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Rostock vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 68-75
15-11 20-30 19-12 14-22
Position#8
Record14-13
FormLLWWL
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game83.0
vs
Ulm 🏆
Germany
Position#6
Record16-13
FormLWLLL
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game78.4
GermanyBBLRound 30· Stadthalle Rostock
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Rostock v Ulm
07 Nov 2026
ROS97
ULM87
19 Apr 2026
ROS68
ULM75
29 Mar 2025
ROS85
ULM67
14 Apr 2024
ROS71
ULM96
09 Oct 2022
ROS85
ULM80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rostock winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Murcia
#2
L
82-89
82
89
-7
74avg 78
H11/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
94-80
94
80
+14
90avg 78
A15/02
BBL
Bamberg
#2
L
86-88 OT
86
88
-2
84avg 78
H18/02
BBL
Trier
#12
W
118-103
118
103
+15
113avg 78
H06/03
BBL
Chemnitz
#11
L
73-78
73
78
-5
70avg 78
H15/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
L
85-89
85
89
-4
80avg 78
A20/03
BBL
Frankfurt
#15
L
74-97
74
97
-23
62avg 78
A29/03
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
98-78
98
78
+20
96avg 78
H01/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#18
W
101-70
101
70
+31
105avg 78
A05/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#10
L
79-81
79
81
-2
73avg 78
A13/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
13-24
30-17
19-26
25-14
21-20
27-21
21-25
24-23
19-18
13-12
16-19
23-18
38-25
25-28
32-32
20-14
17-19
18-19
18-26
29-14
27-25
18-29
11-21
19-27
12-24
26-29
17-17
35-12
16-12
27-33
20-21
32-22
22-8
22-17
25-23
15-14
23-24
25-24
16-19
174.3Avg total
89.0Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)84.783.0167.7+1.752%
Season at home (14)85.983.1169.0+2.757%
Season away (13)83.582.8166.4+0.746%
Last 10 (10)89.085.3174.3+3.740%
Last 5 (5)87.483.0170.4+4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)78.684.3162.9-5.714%
vs Similar ◀ (8)82.078.2160.2+3.862%
vs Weaker (15)88.681.1169.7+7.567%
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Vechta
#7
L
73-85
73
85
-12
55avg 74
A14/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#10
W
101-72
101
72
+29
107avg 74
H18/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
93-76
93
76
+17
91avg 74
H06/03
BBL
Jena
#16
W
93-90
93
90
+3
83avg 74
H14/03
BBL
Bonn
#4
W
84-77
84
77
+7
82avg 74
H23/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#18
L
90-93
90
93
-3
89avg 74
A29/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
104-81
104
81
+23
106avg 74
H01/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
L
67-77
67
77
-10
56avg 74
A04/04
BBL
Bamberg
#2
L
73-89
73
89
-16
65avg 74
H11/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#11
L
66-79
66
79
-13
56avg 74
A15/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-22
18-17
17-20
26-26
31-8
21-24
25-23
24-17
22-24
32-15
17-16
22-21
29-24
30-28
20-18
14-20
19-20
20-20
19-21
26-16
24-20
23-23
22-26
21-24
19-25
31-16
29-20
25-20
16-14
24-24
14-16
13-23
23-16
18-24
16-19
16-30
14-20
20-21
13-16
19-22
166.3Avg total
84.4Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)82.778.4161.1+4.255%
Season at home (15)84.176.2160.3+7.973%
Season away (14)81.180.8161.9+0.336%
Last 10 (10)84.481.9166.3+2.550%
Last 5 (5)80.083.8163.8-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.385.4159.7-11.129%
vs Similar ◀ (9)77.677.4155.0+0.167%
vs Weaker (14)86.978.3165.2+8.657%
This opponent (Rostock) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.2+6.2Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -1.3-1.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.2+6.2Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -1.3-1.3
RostockUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#2
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H11/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A15/02
BBL
Bamberg
#2
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H18/02
BBL
Trier
#12
W
61-43
61
43
+18
H06/03
BBL
Chemnitz
#11
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H15/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A20/03
BBL
Frankfurt
#15
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A29/03
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
51-24
51
24
+27
H01/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#18
W
54-30
54
30
+24
A05/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#10
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A13/04
BBL
82.9Avg total
45.0Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.938.680.4+3.363%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.238.179.3+3.162%-
Last 30 away (14)42.639.181.7+3.664%-
Last 10 (10)45.037.982.9+7.170%-
Last 5 (5)46.036.482.4+9.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.040.778.7-2.757%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.540.882.2+0.850%-
