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Saga vs Levanga Hokkaido Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 90-109
24-28 21-26 19-23 26-32
Position#25
Record1-6
FormLLLWL
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game88.3
vs
Position#9
Record3-3
FormLWWLL
Points / game96.2
Allowed / game95.5
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2026-27
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Levanga Hokkaido winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#3
L
91-96
91
96
-5
82avg 75
A26/04
B League
Akita
#26
W
85-72
85
72
+13
78avg 75
A02/05
B League
Akita
#26
W
87-70
87
70
+17
79avg 75
A03/05
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
87-100
87
100
-13
80avg 75
H25/09
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
61-89
61
89
-28
44avg 75
H27/09
B League
NeoPhoenix
#7
L
61-97
61
97
-36
47avg 75
H03/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#7
L
89-93
89
93
-4
81avg 75
H04/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
74-90
74
90
-16
57avg 75
A08/10
B League
Kobe
#22
W
84-77
84
77
+7
75avg 75
A10/10
B League
Gunma
#6
L
61-72
61
72
-11
52avg 75
H12/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
23-17
19-29
27-24
19-22
23-13
24-13
19-24
24-17
25-14
16-17
22-22
26-29
16-25
29-19
16-27
22-23
12-19
20-20
7-27
22-27
14-23
15-29
10-18
19-26
20-25
31-20
19-22
15-29
19-15
22-22
18-24
27-20
17-12
15-26
25-19
15-16
12-16
17-17
17-23
163.6Avg total
78.0Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)73.988.3162.1-14.414%
Season at home (5)71.890.2162.0-18.40%
Season away (2)79.083.5162.5-4.550%
Last 10 (10)78.085.6163.6-7.630%
Last 5 (5)73.885.8159.6-12.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)77.287.1164.2-9.915%
vs Similar (8)80.683.8164.4-3.138%
vs Weaker (9)87.178.4165.6+8.778%
This opponent (Levanga Hokkaido) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Levanga HokkaidoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHokkaido
Date
Competition
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
W
106-97
106
97
+9
102avg 93
H26/09
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
77-78
77
78
-1
72avg 93
H27/09
B League
Sendai
#5
W
108-105 OT
108
105
+3
114avg 93
H03/10
B League
Sendai
#5
W
100-89
100
89
+11
100avg 93
H04/10
B League
Shimane
#17
L
83-95
83
95
-12
70avg 93
A07/10
B League
Chiba
#16
L
103-109
103
109
-6
102avg 93
H10/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-26
28-16
22-23
27-32
16-20
24-23
20-21
17-14
29-21
22-24
22-26
17-19
16-23
26-28
27-17
31-21
16-28
25-12
24-29
18-26
23-32
32-30
24-27
24-20
191.7Avg total
96.2Scored
95.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)96.295.5191.7+0.750%
Season at home (5)98.895.6194.4+3.260%
Season away (1)83.095.0178.0-12.00%
Last 10 (6)96.295.5191.7+0.750%
Last 5 (5)94.295.2189.4-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)97.892.2190.0+5.575%
vs Similar (1)83.095.0178.0-12.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)103.0109.0212.0-6.00%
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: +0.3+0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: +0.3+0.3
SagaLevanga Hokkaido
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#3
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A26/04
B League
Akita
#26
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A02/05
B League
Akita
#26
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A03/05
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H25/09
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H27/09
B League
NeoPhoenix
#7
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H03/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#7
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H04/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A08/10
B League
Kobe
#22
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A10/10
B League
Gunma
#6
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H12/10
B League
80.6Avg total
39.2Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.341.483.7+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.343.284.5-1.933%-
Last 30 away (15)43.339.682.9+3.767%-
Last 10 (10)39.241.480.6-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)36.041.877.8-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)39.543.382.8-3.831%-
vs Similar (8)43.140.183.2+3.062%-
vs Weaker (9)45.739.885.4+5.967%-
This opponent (Levanga Hokkaido) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Levanga HokkaidoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H26/09
