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Samford vs East Tennessee St Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 75-76
31-38 44-38
Position#149
Record9-9
FormWLWLL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game76.4
Samford
USA
vs
East Tennessee St 🏆
USA
Position#61
Record12-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game66.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Samford v East Tennessee St
02 Jan 2027
SAMF v EAST
upcoming
17 Jan 2026
SAMF75
EAST76
18 Jan 2025
SAMF60
EAST65
11 Mar 2024
SAMF76
EAST69
24 Feb 2024
SAMF87
EAST71
04 Feb 2023
SAMF73
EAST62
15 Jan 2022
SAMF85
EAST88
22 Feb 2020
SAMF74
EAST80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samford winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
East Tennessee St winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Valley State
#33
L
45-89
45
89
-44
A26/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
57-83
57
83
-26
A06/12
NCAA
Cornell
#175
W
93-90
93
90
+3
H08/12
NCAA
Bryan
#659
W
106-51
106
51
+55
H15/12
NCAA
Reinhardt
#663
W
85-49
85
49
+36
H19/12
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
78-58
78
58
+20
A01/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
82-89
82
89
-7
A03/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
W
82-77
82
77
+5
H08/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
79-88
79
88
-9
A10/01
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
73-77
73
77
-4
H15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
14-42
31-47
31-34
26-49
42-50
51-40
60-18
46-33
41-17
44-32
34-36
44-22
35-43
47-46
34-38
48-39
28-49
51-39
40-40
33-37
153.1Avg total
78.0Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)77.776.4154.1+1.350%
Season at home (7)83.370.4153.7+12.971%
Season away (11)74.180.2154.3-6.136%
Last 10 (10)78.075.1153.1+2.950%
Last 5 (5)78.877.8156.6+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)59.083.7142.7-24.70%
vs Similar (14)76.381.3157.6-5.029%
vs Weaker (12)87.270.8158.0+16.583%
This opponent (East Tennessee St) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
East Tennessee StUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#120
W
91-65
91
65
+26
H06/12
NCAA
Tusculum
#418
W
78-62
78
62
+16
H07/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#49
L
75-76
75
76
-1
A13/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
58-77
58
77
-19
A17/12
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
75-81
75
81
-6
H20/12
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
74-49
74
49
+25
A30/12
NCAA
Mercer
#117
W
77-71
77
71
+6
H03/01
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
81-67
81
67
+14
H08/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
86-60
86
60
+26
H10/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
36-31
55-34
35-23
43-39
34-43
41-33
30-38
28-39
34-31
41-50
40-23
34-26
32-35
45-36
41-30
40-37
38-34
48-26
35-36
33-36
144.3Avg total
76.3Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)78.266.5144.7+11.767%
Season at home (11)83.563.0146.5+20.591%
Season away (7)69.772.0141.7-2.329%
Last 10 (10)76.368.0144.3+8.360%
Last 5 (5)77.263.8141.0+13.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)69.469.1138.5+0.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)75.964.7140.5+11.273%
This opponent (Samford) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -0.8-0.81st half: +3.1+3.12nd half2nd half: +3.7+3.72nd half: +5.2+5.2
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -0.8-0.81st half: +3.1+3.12nd half2nd half: +3.7+3.72nd half: +5.2+5.2
SamfordEast Tennessee St
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SamfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Valley State
#33
L
14-42
14
42
-28
A26/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A06/12
NCAA
Cornell
#175
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H08/12
NCAA
Bryan
#659
W
60-18
60
18
+42
H15/12
NCAA
Reinhardt
#663
W
41-17
41
17
+24
H19/12
NCAA
VMI
#364
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A01/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A03/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H08/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A10/01
NCAA
Furman
#93
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H15/01
NCAA
72.6Avg total
35.9Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.538.173.6-2.630%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.636.576.1+3.133%-
Last 30 away (18)32.839.271.9-6.428%-
Last 10 (10)35.936.772.6-0.820%-
Last 5 (5)34.241.275.4-7.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)26.740.367.0-13.70%-
vs Similar (14)32.340.472.6-8.17%-
vs Weaker (12)42.434.376.8+8.167%-
This opponent (East Tennessee St) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
East Tennessee StLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#120
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H06/12
NCAA
Tusculum
#418
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H07/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#49
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A13/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A17/12
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H20/12
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
40-23
40
23
+17
A30/12
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H03/01
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H08/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H10/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A14/01
NCAA
67.9Avg total
35.5Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.031.466.4+3.553%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.230.266.4+5.965%-
Last 30 away (13)33.433.066.4+0.438%-
Last 10 (10)35.532.467.9+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)37.231.668.8+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)31.633.364.9-1.721%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)36.730.367.0+6.580%-
This opponent (Samford) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Samford wins
4
East Tennessee St wins
DateGameScore
08/02/25East Tennessee St v Samford66-59
18/01/25Samford v East Tennessee St60-65
11/03/24Samford v East Tennessee St76-69
24/02/24Samford v East Tennessee St87-71
27/01/24East Tennessee St v Samford72-75
04/02/23Samford v East Tennessee St73-62
19/01/23East Tennessee St v Samford59-69
12/02/22East Tennessee St v Samford73-77
15/01/22Samford v East Tennessee St85-88
22/02/20Samford v East Tennessee St74-80
Samfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/26HFurman73-77
10/01/26AChattanooga Mocs79-88
08/01/26HWestern Carolina82-77
03/01/26ANC Greensboro82-89
01/01/26AVMI78-58
19/12/25HReinhardt85-49
15/12/25HBryan106-51
08/12/25HCornell93-90
06/12/25AVCU Rams57-83
26/11/25AUtah Valley State45-89
East Tennessee Stlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/26AWestern Carolina68-72
10/01/26HNC Greensboro86-60
08/01/26HVMI81-67
03/01/26HMercer77-71
30/12/25ACitadel74-49
20/12/25HJacksonville State75-81
17/12/25ANorth Carolina58-77
13/12/25AAustin Peay75-76
07/12/25HTusculum78-62
06/12/25HSouth Alabama91-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samford
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL50%
HomeWWWWL71%
AwayLLWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18711
Win %50%71%36%
Points / game77.783.374.1
Allowed / game76.470.480.2
Point differential+1.3+12.9-6.1
Avg total154.1153.7154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%43%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %11%0%18%
East Tennessee St
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeWLWWW91%
AwayLLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %67%91%29%
Points / game78.283.569.7
Allowed / game66.563.072.0
Point differential+11.7+20.5-2.3
Avg total144.7146.5141.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%82%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)-25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Furman1813572%77.669.7+7.9
2 East Tennessee St1812667%78.266.5+11.7
3 Mercer1811761%84.374.1+10.3
4 Wofford1811761%78.676.9+1.7
5 Samford189950%77.776.4+1.3
6 Chattanooga Mocs1991047%77.673.1+4.5
7 NC Greensboro1871139%77.779.5-1.8
8 Western Carolina1761135%77.280.6-3.4
9 VMI1861233%74.175.9-1.8
10 Citadel1851328%71.476.3-4.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Samford314475
East Tennessee St383876
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