Rytas vs Pieno Zvaigzdes Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Mar 2016

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 95-74

22-11 21-21 26-20 26-22

Position#2

Record23-6

FormWLWWW

Points / game84.0

Allowed / game72.7

Rytas 🏆

Pieno Zvaigzdes

Position#8

Record10-19

FormLWLLL

Points / game78.5

Allowed / game83.1

LKL

Domestic2015-16

Meetings · Rytas v Pieno Zvaigzdes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rytas winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Pieno Zvaigzdes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rytas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zalgiris Kaunas

78-72

H17/01

LKL

Skycop

93-84

H23/01

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

77-81

-4

A24/01

LKL

Juventus

88-92 OT

-4

A31/01

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

93-58

+35

A07/02

LKL

Siauliai

79-58

+21

H14/02

LKL

Neptunas

62-70

-8

A27/02

LKL

Nevezis

#10

87-70

+17

H05/03

LKL

Siauliai

81-80

A13/03

LKL

Nevezis

#10

78-59

+19

A20/03

LKL

21-14

21-17

18-18

18-23

12-20

28-25

25-17

28-22

17-24

19-16

22-21

19-20

16-19

7-19

19-23

32-13

20-9

25-19

25-14

23-16

17-16

19-11

24-21

19-10

10-19

21-16

20-13

11-22

18-20

23-16

18-18

28-16

18-24

23-17

21-12

19-27

19-17

17-13

22-15

20-14

154.0Avg total

81.6Scored

72.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	84.0	72.7	156.7	+11.2	79%
Season at home (14)	86.5	71.1	157.6	+15.4	93%
Season away (15)	81.6	74.3	155.9	+7.3	67%
Last 10 (10)	81.6	72.4	154.0	+9.2	70%
Last 5 (5)	77.4	67.4	144.8	+10.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	77.4	85.0	162.4	-7.6	20%
vs Similar (3)	86.7	87.0	173.7	-0.3	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	83.6	74.4	158.0	+9.2	77%

This opponent (Pieno Zvaigzdes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Pieno Zvaigzdes Lithuania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barons Kvartals

#13

110-84

110

+26

H09/02

Baltic League

Neptunas

54-88

-34

H13/02

LKL

Siauliai

94-90

A16/02

LKL

Barons Kvartals

#13

93-93

A24/02

Baltic League

Zalgiris Kaunas

101-109 OT

101

109

-8

H28/02

LKL

Valmiera/ORDO

71-81

-10

H02/03

Baltic League

Lietkabelis

83-82

A06/03

LKL

Valmiera/ORDO

78-80

-2

A09/03

Baltic League

Neptunas

91-95 OT

-4

A12/03

LKL

Lietkabelis

84-90

-6

H19/03

LKL

32-21

26-26

32-13

20-24

20-15

12-21

9-26

13-26

19-21

26-20

23-31

26-18

23-26

19-27

24-18

27-22

15-20

33-23

19-26

25-23

14-31

9-20

22-15

26-15

18-17

22-19

24-21

19-25

23-22

20-17

18-23

17-18

19-17

24-22

16-19

20-21

23-22

19-22

15-21

27-25

175.1Avg total

85.9Scored

89.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	78.5	83.1	161.6	-4.6	34%
Season at home (14)	77.4	79.6	157.0	-2.1	43%
Season away (15)	79.5	86.3	165.8	-6.9	27%
Last 10 (10)	85.9	89.2	175.1	-3.3	30%
Last 5 (5)	81.4	85.6	167.0	-4.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	82.8	90.4	173.2	-7.7	33%
vs Similar (12)	82.8	85.0	167.8	-2.2	33%
vs Weaker (6)	84.7	74.2	158.8	+10.5	50%

