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Rytas vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 14:50
Final 76-83
14-24 20-17 15-24 27-18
Position#2
Record16-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game82.6
vs
Position#1
Record17-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game92.3
Allowed / game74.9
LithuaniaLKL· Jeep arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Rytas v Zalgiris Kaunas
18 Apr 2027
RYT v ZAL
upcoming
02 Nov 2026
RYT89
ZAL94
19 Apr 2026
RYT70
ZAL75
27 Dec 2025
RYT81
ZAL90
19 Jun 2025
RYT83
ZAL84
14 Jun 2025
RYT79
ZAL83
09 Mar 2025
RYT76
ZAL83
06 Oct 2024
RYT91
ZAL88
12 Jun 2024
RYT88
ZAL87
07 Jun 2024
RYT104
ZAL94
05 Nov 2023
RYT67
ZAL81
08 Jun 2023
RYT69
ZAL68
03 Jun 2023
RYT94
ZAL71
06 Nov 2022
RYT89
ZAL85
27 Mar 2022
RYT87
ZAL74
23 Jan 2022
RYT67
ZAL72
05 Jun 2021
RYT70
ZAL92
28 Apr 2021
RYT81
ZAL90
25 Oct 2020
RYT72
ZAL84
13 Apr 2020
RYT v ZAL
upcoming
20 Oct 2019
RYT70
ZAL88
10 Mar 2019
RYT59
ZAL85
07 Oct 2018
RYT69
ZAL76
16 Jun 2018
RYT78
ZAL82
11 Jun 2018
RYT82
ZAL73
18 Feb 2018
RYT62
ZAL81
11 Feb 2018
RYT75
ZAL68
08 Oct 2017
RYT67
ZAL70
05 Feb 2017
RYT72
ZAL79
08 Oct 2016
RYT66
ZAL74
17 Jan 2016
RYT78
ZAL72
22 Nov 2015
RYT68
ZAL82
06 Jun 2015
RYT77
ZAL85
31 May 2015
RYT62
ZAL78
08 Mar 2015
RYT93
ZAL66
19 Oct 2014
RYT82
ZAL84
14 May 2014
RYT71
ZAL73
09 May 2014
RYT90
ZAL85
22 Dec 2013
RYT90
ZAL58
07 May 2013
RYT65
ZAL83
02 May 2013
RYT71
ZAL77
26 Nov 2012
RYT79
ZAL90
10 May 2012
RYT76
ZAL86
07 Jan 2012
RYT72
ZAL82
24 Apr 2010
RYT66
ZAL73
12 Dec 2009
RYT91
ZAL74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rytas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RytasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRytas
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#7
W
94-76
94
76
+18
94avg 87
A04/01
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
90-76
90
76
+14
93avg 87
H12/01
LKL
Neptunas
#2
L
77-92
77
92
-15
66avg 87
H18/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#5
W
84-80
84
80
+4
82avg 87
H25/01
LKL
Galatasaray
#6
W
86-66
86
66
+20
80avg 87
H29/01
Champions League
Siauliai
#8
W
89-79
89
79
+10
90avg 87
A01/02
LKL
Unicaja
#1
L
74-92
74
92
-18
77avg 87
A04/02
Champions League
BC Wolves
#4
W
88-84
88
84
+4
79avg 87
A08/02
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
99-98
99
98
+1
87avg 87
H01/03
LKL
Manisa
#25
W
98-74
98
74
+24
93avg 87
H05/03
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
29-18
22-17
22-15
17-26
26-17
25-8
22-25
23-23
20-19
18-25
16-25
11-15
30-28
20-17
23-20
15-20
19-17
26-19
26-10
17-20
23-32
28-14
21-13
15-20
19-22
27-22
13-28
25-22
18-21
25-18
20-23
28-35
25-24
24-16
22-23
27-20
27-22
24-16
20-16
169.6Avg total
87.9Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)90.282.6172.8+7.584%
Season at home (10)92.586.8179.3+5.780%
Season away (9)87.678.0165.6+9.689%
Last 10 (10)87.981.7169.6+6.280%
Last 5 (5)89.685.4175.0+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)77.483.4160.8-6.040%
vs Similar (1)86.066.0152.0+20.0100%
vs Weaker (24)91.581.5173.0+9.988%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Bayern
#7
L
82-97
82
97
-15
74avg 80
H30/01
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#4
W
97-84
97
84
+13
90avg 80
H02/02
LKL
Alba Berlin
#18
W
73-53
73
53
+20
67avg 80
H04/02
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
87-89
87
89
-2
72avg 80
H06/02
Euroleague
Siauliai
#8
W
111-81
111
81
+30
120avg 80
H09/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
79-56
79
56
+23
70avg 80
H15/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#2
W
91-89
91
89
+2
86avg 80
A16/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
86-80
86
80
+6
88avg 80
A27/02
Euroleague
Juventus
#6
W
84-81 OT
84
81
+3
81avg 80
H02/03
LKL
Baskonia
#14
L
65-66
65
66
-1
58avg 80
A06/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
13-23
28-26
23-26
28-29
36-16
20-17
13-22
25-12
12-10
18-15
18-16
16-24
26-26
24-17
21-22
29-25
30-20
24-20
28-16
24-13
14-14
20-18
21-11
21-25
22-20
25-24
23-20
23-22
21-21
23-17
19-20
21-13
20-22
18-22
11-13
12-18
18-20
13-10
22-18
163.1Avg total
85.5Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)92.374.9167.2+17.489%
Season at home (10)90.871.7162.5+19.1100%
Season away (9)93.978.4172.3+15.478%
Last 10 (10)85.577.6163.1+7.970%
Last 5 (5)81.074.4155.4+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)83.087.8170.8-4.825%
vs Similar (10)78.182.3160.4-4.230%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)92.775.6168.2+17.1100%
This opponent (Rytas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +6.7+6.7Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +1.5+1.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +6.7+6.7Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +1.5+1.5
RytasZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RytasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#7
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A04/01
LKL
Juventus
#6
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H12/01
LKL
Neptunas
#2
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H18/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#5
