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Baskonia vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 66-65
18-12 20-18 10-13 18-22
Position#14
Record11-16
FormLWWLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game82.7
Baskonia 🏆
vs
Zalgiris Kaunas
Position#13
Record13-14
FormWWWWW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game78.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 28· Fernando Buesa Arena
European cup2024
Meetings · Baskonia v Zalgiris Kaunas
28 Jan 2027
BAS v ZAL
upcoming
30 Jan 2026
BAS102
ZAL91
06 Mar 2025
BAS66
ZAL65
19 Oct 2023
BAS82
ZAL99
23 Nov 2022
BAS93
ZAL73
01 Apr 2022
BAS96
ZAL79
29 Jan 2021
BAS81
ZAL68
28 Feb 2019
BAS80
ZAL73
15 Mar 2018
BAS84
ZAL64
06 Apr 2017
BAS79
ZAL84
25 Feb 2016
BAS71
ZAL65
19 Oct 2012
BAS71
ZAL77
10 Nov 2010
BAS88
ZAL92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Breogan
#13
W
97-91
97
91
+6
89avg 78
H19/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#8
L
89-90
89
90
-1
74avg 78
A23/01
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#16
W
78-74
78
74
+4
60avg 78
A26/01
ACB
Barcelona
#6
W
88-86
88
86
+2
87avg 78
H30/01
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
L
73-94
73
94
-21
41avg 78
A02/02
ACB
Monaco
#4
L
85-92
85
92
-7
73avg 78
A05/02
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
89-82
89
82
+7
88avg 78
H07/02
Euroleague
Granada
#17
W
103-82
103
82
+21
90avg 78
H09/02
ACB
Partizan
#12
L
73-86
73
86
-13
62avg 78
A28/02
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
88-93
88
93
-5
84avg 78
A02/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
18-22
30-26
27-25
21-22
24-20
22-22
22-26
13-16
18-25
27-16
20-17
23-25
21-21
21-18
23-22
14-15
19-29
17-27
23-23
18-23
17-28
28-16
22-25
22-23
29-19
22-17
16-23
26-21
33-17
19-26
25-18
18-25
7-20
26-18
22-23
24-18
17-25
20-31
27-19
173.3Avg total
86.3Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)81.082.7163.6-1.741%
Season at home (14)85.480.8166.2+4.664%
Season away (13)76.284.7160.8-8.515%
Last 10 (10)86.387.0173.3-0.750%
Last 5 (5)87.687.0174.6+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)83.793.2176.9-9.520%
vs Similar ◀ (14)82.781.9164.6+0.850%
vs Weaker (6)89.080.3169.3+8.783%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#10
W
88-82
88
82
+6
82avg 80
A26/01
LKL
Bayern
#7
L
82-97
82
97
-15
74avg 80
H30/01
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#4
W
97-84
97
84
+13
90avg 80
H02/02
LKL
Alba Berlin
#18
W
73-53
73
53
+20
67avg 80
H04/02
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
87-89
87
89
-2
72avg 80
H06/02
Euroleague
Siauliai
#8
W
111-81
111
81
+30
120avg 80
H09/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
79-56
79
56
+23
70avg 80
H15/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#2
W
91-89
91
89
+2
86avg 80
A16/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
86-80
86
80
+6
88avg 80
A27/02
Euroleague
Juventus
#6
W
84-81 OT
84
81
+3
81avg 80
H02/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
15-24
33-21
21-20
18-22
13-23
28-26
23-26
28-29
36-16
20-17
13-22
25-12
12-10
18-15
18-16
16-24
26-26
24-17
21-22
29-25
30-20
24-20
28-16
24-13
14-14
20-18
21-11
21-25
22-20
25-24
23-20
23-22
21-21
23-17
19-20
21-13
20-22
18-22
11-13
167.0Avg total
87.8Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)77.978.5156.3-0.648%
Season at home (15)76.376.0152.3+0.353%
Season away (12)79.881.6161.3-1.842%
Last 10 (10)87.879.2167.0+8.680%
Last 5 (5)90.277.4167.6+12.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)83.087.8170.8-4.825%
vs Similar ◀ (10)78.684.0162.6-5.430%
vs Weaker (16)92.775.6168.2+17.1100%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +1.2+1.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +1.2+1.2
BaskoniaZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Breogan
#13
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H19/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#8
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A23/01
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#16
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A26/01
ACB
Barcelona
#6
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H30/01
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A02/02
ACB
Monaco
#4
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A05/02
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H07/02
Euroleague
Granada
#17
W
59-38
59
38
+21
H09/02
ACB
Partizan
#12
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A28/02
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A02/03
ACB
83.6Avg total
40.4Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.942.282.1-2.333%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.640.684.2+2.943%-
Last 30 away (16)36.743.680.2-6.925%-
Last 10 (10)40.443.283.6-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)42.243.886.0-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.544.784.2-5.230%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.942.682.4-2.736%-
