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Rytas vs Jonava Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 84-80
11-15 30-28 20-17 23-20
Position#2
Record12-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game81.9
Rytas 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Position#5
Record7-8
FormLWWLL
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game90.7
LithuaniaLKL· Jeep arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Rytas v Jonava
03 Apr 2027
RYT v JON
upcoming
15 Nov 2026
RYT v JON
upcoming
22 Apr 2026
RYT98
JON81
09 Nov 2025
RYT104
JON72
29 Apr 2025
RYT112
JON82
25 Jan 2025
RYT84
JON80
13 May 2024
RYT110
JON77
27 Jan 2024
RYT110
JON88
25 May 2023
RYT90
JON85
20 May 2023
RYT82
JON74
18 Feb 2023
RYT86
JON92
15 Oct 2022
RYT71
JON78
13 Nov 2021
RYT76
JON60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rytas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jonava winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RytasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRytas
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#10
W
93-83
93
83
+10
88avg 88
A30/11
LKL
Reggiana
#26
W
94-84 OT
94
84
+10
89avg 88
H04/12
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
67-78
67
78
-11
60avg 88
A08/12
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
89-69
89
69
+20
93avg 88
H14/12
LKL
Slask Wroclaw
#38
W
98-88
98
88
+10
89avg 88
A18/12
Champions League
Neptunas
#2
W
78-67
78
67
+11
79avg 88
A21/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
W
90-78
90
78
+12
87avg 88
H28/12
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
94-76
94
76
+18
94avg 88
A04/01
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
90-76
90
76
+14
93avg 88
H12/01
LKL
Neptunas
#2
L
77-92
77
92
-15
66avg 88
H18/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
29-23
23-20
25-21
23-23
23-22
16-10
19-26
21-19
11-20
16-18
19-21
24-21
20-16
23-17
22-15
29-17
22-27
24-19
23-25
24-16
19-22
15-18
20-11
20-23
27-17
17-21
26-17
21-26
29-18
22-17
22-15
17-26
26-17
25-8
22-25
23-23
20-19
18-25
16-25
166.1Avg total
87.0Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)90.281.9172.1+8.380%
Season at home (8)92.886.2179.0+6.575%
Season away (7)87.377.0164.3+10.386%
Last 10 (10)87.079.1166.1+7.980%
Last 5 (5)85.877.8163.6+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.281.2159.5-3.050%
vs Similar (4)90.590.0180.5+0.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)91.082.0172.9+9.082%
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
64-101
64
101
-37
49avg 76
A01/12
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
104-90
104
90
+14
99avg 76
A04/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
L
93-98
93
98
-5
85avg 76
H08/12
LKL
Mazeikiai
#9
L
76-78
76
78
-2
66avg 76
A11/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#8
L
93-103
93
103
-10
84avg 76
A16/12
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
77-95
77
95
-18
57avg 76
H22/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#7
W
86-82
86
82
+4
83avg 76
H28/12
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
83-72
83
72
+11
76avg 76
A05/01
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
91-94
91
94
-3
84avg 76
H11/01
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
72-85
72
85
-13
53avg 76
A18/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-19
13-27
25-27
16-28
17-29
28-26
24-19
35-16
28-26
23-23
13-23
29-26
15-10
11-19
22-15
28-34
25-30
16-13
20-32
32-28
17-24
18-23
22-22
20-26
20-18
21-20
23-30
22-14
22-19
17-13
17-19
27-21
25-24
25-27
27-20
14-23
20-18
17-22
17-21
18-24
173.7Avg total
83.9Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)87.390.7177.9-3.447%
Season at home (8)88.489.9178.2-1.550%
Season away (7)86.091.6177.6-5.643%
Last 10 (10)83.989.8173.7-5.930%
Last 5 (5)81.885.6167.4-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)82.795.4178.1-12.822%
vs Similar (15)89.790.4180.1-0.747%
vs Weaker (6)88.781.3170.0+7.367%
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.1+0.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.1+0.1
RytasJonava
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RytasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#10
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A30/11
LKL
Reggiana
#26
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H04/12
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A08/12
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H14/12
LKL
Slask Wroclaw
#38
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A18/12
Champions League
Neptunas
#2
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A21/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H28/12
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A04/01
LKL
Juventus
#6
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H12/01
LKL
Neptunas
#2
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H18/01
King Mindaugas Cup
