.7%
Turnover %
19.1%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.30
37.4%
3-point %
40.5%
59.1%
Assist %
65.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.4 · 109.0Defence107.3 · 114.2Shooting56.5% · 53.8%3-point %37.4% · 40.5%Ball care18.7% · 19.1%Off. rebounds28.6% · 27.3%Free throws0.33 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Ulm   ■ Rostock
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ulm wins
1
Rostock wins
DateGameScore
09/10/22Rostock v Ulm85-80
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/23HSyntainics MBC128-122 OT
30/04/23AAlba Berlin79-91
25/04/23HOldenburg97-84
21/04/23AChemnitz86-92
19/04/23ATurk Telekom76-86
16/04/23ABasketball Braunschweig67-84
12/04/23HBuducnost92-83
09/04/23HHamburg112-78
04/04/23HBayern59-77
01/04/23AGottingen108-101 OT
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/23HBayreuth99-70
26/04/23ABayern76-108
23/04/23AAlba Berlin79-104
18/04/23HGottingen94-85
14/04/23AHeidelberg75-78
09/04/23HFrankfurt77-99
02/04/23AChemnitz71-69
25/03/23HWurzburg72-76
18/03/23ABamberg94-88
12/03/23HCrailsheim Merlins86-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW53%
HomeWLWWW62%
AwayLWLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %53%62%44%
Points / game88.493.283.6
Allowed / game86.288.883.6
Point differential+2.2+4.4+0.1
Avg total174.6182.1167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%44%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %12%12%12%
Rostock
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW47%
HomeWLLWW44%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %47%44%50%
Points / game83.781.685.9
Allowed / game88.185.091.1
Point differential-4.3-3.4-5.2
Avg total171.8166.6177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%12%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bonn3331294%89.672.5+17.1
2 Alba Berlin3431391%88.376.9+11.4
3 Bayern3325876%82.075.0+7.0
4 Oldenburg32201262%85.983.6+2.3
5 Gottingen33191458%85.586.2-0.7
6 Ludwigsburg32181456%87.085.8+1.2
7 Ulm32171553%88.486.2+2.2
8 Chemnitz32151747%83.882.9+0.9
9 Rostock32151747%83.788.1-4.3
10 Heidelberg33151845%87.989.8-1.9
11 Wurzburg34151944%80.983.5-2.6
12 Bamberg33141942%87.288.3-1.2
13 Hamburg33122136%81.085.9-4.9
14 Crailsheim Merlins32112134%85.288.8-3.7
15 Basketball Braunschweig33112233%79.983.4-3.5
16 Syntainics MBC32102231%85.289.7-4.4
17 Frankfurt3292328%79.886.7-6.8
18 Bayreuth3362718%81.890.6-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm29223035116
Rostock2917182286
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