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Rostock vs Ludwigsburg Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 12 May 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 91-71
21-17 21-21 25-9 24-24
Position#8
Record17-17
FormLLWWW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game82.2
Rostock 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#9
Record17-17
FormWWLLL
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game83.7
GermanyBBLBBL - Semi-finals· Stadthalle Rostock
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Rostock v Ludwigsburg
14 Mar 2027
ROS v LUD
upcoming
12 May 2026
ROS91
LUD71
15 Dec 2025
ROS96
LUD89
05 Apr 2025
ROS94
LUD89
30 Apr 2024
ROS91
LUD85
07 May 2023
ROS92
LUD87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rostock winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ludwigsburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
98-78
98
78
+20
96avg 77
H01/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#18
W
101-70
101
70
+31
105avg 77
A05/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#10
L
79-81
79
81
-2
73avg 77
A13/04
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
68-75
68
75
-7
60avg 77
H19/04
BBL
Hamburg
#14
L
86-91 OT
86
91
-5
63avg 77
A22/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
61-75
61
75
-14
52avg 77
A25/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
64-86
64
86
-22
53avg 77
A27/04
BBL
Jena
#16
W
89-79
89
79
+10
86avg 77
H02/05
BBL
Vechta
#7
W
90-78
90
78
+12
82avg 77
A08/05
BBL
Hamburg
#14
W
103-71
103
71
+32
78avg 77
H10/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-12
16-12
27-33
20-21
32-22
22-8
22-17
25-23
15-14
23-24
25-24
16-19
15-11
20-30
19-12
14-22
18-19
18-24
20-13
24-24
26-19
13-22
8-15
14-19
16-25
11-19
28-17
9-25
23-13
23-20
27-28
16-18
25-24
32-18
19-18
14-18
27-13
28-20
31-17
17-21
162.3Avg total
83.9Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)83.882.2166.0+1.650%
Season at home (17)86.081.7167.7+4.359%
Season away (17)81.682.8164.4-1.241%
Last 10 (10)83.978.4162.3+5.550%
Last 5 (5)81.477.8159.2+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.386.0161.3-10.70%
vs Similar ◀ (7)77.478.3155.7-0.943%
vs Weaker (16)88.482.4170.8+6.062%
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LudwigsburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLudwigsburg
Date
Competition
Bonn
#4
W
81-79
81
79
+2
76avg 72
A27/03
BBL
Chemnitz
#11
W
87-79
87
79
+8
79avg 72
H01/04
BBL
Trier
#12
L
76-92
76
92
-16
57avg 72
A06/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
L
77-101
77
101
-24
66avg 72
H11/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
59-93
59
93
-34
43avg 72
A14/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#18
W
83-73
83
73
+10
73avg 72
A18/04
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
75-61
75
61
+14
62avg 72
H25/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
L
97-98 OT
97
98
-1
82avg 72
A02/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
73avg 72
H07/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
58-75
58
75
-17
44avg 72
A10/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
23-19
13-17
28-24
23-24
24-16
24-15
16-24
14-32
16-21
19-14
27-25
16-22
24-26
19-29
18-24
23-26
18-17
10-27
8-23
19-21
19-19
19-15
26-18
19-26
22-13
15-8
19-14
18-19
24-23
25-20
21-26
20-34
19-17
24-19
15-16
10-23
15-18
15-11
18-23
160.8Avg total
77.1Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)82.483.7166.1-1.450%
Season at home (17)82.078.0160.0+4.059%
Season away (17)82.889.5172.2-6.741%
Last 10 (10)77.183.7160.8-6.640%
Last 5 (5)78.278.6156.8-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.091.7168.7-14.711%
vs Similar ◀ (15)81.579.7161.2+1.960%
vs Weaker (6)88.377.2165.5+11.283%
This opponent (Rostock) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.0+6.0Q1: -6.7-6.7Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: -2.1-2.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.0+6.0Q1: -6.7-6.7Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: -2.1-2.1
RostockLudwigsburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
51-24
51
24
+27
H01/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#18
W
54-30
54
30
+24
A05/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#10
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A13/04
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H19/04
BBL
Hamburg
#14
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A22/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A25/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A27/04
BBL
Jena
#16
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H02/05
BBL
Vechta
#7
W
57-42
57
42
+15
A08/05
BBL
Hamburg
#14
W
55-33
55
33
+22
H10/05
BBL
80.7Avg total
43.8Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.838.980.8+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.337.178.5+4.267%-
Last 30 away (15)42.340.783.1+1.647%-
Last 10 (10)43.836.980.7+6.950%-