This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

RytasPieno Zvaigzdes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	21.0	39.4	-2.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	20.1	39.1	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.9	21.8	39.7	-3.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	18.2	35.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	19.2	35.6	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.4	22.2	40.6	-3.8	20%	-
vs Similar (3)	19.3	26.0	45.3	-6.7	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	18.3	20.0	38.3	-1.8	41%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	20.5	41.1	+0.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.3	20.6	41.9	+0.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.0	20.4	40.4	-0.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	21.2	41.8	-0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	21.8	41.2	-2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	20.1	19.7	39.8	+0.4	58%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.8	21.2	42.1	-0.4	67%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.2	20.7	41.8	+0.5	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	17.5	38.9	+3.8	77%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	17.9	39.8	+4.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.9	17.2	38.1	+3.6	88%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	16.9	37.2	+3.4	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	14.6	35.2	+6.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.6	20.6	38.2	-3.0	40%	-
vs Similar (3)	24.7	19.7	44.3	+5.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	21.8	16.5	38.3	+5.2	82%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.5	40.2	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	20.5	39.6	-1.4	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.3	20.4	40.8	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	21.7	42.7	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	20.0	38.8	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	20.8	20.4	41.2	+0.3	58%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.9	20.1	39.0	-1.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.3	21.3	40.7	-2.0	17%	-

RytasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zalgiris Kaunas

42-31

+11

H17/01

LKL

Skycop

40-45

-5

H23/01

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

36-40

-4

A24/01

LKL

Juventus

23-38

-15

A31/01

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

45-28

+17

A07/02

LKL

Siauliai

36-27

H14/02

LKL

Neptunas

31-35

-4

A27/02

LKL

Nevezis

#10

41-36

H05/03

LKL

Siauliai

41-41

A13/03

LKL

Nevezis

#10

36-30

A20/03

LKL

72.2Avg total

37.1Scored

35.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	38.5	78.3	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.9	38.0	78.9	+2.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.8	39.0	77.8	-0.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.1	35.1	72.2	+2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	33.8	70.8	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	36.0	42.8	78.8	-6.8	40%	-
vs Similar (3)	44.0	45.7	89.7	-1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	40.0	36.6	76.6	+3.5	59%	-

This opponent (Pieno Zvaigzdes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Pieno ZvaigzdesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Barons Kvartals

#13

58-47

+11

H09/02

Baltic League

Neptunas

32-36

-4

H13/02

LKL

Siauliai

45-41

A16/02

LKL

Barons Kvartals

#13

42-53

-11

A24/02

Baltic League

Zalgiris Kaunas

48-43

H28/02

LKL

Valmiera/ORDO

23-51

-28

H02/03

Baltic League

Lietkabelis

40-36

A06/03

LKL

Valmiera/ORDO

43-39

A09/03

Baltic League

Neptunas

43-39

A12/03

LKL

Lietkabelis

42-44

-2

H19/03

LKL

84.5Avg total

41.6Scored

42.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	41.0	81.3	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.4	41.1	81.5	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.3	40.8	81.1	-0.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	42.9	84.5	-1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	41.8	80.0	-3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	40.8	40.1	80.9	+0.8	58%	-
vs Similar (12)	39.8	41.3	81.1	-1.6	42%	-
vs Weaker (6)	40.5	42.0	82.5	-1.5	50%	-

This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	18.3	39.3	+2.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	18.6	39.4	+2.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	18.1	39.2	+3.1	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	17.2	38.6	+4.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	15.8	36.8	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	22.4	18.6	41.0	+3.8	80%	-
vs Similar (3)	23.0	17.3	40.3	+5.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	20.5	18.4	38.8	+2.1	59%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	20.0	41.3	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.8	18.2	40.0	+3.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.9	21.6	42.5	-0.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	21.3	41.5	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.8	38.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	19.8	22.7	42.4	-2.9	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	21.3	20.2	41.5	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	24.3	14.5	38.8	+9.8	83%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	19.8	40.9	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.0	18.6	39.6	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	20.9	42.1	+0.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	18.3	40.0	+3.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	17.8	37.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.0	23.6	42.6	-4.6	20%	-
vs Similar (3)	19.7	24.0	43.7	-4.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	21.8	18.4	40.2	+3.5	59%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	21.8	41.6	-1.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.2	21.8	41.0	-2.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	21.8	42.1	-1.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	21.7	43.7	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	20.8	42.6	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	18.9	22.9	41.8	-4.0	42%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.8	22.7	43.4	-1.9	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.8	17.7	37.5	+2.2	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	38.1	80.3	+4.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.9	37.1	79.0	+4.7	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.4	38.9	81.4	+3.5	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.1	35.5	78.6	+7.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	33.6	74.0	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	41.4	42.2	83.6	-0.8	20%	-
vs Similar (3)	42.7	41.3	84.0	+1.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	42.3	36.7	79.0	+5.5	68%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.1	41.8	82.9	-0.7	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.0	40.0	81.0	+1.0	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.2	43.4	84.6	-2.1	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.2	43.0	85.2	-0.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	40.6	81.4	+0.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	38.7	45.6	84.2	-6.9	0%	-
vs Similar (12)	42.1	42.8	84.9	-0.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (6)	44.2	32.2	76.3	+12.0	83%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Rytas wins

