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Samford vs Mercer Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 87-80
46-33 41-47
Position#12
Record16-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.6
Allowed / game75.0
Samford 🏆
USA
vs
Position#223
Record8-10
FormLWLLL
Points / game69.4
Allowed / game70.5
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Samford v Mercer
07 Feb 2026
SAMF69
MERC49
05 Feb 2025
SAMF100
MERC79
09 Mar 2024
SAMF70
MERC57
20 Jan 2024
SAMF87
MERC80
28 Dec 2022
SAMF78
MERC69
26 Jan 2022
SAMF75
MERC61
10 Feb 2021
SAMF70
MERC77
18 Jan 2020
SAMF75
MERC90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samford winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mercer winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Grange
#612
W
128-82
128
82
+46
H03/12
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#310
W
118-91
118
91
+27
H12/12
NCAA
Belmont
#128
W
99-93
99
93
+6
H16/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
79-61
79
61
+18
A19/12
NCAA
Texas Southern
#210
W
87-65
87
65
+22
A22/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
W
89-74
89
74
+15
H04/01
NCAA
Citadel
#311
W
80-64
80
64
+16
A06/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H12/01
NCAA
VMI
#365
W
134-96
134
96
+38
H13/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
W
75-71
75
71
+4
A16/01
NCAA
1H
2H
61-29
67-53
64-45
54-46
44-36
55-57
35-27
44-34
41-21
46-44
46-43
43-31
31-25
49-39
40-27
39-43
72-54
62-42
37-29
38-42
173.5Avg total
96.8Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)90.675.0165.6+15.689%
Season at home (12)99.976.3176.2+23.6100%
Season away (6)71.872.3144.2-0.567%
Last 10 (10)96.876.7173.5+20.1100%
Last 5 (5)91.475.0166.4+16.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)75.880.1155.9-4.356%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)88.373.4161.7+14.989%
This opponent (Mercer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia State
#252
W
64-60
64
60
+4
H09/12
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#260
W
70-65
70
65
+5
H16/12
NCAA
Queens Royals
#269
W
84-65
84
65
+19
H20/12
NCAA
Thomas Univ.
#443
W
98-75
98
75
+23
H21/12
NCAA
Talladega
#452
W
74-50
74
50
+24
H29/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A04/01
NCAA
VMI
#365
W
86-64
86
64
+22
A06/01
NCAA
Wofford
#183
L
73-74
73
74
-1
A11/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
52-64
52
64
-12
H13/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
L
60-74
60
74
-14
H18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
36-31
28-29
37-33
33-32
42-26
42-39
50-36
48-39
39-25
35-25
30-42
39-38
48-28
38-36
37-40
36-34
25-29
27-35
23-31
37-43
140.1Avg total
73.0Scored
67.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)69.470.5139.9-1.144%
Season at home (9)69.867.4137.2+2.356%
Season away (9)69.173.6142.7-4.433%
Last 10 (10)73.067.1140.1+5.960%
Last 5 (5)68.071.2139.2-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)61.074.0135.0-13.00%
vs Similar (14)67.570.0137.5-2.543%
vs Weaker (5)75.654.8130.4+20.8100%
This opponent (Samford) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-17-8+0+8+171st half1st half: +13.5+13.51st half: +4.6+4.62nd half2nd half: +6.6+6.62nd half: +1.3+1.3
-17-8+0+8+171st half1st half: +13.5+13.51st half: +4.6+4.62nd half2nd half: +6.6+6.62nd half: +1.3+1.3
SamfordMercer
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SamfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Grange
#612
W
61-29
61
29
+32
H03/12
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#310
W
64-45
64
45
+19
H12/12
NCAA
Belmont
#128
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H16/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A19/12
NCAA
Texas Southern
#210
W
41-21
41
21
+20
A22/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H04/01
NCAA
Citadel
#311
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A06/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H12/01
NCAA
VMI
#365
W
72-54
72
54
+18
H13/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A16/01
NCAA
80.7Avg total
47.1Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.033.473.4+6.673%-
Last 30 at home (18)44.433.778.1+10.883%-
Last 30 away (12)33.433.066.4+0.458%-
Last 10 (10)47.133.680.7+13.5100%-
Last 5 (5)45.235.680.8+9.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)32.837.169.9-4.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)41.732.474.2+9.389%-
This opponent (Mercer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia State
#252
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H09/12
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#260
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H16/12
NCAA
Queens Royals
#269
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H20/12
NCAA
Thomas Univ.
#443
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H21/12
NCAA
Talladega
#452
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H29/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A04/01
NCAA
VMI
#365
W
48-28
48
28
+20
A06/01
NCAA
Wofford
#183
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A11/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H13/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
L
23-31
23
31
-8
H18/01
NCAA
68.8Avg total
36.7Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.131.965.0+1.263%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.929.862.8+3.169%-
Last 30 away (14)33.334.367.6-1.057%-
Last 10 (10)36.732.168.8+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)32.634.066.6-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)27.235.462.6-8.125%-
vs Similar (14)33.933.167.0+0.764%-
vs Weaker (5)35.623.659.2+12.0100%-
This opponent (Samford) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Samford wins
6
Mercer wins
DateGameScore
09/02/23Mercer v Samford69-70 OT
29/12/22Samford v Mercer78-69
27/01/22Samford v Mercer75-61
06/01/22Mercer v Samford83-80
06/03/21Mercer v Samford87-59
11/02/21Samford v Mercer70-77 OT
09/02/21Mercer v Samford89-82 OT
20/02/20Mercer v Samford106-66
18/01/20Samford v Mercer75-90
Samfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/24AWestern Carolina75-71
13/01/24HVMI134-96
12/01/24HNC Greensboro79-70
06/01/24ACitadel80-64
04/01/24HChattanooga Mocs89-74
22/12/23ATexas Southern87-65
19/12/23AValparaiso79-61
16/12/23HBelmont99-93
12/12/23HAlabama A&M Bulldogs118-91
03/12/23HLa Grange128-82
Mercerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/24HChattanooga Mocs60-74
13/01/24HWestern Carolina52-64
11/01/24AWofford73-74
06/01/24AVMI86-64
04/01/24AEast Tennessee St69-80
29/12/23HTalladega74-50
21/12/23HThomas Univ.98-75
20/12/23HQueens Royals84-65
16/12/23HFlorida Gulf Coast70-65
09/12/23HGeorgia State64-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samford
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18126
Win %89%100%67%
Points / game90.699.971.8
Allowed / game75.076.372.3
Point differential+15.6+23.6-0.5
Avg total165.6176.2144.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mercer
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL44%
HomeWWWLL56%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %44%56%33%
Points / game69.469.869.1
Allowed / game70.567.473.6
Point differential-1.1+2.3-4.4
Avg total139.9137.2142.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samford1816289%90.675.0+15.6
2 Western Carolina1915479%75.365.9+9.3
3 NC Greensboro1914574%77.168.0+9.1
4 Chattanooga Mocs1811761%78.370.3+8.0
5 Wofford1911858%77.675.8+1.7
6 Furman1910953%81.976.7+5.2
7 East Tennessee St189950%71.469.8+1.6
8 Mercer1881044%69.470.5-1.1
9 Citadel1981142%71.568.8+2.6
10 VMI1941521%70.579.7-9.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Samford464187
Mercer334780
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