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Rytas vs Juventus Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 22 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:10
Projected 96-85
Projected total 181.5
Scheduled
Position#2
Record5-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game89.6
Allowed / game85.4
Vs
83%
17%
■ RYT 83%■ JUV 17%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
3.6/10
Below normal
3.5/10
Below normal
Position#7
Record3-6
FormWLLWL
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game88.0
LithuaniaLKL· Active Vilnius Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Rytas v Juventus
07 Feb 2027
RYT v JUV
upcoming
22 Nov 2026
RYT v JUV
upcoming
23 May 2026
RYT95
JUV101
25 Apr 2026
RYT102
JUV80
24 Jan 2026
RYT96
JUV99
16 Apr 2025
RYT90
JUV75
12 Jan 2025
RYT90
JUV76
02 Mar 2024
RYT93
JUV88
20 Jan 2024
RYT104
JUV67
01 Apr 2023
RYT103
JUV101
05 Mar 2023
RYT77
JUV88
18 Apr 2022
RYT82
JUV74
02 Oct 2021
RYT89
JUV111
27 Mar 2021
RYT88
JUV86
16 Jan 2021
RYT78
JUV105
19 Sep 2020
RYT106
JUV77
22 Apr 2020
RYT v JUV
upcoming
06 Oct 2019
RYT86
JUV65
19 May 2019
RYT84
JUV63
15 May 2019
RYT93
JUV91
02 Feb 2019
RYT93
JUV82
23 Sep 2018
RYT87
JUV57
19 May 2018
RYT102
JUV73
11 May 2018
RYT97
JUV64
10 Apr 2018
RYT78
JUV75
14 Feb 2018
RYT91
JUV88
11 Nov 2017
RYT83
JUV70
15 Apr 2017
RYT75
JUV76
10 Dec 2016
RYT98
JUV81
01 Jun 2016
RYT89
JUV81
26 May 2016
RYT85
JUV83
05 Dec 2015
RYT83
JUV82
10 Oct 2015
RYT100
JUV77
01 Feb 2015
RYT79
JUV76
14 Dec 2014
RYT76
JUV61
12 Apr 2014
RYT115
JUV83
16 Apr 2013
RYT92
JUV67
23 Dec 2011
RYT102
JUV68
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Rytas host Juventus in the LKL. Pythia makes Rytas the favourite at 83% and projects 96-85, about 182 points in all. Overtime chance: 3%. Rytas are 5-3 this season (89.6 scored, 85.4 allowed a game), form WLWLW; Juventus are 3-6 this season (85.2 scored, 88.0 allowed a game), form WLLWL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rytas win
82.9%fair 1.21
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Juventus win
17.1%fair 5.85
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 21:00 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RytasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRytas
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#5
W
86-77
86
77
+9
82avg 87
H10/10
LKL
Nanterre
#38
L
65-93
65
93
-28
57avg 87
A13/10
Champions League
Siauliai
#6
W
95-88
95
88
+7
97avg 87
A17/10
LKL
Taurage
#9
W
79-71
79
71
+8
76avg 87
A21/10
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
94-76
94
76
+18
94avg 87
A25/10
LKL
Trabzonspor
#26
W
97-81
97
81
+16
93avg 87
H28/10
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
89-94
89
94
-5
no box
H02/11
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
91-87
91
87
+4
no box
A05/11
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
81-85
81
85
-4
no box
A07/11
LKL
Nanterre
#38
W
102-82
102
82
+20
no box
H11/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
22-18
27-21
19-16
17-21
13-14
15-31
20-27
21-27
27-15
28-24
19-22
21-24
12-17
24-16
22-14
30-25
21-17
20-10
23-24
25-22
21-7
26-28
25-24
21-25
28-17
20-28
20-24
27-22
22-22
12-22
30-21
21-20
25-22
14-23
21-20
32-16
20-20
22-25
28-21
171.3Avg total
87.9Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.685.4175.0+4.262%
Season at home (3)92.392.0184.3+0.333%
Season away (5)88.081.4169.4+6.680%
Last 10 (10)87.983.4171.3+4.570%
