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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 87-89
16-24 26-26 24-17 21-22
Position#13
Record12-13
FormLWLWW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game78.0
vs
Position#11
Record13-12
FormLWWWL
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game85.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 26· Zalgirio Arena
European cup2024
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Olimpia Milano
12 Mar 2027
ZAL v MIL
upcoming
16 Oct 2025
ZAL78
MIL89
06 Feb 2025
ZAL87
MIL89
28 Mar 2024
ZAL87
MIL73
18 Nov 2022
ZAL71
MIL62
08 Feb 2022
ZAL70
MIL74
05 Mar 2021
ZAL64
MIL69
29 Nov 2018
ZAL83
MIL78
20 Mar 2018
ZAL77
MIL65
31 Mar 2017
ZAL84
MIL88
29 Nov 2013
ZAL73
MIL71
01 Nov 2012
ZAL92
MIL87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#8
L
64-83
64
83
-19
52avg 80
H10/01
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
88-86
88
86
+2
84avg 80
H12/01
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
77-68
77
68
+9
72avg 80
H15/01
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
86-98
86
98
-12
79avg 80
A17/01
Euroleague
Siauliai
#8
W
92-85
92
85
+7
94avg 80
H20/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Panathinaikos
#3
L
76-89
76
89
-13
72avg 80
A23/01
Euroleague
Mazeikiai
#10
W
88-82
88
82
+6
82avg 80
A26/01
LKL
Bayern
#7
L
82-97
82
97
-15
74avg 80
H30/01
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#4
W
97-84
97
84
+13
90avg 80
H02/02
LKL
Alba Berlin
#18
W
73-53
73
53
+20
67avg 80
H04/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-15
8-20
12-20
18-28
26-21
23-24
18-20
21-21
25-13
16-19
20-19
16-17
20-17
27-17
21-28
18-36
21-19
29-22
18-22
24-22
25-17
26-17
19-26
6-29
19-17
15-24
33-21
21-20
18-22
13-23
28-26
23-26
28-29
36-16
20-17
13-22
25-12
12-10
18-15
18-16
164.8Avg total
82.3Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)77.278.0155.2-0.848%
Season at home (14)75.675.1150.6+0.557%
Season away (11)79.281.7160.9-2.536%
Last 10 (10)82.382.5164.8-0.260%
Last 5 (5)83.281.0164.2+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)80.283.3163.5-3.233%
vs Similar ◀ (10)76.483.1159.5-6.720%
vs Weaker (14)94.072.7166.7+21.3100%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
107-74
107
74
+33
106avg 80
A09/01
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
W
108-106
108
106
+2
102avg 80
H12/01
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#18
W
100-68
100
68
+32
103avg 80
H14/01
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
L
70-90
70
90
-20
59avg 80
H16/01
Euroleague
Venezia
#8
L
72-85
72
85
-13
60avg 80
A19/01
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
66-110
66
110
-44
55avg 80
A23/01
Euroleague
Trieste
#6
W
87-74
87
74
+13
87avg 80
H26/01
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#3
W
87-75
87
75
+12
83avg 80
H30/01
Euroleague
Varese
#12
W
119-92
119
92
+27
122avg 80
H02/02
Lega A
Bayern
#7
L
70-87
70
87
-17
60avg 80
A04/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
25-23
33-17
29-20
28-29
27-22
29-25
24-30
23-19
24-24
31-10
22-15
17-17
23-20
18-27
12-26
22-21
21-28
19-18
10-18
9-24
22-32
17-31
18-23
25-23
21-23
26-22
15-6
17-16
22-21
27-13
21-25
28-22
35-27
32-18
24-25
16-17
20-20
19-31
15-19
174.7Avg total
88.6Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)85.485.4170.8+0.052%
Season at home (13)87.582.5170.1+5.062%
Season away (12)83.188.5171.6-5.442%
Last 10 (10)88.686.1174.7+2.560%
Last 5 (5)85.887.6173.4-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)82.589.7172.2-7.250%
vs Similar ◀ (15)85.381.2166.5+4.167%
vs Weaker (9)101.489.7191.1+11.867%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: -5.9-5.9Q4: -1.7-1.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: -5.9-5.9Q4: -1.7-1.7
Zalgiris KaunasOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#8
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H10/01
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H12/01
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H15/01
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A17/01
Euroleague
Siauliai
#8
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H20/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Panathinaikos
#3
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A23/01
Euroleague
Mazeikiai
#10
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A26/01
LKL
Bayern
#7
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H30/01
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#4
W
64-45
64
45
+19
H02/02
LKL
Alba Berlin
#18
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H04/02
Euroleague
81.2Avg total
43.8Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.437.281.7+7.267%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.835.979.7+7.876%-
