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Ludwigsburg vs Chemnitz Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 87-79
23-24 24-16 24-15 16-24
Position#9
Record14-11
FormLWLWW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game83.6
vs
Position#11
Record12-13
FormLLWLW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game86.5
GermanyBBLRound 27· Arena Ludwigsburg
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Ludwigsburg v Chemnitz
17 Feb 2027
LUD v CHE
upcoming
01 Apr 2026
LUD87
CHE79
15 Dec 2024
LUD69
CHE65
27 Apr 2024
LUD96
CHE93
05 May 2023
LUD86
CHE79
05 Nov 2021
LUD74
CHE76
09 Mar 2021
LUD96
CHE60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ludwigsburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chemnitz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LudwigsburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLudwigsburg
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
86-62
86
62
+24
76avg 73
H24/01
BBL
Jena
#16
W
84-75
84
75
+9
74avg 73
A31/01
BBL
Bamberg
#2
L
74-86
74
86
-12
64avg 73
H07/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#10
L
88-102
88
102
-14
80avg 73
A14/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
86-82
86
82
+4
79avg 73
H19/02
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
76-93
76
93
-17
63avg 73
A06/03
BBL
Hamburg
#14
W
75-67
75
67
+8
69avg 73
H08/03
BBL
Vechta
#7
L
102-121
102
121
-19
95avg 73
A14/03
BBL
Frankfurt
#15
W
97-65
97
65
+32
88avg 73
H20/03
BBL
Bonn
#4
W
81-79
81
79
+2
76avg 73
A27/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-18
21-13
30-18
23-13
27-24
13-20
20-19
24-12
18-20
10-30
18-17
28-19
24-23
18-33
18-19
28-27
25-22
21-16
22-21
18-23
24-22
15-32
16-17
21-22
24-12
23-21
12-18
16-16
29-23
21-28
20-39
32-31
18-19
27-11
28-17
24-18
17-19
23-19
13-17
28-24
168.1Avg total
84.9Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)84.483.6168.0+0.956%
Season at home (13)82.876.8159.7+6.062%
Season away (12)86.290.8177.0-4.750%
Last 10 (10)84.983.2168.1+1.760%
Last 5 (5)86.285.0171.2+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)80.187.4167.5-7.225%
vs Similar ◀ (17)83.882.5166.3+1.459%
vs Weaker (4)87.573.0160.5+14.5100%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Trento
#8
W
81-67
81
67
+14
80avg 78
H04/02
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
79-75
79
75
+4
81avg 78
H07/02
BBL
Turk Telekom
#4
L
62-79
62
79
-17
54avg 78
A11/02
Eurocup
Trier
#12
W
105-100
105
100
+5
94avg 78
A15/02
BBL
Heidelberg
#18
W
99-96 OT
99
96
+3
87avg 78
H18/02
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
69-81
69
81
-12
52avg 78
A06/03
BBL
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
65-73
65
73
-8
60avg 78
A11/03
Eurocup
Rostock
#8
W
78-73
78
73
+5
68avg 78
A15/03
BBL
Vechta
#7
L
78-80
78
80
-2
66avg 78
A21/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#10
W
95-85
95
85
+10
97avg 78
H28/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
21-19
21-21
21-10
18-8
22-36
24-15
15-16
17-20
19-14
16-22
10-23
28-22
22-20
26-32
29-26
16-18
18-16
19-21
21-19
15-19
19-20
19-24
16-18
15-16
24-20
7-18
19-19
14-20
19-17
19-18
26-18
20-21
22-24
22-16
14-19
19-19
34-16
26-30
16-20
162.0Avg total
81.1Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)85.286.5171.8-1.348%
Season at home (12)89.485.9175.3+3.567%
Season away (13)81.487.1168.5-5.731%
Last 10 (10)81.180.9162.0+0.260%
Last 5 (5)77.078.4155.4-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)78.685.8164.4-7.233%
vs Similar ◀ (13)84.685.5170.2-0.954%
vs Weaker (5)82.280.2162.4+2.080%
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -0.1-0.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -0.1-0.1
LudwigsburgChemnitz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LudwigsburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H24/01
BBL
Jena
#16
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A31/01
BBL
Bamberg
#2
L
28-50
28
50
-22
H07/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#10
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A14/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H19/02
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
39-54
39
54
-15
A06/03
BBL
Hamburg
#14
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H08/03
BBL
Vechta
#7
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A14/03
BBL
Frankfurt
#15
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H20/03
BBL
Bonn
#4
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A27/03
BBL
83.5Avg total
41.0Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.239.781.0+1.560%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.636.978.5+4.879%-
Last 30 away (16)40.942.283.1-1.444%-
Last 10 (10)41.042.583.5-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)44.241.285.4+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.942.584.4-0.650%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)40.939.580.4+1.565%-
vs Weaker (4)41.835.277.0+6.575%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#8
