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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Juventus Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 14:50
Final 84-81 (OT)
21-13 20-22 18-22 11-13 14-11
Position#1
Record16-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game92.7
Allowed / game74.6
vs
Position#6
Record10-8
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game85.1
LithuaniaLKL· Zalgirio Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Juventus
04 Apr 2027
ZAL v JUV
upcoming
31 Jan 2027
ZAL v JUV
upcoming
12 Jun 2026
ZAL95
JUV77
07 Jun 2026
ZAL107
JUV75
15 May 2026
ZAL108
JUV93
05 Oct 2025
ZAL98
JUV68
02 Mar 2025
ZAL84
JUV81
03 Nov 2024
ZAL84
JUV67
08 May 2024
ZAL92
JUV62
05 Feb 2024
ZAL101
JUV63
05 May 2023
ZAL92
JUV78
30 Oct 2022
ZAL109
JUV76
21 Nov 2021
ZAL101
JUV77
29 May 2021
ZAL93
JUV75
24 May 2021
ZAL100
JUV75
20 Apr 2021
ZAL97
JUV79
18 Oct 2020
ZAL84
JUV63
25 Apr 2020
ZAL v JUV
upcoming
03 Nov 2019
ZAL86
JUV80
02 May 2019
ZAL82
JUV68
23 Dec 2018
ZAL72
JUV69
07 May 2018
ZAL82
JUV56
05 Oct 2017
ZAL88
JUV66
26 Apr 2017
ZAL90
JUV76
24 Sep 2016
ZAL90
JUV70
16 May 2016
ZAL80
JUV72
10 May 2016
ZAL91
JUV76
07 Mar 2016
ZAL84
JUV86
03 Jan 2016
ZAL90
JUV78
19 May 2015
ZAL96
JUV49
13 May 2015
ZAL81
JUV53
16 Mar 2015
ZAL76
JUV62
30 Sep 2014
ZAL75
JUV76
24 Feb 2014
ZAL85
JUV71
31 Mar 2012
ZAL81
JUV60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Juventus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#3
L
76-89
76
89
-13
72avg 80
A23/01
Euroleague
Mazeikiai
#10
W
88-82
88
82
+6
82avg 80
A26/01
LKL
Bayern
#7
L
82-97
82
97
-15
74avg 80
H30/01
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#4
W
97-84
97
84
+13
90avg 80
H02/02
LKL
Alba Berlin
#18
W
73-53
73
53
+20
67avg 80
H04/02
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
87-89
87
89
-2
72avg 80
H06/02
Euroleague
Siauliai
#8
W
111-81
111
81
+30
120avg 80
H09/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
79-56
79
56
+23
70avg 80
H15/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#2
W
91-89
91
89
+2
86avg 80
A16/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
86-80
86
80
+6
88avg 80
A27/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
26-17
19-26
6-29
19-17
15-24
33-21
21-20
18-22
13-23
28-26
23-26
28-29
36-16
20-17
13-22
25-12
12-10
18-15
18-16
16-24
26-26
24-17
21-22
29-25
30-20
24-20
28-16
24-13
14-14
20-18
21-11
21-25
22-20
25-24
23-20
23-22
21-21
23-17
19-20
167.0Avg total
87.0Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)92.774.6167.3+18.289%
Season at home (9)91.670.7162.2+20.9100%
Season away (9)93.978.4172.3+15.478%
Last 10 (10)87.080.0167.0+7.070%
Last 5 (5)90.879.0169.8+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)83.285.6168.8-2.440%
vs Similar (10)78.684.0162.6-5.430%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)93.375.2168.5+18.1100%
This opponent (Juventus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JuventusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuventus
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#9
L
82-85
82
85
-3
72avg 78
H03/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#5
W
98-93
98
93
+5
90avg 78
A08/12
LKL
Neptunas
#2
L
82-93
82
93
-11
74avg 78
H12/12
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#4
L
100-110
100
110
-10
88avg 78
H15/12
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
67-128
67
128
-61
56avg 78
H29/12
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
100-98
100
98
+2
100avg 78
A04/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
76-90
76
90
-14
62avg 78
A12/01
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
91-84
91
84
+7
87avg 78
H26/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
98-90
98
90
+8
94avg 78
A01/02
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
92-72
92
72
+20
87avg 78
H10/02
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
24-18
22-16
18-28
26-28
23-23
23-13
26-29
17-23
28-20
18-31
19-19
26-19
30-28
20-28
24-35
11-29
17-33
19-34
20-32
18-23
35-19
21-27
26-29
26-17
17-26
8-25
25-22
21-28
21-22
29-11
20-23
24-19
23-23
22-19
29-29
14-20
23-19
29-15
26-18
182.9Avg total
88.6Scored
94.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)84.785.1169.7-0.456%
Season at home (9)85.691.8177.3-6.233%
Season away (9)83.878.3162.1+5.478%
Last 10 (10)88.694.3182.9-5.750%
Last 5 (5)91.486.8178.2+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)79.393.6172.9-14.320%
vs Similar (15)88.586.7175.2+1.753%
vs Weaker (4)87.869.0156.8+18.875%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -3.1-3.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -3.1-3.1
Zalgiris KaunasJuventus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#3
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A23/01
Euroleague
Mazeikiai
#10
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A26/01
LKL
Bayern
#7
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H30/01
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#4
W
64-45
64
45
+19
H02/02
LKL
Alba Berlin
#18
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H04/02
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H06/02
