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Samford vs East Tennessee St Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 02 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 22:00
Scheduled
Position#287
Record1-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game78.7
Samford
USA
vs
East Tennessee St
USA
Position#288
Record1-2
FormWLLLW
Points / game65.3
Allowed / game68.3
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Samford v East Tennessee St
02 Jan 2027
SAMF v EAST
upcoming
17 Jan 2026
SAMF75
EAST76
18 Jan 2025
SAMF60
EAST65
11 Mar 2024
SAMF76
EAST69
24 Feb 2024
SAMF87
EAST71
04 Feb 2023
SAMF73
EAST62
15 Jan 2022
SAMF85
EAST88
22 Feb 2020
SAMF74
EAST80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samford win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
East Tennessee St win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wofford
#126
W
97-80
97
80
+17
H12/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
82-72 OT
82
72
+10
A14/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A20/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
86-89
86
89
-3
A21/02
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
80-61
80
61
+19
H27/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H28/02
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H07/03
NCAA
Berry Vikings
#413
W
87-58
87
58
+29
H03/11
NCAA
UNLV
#69
L
79-88
79
88
-9
A07/11
NCAA
Wright State
#81
L
66-90
66
90
-24
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
47-34
50-46
38-37
30-31
31-34
47-41
41-44
45-45
36-36
44-25
50-41
37-37
46-46
35-40
45-28
42-30
40-45
39-43
34-40
32-50
160.0Avg total
82.3Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.378.7156.0-1.333%
Season at home (2)76.574.0150.5+2.550%
Season away (1)79.088.0167.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)82.377.7160.0+4.660%
Last 5 (5)80.080.0160.0+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)67.383.0150.3-15.717%
vs Similar ◀ (14)79.178.4157.6+0.743%
vs Weaker (9)83.665.3148.9+18.289%
This opponent (East Tennessee St) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
East Tennessee StUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Furman
#93
W
78-69
78
69
+9
A18/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
87-75
87
75
+12
A21/02
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
69-72
69
72
-3
H26/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
76-82
76
82
-6
A28/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
83-76
83
76
+7
H07/03
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
W
69-67
69
67
+2
H08/03
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
61-76
61
76
-15
H09/03
NCAA
Arizona State
#35
L
65-75
65
75
-10
A03/11
NCAA
NC State
#39
L
63-77
63
77
-14
A07/11
NCAA
Campbell
#316
W
68-53
68
53
+15
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-34
44-35
39-36
48-39
37-33
32-39
35-49
41-33
36-32
47-44
24-38
45-29
35-42
26-34
31-37
34-38
36-35
27-42
25-25
43-28
144.1Avg total
71.9Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)65.368.3133.7-3.033%
Season at home (1)68.053.0121.0+15.0100%
Season away (2)64.076.0140.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)71.972.2144.1-0.350%
Last 5 (5)65.269.6134.8-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)64.076.0140.0-12.00%
vs Similar ◀ (8)71.476.2147.6-4.938%
vs Weaker (20)78.168.5146.6+9.675%
This opponent (Samford) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: -2.9-2.92nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: +2.6+2.6
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: -2.9-2.92nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: +2.6+2.6
SamfordEast Tennessee St
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SamfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wofford
#126
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H12/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A14/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A20/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A21/02
NCAA
VMI
#364
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H27/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H28/02
NCAA
Furman
#93
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H07/03
NCAA
Berry Vikings
#413
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H03/11
NCAA
UNLV
#69
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A07/11
NCAA
Wright State
#81
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H14/11
NCAA
79.3Avg total
40.8Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.536.774.2+0.837%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.634.675.2+6.144%-
Last 30 away (14)34.039.173.1-5.129%-
Last 10 (10)40.838.579.3+2.340%-
Last 5 (5)43.040.083.0+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)31.339.370.7-8.017%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)37.939.177.0-1.329%-
vs Weaker (9)40.332.172.4+8.256%-
This opponent (East Tennessee St) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
East Tennessee StLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Furman
#93
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A18/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A21/02
NCAA
Wofford
#126
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H26/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A28/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H07/03
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
24-38
24
38
-14
H08/03
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H09/03
NCAA
Arizona State
#35
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A03/11
NCAA
NC State
#39
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A07/11
NCAA
Campbell
#316
D
25-25
25
25
+0
H12/11
NCAA
69.3Avg total
33.2Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.034.769.6+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.333.167.4+1.256%-
Last 30 away (14)35.736.472.1-0.743%-
Last 10 (10)33.236.169.3-2.940%-
Last 5 (5)30.235.465.6-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.536.069.5-2.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)32.640.272.9-7.60%-
vs Weaker (20)36.032.368.3+3.870%-
This opponent (Samford) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Samford wins
3
East Tennessee St wins
DateGameScore
14/02/26East Tennessee St v Samford72-82 OT
17/01/26Samford v East Tennessee St75-76
08/02/25East Tennessee St v Samford66-59
18/01/25Samford v East Tennessee St60-65
11/03/24Samford v East Tennessee St76-69
24/02/24Samford v East Tennessee St87-71
27/01/24East Tennessee St v Samford72-75
04/02/23Samford v East Tennessee St73-62
19/01/23East Tennessee St v Samford59-69
12/02/22East Tennessee St v Samford73-77
Samfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HWright State66-90
07/11/26AUNLV79-88
03/11/26HBerry Vikings87-58
07/03/26HFurman81-86
28/02/26HNC Greensboro87-78
27/02/26HVMI80-61
21/02/26AMercer86-89
20/02/26ACitadel78-75
14/02/26AEast Tennessee St82-72 OT
12/02/26HWofford97-80
East Tennessee Stlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HCampbell68-53
07/11/26ANC State63-77
03/11/26AArizona State65-75
09/03/26HFurman61-76
08/03/26HWestern Carolina69-67
07/03/26HCitadel83-76
28/02/26AMercer76-82
26/02/26HWofford69-72
21/02/26ANC Greensboro87-75
18/02/26AFurman78-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samford
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game77.376.579.0
Allowed / game78.774.088.0
Point differential-1.3+2.5-9.0
Avg total156.0150.5167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
East Tennessee St
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game65.368.064.0
Allowed / game68.353.076.0
Point differential-3.0+15.0-12.0
Avg total133.7121.0140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Furman54180%88.068.8+19.2
2 Citadel43175%90.064.5+25.5
3 VMI53260%77.870.4+7.4
4 Western Carolina42250%89.874.5+15.2
5 NC Greensboro42250%81.070.8+10.2
6 Chattanooga Mocs42250%84.279.5+4.8
7 Wofford52340%82.482.0+0.4
8 Mercer52340%78.280.6-2.4
9 Samford31233%77.378.7-1.3
10 East Tennessee St31233%65.368.3-3.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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