vs Weaker (6)40.737.277.8+3.533%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#10
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A26/01
LKL
Bayern
#7
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H30/01
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#4
W
64-45
64
45
+19
H02/02
LKL
Alba Berlin
#18
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H04/02
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H06/02
Euroleague
Siauliai
#8
W
59-45
59
45
+14
H09/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H15/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#2
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A16/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A27/02
Euroleague
Juventus
#6
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H02/03
LKL
83.1Avg total
43.3Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.238.083.2+7.270%-
Last 30 at home (18)44.336.881.1+7.578%-
Last 30 away (12)46.639.886.4+6.858%-
Last 10 (10)43.339.883.1+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)45.039.084.0+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)49.534.584.0+15.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.341.581.8-1.240%-
vs Weaker (16)47.236.783.9+10.581%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.319.2
50.1%
54.5%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.410.4
36.6%
36.2%31.2
🏀 Free throws20.115.7
78.1%
78.0%15.7
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.917.1
55.3%
54.5%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.611.9
40.2%
36.2%35.7
🏀 Free throws21.617.3
80.1%
78.0%17.3
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
LLWWLLWWLW
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWWLWWLW
#14
League position
#13
-1.5
Net rating
+13.1
114.4
Offensive rating
121.5
115.9
Defensive rating
108.4
52.2%
Effective FG%
57.8%
55.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
15.5%
Turnover %
15.4%
32.7%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.36
36.6%
3-point %
40.2%
56.8%
Assist %
64.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence114.4 · 121.5Defence115.9 · 108.4Shooting52.2% · 57.8%3-point %36.6% · 40.2%Ball care15.5% · 15.4%Off. rebounds32.7% · 29.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Baskonia   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Baskonia wins
5
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateGameScore
28/11/24Zalgiris Kaunas v Baskonia70-83
21/03/24Zalgiris Kaunas v Baskonia94-76
19/10/23Baskonia v Zalgiris Kaunas82-99
10/02/23Zalgiris Kaunas v Baskonia79-75
23/11/22Baskonia v Zalgiris Kaunas93-73
01/04/22Baskonia v Zalgiris Kaunas96-79
02/12/21Zalgiris Kaunas v Baskonia72-68
29/01/21Baskonia v Zalgiris Kaunas81-68
15/12/20Zalgiris Kaunas v Baskonia92-73
28/02/19Baskonia v Zalgiris Kaunas80-73
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25AMoraBanc Andorra88-93
28/02/25APartizan73-86
09/02/25HGranada103-82
07/02/25HMaccabi Tel Aviv89-82
05/02/25AMonaco85-92
02/02/25AUnicaja73-94
30/01/25HBarcelona88-86
26/01/25AForca Lleida78-74
23/01/25AReal Madrid89-90
19/01/25HBreogan97-91
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25HJuventus84-81 OT
27/02/25ACrvena zvezda86-80
16/02/25ANeptunas91-89
15/02/25HLietkabelis79-56
09/02/25HSiauliai111-81
06/02/25HOlimpia Milano87-89
04/02/25HAlba Berlin73-53
02/02/25HBC Wolves97-84
30/01/25HBayern82-97
26/01/25AMazeikiai88-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL41%
HomeLLWWW64%
AwayLLLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %41%64%15%
Points / game81.085.476.2
Allowed / game82.780.884.7
Point differential-1.7+4.6-8.5
Avg total163.6166.2160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%29%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)43% (7)0% (3)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW48%
HomeLWLWL53%
AwayWLLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %48%53%42%
Points / game77.976.379.8
Allowed / game78.576.081.6
Point differential-0.6+0.3-1.8
Avg total156.3152.3161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%20%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2720774%88.081.9+6.1
2 Fenerbahce2718967%81.880.5+1.3
3 Panathinaikos27171063%87.483.4+4.0
4 Monaco28171161%86.582.8+3.7
5 Crvena zvezda27161159%81.980.2+1.7
6 Bayern27161159%86.186.5-0.4
7 Paris28161257%85.485.0+0.3
8 Partizan27151256%83.479.1+4.2
9 Olimpia Milano27151256%85.685.3+0.3
10 Barcelona27141352%87.284.6+2.7
11 Real Madrid27141352%84.982.9+2.0
12 Anadolu Efes27131448%85.282.7+2.5
13 Zalgiris Kaunas27131448%77.978.5-0.6
14 Baskonia27111641%81.082.7-1.7
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne27111641%80.884.6-3.7
16 Virtus Bologna2772026%79.884.7-4.9
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv2772026%84.689.8-5.1
18 Alba Berlin2742315%78.691.1-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baskonia1820101866
Zalgiris Kaunas1218132265
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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