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Rytas vs Pieno Zvaigzdes Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 18 Sep 2023
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 106-90
26-19 34-26 26-18 20-27
Position#2
Record-
FormLWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Rytas 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Pieno Zvaigzdes
Lithuania
Position#11
Record-
FormLWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
LithuaniaLKL· Jeep arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Rytas v Pieno Zvaigzdes
18 Sep 2023
RYT106
PZV90
29 Mar 2023
RYT118
PZV73
12 Mar 2022
RYT99
PZV66
28 Dec 2021
RYT91
PZV75
07 Apr 2021
RYT87
PZV88
26 Sep 2020
RYT106
PZV82
08 Feb 2020
RYT97
PZV89
21 Sep 2019
RYT95
PZV84
24 Apr 2019
RYT80
PZV74
29 Dec 2018
RYT89
PZV82
29 Apr 2018
RYT110
PZV68
20 Sep 2017
RYT102
PZV90
06 May 2017
RYT107
PZV51
30 Apr 2017
RYT106
PZV73
19 Mar 2017
RYT93
PZV86
05 Nov 2016
RYT94
PZV57
26 Mar 2016
RYT95
PZV74
23 Dec 2015
RYT96
PZV69
22 Mar 2015
RYT84
PZV76
15 Nov 2014
RYT85
PZV87
25 Jan 2014
RYT94
PZV73
02 Mar 2012
RYT85
PZV67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rytas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pieno Zvaigzdes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RytasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRytas
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#7
W
107-99 OT
107
99
+8
no box
H12/05
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
95-91
95
91
+4
99avg 84
A14/05
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
82-74
82
74
+8
73avg 84
H20/05
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
82-67
82
67
+15
80avg 84
A23/05
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
90-85
90
85
+5
87avg 84
H25/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
93-108
93
108
-15
93avg 84
A01/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
94-71
94
71
+23
86avg 84
H03/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
80-95
80
95
-15
74avg 84
A06/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
69-68
69
68
+1
66avg 84
H08/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
87-97
87
97
-10
81avg 84
A10/06
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
16-25
27-14
20-29
26-21
22-14
24-30
23-26
28-16
17-19
21-17
16-22
21-25
22-16
18-10
21-16
16-22
26-16
29-22
19-25
21-26
25-20
25-34
22-28
24-19
24-22
27-15
19-15
22-27
20-20
16-27
22-21
14-23
18-17
13-10
24-18
24-23
21-23
24-24
18-27
173.4Avg total
87.9Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)87.985.5173.4+2.470%
Last 5 (5)84.687.8172.4-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)84.289.3173.6-5.133%
vs Similar (3)94.795.0189.7-0.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)96.782.2178.9+14.594%
This opponent (Pieno Zvaigzdes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pieno ZvaigzdesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZvaigzdes
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
73-118
73
118
-45
60avg 69
A29/03
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
89-95
89
95
-6
87avg 69
A03/04
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
98-88
98
88
+10
95avg 69
H08/04
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
91-85
91
85
+6
88avg 69
A17/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
61-88
61
88
-27
43avg 69
H20/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
78-87
78
87
-9
68avg 69
H22/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
89-78
89
78
+11
88avg 69
H26/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
81-84
81
84
-3
68avg 69
A30/04
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
98-100 OT
98
100
-2
no box
H02/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
90-95
90
95
-5
92avg 69
A05/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-27
21-33
17-35
16-23
27-23
10-29
21-25
31-18
19-26
28-15
15-26
36-21
28-27
22-13
16-18
25-27
15-24
15-19
17-25
14-20
20-18
19-27
13-21
26-21
27-20
18-20
23-22
21-16
21-23
14-18
19-23
27-20
23-14
21-29
20-18
25-28
21-31
32-19
25-21
12-24
176.6Avg total
84.8Scored
91.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.891.8176.6-7.030%
Last 5 (5)87.288.8176.0-1.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)78.891.6170.4-12.912%
vs Similar (5)82.482.4164.8+0.060%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -4.8-4.8Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +1.5+1.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -4.8-4.8Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +1.5+1.5
RytasPieno Zvaigzdes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RytasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#7
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H12/05
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A14/05
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H20/05
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A23/05
