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Rytas vs PAOK Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 82-63
18-15 23-22 22-13 19-13
Position#13
Record4-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game79.5
Rytas 🏆
vs
Position#32
Record3-5
FormWLWWL
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game77.1
EuropeChampions LeagueChampions League - Final
European cup2022
Meetings · Rytas v PAOK
17 Jan 2023
RYT82
PAK63
03 Jan 2023
RYT85
PAK62
16 Dec 2015
RYT81
PAK88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rytas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
PAOK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RytasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRytas
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#5
L
70-78
70
78
-8
no box
A07/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
W
109-104 OT
109
104
+5
no box
H10/12
LKL
Bnei Herzliya
#37
L
90-101
90
101
-11
79avg 80
H14/12
Champions League
Siauliai
#9
W
107-101 OT
107
101
+6
no box
H17/12
LKL
Tenerife
#4
W
85-78
85
78
+7
81avg 80
H21/12
Champions League
Nevezis
#8
W
86-84
86
84
+2
85avg 80
A28/12
LKL
PAOK
#32
W
85-62
85
62
+23
89avg 80
H03/01
Champions League
BC Wolves
#3
L
76-88
76
88
-12
64avg 80
H07/01
LKL
PAOK
#32
L
78-81
78
81
-3
74avg 80
A11/01
Champions League
Prienai
#12
W
98-77
98
77
+21
102avg 80
H14/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
21-16
18-23
12-21
27-23
24-21
18-29
21-17
18-23
17-30
31-16
24-32
22-21
28-27
17-28
24-15
17-20
28-20
23-17
17-21
31-18
23-26
17-19
15-21
23-16
23-16
19-12
20-18
14-24
15-26
24-16
23-22
23-17
11-29
24-11
20-24
19-26
39-12
19-19
21-20
173.8Avg total
88.4Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)83.579.5163.0+4.050%
Season at home (4)87.276.2163.5+11.075%
Season away (4)79.882.8162.5-3.025%
Last 10 (10)88.485.4173.8+3.060%
Last 5 (5)84.678.4163.0+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)82.784.0166.7-1.367%
vs Similar (3)79.085.0164.0-6.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)86.679.2165.9+7.471%
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Sassari
#35
L
78-82
78
82
-4
73avg 69
A29/11
Champions League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
92-63
92
63
+29
94avg 69
A04/12
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
68-88
68
88
-20
58avg 69
H11/12
Basket League
Unicaja
#2
L
85-88
85
88
-3
75avg 69
H13/12
Champions League
Dijon
#22
W
74-69
74
69
+5
70avg 69
A20/12
Champions League
AEK Athens
#5
W
83-71
83
71
+12
no box
A27/12
Basket League
Rytas
#13
L
62-85
62
85
-23
42avg 69
A03/01
Champions League
Apollon Patras
#10
W
97-60
97
60
+37
96avg 69
H08/01
Basket League
Rytas
#13
W
81-78
81
78
+3
74avg 69
H11/01
Champions League
Peristeri
#3
L
70-81
70
81
-11
63avg 69
H15/01
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
16-21
25-23
23-19
20-15
25-15
30-16
17-17
14-23
17-25
12-25
25-15
13-25
23-19
24-15
25-29
18-14
10-26
18-14
28-15
20-21
19-15
17-16
27-19
16-23
16-23
12-19
18-20
23-10
27-17
23-13
24-20
17-23
29-11
11-24
24-20
20-17
20-21
15-20
15-23
155.5Avg total
79.0Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)74.677.1151.8-2.538%
Season at home (4)80.076.0156.0+4.050%
Season away (4)69.278.2147.5-9.025%
Last 10 (10)79.076.5155.5+2.550%
Last 5 (5)78.675.0153.6+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)70.983.0153.9-12.110%
vs Similar (11)79.173.5152.6+5.555%
vs Weaker (9)82.171.2153.3+10.967%
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +2.9+2.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +2.9+2.9
RytasPAOK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RytasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#5
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A07/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H10/12
LKL
Bnei Herzliya
#37
L
35-53
35
53
-18
H14/12
Champions League
Siauliai
#9
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H17/12
LKL
Tenerife
#4
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H21/12
Champions League
Nevezis
#8
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A28/12
LKL
PAOK
#32
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H03/01
Champions League
BC Wolves
#3
L
29-50
29
50
-21
H07/01
LKL
PAOK
#32
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A11/01
Champions League
Prienai
#12
W
58-38
58
38
+20
H14/01
LKL
87.1Avg total
44.2Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.239.582.7+3.763%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.538.982.4+4.567%-
Last 30 away (15)42.940.182.9+2.860%-
Last 10 (10)44.242.987.1+1.370%-
Last 5 (5)44.242.086.2+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.045.788.7-2.733%-
vs Similar (3)40.739.079.7+1.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)43.538.882.3+4.767%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#35
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A29/11
Champions League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A04/12
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H11/12
Basket League
Unicaja
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H13/12
Champions League
Dijon
#22
