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Saga vs SeaHorses Mikawa Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 30 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 10:00
Scheduled
Position#25
Record1-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game94.4
vs
Position#4
Record6-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game90.1
Allowed / game77.6
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Saga v SeaHorses Mikawa
30 Apr 2027
SAGA v SEAH
upcoming
15 Apr 2026
SAGA77
SEAH83
02 Nov 2025
SAGA72
SEAH81
01 Nov 2025
SAGA67
SEAH92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
SeaHorses Mikawa win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
61-89
61
89
-28
H27/09
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
61-97
61
97
-36
H03/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
89-93
89
93
-4
H04/10
B League
Alvark
#5
L
74-90
74
90
-16
A08/10
B League
Kobe
#24
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A10/10
B League
Gunma
#9
L
61-72
61
72
-11
H12/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#10
L
90-109
90
109
-19
H16/10
B League
Kyoto
#6
L
70-115
70
115
-45
A18/10
B League
Nagasaki
#13
L
66-84
66
84
-18
H21/10
B League
Alvark
#5
L
88-112
88
112
-24
H26/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
12-19
20-20
7-27
22-27
14-23
15-29
10-18
19-26
20-25
31-20
19-22
15-29
19-15
22-22
18-24
27-20
17-12
15-26
25-19
15-16
12-16
17-17
17-23
24-28
21-26
19-23
26-32
18-29
21-33
16-24
15-29
20-24
15-24
17-17
14-19
13-33
17-28
30-21
28-30
168.2Avg total
74.4Scored
93.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)75.594.4169.9-18.89%
Season at home (8)75.494.5169.9-19.10%
Season away (3)76.094.0170.0-18.033%
Last 10 (10)74.493.8168.2-19.410%
Last 5 (5)75.098.4173.4-23.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)76.591.7168.2-15.113%
vs Similar (6)81.882.7164.5-0.850%
vs Weaker (9)87.178.4165.6+8.778%
This opponent (SeaHorses Mikawa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SeaHorses MikawaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#3
L
65-79
65
79
-14
H08/05
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
79-82
79
82
-3
H09/05
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#10
L
97-106
97
106
-9
A26/09
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#10
W
78-77
78
77
+1
A27/09
B League
Osaka
#26
W
76-57
76
57
+19
A03/10
B League
Osaka
#26
W
101-57
101
57
+44
A04/10
B League
Sendai
#8
L
90-105
90
105
-15
A09/10
B League
Kyoto
#6
W
89-81
89
81
+8
A11/10
B League
Toyama
#11
W
99-56
99
56
+43
A18/10
B League
Alvark
#5
W
91-82
91
82
+9
A24/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
5-16
25-18
15-25
18-24
25-18
15-22
21-18
26-29
16-28
23-22
32-27
20-16
23-24
21-20
14-17
14-17
25-21
22-4
15-15
17-6
25-19
29-11
30-21
27-27
21-36
18-21
24-21
25-14
21-22
18-19
25-26
24-18
19-14
36-16
20-8
23-19
21-18
15-18
32-27
164.7Avg total
86.5Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)90.177.6167.8+12.575%
Season at homeno games
Season away (8)90.177.6167.8+12.575%
Last 10 (10)86.578.2164.7+8.360%
Last 5 (5)94.076.2170.2+17.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)83.576.6160.1+6.873%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)85.177.8162.9+7.374%
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.0-6.0Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +5.1+5.1Q4Q4: -6.4-6.4Q4: +2.3+2.3
SagaSeaHorses Mikawa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H27/09
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H03/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H04/10
B League
Alvark
#5
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A08/10
B League
Kobe
#24
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A10/10
B League
Gunma
#9
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H12/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#10
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H16/10
B League
Kyoto
#6
L
39-62
39
62
-23
A18/10
B League
Nagasaki
#13
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H21/10
B League
Alvark
#5
L
30-61
30
61
-31
H26/10
B League
83.9Avg total
36.3Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.843.285.0-1.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.945.285.1-5.225%-
Last 30 away (14)43.940.984.9+3.071%-
Last 10 (10)36.347.683.9-11.310%-
Last 5 (5)35.251.486.6-16.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)38.146.784.7-8.620%-
vs Similar (6)45.339.785.0+5.783%-
vs Weaker (9)45.739.885.4+5.967%-
This opponent (SeaHorses Mikawa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SeaHorses MikawaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#3
