PythiaBasketballBETA
B League· Okinawa Arena
Ryukyu will host Toyama on 16 November 2026 in the B League, with the Pythia model designating Ryukyu as the favourite at 83% versus 17% for Toyama, a reflection of Ryukyu's 8-8 season record and 83.4 points per game against 81.6 allowed, while Toyama's 9-8 record shows 82.6 points scored and 88.4 conceded; Ryukyu's 6-2 home record and 86.8 points per game at home contrast with Toyama's 6-3 road record and 89.2 points per game on the road, and the last five games for Ryukyu include a single win and four losses, whereas Toyama's last five feature two wins and three losses, with Toyama's recent loss to SeaHorses Mikawa 70-111 standing out; Ryukyu has dominated the head-to-head series 9-1, most recently beating Toyama 89-60 on 1 April 2026, and the projected score is 91-80 with a total of 171.4 points, giving Ryukyu a strong chance to cover the spread and a 3% chance of overtime.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (16) | 83.4 | 81.6 | 165.1 | +1.8 | 50% |
| Season at home (8) | 86.8 | 77.0 | 163.8 | +9.8 | 75% |
| Season away (8) | 80.1 | 86.2 | 166.4 | -6.1 | 25% |
| Last 10 (10) | 87.1 | 86.5 | 173.6 | +0.6 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 82.2 | 87.4 | 169.6 | -5.2 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (10) | 76.4 | 78.0 | 154.4 | -1.6 | 50% |
| vs Similar (10) | 84.4 | 76.8 | 161.2 | +7.6 | 60% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (9) | 88.4 | 82.8 | 171.2 | +5.7 | 67% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (17) | 82.6 | 88.4 | 171.0 | -5.8 | 53% |
| Season at home (8) | 75.1 | 84.8 | 159.9 | -9.6 | 38% |
| Season away (9) | 89.2 | 91.7 | 180.9 | -2.4 | 67% |
| Last 10 (10) | 80.3 | 90.8 | 171.1 | -10.5 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 79.8 | 93.4 | 173.2 | -13.6 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (21) | 79.0 | 88.4 | 167.4 | -9.5 | 38% |
| vs Similar (6) | 94.3 | 85.8 | 180.2 | +8.5 | 83% |
| vs Weaker (3) | 89.0 | 75.3 | 164.3 | +13.7 | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.2 | 40.1 | 81.3 | +1.1 | 50% | - |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 44.5 | 41.2 | 85.6 | +3.3 | 54% | - |
| Last 30 away (17) | 38.8 | 39.3 | 78.1 | -0.5 | 47% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 41.6 | 43.0 | 84.6 | -1.4 | 40% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 38.4 | 42.4 | 80.8 | -4.0 | 20% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (10) | 38.9 | 39.7 | 78.6 | -0.8 | 40% | - |
| vs Similar (10) | 40.7 | 38.2 | 78.9 | +2.5 | 50% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (9) | 43.1 | 42.1 | 85.2 | +1.0 | 56% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.8 | 43.8 | 85.6 | -2.0 | 43% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 40.1 | 41.3 | 81.4 | -1.1 | 33% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 43.4 | 46.3 | 89.7 | -2.9 | 53% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 39.9 | 44.4 | 84.3 | -4.5 | 30% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 37.2 | 45.6 | 82.8 | -8.4 | 20% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (21) | 39.6 | 44.8 | 84.4 | -5.2 | 33% | - |
| vs Similar (6) | 49.8 | 42.3 | 92.2 | +7.5 | 83% | - |
| vs Weaker (3) | 41.0 | 39.7 | 80.7 | +1.3 | 33% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 36.7 | 19.0 | 53.6% | 38.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 29.8 | 9.9 | 32.9% | 29.7 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 21.7 | 17.3 | 73.8% | 17.3 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 41.3 | 19.8 | 53.6% | 39.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 27.6 | 7.9 | 32.9% | 23.7 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 25.7 | 19.8 | 73.8% | 19.8 |
Ryukyu
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 01/04/26 | Toyama v Ryukyu | 60-89 |
| 21/12/25 | Toyama v Ryukyu | 78-81 |
| 20/12/25 | Toyama v Ryukyu | 90-80 |
| 05/11/25 | Ryukyu v Toyama | 91-81 |
