Rytas vs Pieno Zvaigzdes Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Mar 2017

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 93-86

20-21 26-21 14-20 33-24

Position#2

Record18-8

FormWWLWW

Points / game80.6

Allowed / game73.7

Rytas 🏆

Pieno Zvaigzdes

Position#7

Record11-15

FormWLWWL

Points / game76.3

Allowed / game77.7

LKL

Domestic2016-17

Meetings · Rytas v Pieno Zvaigzdes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rytas winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Pieno Zvaigzdes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rytas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Neptunas

78-85

-7

A21/01

LKL

Nizhny Novgorod

#16

99-73

+26

H25/01

Eurocup

Nevezis

86-78

H28/01

LKL

Hapoel M. Jerusalem

77-84

-7

A01/02

Eurocup

Zalgiris Kaunas

72-79

-7

H05/02

LKL

Zenit Petersburg

86-84

H08/02

Eurocup

Siauliai

#10

82-81

A11/02

LKL

Lietkabelis

77-86

-9

A25/02

LKL

Juventus

87-85

A05/03

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

76-72

H11/03

LKL

11-20

10-24

26-21

31-20

22-17

29-17

20-25

28-14

17-17

17-20

26-21

26-20

19-22

20-25

23-14

15-23

12-17

23-19

19-20

18-23

12-22

24-18

28-21

22-23

25-23

21-15

23-17

13-26

24-20

16-16

13-26

24-24

20-19

21-32

18-18

28-16

13-19

26-22

15-14

22-17

162.7Avg total

82.0Scored

80.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	80.6	73.7	154.3	+6.8	69%
Season at home (12)	80.0	70.1	150.1	+9.9	83%
Season away (14)	81.1	76.9	157.9	+4.2	57%
Last 10 (10)	82.0	80.7	162.7	+1.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	81.6	81.6	163.2	+0.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	70.0	81.5	151.5	-11.5	0%
vs Similar (5)	82.2	85.4	167.6	-3.2	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	86.5	77.3	163.8	+9.2	70%

This opponent (Pieno Zvaigzdes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Pieno Zvaigzdes Lithuania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lietkabelis

76-84

-8

H05/02

LKL

BK Ogre

#10

75-83

-8

A08/02

Baltic League

Nevezis

89-88

H11/02

LKL

BK Ogre

#10

97-64

+33

H22/02

Baltic League

Neptunas

54-59

-5

A26/02

LKL

BK Liepaja

#12

89-80

A01/03

Baltic League

Skycop

74-86

-12

A04/03

LKL

BK Liepaja

#12

109-93

109

+16

H08/03

Baltic League

Siauliai

#10

85-74

+11

H11/03

LKL

Tartu Ulikool

88-88

A14/03

Baltic League

19-28

17-12

18-23

22-21

17-21

24-16

12-20

22-26

25-25

18-13

22-27

24-23

32-14

16-11

31-21

18-18

7-16

14-21

22-8

11-14

22-19

16-19

27-25

24-17

20-26

14-28

21-13

19-19

27-20

21-29

30-17

31-27

22-19

28-15

15-26

20-14

14-19

24-18

25-26

25-25

163.5Avg total

83.6Scored

79.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	76.3	77.7	153.9	-1.4	42%
Season at home (14)	77.1	76.4	153.5	+0.8	50%
Season away (12)	75.2	79.2	154.4	-3.9	33%
Last 10 (10)	83.6	79.9	163.5	+3.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	89.0	84.2	173.2	+4.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	68.7	79.9	148.6	-11.2	11%
vs Similar (3)	85.0	88.0	173.0	-3.0	0%
vs Weaker (18)	91.4	78.0	169.4	+13.4	83%