Last 5 (5)92.085.8177.8+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)79.584.5164.0-5.00%
vs Similar (5)93.085.6178.6+7.480%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)90.884.5175.3+6.370%
This opponent (Juventus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JuventusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuventus
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#10
W
94-77
94
77
+17
85avg 79
H27/09
LKL
Taurage
#9
W
93-77
93
77
+16
86avg 79
H04/10
LKL
Unicaja
#1
L
66-105
66
105
-39
51avg 79
H07/10
Champions League
Siauliai
#6
L
71-83
71
83
-12
62avg 79
A11/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#3
W
100-90
100
90
+10
100avg 79
H18/10
LKL
Reggiana
#32
W
76-75
76
75
+1
70avg 79
A21/10
Champions League
Rytas
#2
L
76-94
76
94
-18
63avg 79
H25/10
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
82-94
82
94
-12
74avg 79
A31/10
LKL
Pardubice
#49
W
98-95 OT
98
95
+3
no box
H03/11
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
85-94
85
94
-9
no box
H08/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-24
24-14
17-22
25-17
18-20
23-16
26-17
26-24
8-20
21-24
19-34
18-27
25-23
28-18
15-21
3-21
31-25
26-26
20-19
23-20
22-25
25-25
14-20
15-5
25-30
17-21
10-20
24-23
27-16
15-29
25-24
15-25
21-21
19-25
35-23
14-20
17-21
25-27
20-12
23-34
172.5Avg total
84.1Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.288.0173.2-2.833%
Season at home (5)89.686.4176.0+3.260%
Season away (4)79.890.0169.8-10.20%
Last 10 (10)84.188.4172.5-4.350%
Last 5 (5)83.490.4173.8-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)84.194.1178.2-9.941%
vs Similar (9)88.389.7178.0-1.344%
vs Weaker (4)93.087.0180.0+6.075%
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%1%1401%1452%1504%1556%1608%16510%17012%17512%18012%18510%1908%1955%2004%2052%2101%2151%2200%225
1%1402%1506%16010%17012%18010%1905%2002%2101%220
Pythia expects about 182 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 180-184 (12%).
Over/Under 164.5
Over 164.5
85.8%
Under 164.5
14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 169.5
Over 169.5
77.4%
Under 169.5
22.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 174.5
Over 174.5
66.7%
Under 174.5
33.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Rytas total 82.5
Over 82.5
91.7%
Under 82.5
8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rytas total 86.5
Over 86.5
84.0%
Under 86.5
16.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rytas total 90.5
Over 90.5
72.5%
Under 90.5
27.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Juventus total 79
Over 79
72.9%
Under 79
27.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Juventus total 83
Over 83
57.7%
Under 83
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Juventus total 87
Over 87
41.3%
Under 87
58.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

2%5%7%10%0%-211%-181%-152%-123%-94%-66%-35%+08%+310%+610%+99%+129%+158%+187%+215%+244%+273%+302%+331%+361%+390%+42
0%-211%-153%-96%-38%+310%+99%+157%+214%+272%+331%+39
Margin from Rytas's side (positive = Rytas win). Pythia's expected margin is +11.4; Rytas win by 1+ in 77% of simulations.
Spread Rytas -3
RYT -3
77.6%
JUV +3
22.4%
Best 5 market prices
RYT
No market prices yet.
JUV
No market prices yet.
Spread Rytas 0
RYT 0
82.9%
JUV 0
17.1%
Best 5 market prices
RYT
No market prices yet.
JUV
No market prices yet.
Spread Rytas +3
RYT +3
87.9%
JUV -3
12.1%
Best 5 market prices
RYT
No market prices yet.