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H27/09
B League
Sendai
#5
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H03/10
B League
Sendai
#5
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H04/10
B League
Shimane
#17
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A07/10
B League
Chiba
#16
L
55-62
55
62
-7
H10/10
B League
94.8Avg total
47.7Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (6)47.747.294.8+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (5)49.048.697.6+0.440%-
Last 30 away (1)41.040.081.0+1.0100%-
Last 10 (6)47.747.294.8+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)45.848.294.0-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)47.545.292.8+2.250%-
vs Similar (1)41.040.081.0+1.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)55.062.0117.0-7.00%-
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.818.3
49.7%
53.6%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.59.1
29.8%
32.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws17.213.7
79.7%
73.8%13.7
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Levanga Hokkaidotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Levanga Hokkaido: 96.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.7 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.326.8
59.2%
53.6%53.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.77.7
29.9%
32.9%23.0
🏀 Free throws23.819.5
81.8%
73.8%19.5
They take 71.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/6 games with a box score before 16 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
LWLLLLLWWL
Levanga Hokkaido
LLWWLW
#25
League position
#9
-9.3
Net rating
+0.7
91.5
Offensive rating
103.6
100.8
Defensive rating
102.9
47.5%
Effective FG%
54.0%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
11.7%
Turnover %
13.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.34
29.8%
3-point %
29.9%
59.5%
Assist %
65.7%
30%
Form (last 10/6)
50%

Profile

Offence91.5 · 103.6Defence100.8 · 102.9Shooting47.5% · 54.0%3-point %29.8% · 29.9%Ball care11.7% · 13.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.34Form (last 10/6)30% · 50%
■ Saga   ■ Levanga Hokkaido
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Saga wins
0
Levanga Hokkaido wins
No previous meetings.
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/26HGunma61-72
10/10/26AKobe84-77
08/10/26AAlvark74-90
04/10/26HNeoPhoenix89-93
03/10/26HNeoPhoenix61-97
27/09/26HHiroshima D.61-89
25/09/26HHiroshima D.87-100
03/05/26AAkita87-70
02/05/26AAkita85-72
26/04/26ARyukyu91-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/26HChiba103-109
07/10/26AShimane83-95
04/10/26HSendai100-89
03/10/26HSendai108-105 OT
27/09/26HSeaHorses Mikawa77-78
26/09/26HSeaHorses Mikawa106-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL14%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %14%0%50%
Points / game73.971.879.0
Allowed / game88.390.283.5
Point differential-14.4-18.4-4.5
Avg total162.1162.0162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Levanga Hokkaido
B League 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Losses (last 6)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeWLWWL60%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games651
Win %50%60%0%
Points / game96.298.883.0
Allowed / game95.595.695.0
Point differential+0.7+3.2-12.0
Avg total191.7194.4178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %17%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins550100%89.674.4+15.2
2 Hiroshima D.660100%94.880.7+14.2
3 NeoPhoenix550100%88.877.6+11.2
4 Alvark76186%97.084.9+12.1
5 Gunma76186%76.068.1+7.9
6 Kyoto75271%83.179.3+3.9
7 SeaHorses Mikawa64267%88.580.5+8.0
8 Tokyo Sunrockers74357%87.680.9+6.7
9 Sendai74357%86.381.4+4.9
10 Toyama74357%85.985.0+0.9
11 Yokohama74357%81.180.4+0.7
12 Utsunomiya Brex63350%81.077.8+3.2
13 Levanga Hokkaido63350%96.295.5+0.7
14 Shimane63350%81.881.7+0.2
15 Ryukyu63350%79.881.3-1.5
16 Shiga73443%92.188.1+4.0
17 Nagasaki73443%73.178.1-5.0
18 Brave Thunders62433%80.388.5-8.2
19 Akita62433%72.081.3-9.3
20 Shinshu72529%82.785.9-3.1
21 Chiba72529%97.0103.7-6.7
22 Altiri Chiba72529%78.786.3-7.6
23 Kobe72529%76.984.4-7.6
24 Osaka71614%70.985.1-14.3
25 Saga71614%73.988.3-14.4
26 Ibaraki Robots7070%78.385.6-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga2421192690
Levanga Hokkaido28262332109
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