Rytas vs Pieno Zvaigzdes Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Apr 2018

Tip-off: 14:00

Final 110-68

32-17 31-20 28-13 19-18

Position#2

Record28-6

FormWLWWW

Points / game86.9

Allowed / game75.3

Rytas 🏆

Pieno Zvaigzdes

Position#6

Record13-20

FormLWWLL

Points / game80.9

Allowed / game87.0

LKL

Domestic2017-18

Meetings · Rytas v Pieno Zvaigzdes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rytas winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Pieno Zvaigzdes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rytas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Juventus

104-92

104

+12

A10/03

LKL

Neptunas

86-99

-13

H18/03

LKL

Siauliai

84-74

+10

A24/03

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

81-73

A31/03

LKL

Skycop

#10

104-71

104

+33

H07/04

LKL

Juventus

78-75

H10/04

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

66-77

-11

A13/04

LKL

Siauliai

87-75

+12

H18/04

LKL

Neptunas

90-72

+18

A22/04

LKL

Lietkabelis

104-83

104

+21

A26/04

LKL

34-24

25-20

22-17

23-31

30-32

18-21

17-13

21-33

30-18

17-20

18-21

19-15

24-15

23-23

17-16

17-19

23-21

34-22

28-17

19-11

17-19

21-21

18-14

22-21

9-18

14-15

23-21

20-23

25-21

23-23

15-20

24-11

19-19

26-21

23-11

22-21

24-27

12-18

40-18

28-20

167.5Avg total

88.4Scored

79.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (34)	86.9	75.3	162.2	+11.6	82%
Season at home (16)	90.5	76.4	166.9	+14.1	81%
Season away (18)	83.7	74.2	157.9	+9.5	83%
Last 10 (10)	88.4	79.1	167.5	+9.3	80%
Last 5 (5)	85.0	76.4	161.4	+8.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	71.2	78.8	150.0	-7.6	20%
vs Similar (3)	96.7	94.7	191.3	+2.0	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	89.6	74.2	163.8	+15.3	90%

This opponent (Pieno Zvaigzdes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Pieno Zvaigzdes Lithuania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lietkabelis

85-95

-10

A04/03

LKL

Siauliai

79-100

100

-21

A10/03

LKL

Nevezis

87-84

H17/03

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

73-72

H24/03

LKL

Nevezis

61-77

-16

A02/04

LKL

Neptunas

71-90

-19

A07/04

LKL

Siauliai

84-81

H11/04

LKL

Juventus

93-82

+11

A15/04

LKL

Lietkabelis

85-94

-9

H21/04

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

85-103

103

-18

A26/04

LKL

15-28

26-28

21-20

23-19

21-23

20-22

22-22

16-33

15-19

23-20

31-20

18-25

18-17

21-18

19-20

15-17

14-23

19-24

18-8

10-22

18-23

15-28

20-16

22-13

19-21

19-26

24-21

27-21

26-21

20-19

20-21

19-20

23-34

19-19

24-21

25-26

21-19

16-21

23-37

168.1Avg total

80.3Scored

87.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (33)	80.9	87.0	168.0	-6.1	39%
Season at home (16)	78.8	81.4	160.2	-2.7	56%
Season away (17)	83.0	92.3	175.3	-9.3	24%
Last 10 (10)	80.3	87.8	168.1	-7.5	40%
Last 5 (5)	83.6	90.0	173.6	-6.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	79.9	91.1	171.0	-11.3	13%
vs Similar (14)	81.6	81.8	163.4	-0.1	64%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

RytasPieno Zvaigzdes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	18.6	39.9	+2.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	18.9	41.5	+3.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	18.3	38.6	+1.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	21.4	44.9	+2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	20.8	39.6	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.6	20.6	37.2	-4.0	20%	-
vs Similar (3)	20.7	20.3	41.0	+0.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	22.7	18.2	40.9	+4.4	57%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.7	40.6	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.3	18.9	38.1	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.5	22.2	42.8	-1.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	21.3	40.7	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	20.6	42.8	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	19.3	22.4	41.7	-3.1	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.0	18.9	38.9	+1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	20.1	40.7	+0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.5	20.5	43.0	+2.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	19.7	38.6	-0.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	20.4	41.7	+0.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	19.6	38.8	-0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.2	17.2	34.4	+0.0	40%	-
vs Similar (3)	21.7	27.7	49.3	-6.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	21.4	19.6	41.0	+1.8	48%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	22.1	42.1	-2.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.7	22.5	41.2	-3.8	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.1	21.7	42.8	-0.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	23.0	44.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	23.6	45.0	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	19.7	23.7	43.4	-4.1	20%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.9	20.4	41.3	+0.6	57%	-
vs Weaker	no games

RytasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Juventus

59-44

+15

A10/03

LKL

Neptunas

48-53

-5

H18/03

LKL

Siauliai

47-38

A24/03

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

47-38

A31/03

LKL

Skycop

#10

57-43

+14

H07/04

LKL

Juventus

38-40

-2

H10/04

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

23-33

-10

A13/04

LKL

Siauliai

48-44

H18/04

LKL

Neptunas

45-40

A22/04

LKL

Lietkabelis

36-45

-9

A26/04

LKL

86.6Avg total

44.8Scored

41.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.9	38.7	80.6	+3.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.1	39.4	84.5	+5.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.2	38.0	77.2	+1.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.8	41.8	86.6	+3.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	40.4	78.4	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	33.8	37.8	71.6	-4.0	20%	-
vs Similar (3)	42.3	48.0	90.3	-5.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	44.0	37.9	81.9	+6.2	71%	-

This opponent (Pieno Zvaigzdes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Pieno ZvaigzdesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lietkabelis

41-56

-15

A04/03

LKL

Siauliai

41-45

-4

A10/03

LKL

Nevezis

38-39

-1

H17/03

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

39-35

H24/03

LKL

Nevezis

33-47

-14

A02/04

LKL

Neptunas

36-46

-10

A07/04

LKL

Siauliai

41-34

H11/04

LKL

Juventus

53-42

+11

A15/04

LKL

Lietkabelis

42-54

-12

H21/04

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

46-45

A26/04

LKL

85.3Avg total

41.0Scored

44.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	42.7	82.7	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.0	41.4	79.4	-3.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.6	43.9	85.6	-2.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	44.3	85.3	-3.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	44.2	87.8	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	39.0	46.1	85.1	-7.1	20%	-
vs Similar (14)	40.9	39.3	80.2	+1.6	64%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	18.0	40.6	+4.5	73%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	18.0	39.9	+3.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.1	18.1	41.2	+5.1	81%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	16.8	38.9	+5.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	16.8	40.6	+7.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.2	19.2	37.4	-1.0	60%	-
vs Similar (3)	24.0	20.3	44.3	+3.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	23.7	17.1	40.8	+6.6	81%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.8	40.7	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	18.6	38.7	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	22.7	42.4	-2.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	20.3	40.3	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	22.6	40.4	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	19.9	22.4	42.3	-2.5	40%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.3	19.2	39.5	+1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	20.4	42.7	+1.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.9	19.6	42.6	+3.3	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.8	21.1	42.9	+0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	20.5	42.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	19.2	42.4	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.2	21.8	41.0	-2.6	40%	-
vs Similar (3)	30.3	26.3	56.7	+4.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	21.9	19.3	41.1	+2.6	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	23.1	43.8	-2.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	22.2	41.6	-2.9	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.9	23.8	45.8	-1.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	23.2	42.5	-3.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	23.2	45.4	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	20.9	22.6	43.5	-1.7	53%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.4	23.3	43.7	-2.9	29%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.9	38.5	83.3	+6.4	77%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.9	37.6	82.5	+7.2	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.9	39.2	84.1	+5.7	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.6	37.3	80.9	+6.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.0	36.0	83.0	+11.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	37.4	41.0	78.4	-3.6	40%	-
vs Similar (3)	54.3	46.7	101.0	+7.7	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	45.5	36.4	81.9	+9.1	86%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	43.9	84.5	-3.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.4	40.9	80.3	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.7	46.5	88.2	-4.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.3	43.5	82.8	-4.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	45.8	85.8	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	40.9	45.0	85.9	-4.1	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	40.7	42.5	83.2	-1.8	36%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Rytastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rytas: 85.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀49%

🏀🏀🏀39%

🏀12%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 49% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 39% of the points

🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 12% of the points

League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game

50%

30%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.0	21.0	60.0%	55.3%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.0	11.0	40.7%	35.7%	33.0
🏀 Free throws	15.0	10.0	66.7%	73.8%	10.0

They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Pieno Zvaigzdestheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.0	29.0	72.5%	55.3%	58.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	16.0	4.0	25.0%	35.7%	12.0
🏀 Free throws	18.0	15.0	83.3%	73.8%	15.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.0	29.0	72.5%	55.3%	58.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	16.0	4.0	25.0%	35.7%	12.0
🏀 Free throws	18.0	15.0	83.3%	73.8%	15.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Rytas wins

Pieno Zvaigzdes wins

Date	Game	Score
13/01/18	Pieno Zvaigzdes v Rytas	65-93
04/11/17	Pieno Zvaigzdes v Rytas	73-87
20/09/17	Rytas v Pieno Zvaigzdes	102-90
06/05/17	Rytas v Pieno Zvaigzdes	107-51
03/05/17	Pieno Zvaigzdes v Rytas	80-89
30/04/17	Rytas v Pieno Zvaigzdes	106-73
26/04/17	Pieno Zvaigzdes v Rytas	79-88
19/03/17	Rytas v Pieno Zvaigzdes	93-86
05/11/16	Rytas v Pieno Zvaigzdes	94-57
25/09/16	Pieno Zvaigzdes v Rytas	68-86

Rytaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/04/18	A	Lietkabelis	104-83
22/04/18	A	Neptunas	90-72
18/04/18	H	Siauliai	87-75
13/04/18	A	Zalgiris Kaunas	66-77
10/04/18	H	Juventus	78-75
07/04/18	H	Skycop	104-71
31/03/18	A	Alytaus Dzukija	81-73
24/03/18	A	Siauliai	84-74
18/03/18	H	Neptunas	86-99
10/03/18	A	Juventus	104-92

Pieno Zvaigzdeslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/04/18	A	Alytaus Dzukija	85-103
21/04/18	H	Lietkabelis	85-94
15/04/18	A	Juventus	93-82
11/04/18	H	Siauliai	84-81
07/04/18	A	Neptunas	71-90
02/04/18	A	Nevezis	61-77
24/03/18	H	Alytaus Dzukija	73-72
17/03/18	H	Nevezis	87-84
10/03/18	A	Siauliai	79-100
04/03/18	A	Lietkabelis	85-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rytas

LKL 2017-18

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	82%
Home	WLWWW	81%
Away	WWLWW	83%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	34	16	18
Win %	82%	81%	83%
Points / game	86.9	90.5	83.7
Allowed / game	75.3	76.4	74.2
Point differential	+11.6	+14.1	+9.5
Avg total	162.2	166.9	157.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	56%	62%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	67% (3)	33% (3)
Overtime %	3%	6%	0%

Pieno Zvaigzdes

LKL 2017-18

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	39%
Home	WWWWL	56%
Away	LLLWL	24%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	33	16	17
Win %	39%	56%	24%
Points / game	80.9	78.8	83.0
Allowed / game	87.0	81.4	92.3
Point differential	-6.1	-2.7	-9.3
Avg total	168.0	160.2	175.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	12%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (6)	100% (5)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Zalgiris Kaunas	31	27	4	87%	82.8	68.4	+14.4
2	Rytas	34	28	6	82%	86.9	75.3	+11.6
3	Neptunas	35	24	11	69%	83.5	78.6	+4.8
4	Lietkabelis	34	20	14	59%	84.5	82.6	+1.9
5	Siauliai	34	15	19	44%	79.7	81.9	-2.2
6	Pieno Zvaigzdes	33	13	20	39%	80.9	87.0	-6.1
7	Nevezis	34	12	22	35%	78.1	82.5	-4.4
8	Juventus	33	11	22	33%	81.7	84.5	-2.8
9	Alytaus Dzukija	34	10	24	29%	75.5	84.3	-8.8
10	Skycop	34	8	26	24%	78.8	86.4	-7.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Rytas	32	31	28	19	110
Pieno Zvaigzdes	17	20	13	18	68

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Rytas vs Pieno Zvaigzdes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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