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Sam Houston St. vs Liberty Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 74-82
33-34 41-48
Position#69
Record9-6
FormLWLLW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game75.1
vs
Position#26
Record12-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game67.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Sam Houston St. v Liberty
10 Jan 2026
SAM 74
LIBE82
09 Jan 2025
SAM 68
LIBE76
17 Feb 2024
SAM 83
LIBE73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sam Houston St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Liberty winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sam Houston St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho State
#284
W
84-81
84
81
+3
A26/11
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
94-68
94
68
+26
A29/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
83-93
83
93
-10
A03/12
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
82-70
82
70
+12
A06/12
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
W
85-75
85
75
+10
A18/12
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
78-87
78
87
-9
A21/12
NCAA
CBS Ambassadors
#681
W
117-57
117
57
+60
H28/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
91-102
91
102
-11
A02/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
67-68
67
68
-1
A04/01
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H09/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-34
46-47
37-40
57-28
44-37
39-56
43-29
39-41
46-37
39-38
28-48
50-39
59-21
58-36
49-42
42-60
34-34
33-34
35-29
37-31
161.4Avg total
85.3Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)85.875.1160.9+10.760%
Season at home (5)93.460.0153.4+33.4100%
Season away (10)82.082.7164.7-0.740%
Last 10 (10)85.376.1161.4+9.260%
Last 5 (5)85.074.8159.8+10.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)67.171.4138.5-4.225%
vs Similar ◀ (10)77.677.5155.1+0.150%
vs Weaker (10)83.877.8161.6+6.050%
This opponent (Liberty) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LibertyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Towson
#157
L
69-72
69
72
-3
H25/11
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
64-74
64
74
-10
A26/11
NCAA
Coppin State
#354
W
92-50
92
50
+42
H06/12
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
45-85
45
85
-40
A11/12
NCAA
Midway
#519
W
95-57
95
57
+38
H16/12
NCAA
Dayton
#65
W
64-61
64
61
+3
A20/12
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
97-94 OT
97
94
+3
A28/12
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H03/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H04/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
72-56
72
56
+16
A09/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-36
32-36
33-43
31-31
55-14
37-36
19-45
26-40
50-27
45-30
29-33
35-28
41-33
41-49
46-33
35-40
27-27
51-42
34-27
38-29
144.8Avg total
75.7Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)80.767.3148.0+13.380%
Season at home (9)87.763.0150.7+24.789%
Season away (6)70.273.8144.0-3.767%
Last 10 (10)75.769.1144.8+6.670%
Last 5 (5)78.470.6149.0+7.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)71.469.9141.2+1.575%
vs Weaker (22)78.365.5143.9+12.882%
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.2+6.21st half: +5.3+5.32nd half2nd half: +3.0+3.02nd half: +1.0+1.0
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.2+6.21st half: +5.3+5.32nd half2nd half: +3.0+3.02nd half: +1.0+1.0
Sam Houston St.Liberty
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Sam Houston St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho State
#284
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A26/11
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A29/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A03/12
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A06/12
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A18/12
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A21/12
NCAA
CBS Ambassadors
#681
W
59-21
59
21
+38
H28/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A02/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A04/01
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H09/01
NCAA
76.4Avg total
41.3Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.634.271.8+3.553%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.331.872.2+8.567%-
Last 30 away (18)35.835.771.6+0.144%-
Last 10 (10)41.335.176.4+6.270%-
Last 5 (5)41.034.875.8+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)33.033.666.6-0.638%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.235.572.7+1.740%-
vs Weaker (10)40.634.875.4+5.870%-
This opponent (Liberty) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LibertyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Towson
#157
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H25/11
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A26/11
NCAA
Coppin State
#354
W
55-14
55
14
+41
H06/12
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
19-45
19
45
-26
A11/12
NCAA
Midway
#519
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H16/12
NCAA
Dayton
#65
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A20/12
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A28/12
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H03/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
D
27-27
27
27
+0
H04/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A09/01
NCAA
68.9Avg total
37.1Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.230.467.6+6.873%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.827.867.6+12.188%-
Last 30 away (13)33.833.867.6-0.154%-
Last 10 (10)37.131.868.9+5.360%-
Last 5 (5)35.430.666.0+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)34.533.868.2+0.850%-
vs Weaker (22)38.229.267.4+9.082%-
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Sam Houston St. wins
3
Liberty wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/26HDelaware72-60
04/01/26AMiddle Tenn. St.67-68
02/01/26AWestern Kentucky91-102
28/12/25HCBS Ambassadors117-57
21/12/25ANew Mexico State78-87
18/12/25AOregon State85-75
06/12/25ATexas Southern82-70
03/12/25AOklahoma State83-93
29/11/25AIdaho94-68
26/11/25AIdaho State84-81
Libertylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/26ALouisiana Tech72-56
04/01/26HJacksonville State78-69
03/01/26HKennesaw State81-73
28/12/25AFlorida International97-94 OT
20/12/25ADayton64-61
16/12/25HMidway95-57
11/12/25ANC State45-85
06/12/25HCoppin State92-50
26/11/25ABradley64-74
25/11/25HTowson69-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sam Houston St.
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW60%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15510
Win %60%100%40%
Points / game85.893.482.0
Allowed / game75.160.082.7
Point differential+10.7+33.4-0.7
Avg total160.9153.4164.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%80%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Liberty
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeLWWWW89%
AwayLLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %80%89%67%
Points / game80.787.770.2
Allowed / game67.363.073.8
Point differential+13.3+24.7-3.7
Avg total148.0150.7144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%67%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %7%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty1512380%80.767.3+13.3
2 New Mexico State1410471%77.968.6+9.3
3 Kennesaw State159660%89.076.1+12.9
4 Sam Houston St.159660%85.875.1+10.7
5 Florida International159660%85.777.7+8.1
6 Middle Tenn. St.159660%76.970.3+6.6
7 Western Kentucky159660%81.977.0+4.9
8 Missouri State159660%75.270.9+4.3
9 Louisiana Tech169756%68.760.4+8.2
10 Jacksonville State158753%73.764.6+9.1
11 UTEP1551033%70.772.9-2.1
12 Delaware1651131%65.970.8-4.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Sam Houston St.334174
Liberty344882
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