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Samford vs Mercer Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Jan 2020
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 75-90
32-51 43-39
Position#321
Record5-8
FormWWLLL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game83.0
vs
Mercer 🏆
USA
Position#186
Record4-9
FormWLLLW
Points / game67.2
Allowed / game67.8
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Meetings · Samford v Mercer
07 Feb 2026
SAMF69
MERC49
05 Feb 2025
SAMF100
MERC79
09 Mar 2024
SAMF70
MERC57
20 Jan 2024
SAMF87
MERC80
28 Dec 2022
SAMF78
MERC69
26 Jan 2022
SAMF75
MERC61
10 Feb 2021
SAMF70
MERC77
18 Jan 2020
SAMF75
MERC90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samford winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mercer winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aub.-Montgomery
#430
W
97-64
97
64
+33
H04/12
NCAA
Houston Christian
#350
W
113-90
113
90
+23
A08/12
NCAA
Hawaii
#157
L
73-94
73
94
-21
A16/12
NCAA
Alabama
#183
L
87-105
87
105
-18
H19/12
NCAA
Georgetown
#243
L
71-99
71
99
-28
A21/12
NCAA
Citadel
#340
W
69-68
69
68
+1
H01/01
NCAA
VMI
#318
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A04/01
NCAA
Wofford
#153
L
62-67
62
67
-5
H09/01
NCAA
UT Chattanooga
#95
L
67-105
67
105
-38
A11/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#8
L
63-88
63
88
-25
A16/01
NCAA
1H
2H
36-22
61-42
55-45
58-45
36-47
37-47
37-57
50-48
31-44
40-55
35-41
34-27
37-40
41-35
35-32
27-35
30-41
37-64
29-37
34-51
163.5Avg total
78.0Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)75.883.0158.8-7.238%
Season at home (5)77.472.8150.2+4.660%
Season away (8)74.989.4164.2-14.525%
Last 10 (10)78.085.5163.5-7.540%
Last 5 (5)67.880.6148.4-12.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)70.584.1154.6-13.527%
vs Similar (2)85.578.0163.5+7.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mercer) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Holy Cross
#354
L
67-81
67
81
-14
H02/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#91
L
61-73
61
73
-12
H07/12
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#320
W
72-63
72
63
+9
A17/12
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
62-64
62
64
-2
H21/12
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#144
L
50-65
50
65
-15
H22/12
NCAA
Milligan
#498
W
104-53
104
53
+51
H28/12
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#39
L
63-72
63
72
-9
A02/01
NCAA
UT Chattanooga
#95
L
61-70
61
70
-9
H04/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#96
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A11/01
NCAA
VMI
#318
W
73-62
73
62
+11
H16/01
NCAA
1H
2H
39-38
28-43
18-31
43-42
37-35
35-28
30-30
32-34
21-31
29-34
51-37
53-16
25-43
38-29
25-35
36-35
30-36
41-43
27-38
46-24
136.6Avg total
68.4Scored
68.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)67.267.8135.0-0.731%
Season at home (7)68.366.9135.1+1.429%
Season away (6)65.869.0134.8-3.233%
Last 10 (10)68.468.2136.6+0.230%
Last 5 (5)74.467.2141.6+7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)65.474.0139.4-8.629%
vs Similar (10)65.668.2133.8-2.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)81.065.7146.7+15.367%
This opponent (Samford) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -4.5-4.51st half: -5.1-5.12nd half2nd half: -3.0-3.02nd half: +5.3+5.3
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -4.5-4.51st half: -5.1-5.12nd half2nd half: -3.0-3.02nd half: +5.3+5.3
SamfordMercer
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SamfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aub.-Montgomery
#430
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H04/12
NCAA
Houston Christian
#350
W
55-45
55
45
+10
A08/12
NCAA
Hawaii
#157
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A16/12
NCAA
Alabama
#183
L
37-57
37
57
-20
H19/12
NCAA
Georgetown
#243
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A21/12
NCAA
Citadel
#340
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H01/01
NCAA
VMI
#318
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A04/01
NCAA
Wofford
#153
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H09/01
NCAA
UT Chattanooga
#95
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A11/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#8
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A16/01
NCAA
76.7Avg total
36.1Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (15)34.937.972.7-3.027%-
Last 30 at home (6)36.534.771.2+1.850%-
Last 30 away (9)33.840.073.8-6.211%-
Last 10 (10)36.140.676.7-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)33.238.271.4-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)34.139.773.8-5.618%-
vs Similar (2)39.537.577.0+2.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mercer) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Holy Cross
#354
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H02/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#91
L
18-31
18
31
-13
H07/12
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#320
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A17/12
NCAA
Furman
#22
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H21/12
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#144
L
21-31
21
31
-10
H22/12
NCAA
Milligan
#498
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H28/12
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#39
L
25-43
25
43
-18
A02/01
NCAA
UT Chattanooga
#95
L
25-35
25
35
-10
H04/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#96
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A11/01
NCAA
VMI
#318
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H16/01
NCAA
65.7Avg total
30.3Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)30.331.762.0-1.444%-
Last 30 at home (11)29.730.360.0-0.536%-
Last 30 away (14)30.832.963.6-2.150%-
Last 10 (10)30.335.465.7-5.130%-
Last 5 (5)31.637.869.4-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)29.334.163.4-4.929%-
vs Similar (10)28.431.059.4-2.630%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)42.336.779.0+5.7100%-
This opponent (Samford) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Samford wins
0
Mercer wins
No previous meetings.
Samfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/20AEast Tennessee St63-88
11/01/20AUT Chattanooga67-105
09/01/20HWofford62-67
04/01/20AVMI78-75
01/01/20HCitadel69-68
21/12/19AGeorgetown71-99
19/12/19HAlabama87-105
16/12/19AHawaii73-94
08/12/19AHouston Christian113-90
04/12/19HAub.-Montgomery97-64
Mercerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/20HVMI73-62
11/01/20AWestern Carolina71-79
04/01/20HUT Chattanooga61-70
02/01/20ANC Greensboro63-72
28/12/19HMilligan104-53
22/12/19HFlorida Atlantic50-65
21/12/19HFurman62-64
17/12/19ANC Wilmington72-63
07/12/19HGeorgia State61-73
02/12/19HHoly Cross67-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samford
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL38%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayLLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %38%60%25%
Points / game75.877.474.9
Allowed / game83.072.889.4
Point differential-7.2+4.6-14.5
Avg total158.8150.2164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%40%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mercer
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW31%
HomeLLWLW29%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %31%29%33%
Points / game67.268.365.8
Allowed / game67.866.969.0
Point differential-0.7+1.4-3.2
Avg total135.0135.1134.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 East Tennessee St1513287%77.560.9+16.7
2 Western Carolina1210283%84.073.7+10.3
3 NC Greensboro1310377%73.963.1+10.8
4 Furman1511473%75.467.1+8.3
5 Wofford1410471%72.266.5+5.7
6 Citadel125742%85.376.5+8.8
7 Samford135838%75.883.0-7.2
8 VMI134931%73.871.5+2.3
9 Mercer134931%67.267.8-0.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Samford324375
Mercer513990
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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