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Rostock vs Ludwigsburg Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 30 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 91-85
20-14 22-18 20-21 29-32
Position#15
Record8-22
FormWLWLL
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game93.9
Rostock 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#9
Record18-12
FormLLWLW
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game82.2
GermanyBBLRound 31· Stadthalle Rostock
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Rostock v Ludwigsburg
14 Mar 2027
ROS v LUD
upcoming
12 May 2026
ROS91
LUD71
15 Dec 2025
ROS96
LUD89
05 Apr 2025
ROS94
LUD89
30 Apr 2024
ROS91
LUD85
07 May 2023
ROS92
LUD87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rostock winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ludwigsburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
102-106
102
106
-4
94avg 77
A02/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
75-76
75
76
-1
66avg 77
H10/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
86-88
86
88
-2
82avg 77
A16/03
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
91-98 OT
91
98
-7
no box
H22/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
64-99
64
99
-35
51avg 77
H31/03
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
92-75
92
75
+17
89avg 77
A05/04
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
71-96
71
96
-25
19avg 77
H14/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
W
95-86
95
86
+9
95avg 77
A20/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
74-91
74
91
-17
65avg 77
A24/04
BBL
Bonn
#7
L
89-112
89
112
-23
64avg 77
A27/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
23-27
26-30
27-23
19-27
17-15
25-10
14-24
18-22
26-17
18-12
24-37
34-20
14-19
22-27
12-16
21-20
15-25
19-24
9-30
27-13
28-22
21-15
16-25
21-15
15-28
24-24
11-29
21-26
22-17
21-21
31-22
20-21
20-21
11-24
23-25
24-27
20-31
23-26
22-28
176.6Avg total
83.9Scored
92.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)88.293.9182.1-5.727%
Season at home (15)89.094.9183.9-5.933%
Season away (15)87.392.9180.3-5.620%
Last 10 (10)83.992.7176.6-8.820%
Last 5 (5)84.292.0176.2-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)83.893.8177.6-9.916%
vs Similar (5)94.895.4190.2-0.640%
vs Weaker (6)85.582.2167.7+3.367%
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LudwigsburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLudwigsburg
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
86-82
86
82
+4
76avg 75
H15/03
BBL
Bonn
#9
L
81-85
81
85
-4
71avg 75
H20/03
Champions League
Tubingen
#18
W
98-79
98
79
+19
90avg 75
A22/03
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
60-94
60
94
-34
35avg 75
H31/03
BBL
Murcia
#2
L
72-98
72
98
-26
53avg 75
A03/04
Champions League
Alba Berlin
#2
L
91-100
91
100
-9
74avg 75
A07/04
BBL
Murcia
#2
L
72-85
72
85
-13
59avg 75
H09/04
Champions League
Heidelberg
#16
W
93-68
93
68
+25
86avg 75
H13/04
BBL
Hamburg
#10
L
84-89
84
89
-5
70avg 75
A20/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
W
96-93
96
93
+3
85avg 75
H27/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
21-22
20-20
22-22
25-31
24-21
17-11
15-22
18-26
30-16
29-15
21-22
22-29
18-23
8-20
12-22
14-27
19-17
22-27
17-27
23-27
21-28
24-25
23-20
20-25
17-22
21-17
14-21
26-13
22-19
20-16
25-20
22-17
24-31
13-17
25-24
21-24
30-20
29-20
16-29
170.6Avg total
83.3Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)88.782.2170.9+6.560%
Season at home (16)89.282.3171.5+6.962%
Season away (14)88.182.0170.1+6.157%
Last 10 (10)83.387.3170.6-4.040%
Last 5 (5)87.287.0174.2+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.492.2171.6-12.820%
vs Similar (13)84.282.5166.7+1.646%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)92.278.1170.2+14.175%
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -7.0-7.0Q4: -3.9-3.9
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -7.0-7.0Q4: -3.9-3.9
RostockLudwigsburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A02/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H10/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A16/03
BBL
Bamberg
#11
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H22/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H31/03
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
55-35
55
35
+20
A05/04
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H14/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A20/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A24/04
BBL
Bonn
#7
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A27/04
BBL
87.0Avg total
43.1Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.145.689.7-1.533%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.845.490.2-0.633%-
Last 30 away (15)43.345.889.1-2.533%-
Last 10 (10)43.143.987.0-0.830%-
Last 5 (5)43.644.287.8-0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)42.747.289.8-4.521%-
