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Samford vs Mercer Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 78-69
36-35 42-34
Position#78
Record6-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game70.9
Samford 🏆
USA
vs
Position#261
Record7-6
FormLWLWW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game68.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Samford v Mercer
07 Feb 2026
SAMF69
MERC49
05 Feb 2025
SAMF100
MERC79
09 Mar 2024
SAMF70
MERC57
20 Jan 2024
SAMF87
MERC80
28 Dec 2022
SAMF78
MERC69
26 Jan 2022
SAMF75
MERC61
10 Feb 2021
SAMF70
MERC77
18 Jan 2020
SAMF75
MERC90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samford winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mercer winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#254
W
84-64
84
64
+20
A18/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#273
W
78-63
78
63
+15
H20/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
79-49
79
49
+30
H23/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#237
L
76-79
76
79
-3
H25/11
NCAA
UT Southern
#316
L
82-84
82
84
-2
H27/11
NCAA
DePaul
#332
L
98-103 OT
98
103
-5
A01/12
NCAA
UCF Knights
#148
L
77-80 OT
77
80
-3
A04/12
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
58-75
58
75
-17
A11/12
NCAA
South Carolina St
#362
L
61-62
61
62
-1
A17/12
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
56-79
56
79
-23
A22/12
NCAA
1H
2H
40-29
44-35
43-28
35-35
52-22
27-27
35-33
41-46
35-35
47-49
49-50
40-39
31-33
39-37
32-37
26-38
35-40
26-22
26-38
30-41
148.7Avg total
74.9Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)79.170.9150.0+8.246%
Season at home (7)84.965.6150.4+19.371%
Season away (6)72.377.2149.5-4.817%
Last 10 (10)74.973.8148.7+1.130%
Last 5 (5)70.079.8149.8-9.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)74.679.1153.8-4.550%
vs Similar (11)70.573.7144.3-3.245%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)82.868.4151.2+14.564%
This opponent (Mercer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Winthrop
#232
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H19/11
NCAA
Florida State
#342
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A21/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#216
W
72-66
72
66
+6
A26/11
NCAA
Fairfield
#267
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H27/11
NCAA
Towson
#94
L
60-70
60
70
-10
A27/11
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#43
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H03/12
NCAA
Middle Georgia State
#494
W
100-62
100
62
+38
H06/12
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#178
L
62-67
62
67
-5
A11/12
NCAA
Morehead State
#82
W
79-52
79
52
+27
H17/12
NCAA
Troy
#115
W
82-79
82
79
+3
A22/12
NCAA
1H
2H
40-31
37-37
34-42
38-39
29-27
43-39
24-24
36-34
30-31
30-39
27-37
36-29
52-25
48-37
25-26
37-41
41-25
38-27
41-32
41-47
139.6Avg total
72.7Scored
66.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)77.268.8146.0+8.354%
Season at home (6)82.861.7144.5+21.283%
Season away (7)72.375.0147.3-2.729%
Last 10 (10)72.766.9139.6+5.860%
Last 5 (5)77.265.2142.4+12.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)71.776.4148.1-4.833%
vs Similar (14)67.464.9132.4+2.557%
vs Weaker (7)84.468.3152.7+16.157%
This opponent (Samford) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +3.3+3.31st half: +4.3+4.32nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: +1.5+1.5
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +3.3+3.31st half: +4.3+4.32nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: +1.5+1.5
SamfordMercer
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SamfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#254
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A18/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#273
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H20/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
52-22
52
22
+30
H23/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#237
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H25/11
NCAA
UT Southern
#316
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H27/11
NCAA
DePaul
#332
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A01/12
NCAA
UCF Knights
#148
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A04/12
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A11/12
NCAA
South Carolina St
#362
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A17/12
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A22/12
NCAA
72.3Avg total
37.8Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.834.772.5+3.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.131.270.3+7.969%-
Last 30 away (14)36.438.775.1-2.429%-
Last 10 (10)37.834.572.3+3.340%-
Last 5 (5)34.639.674.2-5.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)33.937.070.9-3.138%-
vs Similar (11)36.635.572.2+1.136%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)41.932.274.1+9.773%-
This opponent (Mercer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Winthrop
#232
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H19/11
NCAA
Florida State
#342
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A21/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#216
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A26/11
NCAA
Fairfield
#267
D
24-24
24
24
+0
H27/11
NCAA
Towson
#94
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A27/11
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#43
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H03/12
NCAA
Middle Georgia State
#494
W
52-25
52
25
+27
H06/12
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#178
L
25-26
25
26
-1
A11/12
NCAA
Morehead State
#82
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H17/12
NCAA
Troy
#115
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A22/12
NCAA
64.3Avg total
34.3Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.131.466.6+3.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.731.768.4+4.953%-
Last 30 away (15)33.631.164.7+2.560%-
Last 10 (10)34.330.064.3+4.350%-
Last 5 (5)37.229.066.2+8.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)34.634.168.7+0.456%-
vs Similar (14)32.129.061.1+3.157%-
vs Weaker (7)41.932.974.7+9.057%-
This opponent (Samford) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Samford wins
6
Mercer wins
DateGameScore
27/01/22Samford v Mercer75-61
06/01/22Mercer v Samford83-80
06/03/21Mercer v Samford87-59
11/02/21Samford v Mercer70-77 OT
09/02/21Mercer v Samford89-82 OT
20/02/20Mercer v Samford106-66
18/01/20Samford v Mercer75-90
Samfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/22ABelmont56-79
17/12/22ASouth Carolina St61-62
11/12/22ALouisiana Lafayette58-75
04/12/22AUCF Knights77-80 OT
01/12/22ADePaul98-103 OT
27/11/22HUT Southern82-84
25/11/22HLouisiana Tech76-79
23/11/22HValparaiso79-49
20/11/22HTexas Southern78-63
18/11/22AAlabama A&M Bulldogs84-64
Mercerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/22ATroy82-79
17/12/22HMorehead State79-52
11/12/22AFlorida Gulf Coast62-67
06/12/22HMiddle Georgia State100-62
03/12/22HKennesaw State63-66
27/11/22ATowson60-70
27/11/22HFairfield60-58
26/11/22ARobert Morris72-66
21/11/22AFlorida State72-81
19/11/22HWinthrop77-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samford
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL46%
HomeWWWLL71%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %46%71%17%
Points / game79.184.972.3
Allowed / game70.965.677.2
Point differential+8.2+19.3-4.8
Avg total150.0150.4149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%71%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %15%0%33%
Mercer
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW54%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayLWLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %54%83%29%
Points / game77.282.872.3
Allowed / game68.861.775.0
Point differential+8.3+21.2-2.7
Avg total146.0144.5147.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %8%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Furman139469%82.672.9+9.7
2 Chattanooga Mocs138562%80.568.7+11.8
3 Wofford138562%76.567.2+9.4
4 Western Carolina137654%79.269.0+10.2
5 Mercer137654%77.268.8+8.3
6 Samford136746%79.170.9+8.2
7 NC Greensboro136746%70.265.8+4.5
8 Citadel125742%70.974.4-3.5
9 VMI135838%76.874.6+2.2
10 East Tennessee St134931%71.068.9+2.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Samford364278
Mercer353469
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