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NeoPhoenix vs Saga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 105-95
30-21 27-27 23-17 25-30
Position#3
Record16-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game78.2
vs
Position#15
Record10-9
FormWWLWW
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game73.3
JapanB League· Toyohashi City General Gymnasium (Toyohashi)
Other2023-24
Meetings · NeoPhoenix v Saga
13 Feb 2027
NEOP v SAGA
upcoming
29 Oct 2025
NEOP73
SAGA85
17 Dec 2023
NEOP108
SAGA77
16 Dec 2023
NEOP105
SAGA95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NeoPhoenix winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeoPhoenixJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeoPhoenix
Date
Competition
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
89-73
89
73
+16
82avg 81
A04/11
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
73-75
73
75
-2
52avg 81
A05/11
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
94-93 OT
94
93
+1
no box
H08/11
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
87-64
87
64
+23
81avg 81
H11/11
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
96-62
96
62
+34
94avg 81
H12/11
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
87-73
87
73
+14
81avg 81
A02/12
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
100-79
100
79
+21
98avg 81
A03/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
90-104
90
104
-14
81avg 81
H06/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
W
84-77
84
77
+7
72avg 81
A09/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
W
103-83
103
83
+20
99avg 81
A10/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
17-18
28-16
21-23
15-18
30-18
14-21
14-18
23-24
19-15
25-20
18-26
17-15
21-13
28-17
21-19
20-17
23-15
29-21
24-9
19-15
26-25
22-15
20-18
20-19
21-20
28-22
31-18
27-26
28-31
19-29
16-18
18-26
26-22
22-16
18-13
25-26
27-18
25-19
26-20
168.6Avg total
90.3Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)89.278.2167.4+11.084%
Season at home (9)92.679.3171.9+13.289%
Season away (10)86.277.2163.4+9.080%
Last 10 (10)90.378.3168.6+12.080%
Last 5 (5)92.883.2176.0+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)81.481.4162.8+0.040%
vs Similar (4)80.880.2161.0+0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)88.681.3169.9+7.376%
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Akita
#14
L
65-66
65
66
-1
51avg 66
H04/11
B League
Akita
#14
W
70-64
70
64
+6
62avg 66
H05/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
61-80
61
80
-19
42avg 66
A08/11
B League
Chiba
#9
W
95-76
95
76
+19
94avg 66
A11/11
B League
Chiba
#9
L
72-78
72
78
-6
50avg 66
A12/11
B League
Osaka
#18
W
84-79
84
79
+5
76avg 66
A02/12
B League
Osaka
#18
W
79-45
79
45
+34
78avg 66
A03/12
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
81-91
81
91
-10
78avg 66
H06/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
74-72
74
72
+2
68avg 66
H09/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
81-68
81
68
+13
72avg 66
H10/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
21-11
11-14
18-17
15-14
17-15
21-23
17-12
13-26
12-18
18-19
18-17
29-16
28-11
21-24
17-25
16-25
21-14
21-17
14-22
22-21
19-18
25-17
18-23
21-9
20-10
25-12
13-14
17-24
21-20
16-20
27-27
19-20
20-19
13-19
22-14
18-22
22-14
16-22
25-10
148.1Avg total
76.2Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)74.373.3147.5+1.053%
Season at home (10)73.475.9149.3-2.550%
Season away (9)75.270.3145.6+4.956%
Last 10 (10)76.271.9148.1+4.360%
Last 5 (5)79.871.0150.8+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)67.381.3148.7-14.033%
vs Similar (11)73.773.6147.4+0.136%
vs Weaker (5)79.667.6147.2+12.0100%
This opponent (NeoPhoenix) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +0.8+0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +0.8+0.8
NeoPhoenixSaga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeoPhoenixLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A04/11
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A05/11
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H08/11
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H11/11
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H12/11
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A02/12
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A03/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
55-57
55
57
-2
H06/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A09/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A10/12
B League
84.2Avg total
44.5Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.540.783.2+1.860%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.439.581.9+2.957%-
Last 30 away (16)42.541.884.2+0.862%-
Last 10 (10)44.539.784.2+4.880%-
Last 5 (5)47.445.693.0+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.437.473.8-1.040%-