This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

RytasPieno Zvaigzdes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.5	38.1	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	17.5	37.7	+2.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.0	19.5	38.5	-0.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	19.6	37.1	-2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	20.6	39.4	-1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	13.0	21.5	34.5	-8.5	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.4	21.0	39.4	-2.6	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	20.4	17.7	38.1	+2.7	70%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	18.6	39.2	+2.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.3	17.4	38.8	+3.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.8	19.9	39.6	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.7	41.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	20.6	41.6	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	16.6	20.3	36.9	-3.8	22%	-
vs Similar (3)	20.0	18.3	38.3	+1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (18)	22.7	17.7	40.4	+5.0	72%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.2	41.4	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.1	19.4	42.5	+3.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.4	21.0	40.4	-1.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	20.8	41.5	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	20.6	42.2	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.5	22.0	41.5	-2.5	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	22.6	19.6	42.2	+3.0	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	21.1	20.2	41.3	+0.9	52%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.1	39.4	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	18.0	38.9	+2.9	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.7	20.3	40.0	-0.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	18.2	37.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	21.8	42.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	15.7	20.1	35.8	-4.4	22%	-
vs Similar (3)	20.3	17.3	37.7	+3.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (18)	22.7	18.8	41.6	+3.9	78%	-

RytasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Neptunas

21-44

-23

A21/01

LKL

Nizhny Novgorod

#16

51-34

+17

H25/01

Eurocup

Nevezis

34-37

-3

H28/01

LKL

Hapoel M. Jerusalem

39-47

-8

A01/02

Eurocup

Zalgiris Kaunas

35-36

-1

H05/02

LKL

Zenit Petersburg

36-40

-4

H08/02

Eurocup

Siauliai

#10

46-38

A11/02

LKL

Lietkabelis

40-36

A25/02

LKL

Juventus

41-51

-10

A05/03

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

39-41

-2

H11/03

LKL

78.6Avg total

38.2Scored

40.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	38.7	79.5	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.3	36.9	80.1	+6.4	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.4	40.5	78.9	-2.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.2	40.4	78.6	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	41.2	81.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	32.5	43.5	76.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	41.0	40.6	81.6	+0.4	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	41.5	37.9	79.4	+3.7	61%	-

This opponent (Pieno Zvaigzdes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Pieno ZvaigzdesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lietkabelis

36-40

-4

H05/02

LKL

BK Ogre

#10

41-37

A08/02

Baltic League

Nevezis

43-38

H11/02

LKL

BK Ogre

#10

48-25

+23

H22/02

Baltic League

Neptunas

21-37

-16

A26/02

LKL

BK Liepaja

#12

38-38

A01/03

Baltic League

Skycop

34-54

-20

A04/03

LKL

BK Liepaja

#12

48-49

-1

H08/03

Baltic League

Siauliai

#10

50-34

+16

H11/03

LKL

Tartu Ulikool

38-37

A14/03

Baltic League

78.6Avg total

39.7Scored

38.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.0	37.6	78.6	+3.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.2	35.4	77.7	+6.8	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.5	40.1	79.6	-0.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	38.9	78.6	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	42.4	84.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	32.2	40.4	72.7	-8.2	22%	-
vs Similar (3)	40.3	35.7	76.0	+4.7	100%	-
vs Weaker (18)	45.4	36.6	82.0	+8.9	72%	-

This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.1	40.1	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.8	19.9	41.7	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	18.4	38.5	+1.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	19.7	40.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	19.2	38.6	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.5	17.5	39.0	+4.0	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	22.2	21.6	43.8	+0.6	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	20.7	18.7	39.4	+1.9	61%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.0	40.2	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	19.1	39.8	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	21.0	40.6	-1.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	20.6	42.9	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	21.4	45.0	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	18.1	19.1	37.2	-1.0	33%	-
vs Similar (3)	20.7	21.0	41.7	-0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (18)	21.1	20.3	41.4	+0.8	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	20.0	42.1	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	19.2	40.1	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.3	20.9	44.2	+2.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	20.6	43.3	+2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	21.2	43.0	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.0	20.5	36.5	-4.5	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.0	23.2	42.2	-4.2	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	23.3	19.3	42.6	+4.0	70%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	20.7	42.4	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.5	20.7	42.2	+0.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.9	20.7	42.6	+1.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	20.4	42.0	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	20.4	44.2	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	18.3	20.3	38.7	-2.0	22%	-
vs Similar (3)	19.3	25.3	44.7	-6.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (18)	23.8	20.1	43.9	+3.7	78%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.1	39.2	82.2	+3.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.7	39.1	81.7	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.5	39.3	82.7	+4.2	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.8	40.3	84.1	+3.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	40.4	81.6	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	37.5	38.0	75.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	41.2	44.8	86.0	-3.6	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	44.0	38.0	82.0	+5.9	65%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.9	40.7	82.6	+1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.1	39.8	81.9	+2.3	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.6	41.7	83.3	-0.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.9	41.0	84.9	+2.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.4	41.8	89.2	+5.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	36.4	39.4	75.9	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar (3)	40.0	46.3	86.3	-6.3	0%	-
vs Weaker (18)	44.9	40.4	85.3	+4.5	56%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Rytas wins

