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Saga vs SeaHorses Mikawa Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 77-83
12-22 31-22 19-16 15-23
Position#12
Record27-25
FormWLWWL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game82.3
vs
Position#4
Record36-16
FormWLWLW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game77.5
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Saga v SeaHorses Mikawa
30 Apr 2027
SAGA v SEAH
upcoming
15 Apr 2026
SAGA77
SEAH83
02 Nov 2025
SAGA72
SEAH81
01 Nov 2025
SAGA67
SEAH92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
SeaHorses Mikawa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shimane
#14
W
96-91
96
91
+5
A14/03
B League
Shimane
#14
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A15/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
L
80-83
80
83
-3
H28/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
90-86
90
86
+4
H29/03
B League
Shiga
#18
W
83-77
83
77
+6
A01/04
B League
Sendai
#11
W
82-66
82
66
+16
A04/04
B League
Sendai
#11
L
66-87
66
87
-21
A05/04
B League
Hokkaido
#9
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H08/04
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
90-89
90
89
+1
H11/04
B League
Kyoto
#20
L
83-87
83
87
-4
H12/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
20-23
19-26
32-23
23-20
23-20
15-22
16-18
23-25
14-13
20-24
23-21
24-27
27-11
18-14
21-34
29-28
19-15
19-16
16-18
29-12
15-19
17-18
21-17
23-22
23-16
13-26
7-23
21-25
13-15
26-17
19-19
26-23
25-25
17-18
22-23
20-22
20-19
25-29
18-17
164.8Avg total
82.6Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (52)82.082.3164.3-0.452%
Season at home (28)82.083.5165.5-1.550%
Season away (24)81.981.0162.9+0.954%
Last 10 (10)82.682.2164.8+0.460%
Last 5 (5)80.081.0161.0-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)78.285.9164.1-7.638%
vs Similar (11)82.681.5164.1+1.255%
vs Weaker (11)86.078.3164.3+7.782%
This opponent (SeaHorses Mikawa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SeaHorses MikawaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yokohama
#15
W
84-79
84
79
+5
A14/03
B League
Yokohama
#15
L
65-77
65
77
-12
A15/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
75-60
75
60
+15
H28/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
84-72
84
72
+12
H29/03
B League
Chiba
#6
W
89-75
89
75
+14
A01/04
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A04/04
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
L
84-94
84
94
-10
A05/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
93-84
93
84
+9
H08/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
79-89
79
89
-10
H11/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
91-61
91
61
+30
H12/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-23
22-25
19-17
29-14
12-19
13-21
21-16
19-21
15-12
15-20
27-18
18-10
22-15
24-20
20-17
18-20
27-16
25-22
20-21
17-16
21-22
18-21
13-12
21-13
24-29
15-21
24-13
21-31
18-14
26-21
24-22
25-27
14-23
13-21
27-25
25-20
25-10
29-14
18-15
19-22
157.6Avg total
81.7Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (52)83.877.5161.3+6.369%
Season at home (26)85.476.8162.2+8.769%
Season away (26)82.278.2160.4+4.069%
Last 10 (10)81.775.9157.6+5.870%
Last 5 (5)84.079.2163.2+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)87.085.0172.0+2.0100%
vs Similar (15)83.178.9162.0+4.360%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)82.174.1156.3+8.071%
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +1.8+1.8
SagaSeaHorses Mikawa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shimane
#14
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A14/03
B League
Shimane
#14
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A15/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H28/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H29/03
B League
Shiga
#18
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A01/04
B League
Sendai
#11
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A04/04
B League
Sendai
#11
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A05/04
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H08/04
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H11/04
B League
Kyoto
#20
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H12/04
B League
84.1Avg total
44.2Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.540.983.4+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.241.282.5+0.044%-
Last 30 away (14)44.040.484.4+3.671%-
Last 10 (10)44.239.984.1+4.370%-
Last 5 (5)43.039.682.6+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)36.942.579.4-5.612%-
vs Similar (11)43.639.583.2+4.173%-
vs Weaker (11)45.541.086.5+4.573%-
This opponent (SeaHorses Mikawa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SeaHorses MikawaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yokohama
#15
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A14/03