85.8Avg total
44.4Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.841.986.7+3.067%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.641.987.5+3.869%-
Last 30 away (14)43.941.985.8+2.164%-
Last 10 (10)44.441.485.8+3.080%-
Last 5 (5)45.241.486.6+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)42.038.580.5+3.575%-
vs Similar (4)43.545.288.8-1.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)45.641.987.5+3.768%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
23-46
23
46
-23
A01/12
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A04/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H08/12
LKL
Mazeikiai
#9
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A11/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#8
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A16/12
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H22/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#7
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H28/12
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A05/01
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H11/01
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A18/01
King Mindaugas Cup
81.8Avg total
38.8Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.244.987.1-2.830%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.544.788.1-1.240%-
Last 30 away (15)40.945.286.1-4.320%-
Last 10 (10)38.843.081.8-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)40.441.682.0-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)41.147.088.1-5.911%-
vs Similar (15)44.146.490.5-2.333%-
vs Weaker (6)38.838.277.0+0.750%-
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rytastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rytas: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.822.8
54.5%
55.6%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.8
32.2%
35.9%23.4
🏀 Free throws22.417.0
75.9%
75.0%17.0
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.721.2
54.8%
55.6%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.77.3
28.4%
35.9%21.9
🏀 Free throws24.018.4
76.7%
75.0%18.4
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rytas
LWWWWWWLWW
Jonava
LLWWLLLLWL
#2
League position
#5
+10.7
Net rating
-8.5
113.2
Offensive rating
106.9
102.5
Defensive rating
115.4
52.3%
Effective FG%
49.9%
46.3%
Opp. effective FG%
57.1%
17.0%
Turnover %
18.3%
35.3%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.37
32.2%
3-point %
28.4%
69.3%
Assist %
57.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence113.2 · 106.9Defence102.5 · 115.4Shooting52.3% · 49.9%3-point %32.2% · 28.4%Ball care17.0% · 18.3%Off. rebounds35.3% · 31.4%Free throws0.34 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Rytas   ■ Jonava
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Rytas wins
0
Jonava wins
DateGameScore
03/11/24Jonava v Rytas74-94
15/05/24Jonava v Rytas90-96
13/05/24Rytas v Jonava110-77
28/04/24Jonava v Rytas85-98
27/01/24Rytas v Jonava110-88
18/11/23Jonava v Rytas89-101
25/05/23Rytas v Jonava90-85
23/05/23Jonava v Rytas67-82
20/05/23Rytas v Jonava82-74
23/04/23Jonava v Rytas81-106
Rytaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25HNeptunas77-92
12/01/25HJuventus90-76
04/01/25ANeptunas94-76
28/12/24HLietkabelis90-78
21/12/24ANeptunas78-67
18/12/24ASlask Wroclaw98-88
14/12/24HNevezis89-69
08/12/24AZalgiris Kaunas67-78
04/12/24HReggiana94-84 OT
30/11/24AMazeikiai93-83
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25ABC Wolves72-85
11/01/25HBC Wolves91-94
05/01/25AMazeikiai83-72
28/12/24HNeptunas86-82
22/12/24HBC Wolves77-95
16/12/24ASiauliai93-103
11/12/24AMazeikiai76-78
08/12/24HJuventus93-98
04/12/24ASiauliai104-90
01/12/24AZalgiris Kaunas64-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rytas
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayWWWLW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %80%75%86%
Points / game90.292.887.3
Allowed / game81.986.277.0
Point differential+8.3+6.5+10.3
Avg total172.1179.0164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%50%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Jonava
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL47%
HomeLWLWL50%
AwayWWLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %47%50%43%
Points / game87.388.486.0
Allowed / game90.789.991.6
Point differential-3.4-1.5-5.6
Avg total177.9178.2177.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%25%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1513287%91.573.0+18.5
2 Rytas1512380%90.281.9+8.3
3 BC Wolves1411379%92.887.4+5.4
4 Lietkabelis157847%81.181.3-0.2
5 Juventus157847%82.985.7-2.8
6 Jonava157847%87.390.7-3.4
7 Siauliai156940%93.398.3-5.0
8 Neptunas1661038%82.987.8-4.8
9 Nevezis1531220%86.089.7-3.7
10 Mazeikiai1531220%83.394.9-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rytas1130202384
Jonava1528172080
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