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Sacramento State vs Montana Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 86-79
49-32 37-47
Position#324
Record7-13
FormWWLLW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Position#186
Record13-9
FormLWWWW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game72.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Sacramento State v Montana
31 Jan 2026
SACR86
MONT79
27 Feb 2025
SACR54
MONT60
27 Jan 2024
SACR67
MONT70
26 Jan 2023
SACR67
MONT48
02 Dec 2021
SACR58
MONT65
23 Jan 2021
SACR89
MONT83
21 Jan 2021
SACR66
MONT78
29 Feb 2020
SACR71
MONT79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sacramento State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Montana winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sacramento StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Baptist
#41
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A21/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
88-100
88
100
-12
A23/12
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
L
84-97
84
97
-13
A02/01
NCAA
Weber State
#201
L
82-95
82
95
-13
A04/01
NCAA
Portland State
#87
L
69-96
69
96
-27
A10/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
83-69
83
69
+14
H16/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
W
93-89 OT
93
89
+4
H18/01
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
76-86
76
86
-10
A23/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A24/01
NCAA
Montana State
#144
W
83-80
83
80
+3
H30/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-38
33-36
44-52
44-48
32-41
52-56
39-50
43-45
32-46
37-50
34-39
49-30
31-43
51-39
38-53
38-33
33-38
34-37
45-38
38-42
165.3Avg total
79.2Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)77.882.0159.8-4.235%
Season at home (8)86.674.1160.8+12.588%
Season away (12)71.987.3159.2-15.40%
Last 10 (10)79.286.1165.3-6.930%
Last 5 (5)80.479.8160.2+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)70.682.3152.9-11.714%
vs Similar (6)75.777.3153.0-1.733%
vs Weaker (2)98.562.5161.0+36.0100%
This opponent (Montana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MontanaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#53
L
54-94
54
94
-40
A20/12
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
78-64
78
64
+14
H01/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
W
88-79
88
79
+9
H03/01
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A09/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
65-66
65
66
-1
A10/01
NCAA
Montana State
#144
L
67-76
67
76
-9
A18/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
98-72
98
72
+26
A20/01
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H23/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
69-60
69
60
+9
H24/01
NCAA
Portland State
#87
W
64-60
64
60
+4
A30/01
NCAA
1H
2H
20-42
34-52
34-34
44-30
34-25
54-54
44-30
35-43
33-28
32-38
31-32
36-44
50-36
48-36
36-43
45-22
35-30
34-30
33-28
31-32
145.2Avg total
74.3Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)79.172.2151.3+7.059%
Season at home (12)82.066.8148.8+15.267%
Season away (10)75.778.6154.3-2.950%
Last 10 (10)74.370.9145.2+3.470%
Last 5 (5)75.866.6142.4+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)72.885.8158.6-13.020%
vs Similar (14)77.376.4153.7+0.957%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)82.862.5145.2+20.2100%
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -7.6-7.61st half: +2.2+2.22nd half2nd half: +0.3+0.32nd half: +1.2+1.2
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -7.6-7.61st half: +2.2+2.22nd half2nd half: +0.3+0.32nd half: +1.2+1.2
Sacramento StateMontana
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Sacramento StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Baptist
#41
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A21/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A23/12
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A02/01
NCAA
Weber State
#201
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A04/01
NCAA
Portland State
#87
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A10/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H16/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H18/01
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A23/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A24/01
NCAA
Montana State
#144
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H30/01
NCAA
80.0Avg total
36.2Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.040.575.5-5.527%-
Last 30 at home (12)33.937.871.7-3.833%-
Last 30 away (18)35.742.378.0-6.622%-
Last 10 (10)36.243.880.0-7.610%-
Last 5 (5)36.242.278.4-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)33.842.175.9-8.319%-
vs Similar (6)35.739.274.8-3.517%-
vs Weaker (2)45.031.076.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Montana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MontanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#53
L
20-42
20
42
-22
A20/12
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H01/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H03/01
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A09/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A10/01
NCAA
Montana State
#144
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A18/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A20/01
NCAA
Weber State
#201
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H23/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H24/01
NCAA
Portland State
#87
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A30/01
NCAA
67.8Avg total
35.0Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.032.368.3+3.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.329.966.3+6.447%-
Last 30 away (15)35.634.770.3+0.960%-
Last 10 (10)35.032.867.8+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)37.033.870.8+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)32.440.072.4-7.620%-
vs Similar (14)34.733.668.4+1.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)39.128.267.4+10.975%-
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Sacramento State wins
7
Montana wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/26HMontana State83-80
24/01/26AEast. Washington67-75
23/01/26AIdaho76-86
18/01/26HNorthern Colorado93-89 OT
16/01/26HNorthern Arizona83-69
10/01/26APortland State69-96
04/01/26AWeber State82-95
02/01/26AIdaho State84-97
23/12/25ACS Northridge88-100
21/12/25ACalifornia Baptist67-74
Montanalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/26APortland State64-60
24/01/26HIdaho State69-60
23/01/26HWeber State81-65
20/01/26ANorthern Arizona98-72
18/01/26AMontana State67-76
10/01/26AEast. Washington65-66
09/01/26AIdaho79-73
03/01/26HNorthern Colorado88-79
01/01/26HNorthern Arizona78-64
20/12/25ALouisville54-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sacramento State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW35%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20812
Win %35%88%0%
Points / game77.886.671.9
Allowed / game82.074.187.3
Point differential-4.2+12.5-15.4
Avg total159.8160.8159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)75% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %5%12%0%
Montana
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW59%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %59%67%50%
Points / game79.182.075.7
Allowed / game72.266.878.6
Point differential+7.0+15.2-2.9
Avg total151.3148.8154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%42%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Portland State2014670%78.169.5+8.6
2 Montana2213959%79.172.2+7.0
3 Idaho2213959%80.073.5+6.5
4 Montana State23131057%78.170.9+7.2
5 Northern Colorado23131057%83.177.9+5.2
6 Weber State22111150%82.676.4+6.2
7 Idaho State22101245%75.674.0+1.5
8 Sacramento State2071335%77.882.0-4.2
9 Northern Arizona2381535%73.176.3-3.3
10 East. Washington2251723%76.381.7-5.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Sacramento State493786
Montana324779
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