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H08/05
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H09/05
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#10
L
42-57
42
57
-15
A26/09
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#10
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A27/09
B League
Osaka
#26
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A03/10
B League
Osaka
#26
W
42-25
42
25
+17
A04/10
B League
Sendai
#8
L
48-63
48
63
-15
A09/10
B League
Kyoto
#6
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A11/10
B League
Toyama
#11
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A18/10
B League
Alvark
#5
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A24/10
B League
82.1Avg total
41.5Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.440.181.5+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.837.778.4+3.150%-
Last 30 away (18)41.841.883.6+0.056%-
Last 10 (10)41.540.682.1+0.970%-
Last 5 (5)44.638.683.2+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)40.836.777.5+4.164%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)41.742.183.8-0.447%-
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.8 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.318.4
50.7%
53.9%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.28.5
27.2%
32.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws15.611.7
75.0%
73.7%11.7
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
SeaHorses Mikawatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

SeaHorses Mikawa: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.8 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.621.5
55.7%
53.9%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.310.4
36.7%
32.7%31.2
🏀 Free throws17.112.3
71.9%
73.7%12.3
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
LLLLLWLLLL
SeaHorses Mikawa
WWWLWWWLLL
#25
League position
#4
-22.6
Net rating
+10.1
84.7
Offensive rating
102.0
107.3
Defensive rating
91.9
46.1%
Effective FG%
55.5%
58.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
12.5%
Turnover %
10.9%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.26
27.2%
3-point %
36.7%
58.7%
Assist %
60.8%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence84.7 · 102.0Defence107.3 · 91.9Shooting46.1% · 55.5%3-point %27.2% · 36.7%Ball care12.5% · 10.9%Free throws0.23 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Saga   ■ SeaHorses Mikawa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Saga wins
7
SeaHorses Mikawa wins
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/26HAlvark88-112
21/10/26HNagasaki66-84
18/10/26AKyoto70-115
16/10/26HLevanga Hokkaido90-109
12/10/26HGunma61-72
10/10/26AKobe84-77
08/10/26AAlvark74-90
04/10/26HNeoPhoenix89-93
03/10/26HNeoPhoenix61-97
27/09/26HHiroshima D.61-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26AAlvark91-82
18/10/26AToyama99-56
11/10/26AKyoto89-81
09/10/26ASendai90-105
04/10/26AOsaka101-57
03/10/26AOsaka76-57
27/09/26ALevanga Hokkaido78-77
26/09/26ALevanga Hokkaido97-106
09/05/26HRyukyu79-82
08/05/26HRyukyu65-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL9%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1183
Win %9%0%33%
Points / game75.575.476.0
Allowed / game94.494.594.0
Point differential-18.8-19.1-18.0
Avg total169.9169.9170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
SeaHorses Mikawa
B League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW75%
Home--
AwayWLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games8-8
Win %75%-75%
Points / game90.1-90.1
Allowed / game77.6-77.6
Point differential+12.5-+12.5
Avg total167.8-167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%-38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins990100%93.174.7+18.4
2 Hiroshima D.1211192%92.680.2+12.4
3 NeoPhoenix76186%87.179.1+8.0
4 SeaHorses Mikawa86275%90.177.6+12.5
5 Alvark129375%94.183.5+10.6
6 Kyoto118373%86.477.7+8.6
7 Tokyo Sunrockers139469%90.278.7+11.5
8 Sendai139469%85.580.1+5.5
9 Gunma117464%78.975.2+3.7
10 Levanga Hokkaido106460%97.893.9+3.9
11 Toyama127558%83.886.3-2.6
12 Ryukyu116555%84.981.2+3.7
13 Nagasaki136746%76.279.5-3.3
14 Utsunomiya Brex115645%81.482.0-0.6
15 Shiga115645%87.589.5-2.1
16 Ibaraki Robots125742%81.879.2+2.7
17 Yokohama125742%79.686.1-6.5
18 Shimane114736%81.983.5-1.6
19 Brave Thunders114736%81.885.6-3.8
20 Chiba124833%91.698.2-6.6
21 Akita124833%78.685.4-6.8
22 Shinshu134931%84.587.5-3.1
23 Altiri Chiba134931%78.486.5-8.1
24 Kobe1221017%78.086.0-8.0
25 Saga111109%75.594.4-18.8
26 Osaka111109%69.388.8-19.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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