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Saga vs SeaHorses Mikawa Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 30 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 10:00
Scheduled
Position#25
Record1-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game95.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.9/10
Above normal
5.9/10
Above normal
Position#3
Record11-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game91.9
Allowed / game79.9
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Saga v SeaHorses Mikawa
30 Apr 2027
SAGA v SEAH
upcoming
15 Apr 2026
SAGA77
SEAH83
02 Nov 2025
SAGA72
SEAH81
01 Nov 2025
SAGA67
SEAH92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
SeaHorses Mikawa win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Gunma
#6
L
61-72
61
72
-11
52avg 66
H12/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
L
90-109
90
109
-19
71avg 66
H16/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
70-115
70
115
-45
58avg 66
A18/10
B League
Nagasaki
#21
L
66-84
66
84
-18
58avg 66
H21/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
88-112
88
112
-24
72avg 66
H26/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
83-100
83
100
-17
72avg 66
A31/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
78-84
78
84
-6
60avg 66
A01/11
B League
Chiba
#14
L
103-111
103
111
-8
no box
H08/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#22
L
72-90
72
90
-18
no box
A13/11
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
L
70-107
70
107
-37
no box
A15/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
12-16
17-17
17-23
24-28
21-26
19-23
26-32
18-29
21-33
16-24
15-29
20-24
15-24
17-17
14-19
13-33
17-28
30-21
28-30
16-37
31-21
11-24
25-18
13-21
28-15
16-21
21-27
20-34
21-24
26-25
36-28
26-24
14-26
19-27
13-13
23-21
16-34
22-23
9-29
176.5Avg total
78.1Scored
98.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)77.395.6172.9-18.36%
Season at home (9)78.496.3174.8-17.90%
Season away (7)75.994.7170.6-18.914%
Last 10 (10)78.198.4176.5-20.30%
Last 5 (5)81.298.4179.6-17.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)77.793.3171.1-15.610%
vs Similar (3)75.776.3152.0-0.767%
vs Weaker (7)87.776.7164.4+11.086%
This opponent (SeaHorses Mikawa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SeaHorses MikawaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMikawa
Date
Competition
Sendai
#5
L
90-105
90
105
-15
85avg 81
A09/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
89-81
89
81
+8
84avg 81
A11/10
B League
Toyama
#11
W
99-56
99
56
+43
102avg 81
A18/10
B League
Alvark
#4
W
91-82
91
82
+9
93avg 81
A24/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
100-83
100
83
+17
106avg 81
H31/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
84-78
84
78
+6
80avg 81
H01/11
B League
Gunma
#6
L
83-90
83
90
-7
no box
H06/11
B League
Shiga
#16
W
96-91
96
91
+5
no box
H08/11
B League
Shinshu
#20
W
91-86
91
86
+5
no box
H10/11
B League
Toyama
#11
W
111-70
111
70
+41
no box
H14/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-27
21-36
18-21
24-21
25-14
21-22
18-19
25-26
24-18
19-14
36-16
20-8
23-19
21-18
15-18
32-27
37-16
21-31
24-11
18-25
21-13
15-28
21-16
27-21
14-22
15-27
23-19
31-22
23-30
20-21
30-19
23-21
20-26
20-24
20-11
31-25
34-16
29-17
22-27
26-10
175.6Avg total
93.4Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)91.979.9171.8+11.979%
Season at home (6)94.283.0177.2+11.283%
Season away (8)90.177.6167.8+12.575%
Last 10 (10)93.482.2175.6+11.280%
Last 5 (5)93.083.0176.0+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)83.980.6164.5+3.355%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)88.879.2168.0+9.684%
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.9-7.9Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: +5.1+5.1
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.9-7.9Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: +5.1+5.1
SagaSeaHorses Mikawa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gunma
#6
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H12/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H16/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
39-62
39
62
-23
A18/10
B League
Nagasaki
#21
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H21/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
30-61
30
61
-31
H26/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A31/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A01/11
B League
Chiba
#14
L
41-58
41
58
-17
H08/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#22
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A13/11
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
L
39-55
39
55
-16
A15/11
B League
89.8Avg total
38.4Scored
51.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.944.985.8-4.137%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.247.085.2-8.814%-