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H04/02
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H07/02
BBL
Turk Telekom
#4
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A11/02
Eurocup
Trier
#12
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A15/02
BBL
Heidelberg
#18
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H18/02
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A06/03
BBL
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A11/03
Eurocup
Rostock
#8
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A15/03
BBL
Vechta
#7
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A21/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#10
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H28/03
BBL
78.2Avg total
40.0Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.041.583.5+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.641.182.7+0.657%-
Last 30 away (16)42.441.884.2+0.644%-
Last 10 (10)40.038.278.2+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.478.6+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)41.342.984.2-1.658%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)43.440.984.3+2.554%-
vs Weaker (5)40.239.479.6+0.820%-
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ludwigsburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ludwigsburg: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.417.4
55.4%
53.8%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.611.7
37.0%
34.0%35.1
🏀 Free throws22.015.0
68.2%
73.5%15.0
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.518.7
59.4%
53.8%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.0
31.9%
34.0%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.213.5
74.2%
73.5%13.5
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ludwigsburg
WWLWLWLLWW
Chemnitz
WLWLLWWLWW
#9
League position
#11
+2.1
Net rating
+0.5
96.0
Offensive rating
91.5
93.9
Defensive rating
91.0
55.5%
Effective FG%
53.9%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
17.3%
Turnover %
16.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.30
37.0%
3-point %
31.9%
51.2%
Assist %
59.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence96.0 · 91.5Defence93.9 · 91.0Shooting55.5% · 53.9%3-point %37.0% · 31.9%Ball care17.3% · 16.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Ludwigsburg   ■ Chemnitz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Ludwigsburg wins
6
Chemnitz wins
DateGameScore
10/10/25Chemnitz v Ludwigsburg111-88
01/05/25Chemnitz v Ludwigsburg104-100 OT
15/12/24Ludwigsburg v Chemnitz69-65
27/04/24Ludwigsburg v Chemnitz96-93
06/01/24Chemnitz v Ludwigsburg85-66
05/05/23Ludwigsburg v Chemnitz86-79
08/01/23Chemnitz v Ludwigsburg89-80
12/02/22Chemnitz v Ludwigsburg74-56
05/11/21Ludwigsburg v Chemnitz74-76
09/03/21Ludwigsburg v Chemnitz96-60
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/26ABonn81-79
20/03/26HFrankfurt97-65
14/03/26AVechta102-121
08/03/26HHamburg75-67
06/03/26AUlm76-93
19/02/26HSyntainics MBC86-82
14/02/26AOldenburg88-102
07/02/26HBamberg74-86
31/01/26AJena84-75
24/01/26HBasketball Braunschweig86-62
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/26HOldenburg95-85
21/03/26AVechta78-80
15/03/26ARostock78-73
11/03/26ACedevita Olimpija65-73
06/03/26AWurzburg69-81
18/02/26HHeidelberg99-96 OT
15/02/26ATrier105-100
11/02/26ATurk Telekom62-79
07/02/26HSyntainics MBC79-75
04/02/26HTrento81-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ludwigsburg
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW56%
HomeWLWWW62%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %56%62%50%
Points / game84.482.886.2
Allowed / game83.676.890.8
Point differential+0.9+6.0-4.7
Avg total168.0159.7177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%23%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Chemnitz
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW48%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayLWLWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %48%67%31%
Points / game85.289.481.4
Allowed / game86.585.987.1
Point differential-1.3+3.5-5.7
Avg total171.8175.3168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%42%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)75% (4)50% (6)
Overtime %8%8%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern2420483%87.573.6+13.9
2 Alba Berlin2619773%85.778.6+7.1
3 Bamberg2617965%89.883.6+6.2
4 Ulm25151060%83.577.9+5.6
5 Bonn27161159%82.379.5+2.8
6 Wurzburg26151158%82.080.8+1.2
7 Ludwigsburg25141156%84.483.6+0.9
8 Trier27151256%90.992.1-1.3
9 Rostock25131252%84.383.6+0.7
10 Chemnitz25121348%85.286.5-1.3
11 Vechta26111542%87.087.8-0.8
12 Oldenburg26111542%83.684.6-1.0
13 Frankfurt26111542%83.385.4-2.0
14 Hamburg25101540%85.388.6-3.3
15 Jena25101540%82.990.0-7.2
16 Syntainics MBC26101638%84.386.9-2.6
17 Heidelberg2671927%78.386.1-7.8
18 Basketball Braunschweig2652119%79.689.7-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ludwigsburg2324241687
Chemnitz2416152479
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