Last 30 away (13)45.338.984.2+6.454%-
Last 10 (10)43.837.481.2+6.470%-
Last 5 (5)43.437.480.8+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)45.537.282.7+8.383%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)38.140.078.1-1.930%-
vs Weaker (14)48.535.383.8+13.286%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A09/01
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H12/01
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#18
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H14/01
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H16/01
Euroleague
Venezia
#8
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A19/01
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
31-56
31
56
-25
A23/01
Euroleague
Trieste
#6
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H26/01
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#3
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H30/01
Euroleague
Varese
#12
W
63-49
63
49
+14
H02/02
Lega A
Bayern
#7
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A04/02
Euroleague
88.7Avg total
44.5Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.543.588.0+1.060%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.843.489.2+2.469%-
Last 30 away (14)43.143.686.6-0.550%-
Last 10 (10)44.544.288.7+0.360%-
Last 5 (5)43.045.088.0-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.546.084.5-7.533%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)43.340.984.2+2.560%-
vs Weaker (9)50.646.296.8+4.378%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.116.2
53.8%
54.5%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.110.8
37.1%
36.2%32.4
🏀 Free throws21.816.9
77.5%
78.0%16.9
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 87.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.319.1
57.4%
54.5%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.710.9
42.4%
36.2%32.7
🏀 Free throws20.616.9
82.0%
78.0%16.9
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWLWLWLWWL
Olimpia Milano
LWWWLLLWWW
#13
League position
#11
+0.6
Net rating
+3.5
113.7
Offensive rating
124.6
113.2
Defensive rating
121.1
54.7%
Effective FG%
60.1%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
15.2%
Turnover %
15.6%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.35
37.1%
3-point %
42.4%
69.3%
Assist %
56.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.7 · 124.6Defence113.2 · 121.1Shooting54.7% · 60.1%3-point %37.1% · 42.4%Ball care15.2% · 15.6%Off. rebounds25.8% · 29.3%Free throws0.37 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/25HAlba Berlin73-53
02/02/25HBC Wolves97-84
30/01/25HBayern82-97
26/01/25AMazeikiai88-82
23/01/25APanathinaikos76-89
20/01/25HSiauliai92-85
17/01/25AFenerbahce86-98
15/01/25HVirtus Bologna77-68
12/01/25HNevezis88-86
10/01/25HReal Madrid64-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/25ABayern70-87
02/02/25HVarese119-92
30/01/25HPanathinaikos87-75
26/01/25HTrieste87-74
23/01/25AAnadolu Efes66-110
19/01/25AVenezia72-85
16/01/25HPartizan70-90
14/01/25HAlba Berlin100-68
12/01/25HReggiana108-106
09/01/25AMaccabi Tel Aviv107-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW48%
HomeLLWLW57%
AwayWWLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251411
Win %48%57%36%
Points / game77.275.679.2
Allowed / game78.075.181.7
Point differential-0.8+0.5-2.5
Avg total155.2150.6160.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%21%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL52%
HomeLLWLW62%
AwayLWWLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %52%62%42%
Points / game85.487.583.1
Allowed / game85.482.588.5
Point differential+0.0+5.0-5.4
Avg total170.8170.1171.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%31%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)25% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2518772%87.882.1+5.7
2 Fenerbahce2517868%81.879.9+1.9
3 Monaco2516964%87.282.6+4.6
4 Panathinaikos25151060%86.482.8+3.6
5 Crvena zvezda25151060%82.280.3+1.8
6 Bayern25151060%86.587.0-0.6
7 Paris24141058%85.584.9+0.6
8 Barcelona25141156%87.083.9+3.2
9 Partizan25131252%83.279.8+3.4
10 Olimpia Milano25131252%85.485.4+0.0
11 Real Madrid26131350%84.582.5+1.9
12 Anadolu Efes25121348%84.682.3+2.3
13 Zalgiris Kaunas25121348%77.278.0-0.8
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne25111444%80.984.4-3.6
15 Baskonia25101540%81.082.6-1.6
16 Virtus Bologna2571828%80.384.5-4.2
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv2561924%84.490.4-6.0
18 Alba Berlin2542116%79.191.4-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas1626242187
Olimpia Milano2426172289
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