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Rostock vs Ludwigsburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 May 2023
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 92-87 (OT)
14-12 28-26 17-27 20-14 13-8
Position#8
Record15-18
FormWLLWL
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game88.9
Rostock 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#6
Record19-14
FormLWWLW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game85.5
GermanyBBLRound 34
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Rostock v Ludwigsburg
14 Mar 2027
ROS v LUD
upcoming
12 May 2026
ROS91
LUD71
15 Dec 2025
ROS96
LUD89
05 Apr 2025
ROS94
LUD89
30 Apr 2024
ROS91
LUD85
07 May 2023
ROS92
LUD87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rostock winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ludwigsburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#9
W
94-88
94
88
+6
95avg 75
A18/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
L
72-76
72
76
-4
68avg 75
H25/03
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
W
71-69
71
69
+2
64avg 75
A02/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
77-99
77
99
-22
72avg 75
H09/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
L
75-78
75
78
-3
67avg 75
A14/04
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
94-85
94
85
+9
94avg 75
H18/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
79-104
79
104
-25
64avg 75
A23/04
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
76-108
76
108
-32
67avg 75
A26/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
99-70
99
70
+29
97avg 75
H30/04
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
86-116
86
116
-30
76avg 75
A05/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-20
18-21
19-26
27-21
20-13
18-23
13-17
21-23
15-12
20-23
16-14
20-20
16-24
22-18
18-33
21-24
29-17
14-16
10-27
22-18
31-24
24-24
13-18
26-19
25-22
21-29
15-28
18-25
13-25
16-32
28-24
19-27
23-12
22-19
33-20
21-19
29-29
17-22
18-30
22-35
171.6Avg total
82.3Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)83.888.9172.7-5.145%
Season at home (16)81.685.0166.6-3.444%
Season away (17)85.992.6178.5-6.747%
Last 10 (10)82.389.3171.6-7.040%
Last 5 (5)86.896.6183.4-9.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)77.293.5170.7-16.215%
vs Similar (15)84.986.4171.3-1.553%
vs Weaker (2)95.576.5172.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LudwigsburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLudwigsburg
Date
Competition
Ulm
#4
L
76-93
76
93
-17
no box
A25/03
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
75-91
75
91
-16
68avg 75
A29/03
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
72-89
72
89
-17
60avg 75
A02/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
82-77
82
77
+5
73avg 75
H08/04
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
73-81
73
81
-8
60avg 75
A12/04
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
80-87
80
87
-7
60avg 75
A15/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
W
81-78
81
78
+3
no box
H22/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
104-100 OT
104
100
+4
no box
H26/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
80-93
80
93
-13
70avg 75
A29/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
W
86-79
86
79
+7
80avg 75
H05/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
24-30
18-15
19-26
24-18
17-23
19-21
15-29
18-16
16-24
20-18
18-31
12-18
29-19
21-20
20-20
20-19
31-17
15-24
7-21
19-28
14-12
24-20
23-27
24-18
21-19
17-19
19-22
36-21
27-29
15-21
14-21
23-23
18-27
18-28
21-15
19-20
20-23
26-21
21-15
167.7Avg total
80.9Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)87.085.5172.5+1.458%
Season at home (17)91.283.8175.0+7.482%
Season away (16)82.587.4169.9-4.931%
Last 10 (10)80.986.8167.7-5.940%
Last 5 (5)86.287.4173.6-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)80.082.8162.8-2.825%
vs Similar (12)83.285.4168.7-2.242%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)87.887.6175.4+0.257%
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -5.0-5.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -5.0-5.0
RostockLudwigsburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#9
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A18/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H25/03
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A02/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H09/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A14/04
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
55-48
55
48
+7
H18/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A23/04
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
29-57
29
57
-28
A26/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H30/04
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A05/05
BBL
84.8Avg total
42.3Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.343.785.0-2.443%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.241.982.1-1.650%-