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H25/01
LKL
Galatasaray
#6
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H29/01
Champions League
Siauliai
#8
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A01/02
LKL
Unicaja
#1
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A04/02
Champions League
BC Wolves
#4
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A08/02
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
53-59
53
59
-6
H01/03
LKL
Manisa
#25
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H05/03
Champions League
88.2Avg total
43.5Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.841.886.6+3.160%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.641.687.2+4.162%-
Last 30 away (14)43.942.085.9+1.957%-
Last 10 (10)43.544.788.2-1.230%-
Last 5 (5)44.847.692.4-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)40.439.279.6+1.260%-
vs Similar (1)34.037.071.0-3.00%-
vs Weaker (24)46.242.588.7+3.762%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#7
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H30/01
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#4
W
64-45
64
45
+19
H02/02
LKL
Alba Berlin
#18
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H04/02
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H06/02
Euroleague
Siauliai
#8
W
59-45
59
45
+14
H09/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H15/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#2
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A16/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A27/02
Euroleague
Juventus
#6
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H02/03
LKL
Baskonia
#14
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A06/03
Euroleague
82.4Avg total
42.9Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.838.182.9+6.767%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.436.981.3+7.576%-
Last 30 away (13)45.339.785.0+5.654%-
Last 10 (10)42.939.582.4+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)39.237.676.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)49.534.584.0+15.0100%-
vs Similar (10)39.141.880.9-2.730%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)47.236.783.9+10.581%-
This opponent (Rytas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rytastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rytas: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.821.3
53.5%
55.6%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.4
36.7%
35.9%28.2
🏀 Free throws22.816.7
73.2%
75.0%16.7
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.317.7
54.8%
55.6%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.310.9
38.5%
35.9%32.7
🏀 Free throws21.316.8
78.9%
75.0%16.8
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rytas
WWWLWWWLWW
Zalgiris Kaunas
LWWWWWLWWL
#2
League position
#1
+9.5
Net rating
+12.2
115.5
Offensive rating
119.4
106.0
Defensive rating
107.1
54.1%
Effective FG%
56.2%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
16.5%
Turnover %
15.9%
33.8%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.35
36.7%
3-point %
38.5%
65.5%
Assist %
65.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence115.5 · 119.4Defence106.0 · 107.1Shooting54.1% · 56.2%3-point %36.7% · 38.5%Ball care16.5% · 15.9%Off. rebounds33.8% · 31.7%Free throws0.35 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Rytas   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Rytas wins
6
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
Rytaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/25HManisa98-74
01/03/25HNevezis99-98
08/02/25ABC Wolves88-84
04/02/25AUnicaja74-92
01/02/25ASiauliai89-79
29/01/25HGalatasaray86-66
25/01/25HJonava84-80
18/01/25HNeptunas77-92
12/01/25HJuventus90-76
04/01/25ANeptunas94-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/25ABaskonia65-66
02/03/25HJuventus84-81 OT
27/02/25ACrvena zvezda86-80
16/02/25ANeptunas91-89
15/02/25HLietkabelis79-56
09/02/25HSiauliai111-81
06/02/25HOlimpia Milano87-89
04/02/25HAlba Berlin73-53
02/02/25HBC Wolves97-84
30/01/25HBayern82-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rytas
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW84%
HomeWWWWW80%
AwayWLWWW89%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %84%80%89%
Points / game90.292.587.6
Allowed / game82.686.878.0
Point differential+7.5+5.7+9.6
Avg total172.8179.3165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%40%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %89%100%78%
Points / game92.390.893.9
Allowed / game74.971.778.4
Point differential+17.4+19.1+15.4
Avg total167.2162.5172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+63%70%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1917289%92.374.9+17.4
2 Rytas1916384%90.282.6+7.5
3 BC Wolves1912763%91.288.1+3.1
4 Lietkabelis20101050%82.881.7+1.1
5 Juventus20101050%84.084.5-0.6
6 Jonava1991047%86.690.4-3.8
7 Neptunas2081240%83.887.3-3.5
8 Siauliai1871139%92.397.2-4.8
9 Nevezis2051525%88.590.0-1.4
10 Mazeikiai2031715%81.395.5-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rytas1420152776
Zalgiris Kaunas2417241883
← all games of the day
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