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A20/12
Champions League
AEK Athens
#5
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A27/12
Basket League
Rytas
#13
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A03/01
Champions League
Apollon Patras
#10
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H08/01
Basket League
Rytas
#13
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H11/01
Champions League
Peristeri
#3
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H15/01
Basket League
76.0Avg total
37.7Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.338.675.9-1.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.638.679.2+2.053%-
Last 30 away (15)34.038.672.6-4.627%-
Last 10 (10)37.738.376.0-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)41.436.277.6+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)35.342.377.6-7.020%-
vs Similar (11)35.837.873.6-2.036%-
vs Weaker (9)41.335.476.8+5.967%-
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rytastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rytas: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.722.0
56.8%
51.4%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.7
34.0%
35.2%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.415.3
78.9%
74.3%15.3
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.714.5
48.8%
51.4%29.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.711.7
40.8%
35.2%35.1
🏀 Free throws18.414.1
76.6%
74.3%14.1
They take 58.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rytas
WLLWWWWLWL
PAOK
LWWLWWLLWL
#13
League position
#32
+7.9
Net rating
+3.4
114.9
Offensive rating
109.6
107.0
Defensive rating
106.2
54.5%
Effective FG%
54.9%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
19.7%
Turnover %
18.8%
38.6%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.0%
3-point %
40.8%
57.0%
Assist %
56.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.9 · 109.6Defence107.0 · 106.2Shooting54.5% · 54.9%3-point %34.0% · 40.8%Ball care19.7% · 18.8%Off. rebounds38.6% · 26.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Rytas   ■ PAOK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Rytas wins
3
PAOK wins
DateGameScore
11/01/23PAOK v Rytas81-78
03/01/23Rytas v PAOK85-62
16/12/15Rytas v PAOK81-88
11/11/15PAOK v Rytas81-76
Rytaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/23HPrienai98-77
11/01/23APAOK78-81
07/01/23HBC Wolves76-88
03/01/23HPAOK85-62
28/12/22ANevezis86-84
21/12/22HTenerife85-78
17/12/22HSiauliai107-101 OT
14/12/22HBnei Herzliya90-101
10/12/22HLietkabelis109-104 OT
07/12/22ANevezis70-78
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/23HPeristeri70-81
11/01/23HRytas81-78
08/01/23HApollon Patras97-60
03/01/23ARytas62-85
27/12/22AAEK Athens83-71
20/12/22ADijon74-69
13/12/22HUnicaja85-88
11/12/22HOlympiacos68-88
04/12/22AAS Karditsas92-63
29/11/22ASassari78-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rytas
Champions League 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game83.587.279.8
Allowed / game79.576.282.8
Point differential+4.0+11.0-3.0
Avg total163.0163.5162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
PAOK
Champions League 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW38%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game74.680.069.2
Allowed / game77.176.078.2
Point differential-2.5+4.0-9.0
Avg total151.8156.0147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja87188%89.873.1+16.6
2 Bonn65183%83.273.8+9.3
3 Hapoel Jerusalem65183%80.074.7+5.3
4 Hapoel Holon86275%88.882.2+6.5
5 Murcia86275%85.083.5+1.5
6 Tenerife64267%85.371.2+14.2
7 Chemnitz32167%89.076.3+12.7
8 Bilbao64267%79.570.8+8.7
9 FMP Beograd32167%83.376.0+7.3
10 Galatasaray64267%85.778.8+6.8
11 Manresa64267%83.778.3+5.3
12 Levice32167%77.772.7+5.0
13 Strasbourg64267%80.880.2+0.7
14 Benfica117464%79.177.2+1.9
15 Ludwigsburg85362%81.876.5+5.2
16 AEK Athens85362%77.075.0+2.0
17 Bahcesehir Kol.95456%74.876.8-2.0
18 Budivelnyk21150%90.574.0+16.5
19 Limoges84450%75.168.9+6.2
20 Rytas84450%83.579.5+4.0
21 Darussafaka84450%75.174.5+0.6
22 Voluntari21150%63.564.5-1.0
23 Dijon84450%78.480.4-2.0
24 Peristeri84450%78.984.0-5.1
25 Bamberg21150%85.090.5-5.5
26 Swans Gmunden21150%73.581.5-8.0
27 Den Bosch21150%71.593.5-22.0
28 Oostende94544%78.079.7-1.7
29 Tofas104640%78.275.5+2.7
30 PAOK83538%74.677.1-2.5
31 Igokea83538%78.281.2-3.0
32 Bakken Bears83538%75.080.9-5.9
33 Szombathely62433%78.782.3-3.7
34 Nymburk62433%72.877.8-5.0
35 Sassari62433%78.384.7-6.3
36 Reggiana62433%72.779.8-7.2
37 Bnei Herzliya62433%78.088.2-10.2
38 Karsiyaka82625%81.085.4-4.4
39 Legia61517%72.882.5-9.7
40 VEF Riga61517%68.379.0-10.7
41 Parnu1010%80.082.0-2.0
42 Keravnos1010%65.073.0-8.0
43 Kormend1010%70.079.0-9.0
44 Leicester Riders1010%61.070.0-9.0
45 Breogan1010%64.076.0-12.0
46 Siauliai1010%73.085.0-12.0
47 Opava1010%76.092.0-16.0
48 TFT Skopje1010%77.096.0-19.0
49 Fribourg Olympic1010%70.093.0-23.0
50 Karhu Basket1010%57.081.0-24.0
51 Golden Eagle Ylli1010%67.092.0-25.0
52 Norrkoping1010%51.087.0-36.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rytas1823221982
PAOK1522131363
← all games of the day
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