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Saga vs Hiroshima D. Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Sep 2026
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 61-89
22-23 12-19 20-20 7-27
Position#25
Record0-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game100.0
vs
Position#2
Record1-0
FormLLLLW
Points / game100.0
Allowed / game87.0
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Saga v Hiroshima D.
27 Sep 2026
SAGA61
HIRO89
25 Sep 2026
SAGA87
HIRO100
15 Dec 2024
SAGA74
HIRO79
14 Dec 2024
SAGA91
HIRO95
06 Mar 2024
SAGA66
HIRO85
15 Oct 2023
SAGA72
HIRO71
14 Oct 2023
SAGA69
HIRO93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hiroshima D. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#20
L
83-87
83
87
-4
H12/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
77-83
77
83
-6
H15/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
83-74
83
74
+9
A18/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
103-68
103
68
+35
A19/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H22/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
78-92
78
92
-14
A25/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
91-96
91
96
-5
A26/04
B League
Akita
#26
W
85-72
85
72
+13
A02/05
B League
Akita
#26
W
87-70
87
70
+17
A03/05
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
87-100
87
100
-13
H25/09
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
20-19
25-29
18-17
12-22
31-22
19-16
15-23
14-25
27-24
21-13
21-12
27-20
25-15
29-19
22-14
21-24
17-11
19-19
14-12
23-23
17-25
24-21
14-23
22-26
23-17
19-29
27-24
19-22
23-13
24-13
19-24
24-17
25-14
16-17
22-22
26-29
16-25
29-19
16-27
165.3Avg total
84.5Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)87.0100.0187.0-13.00%
Season at home (1)87.0100.0187.0-13.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.580.8165.3+3.750%
Last 5 (5)85.686.0171.6-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)81.387.6168.9-6.222%
vs Similar (9)82.284.2166.4-2.044%
vs Weaker (12)87.276.2163.4+10.983%
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hiroshima D.JapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
L
79-88 OT
79
88
-9
H12/04
B League
Nagasaki
#1
W
83-82
83
82
+1
A15/04
B League
Shimane
#14
L
102-104 OT
102
104
-2
H18/04
B League
Shimane
#14
L
72-73
72
73
-1
H19/04
B League
Shiga
#18
W
81-69
81
69
+12
A22/04
B League
Chiba
#6
L
68-83
68
83
-15
A25/04
B League
Chiba
#6
L
74-88
74
88
-14
A26/04
B League
Toyama
#24
L
89-96
89
96
-7
H02/05
B League
Toyama
#24
L
91-101
91
101
-10
H03/05
B League
Saga
#25
W
100-87
100
87
+13
A25/09
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
25-20
15-21
19-21
26-20
21-18
21-23
15-21
12-26
30-27
21-16
20-14
28-24
18-22
12-16
14-11
18-18
22-19
18-20
23-12
13-22
20-23
20-14
15-24
17-15
13-31
24-19
20-23
25-28
21-25
23-23
20-20
16-23
28-29
20-22
27-27
29-26
25-16
19-29
27-16
171.0Avg total
83.9Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)100.087.0187.0+13.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)100.087.0187.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.987.1171.0-3.230%
Last 5 (5)84.491.0175.4-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)78.787.7166.4-9.029%
vs Similar (6)88.088.7176.7-0.717%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)90.283.1173.4+7.171%
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +1.1+1.1
SagaHiroshima D.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#20
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H12/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H15/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A18/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
52-35
52
35
+17
A19/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H22/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A25/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A26/04
B League
Akita
#26
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A02/05
B League
Akita
#26
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A03/05
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H25/09
B League
84.7Avg total
43.2Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.841.485.2+2.460%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.442.785.1-0.343%-
Last 30 away (16)45.040.385.3+4.775%-
Last 10 (10)43.241.584.7+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)43.642.285.8+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)39.943.983.8-4.033%-
vs Similar (9)43.940.384.2+3.667%-
vs Weaker (12)46.740.487.1+6.275%-
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hiroshima D.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H12/04
B League
Nagasaki
#1
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A15/04
B League
Shimane
#14
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H18/04
B League
Shimane
#14
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H19/04
B League
Shiga
#18
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A22/04
B League
Chiba
#6
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A25/04
B League
Chiba
#6
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A26/04
B League
Toyama
#24
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H02/05
B League
Toyama
#24
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H03/05
B League
Saga
#25
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A25/09
B League
87.2Avg total
42.5Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.842.986.7+0.957%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.043.689.6+2.462%-
Last 30 away (14)41.442.183.5-0.850%-
Last 10 (10)42.544.787.2-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)41.447.689.0-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.142.778.9-6.629%-
vs Similar (6)44.245.890.0-1.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)46.941.988.8+4.976%-
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.8 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.319.1
52.6%
53.9%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.310.9
37.2%
32.7%32.7
🏀 Free throws15.912.0
75.5%
73.7%12.0
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hiroshima D.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hiroshima D.: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.8 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.620.2
55.2%
53.9%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.19.7
32.2%
32.7%29.1
🏀 Free throws22.115.1
68.3%
73.7%15.1
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Sep 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
LWWLLWWWLL
Hiroshima D.