Last 5 (5)44.838.683.4+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.141.477.6-5.343%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)43.941.785.6+2.143%-
vs Weaker (16)43.436.680.1+6.869%-
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LudwigsburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bonn
#4
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A27/03
BBL
Chemnitz
#11
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H01/04
BBL
Trier
#12
L
30-53
30
53
-23
A06/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H11/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A14/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#18
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A18/04
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H25/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A02/05
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H07/05
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A10/05
BBL
81.8Avg total
38.3Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.641.181.7-0.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.838.380.1+3.573%-
Last 30 away (15)39.543.883.3-4.327%-
Last 10 (10)38.343.581.8-5.230%-
Last 5 (5)37.042.679.6-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.745.885.4-6.122%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)41.039.880.8+1.267%-
vs Weaker (6)41.237.278.3+4.050%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.417.0
52.5%
53.8%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.011.5
32.9%
34.0%34.5
🏀 Free throws18.112.2
67.4%
73.5%12.2
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ludwigsburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ludwigsburg: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.915.5
48.6%
53.8%31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.010.6
32.1%
34.0%31.8
🏀 Free throws21.314.1
66.2%
73.5%14.1
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rostock
WWWLLLLLWW
Ludwigsburg
LLLWWLLLWW
#8
League position
#9
+6.1
Net rating
-6.6
92.9
Offensive rating
83.7
86.8
Defensive rating
90.3
50.8%
Effective FG%
48.4%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
47.1%
15.9%
Turnover %
18.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.9%
3-point %
32.1%
64.2%
Assist %
54.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence92.9 · 83.7Defence86.8 · 90.3Shooting50.8% · 48.4%3-point %32.9% · 32.1%Ball care15.9% · 18.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Rostock   ■ Ludwigsburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Rostock wins
3
Ludwigsburg wins
DateGameScore
25/04/26Ludwigsburg v Rostock75-61
15/12/25Rostock v Ludwigsburg96-89 OT
05/04/25Rostock v Ludwigsburg94-89
02/10/24Ludwigsburg v Rostock70-64
30/04/24Rostock v Ludwigsburg91-85
05/11/23Ludwigsburg v Rostock96-77
07/05/23Rostock v Ludwigsburg92-87 OT
12/10/22Ludwigsburg v Rostock95-102
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/26HHamburg103-71
08/05/26AVechta90-78
02/05/26HJena89-79
27/04/26ABayern64-86
25/04/26ALudwigsburg61-75
22/04/26AHamburg86-91 OT
19/04/26HUlm68-75
13/04/26AOldenburg79-81
05/04/26AHeidelberg101-70
01/04/26HBasketball Braunschweig98-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/26AWurzburg58-75
07/05/26HBayern78-86
02/05/26ABasketball Braunschweig97-98 OT
25/04/26HRostock75-61
18/04/26AHeidelberg83-73
14/04/26ABayern59-93
11/04/26HAlba Berlin77-101
06/04/26ATrier76-92
01/04/26HChemnitz87-79
27/03/26ABonn81-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rostock
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW50%
HomeLWLWW59%
AwayLLLLW41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %50%59%41%
Points / game83.886.081.6
Allowed / game82.281.782.8
Point differential+1.6+4.3-1.2
Avg total166.0167.7164.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%35%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (12)43% (7)20% (5)
Overtime %12%12%12%
Ludwigsburg
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL50%
HomeWWLWL59%
AwayLLWLL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %50%59%41%
Points / game82.482.082.8
Allowed / game83.778.089.5
Point differential-1.4+4.0-6.7
Avg total166.1160.0172.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%24%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern3429585%87.674.4+13.2
2 Bamberg34241071%89.981.7+8.2
3 Alba Berlin34241071%85.877.9+7.9
4 Bonn34211362%83.980.3+3.6
5 Wurzburg34201459%81.880.2+1.6
6 Ulm34191556%82.978.4+4.5
7 Vechta34171750%90.188.5+1.6
8 Rostock34171750%83.882.2+1.6
9 Ludwigsburg34171750%82.483.7-1.4
10 Trier34171750%90.493.3-2.9
11 Oldenburg34161847%83.184.3-1.2
12 Chemnitz34161847%83.585.7-2.2
13 Syntainics MBC34132138%84.587.2-2.7
14 Hamburg34132138%84.788.4-3.6
15 Frankfurt34122235%80.986.1-5.2
16 Jena34122235%81.188.9-7.9
17 Basketball Braunschweig34102429%83.090.3-7.3
18 Heidelberg3492526%78.786.6-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rostock2121252491
Ludwigsburg172192471
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