vs Weaker (15)43.936.480.3+7.573%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vechta
#7
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A14/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#10
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H18/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H06/03
BBL
Jena
#16
W
59-52
59
52
+7
H14/03
BBL
Bonn
#4
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H23/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#18
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A29/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H01/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A04/04
BBL
Bamberg
#2
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H11/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#11
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A15/04
BBL
85.1Avg total
44.6Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.138.878.9+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.938.280.1+3.760%-
Last 30 away (15)38.239.477.6-1.247%-
Last 10 (10)44.640.585.1+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)42.440.683.0+1.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.941.778.6-4.929%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.238.477.7+0.856%-
vs Weaker (14)42.237.679.8+4.664%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.517.7
52.8%
53.8%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.112.6
37.0%
34.0%37.8
🏀 Free throws21.815.8
72.5%
73.5%15.8
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.3
54.6%
53.8%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.7
31.2%
34.0%26.1
🏀 Free throws21.716.0
73.7%
73.5%16.0
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rostock
LWWLLLWLWL
Ulm
LLLWLWWWWL
#8
League position
#6
+5.0
Net rating
+3.4
102.6
Offensive rating
93.6
97.6
Defensive rating
90.2
54.1%
Effective FG%
51.2%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
13.5%
Turnover %
16.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.33
37.0%
3-point %
31.2%
70.0%
Assist %
68.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.6 · 93.6Defence97.6 · 90.2Shooting54.1% · 51.2%3-point %37.0% · 31.2%Ball care13.5% · 16.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Rostock   ■ Ulm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Rostock wins
4
Ulm wins
DateGameScore
04/10/25Ulm v Rostock87-80
29/03/25Rostock v Ulm85-67
11/01/25Ulm v Rostock82-72
14/04/24Rostock v Ulm71-96
03/12/23Ulm v Rostock89-107
05/05/23Ulm v Rostock116-86
09/10/22Rostock v Ulm85-80
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/26AOldenburg79-81
05/04/26AHeidelberg101-70
01/04/26HBasketball Braunschweig98-78
29/03/26AFrankfurt74-97
20/03/26AAlba Berlin85-89
15/03/26HChemnitz73-78
06/03/26HTrier118-103
18/02/26HBamberg86-88 OT
15/02/26ASyntainics MBC94-80
11/02/26HMurcia82-89
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/04/26AChemnitz66-79
11/04/26HBamberg73-89
04/04/26ABasketball Braunschweig67-77
01/04/26HSyntainics MBC104-81
29/03/26AHeidelberg90-93
23/03/26HBonn84-77
14/03/26HJena93-90
06/03/26HLudwigsburg93-76
18/02/26HOldenburg101-72
14/02/26AVechta73-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rostock
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL52%
HomeWLWLW57%
AwayWLLWL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %52%57%46%
Points / game84.785.983.5
Allowed / game83.083.182.8
Point differential+1.7+2.7+0.7
Avg total167.7169.0166.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%29%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)43% (7)25% (4)
Overtime %11%14%8%
Ulm
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL55%
HomeWWWWL73%
AwayWLLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %55%73%36%
Points / game82.784.181.1
Allowed / game78.476.280.8
Point differential+4.2+7.9+0.3
Avg total161.1160.3161.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%40%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)60% (5)20% (5)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern2722581%87.573.8+13.7
2 Alba Berlin2820871%86.078.6+7.4
3 Bamberg30201067%89.382.6+6.7
4 Bonn30191163%83.079.6+3.3
5 Wurzburg29171259%82.280.7+1.6
6 Ulm29161355%82.778.4+4.2
7 Trier29161355%91.192.7-1.6
8 Ludwigsburg30161453%83.184.2-1.1
9 Rostock27141352%84.783.0+1.7
10 Vechta29141548%89.188.2+0.8
11 Chemnitz30141647%83.985.2-1.3
12 Oldenburg30131743%82.584.5-2.1
13 Hamburg28121643%86.488.1-1.7
14 Frankfurt30121840%82.484.9-2.6
15 Syntainics MBC30121840%85.288.3-3.1
16 Jena30102033%81.089.3-8.3
17 Basketball Braunschweig3082227%81.289.0-7.8
18 Heidelberg3082227%78.586.3-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rostock1520191468
Ulm1130122275
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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