Euroleague
Siauliai
#8
W
59-45
59
45
+14
H09/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H15/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#2
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A16/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A27/02
Euroleague
84.0Avg total
44.3Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.538.283.7+7.270%-
Last 30 at home (18)44.737.281.9+7.678%-
Last 30 away (12)46.639.886.4+6.858%-
Last 10 (10)44.339.784.0+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)45.242.087.2+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)49.436.085.4+13.4100%-
vs Similar (10)40.341.581.8-1.240%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)47.636.884.4+10.880%-
This opponent (Juventus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JuventusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#9
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H03/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#5
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A08/12
LKL
Neptunas
#2
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H12/12
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#4
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H15/12
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
28-62
28
62
-34
H29/12
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A04/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A12/01
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H26/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A01/02
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H10/02
LKL
90.2Avg total
44.2Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.643.486.0-0.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.645.990.5-1.257%-
Last 30 away (16)40.841.282.0-0.550%-
Last 10 (10)44.246.090.2-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)44.443.287.6+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)39.745.485.1-5.740%-
vs Similar (15)45.043.188.1+1.960%-
vs Weaker (4)42.039.081.0+3.075%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.916.9
54.7%
55.6%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.111.5
39.5%
35.9%34.5
🏀 Free throws21.717.9
82.5%
75.0%17.9
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Juventustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Juventus: 87.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.421.3
55.5%
55.6%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.3
34.9%
35.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws25.820.3
78.7%
75.0%20.3
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWLWWLWL
Juventus
WWWLWLLLWL
#1
League position
#6
+10.4
Net rating
-7.3
121.0
Offensive rating
115.9
110.6
Defensive rating
123.2
56.9%
Effective FG%
54.3%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
60.5%
15.1%
Turnover %
18.3%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
34.8%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.41
39.5%
3-point %
34.9%
65.5%
Assist %
53.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence121.0 · 115.9Defence110.6 · 123.2Shooting56.9% · 54.3%3-point %39.5% · 34.9%Ball care15.1% · 18.3%Off. rebounds29.1% · 34.8%Free throws0.36 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Juventus
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
0
Juventus wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/25ACrvena zvezda86-80
16/02/25ANeptunas91-89
15/02/25HLietkabelis79-56
09/02/25HSiauliai111-81
06/02/25HOlimpia Milano87-89
04/02/25HAlba Berlin73-53
02/02/25HBC Wolves97-84
30/01/25HBayern82-97
26/01/25AMazeikiai88-82
23/01/25APanathinaikos76-89
Juventuslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/25HMazeikiai92-72
01/02/25ALietkabelis98-90
26/01/25HNevezis91-84
12/01/25ARytas76-90
04/01/25ASiauliai100-98
29/12/24HZalgiris Kaunas67-128
15/12/24HBC Wolves100-110
12/12/24HNeptunas82-93
08/12/24AJonava98-93
03/12/24HMazeikiai82-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %89%100%78%
Points / game92.791.693.9
Allowed / game74.670.778.4
Point differential+18.2+20.9+15.4
Avg total167.3162.2172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%78%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Juventus
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW56%
HomeWLLWW33%
AwayWWWLW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %56%33%78%
Points / game84.785.683.8
Allowed / game85.191.878.3
Point differential-0.4-6.2+5.4
Avg total169.7177.3162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%22%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)0% (1)100% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1816289%92.774.6+18.2
2 Rytas1916384%90.282.6+7.5
3 BC Wolves1811761%90.388.2+2.2
4 Juventus1810856%84.785.1-0.4
5 Jonava1991047%86.690.4-3.8
6 Lietkabelis1881044%82.782.6+0.1
7 Neptunas1871139%84.487.4-3.0
8 Siauliai1761135%91.898.5-6.8
9 Nevezis1951426%88.990.3-1.4
10 Mazeikiai1831517%81.594.6-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Zalgiris Kaunas212018111484
Juventus132222131181
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