vs Similar (5)47.848.696.4-0.820%-
vs Weaker (6)45.338.283.5+7.283%-
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LudwigsburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H15/03
BBL
Bonn
#9
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H20/03
Champions League
Tubingen
#18
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A22/03
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
40-52
40
52
-12
H31/03
BBL
Murcia
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A03/04
Champions League
Alba Berlin
#2
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A07/04
BBL
Murcia
#2
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H09/04
Champions League
Heidelberg
#16
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H13/04
BBL
Hamburg
#10
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A20/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H27/04
BBL
89.6Avg total
44.0Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.542.686.1+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.039.184.1+5.971%-
Last 30 away (13)41.547.288.8-5.723%-
Last 10 (10)44.045.689.6-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)45.245.290.4+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.045.684.6-6.620%-
vs Similar (13)43.045.188.1-2.131%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)45.938.784.6+7.283%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.519.0
53.5%
54.6%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.8
35.3%
35.4%29.4
🏀 Free throws17.413.9
79.9%
76.0%13.9
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ludwigsburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ludwigsburg: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.2
51.9%
54.6%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.5
34.1%
35.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws18.613.8
74.2%
76.0%13.8
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rostock
LLWLWLLLLL
Ludwigsburg
WLWLLLLWLW
#15
League position
#9
-13.3
Net rating
-4.5
105.7
Offensive rating
109.5
118.9
Defensive rating
114.0
53.2%
Effective FG%
51.6%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
18.0%
Turnover %
17.2%
22.3%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.3%
3-point %
34.1%
62.2%
Assist %
44.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.7 · 109.5Defence118.9 · 114.0Shooting53.2% · 51.6%3-point %35.3% · 34.1%Ball care18.0% · 17.2%Off. rebounds22.3% · 31.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Rostock   ■ Ludwigsburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Rostock wins
1
Ludwigsburg wins
DateGameScore
05/11/23Ludwigsburg v Rostock96-77
07/05/23Rostock v Ludwigsburg92-87 OT
12/10/22Ludwigsburg v Rostock95-102
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/24ABonn89-112
24/04/24AAlba Berlin74-91
20/04/24AWurzburg95-86
14/04/24HUlm71-96
05/04/24ATubingen92-75
31/03/24HOldenburg64-99
22/03/24HBamberg91-98 OT
16/03/24AHeidelberg86-88
10/03/24HAlba Berlin75-76
02/03/24ASyntainics MBC102-106
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/24HChemnitz96-93
20/04/24AHamburg84-89
13/04/24HHeidelberg93-68
09/04/24HMurcia72-85
07/04/24AAlba Berlin91-100
03/04/24AMurcia72-98
31/03/24HUlm60-94
22/03/24ATubingen98-79
20/03/24HBonn81-85
15/03/24HBasketball Braunschweig86-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rostock
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL27%
HomeLLLLL33%
AwayLWWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %27%33%20%
Points / game88.289.087.3
Allowed / game93.994.992.9
Point differential-5.7-5.9-5.6
Avg total182.1183.9180.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%7%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)50% (4)0% (5)
Overtime %17%20%13%
Ludwigsburg
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW60%
HomeLWLWW62%
AwayWWWLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %60%62%57%
Points / game88.789.288.1
Allowed / game82.282.382.0
Point differential+6.5+6.9+6.1
Avg total170.9171.5170.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%38%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)43% (7)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern2924583%89.477.4+12.0
2 Alba Berlin2923679%91.382.0+9.3
3 Chemnitz3023777%89.779.2+10.5
4 Ulm3021970%92.085.0+7.0
5 Wurzburg3021970%86.179.6+6.5
6 Ludwigsburg30181260%88.782.2+6.5
7 Vechta30181260%88.982.7+6.2
8 Bonn30181260%90.286.0+4.2
9 Oldenburg30161453%85.784.2+1.5
10 Hamburg30141647%85.587.2-1.7
11 Bamberg30131743%88.190.4-2.3
12 Basketball Braunschweig30131743%82.785.7-3.1
13 Syntainics MBC3092130%85.892.9-7.2
14 Gottingen3092130%86.193.8-7.6
15 Rostock3082227%88.293.9-5.7
16 Heidelberg3082227%83.194.3-11.2
17 Crailsheim Merlins3072323%80.892.4-11.6
18 Tubingen3062420%83.796.5-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rostock2022202991
Ludwigsburg1418213285
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