WLLLLWLLWL
#25
League position
#2
+2.0
Net rating
+1.4
99.8
Offensive rating
97.3
97.8
Defensive rating
96.0
54.0%
Effective FG%
52.1%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
12.7%
Turnover %
14.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.33
37.2%
3-point %
32.2%
74.3%
Assist %
67.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence99.8 · 97.3Defence97.8 · 96.0Shooting54.0% · 52.1%3-point %37.2% · 32.2%Ball care12.7% · 14.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Saga   ■ Hiroshima D.
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Saga wins
7
Hiroshima D. wins
DateGameScore
25/09/26Saga v Hiroshima D.87-100
19/10/25Hiroshima D. v Saga91-79
18/10/25Hiroshima D. v Saga114-92
15/12/24Saga v Hiroshima D.74-79
14/12/24Saga v Hiroshima D.91-95
13/10/24Hiroshima D. v Saga81-90
12/10/24Hiroshima D. v Saga64-81
06/03/24Saga v Hiroshima D.66-85
08/11/23Hiroshima D. v Saga80-61
15/10/23Saga v Hiroshima D.72-71 OT
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/09/26HHiroshima D.87-100
03/05/26AAkita87-70
02/05/26AAkita85-72
26/04/26ARyukyu91-96
25/04/26ARyukyu78-92
22/04/26HDiamond Dolphins71-66
19/04/26ANagoya Fighting Eagles103-68
18/04/26ANagoya Fighting Eagles83-74
15/04/26HSeaHorses Mikawa77-83
12/04/26HKyoto83-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/09/26ASaga100-87
03/05/26HToyama91-101
02/05/26HToyama89-96
26/04/26AChiba74-88
25/04/26AChiba68-83
22/04/26AShiga81-69
19/04/26HShimane72-73
18/04/26HShimane102-104 OT
15/04/26ANagasaki83-82
12/04/26HSun Rockers Shibuya79-88 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game87.087.0-
Allowed / game100.0100.0-
Point differential-13.0-13.0-
Avg total187.0187.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Hiroshima D.
B League 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game100.0-100.0
Allowed / game87.0-87.0
Point differential+13.0-+13.0
Avg total187.0-187.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins110100%93.063.0+30.0
2 Gunma220100%83.566.5+17.0
3 Shimane220100%87.071.0+16.0
4 Toyama110100%99.085.0+14.0
5 Hiroshima D.110100%100.087.0+13.0
6 Utsunomiya Brex110100%88.078.0+10.0
7 NeoPhoenix220100%85.578.5+7.0
8 Kyoto110100%95.094.0+1.0
9 Sendai21150%77.065.0+12.0
10 Tokyo Sunrockers21150%93.588.0+5.5
11 Levanga Hokkaido21150%91.587.5+4.0
12 Osaka21150%78.576.5+2.0
13 Alvark21150%79.079.0+0.0
14 Ryukyu21150%79.079.0+0.0
15 Kobe21150%76.578.5-2.0
16 SeaHorses Mikawa21150%87.591.5-4.0
17 Chiba21150%88.093.5-5.5
18 Akita21150%65.077.0-12.0
19 Shiga1010%94.095.0-1.0
20 Ibaraki Robots2020%78.585.5-7.0
21 Yokohama1010%78.088.0-10.0
22 Saga1010%87.0100.0-13.0
23 Shinshu1010%85.099.0-14.0
24 Nagasaki2020%71.087.0-16.0
25 Altiri Chiba2020%66.583.5-17.0
26 Brave Thunders1010%63.093.0-30.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga221220761
Hiroshima D.2319202789
← all games of the day
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