Last 30 away (16)42.245.387.6-3.138%-
Last 10 (10)42.342.584.8-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)44.247.691.8-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)39.548.187.5-8.623%-
vs Similar (15)42.841.384.1+1.553%-
vs Weaker (2)42.033.575.5+8.5100%-
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LudwigsburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#4
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A25/03
BBL
Bonn
#1
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A29/03
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A02/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H08/04
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A12/04
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A15/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H22/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
63-50
63
50
+13
H26/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A29/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H05/05
BBL
85.3Avg total
42.7Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.941.685.5+2.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.740.587.1+6.273%-
Last 30 away (15)41.242.783.9-1.533%-
Last 10 (10)42.742.685.3+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)44.244.088.2+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)42.038.580.5+3.525%-
vs Similar (12)43.342.685.9+0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)45.041.686.6+3.464%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.617.0
47.8%
54.4%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.010.3
41.2%
35.4%30.9
🏀 Free throws17.314.4
83.2%
75.8%14.4
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ludwigsburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ludwigsburg: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.417.9
50.6%
54.4%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.58.7
28.5%
35.4%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.315.1
78.2%
75.8%15.1
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rostock
LWLLWLLWLW
Ludwigsburg
WLWWLLWLLL
#8
League position
#6
-10.8
Net rating
-9.7
108.2
Offensive rating
102.1
119.0
Defensive rating
111.8
53.5%
Effective FG%
47.0%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
57.3%
19.6%
Turnover %
18.1%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.29
41.2%
3-point %
28.5%
64.5%
Assist %
62.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence108.2 · 102.1Defence119.0 · 111.8Shooting53.5% · 47.0%3-point %41.2% · 28.5%Ball care19.6% · 18.1%Off. rebounds28.7% · 31.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Rostock   ■ Ludwigsburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Rostock wins
0
Ludwigsburg wins
DateGameScore
12/10/22Ludwigsburg v Rostock95-102
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/05/23AUlm86-116
30/04/23HBayreuth99-70
26/04/23ABayern76-108
23/04/23AAlba Berlin79-104
18/04/23HGottingen94-85
14/04/23AHeidelberg75-78
09/04/23HFrankfurt77-99
02/04/23AChemnitz71-69
25/03/23HWurzburg72-76
18/03/23ABamberg94-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/05/23HChemnitz86-79
29/04/23AOldenburg80-93
26/04/23HSyntainics MBC104-100 OT
22/04/23HWurzburg81-78
15/04/23AGottingen80-87
12/04/23ABamberg73-81
08/04/23HCrailsheim Merlins82-77
02/04/23ABayern72-89
29/03/23ABonn75-91
25/03/23AUlm76-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rostock
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL45%
HomeWLLWW44%
AwayWLLLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %45%44%47%
Points / game83.881.685.9
Allowed / game88.985.092.6
Point differential-5.1-3.4-6.7
Avg total172.7166.6178.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%12%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Ludwigsburg
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW58%
HomeLWWWW82%
AwayLLLLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %58%82%31%
Points / game87.091.282.5
Allowed / game85.583.887.4
Point differential+1.4+7.4-4.9
Avg total172.5175.0169.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%35%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)86% (7)50% (2)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bonn3331294%89.672.5+17.1
2 Alba Berlin3431391%88.376.9+11.4
3 Bayern3325876%82.075.0+7.0
4 Oldenburg33211264%86.483.3+3.1
5 Ludwigsburg33191458%87.085.5+1.4
6 Gottingen33191458%85.586.2-0.7
7 Ulm33181555%89.386.2+3.1
8 Chemnitz33151845%83.783.0+0.7
9 Heidelberg33151845%87.989.8-1.9
10 Rostock33151845%83.888.9-5.1
11 Wurzburg34151944%80.983.5-2.6
12 Bamberg33141942%87.288.3-1.2
13 Crailsheim Merlins33122136%85.288.7-3.5
14 Hamburg33122136%81.085.9-4.9
15 Basketball Braunschweig33112233%79.983.4-3.5
16 Syntainics MBC33102330%84.990.1-5.2
17 Frankfurt3392427%79.986.6-6.7
18 Bayreuth3362718%81.890.6-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Rostock142817201392
Ludwigsburg12262714887
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