B League
Yokohama
#15
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A15/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H28/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H29/03
B League
Chiba
#6
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A01/04
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A04/04
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A05/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H08/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H11/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
54-24
54
24
+30
H12/04
B League
78.1Avg total
39.2Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.339.580.8+1.850%-
Last 30 at home (11)43.437.180.5+6.373%-
Last 30 away (19)40.140.981.0-0.837%-
Last 10 (10)39.238.978.1+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)40.639.279.8+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.033.081.0+15.0100%-
vs Similar (15)41.940.682.5+1.353%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)40.138.878.9+1.443%-
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.318.5
53.9%
53.1%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.911.1
35.9%
33.7%33.3
🏀 Free throws15.211.3
74.3%
73.1%11.3
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
SeaHorses Mikawatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

SeaHorses Mikawa: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.919.5
57.5%
53.1%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.0
34.2%
33.7%30.0
🏀 Free throws15.912.7
79.9%
73.1%12.7
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
LWWLWWWLLW
SeaHorses Mikawa
WLWLWWWWLW
#12
League position
#4
+2.3
Net rating
+7.1
97.0
Offensive rating
99.5
94.7
Defensive rating
92.4
53.9%
Effective FG%
54.7%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
15.6%
Turnover %
14.4%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.25
35.9%
3-point %
34.2%
82.4%
Assist %
65.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence97.0 · 99.5Defence94.7 · 92.4Shooting53.9% · 54.7%3-point %35.9% · 34.2%Ball care15.6% · 14.4%Free throws0.23 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Saga   ■ SeaHorses Mikawa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Saga wins
6
SeaHorses Mikawa wins
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/26HKyoto83-87
11/04/26HKyoto90-89
08/04/26HHokkaido79-76
05/04/26ASendai66-87
04/04/26ASendai82-66
01/04/26AShiga83-77
29/03/26HIbaraki Robots90-86
28/03/26HIbaraki Robots80-83
15/03/26AShimane77-80
14/03/26AShimane96-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/26HDiamond Dolphins91-61
11/04/26HDiamond Dolphins79-89
08/04/26HHiroshima D.93-84
05/04/26ASun Rockers Shibuya84-94
04/04/26ASun Rockers Shibuya73-68
01/04/26AChiba89-75
29/03/26HBrave Thunders84-72
28/03/26HBrave Thunders75-60
15/03/26AYokohama65-77
14/03/26AYokohama84-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL52%
HomeLWWWL50%
AwayWLWWL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games522824
Win %52%50%54%
Points / game82.082.081.9
Allowed / game82.383.581.0
Point differential-0.4-1.5+0.9
Avg total164.3165.5162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%18%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (15)50% (12)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
SeaHorses Mikawa
B League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW69%
HomeWWWLW69%
AwayWLWWL69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games522626
Win %69%69%69%
Points / game83.885.482.2
Allowed / game77.576.878.2
Point differential+6.3+8.7+4.0
Avg total161.3162.2160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%50%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (15)50% (6)78% (9)
Overtime %4%4%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki53411277%91.079.5+11.5
2 Diamond Dolphins52391375%83.673.4+10.3
3 Utsunomiya Brex52391375%86.280.4+5.8
4 Ryukyu52371571%81.674.2+7.3
5 Gunma52361669%82.872.9+9.8
6 SeaHorses Mikawa52361669%83.877.5+6.3
7 Chiba52351767%83.176.4+6.7
8 Alvark52351767%80.277.1+3.0
9 Hokkaido52322062%87.885.7+2.1
10 NeoPhoenix52312160%86.083.3+2.7
11 Sendai52312160%82.380.2+2.2
12 Hiroshima D.53302357%86.583.6+2.9
13 Saga52272552%82.082.3-0.4
14 Shimane52232944%79.380.4-1.1
15 Yokohama52232944%79.481.8-2.4
16 Sun Rockers Shibuya52223042%77.380.5-3.2
17 Shiga52213140%80.384.3-4.1
18 Osaka52203238%80.382.8-2.5
19 Kyoto52183435%73.580.6-7.2
20 Nagoya Fighting Eagles52173533%80.583.7-3.2
21 Koshigaya Alphas52173533%74.882.3-7.5
22 Altiri Chiba52163631%78.884.4-5.5
23 Ibaraki Robots52153729%75.381.0-5.7
24 Brave Thunders52143827%75.583.5-8.0
25 Toyama52124023%80.689.3-8.7
26 Akita52104219%73.985.4-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga1231191577
SeaHorses Mikawa2222162383
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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