vs Similar (4)38.239.878.0-1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)44.741.786.4+3.067%-
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akita
#14
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H04/11
B League
Akita
#14
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H05/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
25-44
25
44
-19
A08/11
B League
Chiba
#9
W
57-27
57
27
+30
A11/11
B League
Chiba
#9
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A12/11
B League
Osaka
#18
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A02/12
B League
Osaka
#18
W
41-19
41
19
+22
A03/12
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H06/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H09/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H10/12
B League
73.7Avg total
38.6Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)37.536.574.0+1.158%-
Last 30 at home (10)36.639.075.6-2.450%-
Last 30 away (9)38.633.772.2+4.967%-
Last 10 (10)38.635.173.7+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)39.835.475.2+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)30.745.376.0-14.70%-
vs Similar (11)38.135.373.4+2.864%-
vs Weaker (5)40.433.874.2+6.680%-
This opponent (NeoPhoenix) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
NeoPhoenixtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

NeoPhoenix: 87.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.420.0
58.1%
50.9%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.811.3
32.5%
33.5%33.9
🏀 Free throws19.413.9
71.6%
72.0%13.9
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.416.0
47.9%
50.9%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.610.1
34.1%
33.5%30.3
🏀 Free throws19.213.1
68.2%
72.0%13.1
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
NeoPhoenix
WWLWWWWWLW
Saga
WWLWWLWLWL
#3
League position
#15
+15.2
Net rating
+6.2
116.4
Offensive rating
103.9
101.1
Defensive rating
97.7
53.4%
Effective FG%
49.4%
47.1%
Opp. effective FG%
46.2%
13.4%
Turnover %
16.3%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.5%
3-point %
34.1%
62.0%
Assist %
62.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence116.4 · 103.9Defence101.1 · 97.7Shooting53.4% · 49.4%3-point %32.5% · 34.1%Ball care13.4% · 16.3%Off. rebounds32.0% · 27.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ NeoPhoenix   ■ Saga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
NeoPhoenix wins
0
Saga wins
No previous meetings.
NeoPhoenixlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23AHiroshima D.103-83
09/12/23AHiroshima D.84-77
06/12/23HBrave Thunders90-104
03/12/23AHokkaido100-79
02/12/23AHokkaido87-73
12/11/23HIbaraki Robots96-62
11/11/23HIbaraki Robots87-64
08/11/23HYokohama94-93 OT
05/11/23AUtsunomiya Brex73-75
04/11/23AUtsunomiya Brex89-73
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23HIbaraki Robots81-68
09/12/23HIbaraki Robots74-72
06/12/23HNagasaki81-91
03/12/23AOsaka79-45
02/12/23AOsaka84-79
12/11/23AChiba72-78
11/11/23AChiba95-76
08/11/23AHiroshima D.61-80
05/11/23HAkita70-64
04/11/23HAkita65-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NeoPhoenix
B League 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW84%
HomeWWWWL89%
AwayLWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %84%89%80%
Points / game89.292.686.2
Allowed / game78.279.377.2
Point differential+11.0+13.2+9.0
Avg total167.4171.9163.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%56%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %11%22%0%
Saga
B League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW53%
HomeLWLWW50%
AwayLWLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %53%50%56%
Points / game74.373.475.2
Allowed / game73.375.970.3
Point differential+1.0-2.5+4.9
Avg total147.5149.3145.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%10%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark1916384%80.964.6+16.3
2 NeoPhoenix1916384%89.278.2+11.0
3 Utsunomiya Brex1915479%77.467.9+9.5
4 Ryukyu1915479%81.777.7+4.0
5 Diamond Dolphins1914574%83.378.7+4.6
6 Brave Thunders2014670%81.876.5+5.2
7 Nagasaki1912763%85.383.5+1.8
8 Shimane2012860%83.577.3+6.2
9 SeaHorses Mikawa1911858%82.477.6+4.8
10 Nagoya Fighting Eagles1911858%73.973.8+0.1
11 Chiba1911858%83.383.3+0.0
12 Hiroshima D.1910953%79.375.2+4.1
13 Saga1910953%74.373.3+1.0
14 Osaka2091145%77.579.5-2.0
15 Akita2091145%71.675.8-4.2
16 Sendai1981142%81.380.7+0.6
17 Sun Rockers Shibuya1981142%75.675.9-0.3
18 Gunma1981142%75.880.7-4.9
19 Yokohama1971237%76.081.5-5.5
20 Kyoto1951426%75.683.6-8.0
21 Hokkaido2041620%74.182.2-8.1
22 Shinshu2041620%75.283.9-8.8
23 Ibaraki Robots191185%74.686.3-11.6
24 Toyama191185%72.587.7-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
NeoPhoenix30272325105
Saga2127173095
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