Pieno Zvaigzdes wins

Date	Game	Score
24/01/16	Pieno Zvaigzdes v Rytas	81-77
23/12/15	Rytas v Pieno Zvaigzdes	96-69
08/10/15	Pieno Zvaigzdes v Rytas	71-89
04/04/15	Pieno Zvaigzdes v Rytas	81-87
22/03/15	Rytas v Pieno Zvaigzdes	84-76
15/11/14	Rytas v Pieno Zvaigzdes	85-87
30/09/14	Pieno Zvaigzdes v Rytas	69-87
15/04/14	Pieno Zvaigzdes v Rytas	75-68
25/01/14	Rytas v Pieno Zvaigzdes	94-73
30/03/13	Pieno Zvaigzdes v Rytas	69-85

Rytaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/03/16	A	Nevezis	78-59
13/03/16	A	Siauliai	81-80
05/03/16	H	Nevezis	87-70
27/02/16	A	Neptunas	62-70
14/02/16	H	Siauliai	79-58
07/02/16	A	Alytaus Dzukija	93-58
31/01/16	A	Juventus	88-92 OT
24/01/16	A	Pieno Zvaigzdes	77-81
23/01/16	H	Skycop	93-84
17/01/16	H	Zalgiris Kaunas	78-72

Pieno Zvaigzdeslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/03/16	H	Lietkabelis	84-90
12/03/16	A	Neptunas	91-95 OT
09/03/16	A	Valmiera/ORDO	78-80
06/03/16	A	Lietkabelis	83-82
02/03/16	H	Valmiera/ORDO	71-81
28/02/16	H	Zalgiris Kaunas	101-109 OT
24/02/16	A	Barons Kvartals	93-93
16/02/16	A	Siauliai	94-90
13/02/16	H	Neptunas	54-88
09/02/16	H	Barons Kvartals	110-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rytas

LKL 2015-16

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	79%
Home	WWWWW	93%
Away	LWLWW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	14	15
Win %	79%	93%	67%
Points / game	84.0	86.5	81.6
Allowed / game	72.7	71.1	74.3
Point differential	+11.2	+15.4	+7.3
Avg total	156.7	157.6	155.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	52%	57%	47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	100% (2)	33% (3)
Overtime %	7%	0%	13%

Pieno Zvaigzdes

LKL 2015-16

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	34%
Home	WWLLL	43%
Away	LWWWL	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	14	15
Win %	34%	43%	27%
Points / game	78.5	77.4	79.5
Allowed / game	83.1	79.6	86.3
Point differential	-4.6	-2.1	-6.9
Avg total	161.6	157.0	165.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	29%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	44% (9)	50% (2)	43% (7)
Overtime %	10%	7%	13%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Zalgiris Kaunas	29	26	3	90%	86.7	69.1	+17.6
2	Rytas	29	23	6	79%	84.0	72.7	+11.2
3	Skycop	30	17	13	57%	79.5	77.9	+1.6
4	Neptunas	29	16	13	55%	76.1	73.0	+3.1
5	Juventus	29	15	14	52%	78.5	82.0	-3.5
6	Siauliai	30	13	17	43%	77.5	78.8	-1.3
7	Lietkabelis	29	12	17	41%	74.7	78.8	-4.0
8	Pieno Zvaigzdes	29	10	19	34%	78.5	83.1	-4.6
9	Nevezis	29	8	21	28%	71.3	82.0	-10.7
10	Alytaus Dzukija	29	6	23	21%	67.9	77.4	-9.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Rytas	22	21	26	26	95
Pieno Zvaigzdes	11	21	20	22	74

← all games of the day

Rytas vs Pieno Zvaigzdes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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