Pieno Zvaigzdes wins

Date	Game	Score
05/11/16	Rytas v Pieno Zvaigzdes	94-57
25/09/16	Pieno Zvaigzdes v Rytas	68-86
26/03/16	Rytas v Pieno Zvaigzdes	95-74
24/01/16	Pieno Zvaigzdes v Rytas	81-77
23/12/15	Rytas v Pieno Zvaigzdes	96-69
08/10/15	Pieno Zvaigzdes v Rytas	71-89
04/04/15	Pieno Zvaigzdes v Rytas	81-87
22/03/15	Rytas v Pieno Zvaigzdes	84-76
15/11/14	Rytas v Pieno Zvaigzdes	85-87
30/09/14	Pieno Zvaigzdes v Rytas	69-87

Rytaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/03/17	H	Alytaus Dzukija	76-72
05/03/17	A	Juventus	87-85
25/02/17	A	Lietkabelis	77-86
11/02/17	A	Siauliai	82-81
08/02/17	H	Zenit Petersburg	86-84
05/02/17	H	Zalgiris Kaunas	72-79
01/02/17	A	Hapoel M. Jerusalem	77-84
28/01/17	H	Nevezis	86-78
25/01/17	H	Nizhny Novgorod	99-73
21/01/17	A	Neptunas	78-85

Pieno Zvaigzdeslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/03/17	A	Tartu Ulikool	88-88
11/03/17	H	Siauliai	85-74
08/03/17	H	BK Liepaja	109-93
04/03/17	A	Skycop	74-86
01/03/17	A	BK Liepaja	89-80
26/02/17	A	Neptunas	54-59
22/02/17	H	BK Ogre	97-64
11/02/17	H	Nevezis	89-88
08/02/17	A	BK Ogre	75-83
05/02/17	H	Lietkabelis	76-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rytas

LKL 2016-17

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	69%
Home	WWWLW	83%
Away	WLWLW	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	12	14
Win %	69%	83%	57%
Points / game	80.6	80.0	81.1
Allowed / game	73.7	70.1	76.9
Point differential	+6.8	+9.9	+4.2
Avg total	154.3	150.1	157.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	35%	42%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	88% (8)	100% (3)	80% (5)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Pieno Zvaigzdes

LKL 2016-17

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	42%
Home	LLLWW	50%
Away	LLWLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	14	12
Win %	42%	50%	33%
Points / game	76.3	77.1	75.2
Allowed / game	77.7	76.4	79.2
Point differential	-1.4	+0.8	-3.9
Avg total	153.9	153.5	154.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	23%	21%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	27% (11)	43% (7)	0% (4)
Overtime %	4%	7%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Zalgiris Kaunas	26	23	3	88%	84.0	67.7	+16.3
2	Lietkabelis	27	19	8	70%	81.3	75.6	+5.6
3	Rytas	26	18	8	69%	80.6	73.7	+6.8
4	Neptunas	27	16	11	59%	76.5	71.7	+4.9
5	Juventus	26	15	11	58%	80.6	79.6	+1.0
6	Skycop	26	14	12	54%	76.5	72.1	+4.4
7	Pieno Zvaigzdes	26	11	15	42%	76.3	77.7	-1.4
8	Alytaus Dzukija	26	7	19	27%	69.0	77.8	-8.9
9	Nevezis	27	6	21	22%	75.6	82.4	-6.8
10	Siauliai	27	3	24	11%	68.7	89.9	-21.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Rytas	20	26	14	33	93
Pieno Zvaigzdes	21	21	20	24	86

← all games of the day

Rytas vs Pieno Zvaigzdes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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