JUV
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -3.0-3.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -3.0-3.0
RytasJuventus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RytasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#5
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H10/10
LKL
Nanterre
#38
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A13/10
Champions League
Siauliai
#6
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A17/10
LKL
Taurage
#9
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A21/10
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A25/10
LKL
Trabzonspor
#26
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H28/10
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H02/11
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A05/11
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A07/11
LKL
Nanterre
#38
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H11/11
Champions League
83.7Avg total
44.4Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.741.486.2+3.363%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.639.485.0+6.175%-
Last 30 away (14)43.843.787.5+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)44.439.383.7+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)48.438.687.0+9.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.042.085.0+1.050%-
vs Similar (5)39.842.482.2-2.640%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)46.041.287.1+4.870%-
This opponent (Juventus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JuventusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#10
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H27/09
LKL
Taurage
#9
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H04/10
LKL
Unicaja
#1
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H07/10
Champions League
Siauliai
#6
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A11/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#3
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H18/10
LKL
Reggiana
#32
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A21/10
Champions League
Rytas
#2
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H25/10
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A31/10
LKL
Pardubice
#49
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H03/11
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H08/11
LKL
89.5Avg total
44.5Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.744.187.8-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.343.788.0+0.760%-
Last 30 away (15)43.144.587.6-1.533%-
Last 10 (10)44.545.089.5-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)42.648.090.6-5.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)42.846.789.5-3.929%-
vs Similar (9)45.141.987.0+3.267%-
vs Weaker (4)44.538.082.5+6.575%-
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rytastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rytas: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.120.6
58.7%
55.6%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.3
33.9%
35.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws27.618.8
68.1%
70.8%18.8
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Juventustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Juventus: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.521.5
53.1%
55.6%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.4
34.6%
35.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws20.014.2
71.0%
70.8%14.2
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rytas
WLWLWWWWLW
Juventus
LWLLWWLLWW
#2
League position
#7
+2.5
Net rating
-6.3
99.7
Offensive rating
96.0
97.2
Defensive rating
102.3
55.3%
Effective FG%
52.6%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
15.0%
Turnover %
15.2%
0.44
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.9%
3-point %
34.6%
61.9%
Assist %
50.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.7 · 96.0Defence97.2 · 102.3Shooting55.3% · 52.6%3-point %33.9% · 34.6%Ball care15.0% · 15.2%Free throws0.44 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Rytas   ■ Juventus
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Rytas wins
3
Juventus wins
DateGameScore
25/10/26Juventus v Rytas76-94
23/05/26Rytas v Juventus95-101
21/05/26Juventus v Rytas92-84
25/04/26Rytas v Juventus102-80
17/02/26Juventus v Rytas82-87
24/01/26Rytas v Juventus96-99
28/09/25Juventus v Rytas85-92
07/05/25Juventus v Rytas90-104
16/04/25Rytas v Juventus90-75
12/01/25Rytas v Juventus90-76
Rytaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HNanterre102-82
07/11/26ALietkabelis81-85
05/11/26AJonava91-87
02/11/26HZalgiris Kaunas89-94
28/10/26HTrabzonspor97-81
25/10/26AJuventus94-76
21/10/26ATaurage79-71
17/10/26ASiauliai95-88
13/10/26ANanterre65-93
10/10/26HNeptunas86-77
Juventuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HZalgiris Kaunas85-94
03/11/26HPardubice98-95 OT
31/10/26AJonava82-94
25/10/26HRytas76-94
21/10/26AReggiana76-75
18/10/26HGargzdai100-90
11/10/26ASiauliai71-83
07/10/26HUnicaja66-105
04/10/26HTaurage93-77
27/09/26HNevezis94-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rytas
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL62%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %62%33%80%
Points / game89.692.388.0
Allowed / game85.492.081.4
Point differential+4.2+0.3+6.6
Avg total175.0184.3169.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Juventus
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %33%60%0%
Points / game85.289.679.8
Allowed / game88.086.490.0
Point differential-2.8+3.2-10.2
Avg total173.2176.0169.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas990100%93.276.1+17.1
2 Rytas85362%89.685.4+4.2
3 Gargzdai106460%88.387.3+1.0
4 Lietkabelis106460%79.780.3-0.6
5 Neptunas95456%85.284.7+0.6
6 Siauliai105550%84.685.6-1.0
7 Juventus93633%85.288.0-2.8
8 Jonava93633%78.482.0-3.6
9 Taurage103730%80.486.5-6.1
10 Nevezis81712%73.982.5-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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