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Sam Houston St. vs Liberty Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 68-76
33-35 35-41
Position#283
Record7-8
FormWLWLL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game78.2
vs
Liberty 🏆
USA
Position#19
Record13-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game59.3
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Sam Houston St. v Liberty
10 Jan 2026
SAM 74
LIBE82
09 Jan 2025
SAM 68
LIBE76
17 Feb 2024
SAM 83
LIBE73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sam Houston St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Liberty winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sam Houston St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Appalachian State
#157
L
63-66
63
66
-3
A27/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#27
L
60-69
60
69
-9
A29/11
NCAA
Colgate
#267
W
82-78
82
78
+4
H30/11
NCAA
Indiana
#132
L
71-97
71
97
-26
A04/12
NCAA
Texas Southern
#223
W
87-71
87
71
+16
H07/12
NCAA
St. Thomas (TX)
#445
W
80-54
80
54
+26
H17/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
L
78-110
78
110
-32
A21/12
NCAA
Dallas Univ.
#541
W
111-65
111
65
+46
H28/12
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
L
71-75
71
75
-4
A03/01
NCAA
UTEP
#163
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A05/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-30
30-36
20-33
40-36
35-33
47-45
25-42
46-55
32-36
55-35
41-21
39-33
40-52
38-58
50-34
61-31
30-38
41-37
29-39
43-42
154.1Avg total
77.5Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)79.978.2158.1+1.747%
Season at home (5)93.069.2162.2+23.8100%
Season away (10)73.382.7156.0-9.420%
Last 10 (10)77.576.6154.1+0.940%
Last 5 (5)82.477.0159.4+5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)72.080.8152.8-8.830%
vs Similar (10)72.873.1145.9-0.360%
vs Weaker (9)83.964.1148.0+19.889%
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LibertyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
89-69
89
69
+20
H22/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#216
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A25/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H26/11
NCAA
Central Penn
#644
W
93-36
93
36
+57
H29/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#370
W
89-52
89
52
+37
H08/12
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#348
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H15/12
NCAA
St. Andrews
#627
W
124-50
124
50
+74
H18/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
W
79-56
79
56
+23
H21/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
L
70-71
70
71
-1
H03/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
73-63
73
63
+10
H04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
45-32
44-37
32-29
35-36
29-29
33-29
45-21
48-15
40-16
49-36
39-37
44-37
59-20
65-30
39-22
40-34
35-21
35-50
42-25
31-38
142.3Avg total
82.9Scored
59.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)80.159.3139.4+20.787%
Season at home (12)83.359.5142.8+23.883%
Season away (3)67.058.7125.7+8.3100%
Last 10 (10)82.959.4142.3+23.590%
Last 5 (5)85.862.8148.6+23.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)71.269.8141.0+1.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)76.363.7140.0+12.765%
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-19-10+0+10+191st half1st half: -2.3-2.31st half: +15.3+15.32nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: +8.2+8.2
-19-10+0+10+191st half1st half: -2.3-2.31st half: +15.3+15.32nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: +8.2+8.2
Sam Houston St.Liberty
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Sam Houston St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Appalachian State
#157
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A27/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#27
L
20-33
20
33
-13
A29/11
NCAA
Colgate
#267
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H30/11
NCAA
Indiana
#132
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A04/12
NCAA
Texas Southern
#223
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H07/12
NCAA
St. Thomas (TX)
#445
W
41-21
41
21
+20
H17/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A21/12
NCAA
Dallas Univ.
#541
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H28/12
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A03/01
NCAA
UTEP
#163
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A05/01
NCAA
69.3Avg total
33.5Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.934.271.1+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.731.271.8+9.585%-
Last 30 away (17)34.036.570.5-2.541%-
Last 10 (10)33.535.869.3-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)38.036.874.8+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)35.337.672.9-2.340%-
vs Similar (10)31.134.765.8-3.640%-
vs Weaker (9)44.731.275.9+13.4100%-
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LibertyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H22/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#216
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A25/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H26/11
NCAA
Central Penn
#644
W
45-21
45
21
+24
H29/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#370
W
40-16
40
16
+24
H08/12
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#348
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H15/12
NCAA
St. Andrews
#627
W
59-20
59
20
+39
H18/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H21/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
W
35-21
35
21
+14
H03/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H04/01
NCAA
65.7Avg total
40.5Scored
25.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.229.966.1+6.267%-
Last 30 at home (20)38.228.366.5+9.980%-
Last 30 away (10)32.133.265.3-1.140%-
Last 10 (10)40.525.265.7+15.390%-
Last 5 (5)42.825.067.8+17.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)31.030.061.0+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)37.029.966.9+7.069%-
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Sam Houston St. wins
1
Liberty wins
DateGameScore
18/02/24Sam Houston St. v Liberty83-73
21/01/24Liberty v Sam Houston St.82-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/25AUTEP72-81
03/01/25ANew Mexico State71-75
28/12/24HDallas Univ.111-65
21/12/24APittsburgh78-110
17/12/24HSt. Thomas (TX)80-54
07/12/24HTexas Southern87-71
04/12/24AIndiana71-97
30/11/24HColgate82-78
29/11/24ANC Wilmington60-69
27/11/24AAppalachian State63-66
Libertylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25HMiddle Tenn. St.73-63
03/01/25HWestern Kentucky70-71
21/12/24HUT Arlington79-56
18/12/24HSt. Andrews124-50
15/12/24HN. Carolina A&T83-74
08/12/24HMiss. Valley St.89-52
29/11/24HCentral Penn93-36
26/11/24HMcNeese State62-58
25/11/24AKansas State67-65
22/11/24HLouisiana Lafayette89-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sam Houston St.
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL47%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15510
Win %47%100%20%
Points / game79.993.073.3
Allowed / game78.269.282.7
Point differential+1.7+23.8-9.4
Avg total158.1162.2156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%80%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Liberty
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW87%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15123
Win %87%83%100%
Points / game80.183.367.0
Allowed / game59.359.558.7
Point differential+20.7+23.8+8.3
Avg total139.4142.8125.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %7%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty1513287%80.159.3+20.7
2 UTEP1512380%74.665.9+8.7
3 Louisiana Tech1612475%77.267.7+9.6
4 Middle Tenn. St.1611569%78.471.6+6.8
5 Western Kentucky1610662%78.276.1+2.1
6 Jacksonville State159660%80.370.4+9.9
7 New Mexico State159660%74.868.9+5.9
8 Kennesaw State159660%81.175.2+5.9
9 Delaware169756%79.676.7+2.9
10 Sam Houston St.157847%79.978.2+1.7
11 Florida International167944%73.970.8+3.1
12 Missouri State167944%70.971.3-0.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Sam Houston St.333568
Liberty354176
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