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H25/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A01/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H03/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A06/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H08/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A10/06
LKL
84.6Avg total
43.2Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.942.087.9+3.957%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.243.088.2+2.250%-
Last 30 away (14)46.740.987.6+5.864%-
Last 10 (10)43.241.484.6+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)42.644.086.6-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)42.743.386.0-0.733%-
vs Similar (3)44.349.093.3-4.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)47.840.288.0+7.672%-
This opponent (Pieno Zvaigzdes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pieno ZvaigzdesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
40-60
40
60
-20
A29/03
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A03/04
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H08/04
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A17/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H20/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H22/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H26/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A30/04
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H02/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A05/05
LKL
87.5Avg total
42.0Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.743.982.6-5.237%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.642.980.5-5.441%-
Last 30 away (13)40.245.285.4-4.931%-
Last 10 (10)42.045.587.5-3.550%-
Last 5 (5)43.243.887.0-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)38.344.482.6-6.132%-
vs Similar (5)41.041.682.6-0.660%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rytastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rytas: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.9 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.120.0
58.7%
55.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.5
34.1%
34.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws26.520.9
78.9%
73.2%20.9
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pieno Zvaigzdestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pieno Zvaigzdes: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.719.7
50.9%
55.4%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.5
35.7%
34.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.415.4
79.4%
73.2%15.4
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Sep 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rytas
LWLWLWWWWW
Pieno Zvaigzdes
LLLWLLWWLL
#2
League position
#11
+5.6
Net rating
-13.3
118.7
Offensive rating
105.9
113.1
Defensive rating
119.2
55.5%
Effective FG%
51.9%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
15.7%
Turnover %
17.8%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
26.3%
0.45
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.1%
3-point %
35.7%
67.7%
Assist %
56.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence118.7 · 105.9Defence113.1 · 119.2Shooting55.5% · 51.9%3-point %34.1% · 35.7%Ball care15.7% · 17.8%Off. rebounds29.1% · 26.3%Free throws0.45 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Rytas   ■ Pieno Zvaigzdes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Rytas wins
2
Pieno Zvaigzdes wins
DateGameScore
29/03/23Rytas v Pieno Zvaigzdes118-73
18/03/23Pieno Zvaigzdes v Rytas75-104
14/02/23Pieno Zvaigzdes v Rytas72-107
12/03/22Rytas v Pieno Zvaigzdes99-66
28/12/21Rytas v Pieno Zvaigzdes91-75
18/09/21Pieno Zvaigzdes v Rytas66-76
07/04/21Rytas v Pieno Zvaigzdes87-88
03/04/21Pieno Zvaigzdes v Rytas75-84
07/11/20Pieno Zvaigzdes v Rytas82-79
26/09/20Rytas v Pieno Zvaigzdes106-82
Rytaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/06/23AZalgiris Kaunas87-97
08/06/23HZalgiris Kaunas69-68
06/06/23AZalgiris Kaunas80-95
03/06/23HZalgiris Kaunas94-71
01/06/23AZalgiris Kaunas93-108
25/05/23HJonava90-85
23/05/23AJonava82-67
20/05/23HJonava82-74
14/05/23ANeptunas95-91
12/05/23HNeptunas107-99 OT
Pieno Zvaigzdeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/05/23ALietkabelis90-95
02/05/23HJonava98-100 OT
30/04/23AJuventus81-84
26/04/23HGargzdai89-78
22/04/23HNeptunas78-87
20/04/23HZalgiris Kaunas61-88
17/04/23APrienai91-85
08/04/23HNevezis98-88
03/04/23ASiauliai89-95
29/03/23ARytas73-118

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rytas
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Pieno Zvaigzdes
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas110100%107.055.0+52.0
2 Jonava110100%94.077.0+17.0
3 Neptunas110100%91.081.0+10.0
4 BC Wolves110100%68.066.0+2.0
5 Siauliai1010%66.068.0-2.0
6 Lietkabelis1010%81.091.0-10.0
7 Nevezis1010%77.094.0-17.0
8 Gargzdai1010%55.0107.0-52.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rytas26342620106
Pieno Zvaigzdes1926182790
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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