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Sacramento State vs Montana State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 83-80
45-38 38-42
Position#324
Record6-13
FormLWWLL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game82.2
vs
Position#144
Record13-8
FormLWWWW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game70.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Sacramento State v Montana State
29 Jan 2026
SACR83
MONT80
01 Mar 2025
SACR60
MONT87
25 Jan 2024
SACR62
MONT70
28 Jan 2023
SACR65
MONT72
04 Dec 2021
SACR66
MONT68
27 Feb 2020
SACR81
MONT52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sacramento State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Montana State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sacramento StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baylor
#200
L
88-110
88
110
-22
A03/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A21/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
88-100
88
100
-12
A23/12
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
L
84-97
84
97
-13
A02/01
NCAA
Weber State
#201
L
82-95
82
95
-13
A04/01
NCAA
Portland State
#87
L
69-96
69
96
-27
A10/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
83-69
83
69
+14
H16/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
W
93-89 OT
93
89
+4
H18/01
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
76-86
76
86
-10
A23/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A24/01
NCAA
1H
2H
47-52
41-58
34-38
33-36
44-52
44-48
32-41
52-56
39-50
43-45
32-46
37-50
34-39
49-30
31-43
51-39
38-53
38-33
33-38
34-37
168.8Avg total
79.7Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)77.582.2159.7-4.632%
Season at home (7)87.173.3160.4+13.986%
Season away (12)71.987.3159.2-15.40%
Last 10 (10)79.789.1168.8-9.420%
Last 5 (5)77.683.0160.6-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)69.582.6152.1-13.110%
vs Similar (6)75.777.3153.0-1.733%
vs Weaker (2)98.562.5161.0+36.0100%
This opponent (Montana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cal Poly
#266
W
83-80
83
80
+3
A17/12
NCAA
Northwest
#541
W
93-54
93
54
+39
H22/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
W
89-75
89
75
+14
H02/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H04/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
W
68-64
68
64
+4
A09/01
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
89-92
89
92
-3
A10/01
NCAA
Montana
#186
W
76-67
76
67
+9
H18/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A20/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H23/01
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
91-88
91
88
+3
H25/01
NCAA
1H
2H
40-41
43-39
46-20
47-34
39-33
50-42
43-35
34-33
19-23
49-41
48-30
41-62
32-31
44-36
36-27
37-41
38-34
36-28
45-42
46-46
153.1Avg total
81.3Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)79.170.7149.8+8.562%
Season at home (10)86.166.2152.3+19.990%
Season away (11)72.874.7147.5-1.936%
Last 10 (10)81.371.8153.1+9.590%
Last 5 (5)80.675.4156.0+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)65.274.4139.6-9.220%
vs Similar (12)77.772.8150.4+4.967%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)79.166.9146.0+12.267%
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: -8.8-8.81st half: +7.0+7.02nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: +2.5+2.5
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: -8.8-8.81st half: +7.0+7.02nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: +2.5+2.5
Sacramento StateMontana State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Sacramento StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baylor
#200
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A03/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A21/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A23/12
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A02/01
NCAA
Weber State
#201
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A04/01
NCAA
Portland State
#87
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A10/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H16/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H18/01
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A23/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A24/01
NCAA
81.6Avg total
36.4Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.440.574.8-6.123%-
Last 30 at home (11)32.937.770.6-4.827%-
Last 30 away (19)35.242.177.3-6.821%-
Last 10 (10)36.445.281.6-8.80%-
Last 5 (5)33.643.877.4-10.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)32.942.175.0-9.214%-
vs Similar (6)35.739.274.8-3.517%-
vs Weaker (2)45.031.076.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Montana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cal Poly
#266
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A17/12
NCAA
Northwest
#541
W
46-20
46
20
+26
H22/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H02/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H04/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
19-23
19
23
-4
A09/01
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
48-30
48
30
+18
A10/01
NCAA
Montana
#186
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H18/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A20/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H23/01
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H25/01
NCAA
70.2Avg total
38.6Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.232.069.1+5.260%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.732.374.0+9.486%-
Last 30 away (16)33.231.764.9+1.538%-
Last 10 (10)38.631.670.2+7.080%-
Last 5 (5)39.832.872.6+7.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)28.833.862.6-5.020%-
vs Similar (12)38.133.271.2+4.975%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)39.031.070.0+8.058%-
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26AEast. Washington67-75
23/01/26AIdaho76-86
18/01/26HNorthern Colorado93-89 OT
16/01/26HNorthern Arizona83-69
10/01/26APortland State69-96
04/01/26AWeber State82-95
02/01/26AIdaho State84-97
23/12/25ACS Northridge88-100
21/12/25ACalifornia Baptist67-74
03/12/25ABaylor88-110
Montana Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/26HWeber State91-88
23/01/26HIdaho State74-62
20/01/26ANorthern Colorado73-68
18/01/26HMontana76-67
10/01/26AIdaho89-92
09/01/26AEast. Washington68-64
04/01/26HNorthern Arizona77-68
02/01/26HNorthern Colorado89-75
22/12/25HNorthwest93-54
17/12/25ACal Poly83-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sacramento State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL32%
HomeLWWWW86%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19712
Win %32%86%0%
Points / game77.587.171.9
Allowed / game82.273.387.3
Point differential-4.6+13.9-15.4
Avg total159.7160.4159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%57%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %5%14%0%
Montana State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW62%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayLWWLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %62%90%36%
Points / game79.186.172.8
Allowed / game70.766.274.7
Point differential+8.5+19.9-1.9
Avg total149.8152.3147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (2)43% (7)
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Portland State1813572%79.970.7+9.2
2 Montana State2113862%79.170.7+8.5
3 Montana2112957%79.972.8+7.1
4 Idaho2112957%80.174.0+6.0
5 Northern Colorado22121055%83.578.2+5.3
6 Weber State21101148%82.776.3+6.4
7 Idaho State21101148%75.473.7+1.7
8 Northern Arizona2281436%73.676.2-2.6
9 Sacramento State1961332%77.582.2-4.6
10 East. Washington2151624%76.582.0-5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Sacramento State453883
Montana State384280
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