| 29/10/23 | Ryukyu v Toyama | 85-59 |
| 28/10/23 | Ryukyu v Toyama | 84-65 |
| 05/02/23 | Ryukyu v Toyama | 89-65 |
| 04/02/23 | Ryukyu v Toyama | 105-81 |
| 05/12/21 | Ryukyu v Toyama | 80-69 |
| 04/12/21 | Ryukyu v Toyama | 91-66 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/26 | H | Tokyo Sunrockers | 81-78 |
| 09/11/26 | A | Ibaraki Robots | 72-80 |
| 07/11/26 | A | Utsunomiya Brex | 76-79 OT |
| 04/11/26 | H | Hong Kong Eastern | 96-104 |
| 01/11/26 | H | NeoPhoenix | 86-96 |
| 31/10/26 | H | NeoPhoenix | 86-80 |
| 28/10/26 | A | Taoyuan Pauian Pilots | 103-97 |
| 26/10/26 | A | Nagasaki | 84-101 |
| 23/10/26 | H | Gunma | 93-85 |
| 21/10/26 | H | Altiri Chiba | 94-65 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | A | SeaHorses Mikawa | 70-111 |
| 12/11/26 | H | Osaka | 91-77 |
| 09/11/26 | A | Shimane | 75-108 |
| 07/11/26 | H | Diamond Dolphins | 80-93 |
| 01/11/26 | A | Chiba | 83-78 |
| 31/10/26 | A | Chiba | 100-93 |
| 26/10/26 | H | Ibaraki Robots | 61-83 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Shimane | 82-79 |
| 21/10/26 | A | Levanga Hokkaido | 105-87 |
| 18/10/26 | H | SeaHorses Mikawa | 56-99 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLLW | 50% |
| Home | WWWLW | 75% |
| Away | LLLLL | 25% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 16 | 8 | 8 |
| Win % | 50% | 75% | 25% |
| Points / game | 83.4 | 86.8 | 80.1 |
| Allowed / game | 81.6 | 77.0 | 86.2 |
| Point differential | +1.8 | +9.8 | -6.1 |
| Avg total | 165.1 | 163.8 | 166.4 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 25% | 38% | 12% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 33% (3) | 100% (1) | 0% (2) |
| Overtime % | 6% | 0% | 12% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLWL | 53% |
| Home | LWLLW | 38% |
| Away | WWWLL | 67% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 17 | 8 | 9 |
| Win % | 53% | 38% | 67% |
| Points / game | 82.6 | 75.1 | 89.2 |
| Allowed / game | 88.4 | 84.8 | 91.7 |
| Point differential | -5.8 | -9.6 | -2.4 |
| Avg total | 171.0 | 159.9 | 180.9 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 29% | 25% | 33% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 67% (3) | 50% (2) | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 6% | 0% | 11% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Diamond Dolphins | 13 | 12 | 1 | 92% | 92.6 | 76.7 | +15.9 |
| 2 |  Hiroshima D. | 16 | 13 | 3 | 81% | 89.9 | 82.1 | +7.9 |
| 3 |  SeaHorses Mikawa | 14 | 11 | 3 | 79% | 91.9 | 79.9 | +11.9 |
| 4 |  Alvark | 18 | 14 | 4 | 78% | 92.9 | 82.3 | +10.6 |
| 5 |  Sendai | 18 | 14 | 4 | 78% | 88.6 | 80.2 | +8.4 |
| 6 |  Gunma | 16 | 12 | 4 | 75% | 82.8 | 73.8 | +9.1 |
| 7 |  NeoPhoenix | 12 | 9 | 3 | 75% | 87.4 | 81.6 | +5.8 |
| 8 | Tokyo Sunrockers | 17 | 11 | 6 | 65% | 89.9 | 80.3 | +9.6 |
| 9 | Levanga Hokkaido | 16 | 10 | 6 | 62% | 96.7 | 94.6 | +2.1 |
| 10 |  Kyoto | 16 | 9 | 7 | 56% | 84.3 | 79.2 | +5.1 |
| 11 | Toyama | 17 | 9 | 8 | 53% | 82.6 | 88.4 | -5.8 |
| 12 |  Ibaraki Robots | 18 | 9 | 9 | 50% | 83.7 | 79.8 | +3.9 |
| 13 | Ryukyu | 16 | 8 | 8 | 50% | 83.4 | 81.6 | +1.8 |
| 14 |  Chiba | 18 | 9 | 9 | 50% | 92.2 | 95.1 | -2.9 |
| 15 |  Utsunomiya Brex | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47% | 81.9 | 83.6 | -1.7 |
| 16 |  Shiga | 16 | 7 | 9 | 44% | 86.4 | 88.8 | -2.4 |
| 17 |  Yokohama | 17 | 7 | 10 | 41% | 78.3 | 83.8 | -5.5 |
| 18 |  Shimane | 15 | 6 | 9 | 40% | 83.5 | 81.9 | +1.6 |
| 19 |  Altiri Chiba | 18 | 7 | 11 | 39% | 79.8 | 84.7 | -4.8 |
| 20 |  Shinshu | 17 | 6 | 11 | 35% | 83.9 | 86.8 | -2.9 |
| 21 |  Nagasaki | 18 | 6 | 12 | 33% | 77.3 | 82.2 | -4.9 |
| 22 |  Brave Thunders | 17 | 5 | 12 | 29% | 79.2 | 83.9 | -4.8 |
| 23 |  Kobe | 16 | 4 | 12 | 25% | 79.9 | 87.3 | -7.4 |
| 24 |  Akita | 17 | 4 | 13 | 24% | 83.4 | 91.5 | -8.2 |
| 25 |  Saga | 15 | 1 | 14 | 7% | 77.8 | 94.9 | -17.1 |
| 26 |  Osaka | 16 | 1 | 15 | 6% | 70.1 | 90.9 | -20.9 |
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