Last 30 away (16)43.243.186.3+0.156%-
Last 10 (10)38.451.489.8-13.010%-
Last 5 (5)41.651.493.0-9.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)39.047.986.8-8.920%-
vs Similar (3)41.336.377.7+5.067%-
vs Weaker (7)46.140.386.4+5.971%-
This opponent (SeaHorses Mikawa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SeaHorses MikawaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sendai
#5
L
48-63
48
63
-15
A09/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A11/10
B League
Toyama
#11
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A18/10
B League
Alvark
#4
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A24/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H31/10
B League
Saga
#25
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H01/11
B League
Gunma
#6
L
29-49
29
49
-20
H06/11
B League
Shiga
#16
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H08/11
B League
Shinshu
#20
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H10/11
B League
Toyama
#11
W
63-33
63
33
+30
H14/11
B League
88.9Avg total
45.0Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.541.283.8+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.440.982.3+0.540%-
Last 30 away (15)43.741.685.3+2.167%-
Last 10 (10)45.043.988.9+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)42.244.887.0-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)40.440.080.4+0.455%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)43.841.985.7+1.853%-
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.418.9
51.9%
53.6%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.19.6
30.9%
32.9%28.8
🏀 Free throws14.911.0
73.8%
73.8%11.0
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
SeaHorses Mikawatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

SeaHorses Mikawa: 90.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.922.3
57.3%
53.6%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.9
39.4%
32.9%32.7
🏀 Free throws18.212.7
69.8%
73.8%12.7
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
LLLLLLLLLL
SeaHorses Mikawa
WWWLWWWWWL
#25
League position
#3
-18.0
Net rating
+14.8
90.3
Offensive rating
105.8
108.3
Defensive rating
90.9
49.3%
Effective FG%
58.0%
58.2%
Opp. effective FG%
47.7%
11.1%
Turnover %
11.6%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.27
30.9%
3-point %
39.4%
60.4%
Assist %
62.3%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence90.3 · 105.8Defence108.3 · 90.9Shooting49.3% · 58.0%3-point %30.9% · 39.4%Ball care11.1% · 11.6%Free throws0.22 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)0% · 80%
■ Saga   ■ SeaHorses Mikawa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Saga wins
9
SeaHorses Mikawa wins
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ALevanga Hokkaido70-107
13/11/26ABrave Thunders72-90
08/11/26HChiba103-111
01/11/26ASeaHorses Mikawa78-84
31/10/26ASeaHorses Mikawa83-100
26/10/26HAlvark88-112
21/10/26HNagasaki66-84
18/10/26AKyoto70-115
16/10/26HLevanga Hokkaido90-109
12/10/26HGunma61-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HToyama111-70
10/11/26HShinshu91-86
08/11/26HShiga96-91
06/11/26HGunma83-90
01/11/26HSaga84-78
31/10/26HSaga100-83
24/10/26AAlvark91-82
18/10/26AToyama99-56
11/10/26AKyoto89-81
09/10/26ASendai90-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL6%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %6%0%14%
Points / game77.378.475.9
Allowed / game95.696.394.7
Point differential-18.3-17.9-18.9
Avg total172.9174.8170.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
SeaHorses Mikawa
B League 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW79%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayWLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %79%83%75%
Points / game91.994.290.1
Allowed / game79.983.077.6
Point differential+11.9+11.2+12.5
Avg total171.8177.2167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%33%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins1412286%91.278.7+12.5
2 Hiroshima D.1613381%89.982.1+7.9
3 SeaHorses Mikawa1411379%91.979.9+11.9
4 Alvark1814478%92.982.3+10.6
5 Sendai1814478%88.680.2+8.4
6 Gunma1612475%82.873.8+9.1
7 NeoPhoenix129375%87.481.6+5.8
8 Tokyo Sunrockers1812667%90.879.9+10.9
9 Levanga Hokkaido1711665%97.393.2+4.1
10 Kyoto169756%84.379.2+5.1
11 Toyama179853%82.688.4-5.8
12 Ibaraki Robots189950%83.779.8+3.9
13 Ryukyu168850%83.481.6+1.8
14 Chiba189950%92.295.1-2.9
15 Shimane167944%83.581.1+2.4
16 Shiga167944%86.488.8-2.4
17 Utsunomiya Brex167944%81.183.6-2.4
18 Yokohama1771041%78.383.8-5.5
19 Altiri Chiba1871139%79.884.7-4.8
20 Shinshu1761135%83.986.8-2.9
21 Nagasaki1861233%77.382.2-4.9
22 Brave Thunders1751229%79.283.9-4.8
23 Akita1851328%83.390.7-7.4
24 Kobe1641225%79.987.3-7.4
25 Saga161156%77.395.6-18.3
26 Osaka171166%70.490.4-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.
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