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Hermes vs Marsonia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 71-93
22-16 16-27 15-28 18-22
Position#14
Record2-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game93.3
vs
Position#6
Record3-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game81.2
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 7· Kosarkaski centar Drazen Petrovic
Other2024-25
Meetings · Hermes v Marsonia
23 Nov 2024
HERM71
MARS93
19 Mar 2024
HERM103
MARS109
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hermes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Marsonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HermesCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHermes
Date
Competition
Marsonia
#9
L
103-109 OT
103
109
-6
99avg 82
H19/03
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
69-82
69
82
-13
66avg 82
A24/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
98-85
98
85
+13
100avg 82
A26/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
90-69
90
69
+21
80avg 82
A06/04
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
84-76
84
76
+8
85avg 82
H12/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
79-83
79
83
-4
72avg 82
A22/10
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
95-91
95
91
+4
90avg 82
H27/10
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
L
80-95
80
95
-15
75avg 82
A02/11
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
70-86
70
86
-16
66avg 82
H10/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
80-129
80
129
-49
70avg 82
A17/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
30-26
31-22
13-30
20-20
18-22
13-19
18-21
19-28
30-22
29-14
20-21
23-17
25-18
21-9
21-25
27-21
24-19
18-17
15-19
26-27
10-25
22-14
21-17
33-28
19-11
17-22
26-30
18-26
25-28
24-20
13-21
25-21
14-19
12-25
19-21
8-30
16-34
23-29
33-36
175.3Avg total
84.8Scored
90.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.393.3174.7-12.033%
Season at home (3)83.084.3167.3-1.367%
Season away (3)79.7102.3182.0-22.70%
Last 10 (10)84.890.5175.3-5.740%
Last 5 (5)80.896.8177.6-16.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)82.993.9176.8-10.929%
vs Similar (4)92.590.5183.0+2.050%
vs Weaker (12)94.686.2180.8+8.458%
This opponent (Marsonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarsoniaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMarsonia
Date
Competition
Hermes
#8
W
109-103 OT
109
103
+6
99avg 73
A19/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
91-75
91
75
+16
85avg 73
H21/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
79-85
79
85
-6
76avg 73
A27/03
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
L
87-90
87
90
-3
81avg 73
H07/04
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
106-83
106
83
+23
93avg 73
H12/10
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
L
82-94
82
94
-12
66avg 73
A19/10
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
W
75-61
75
61
+14
71avg 73
H27/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
92-97
92
97
-5
86avg 73
A03/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
64-88
64
88
-24
41avg 73
H10/11
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
80-64
80
64
+16
67avg 73
H17/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
26-30
22-31
30-13
20-11
31-23
18-23
22-18
19-28
19-16
24-17
17-24
23-17
30-21
17-29
17-23
32-16
22-26
20-17
32-24
24-20
23-33
19-22
16-19
7-20
29-16
17-12
22-13
25-24
14-26
20-21
33-26
11-18
9-21
23-24
21-25
19-18
22-19
19-15
20-12
170.5Avg total
86.5Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)83.281.2164.3+2.050%
Season at home (4)81.274.0155.2+7.275%
Season away (2)87.095.5182.5-8.50%
Last 10 (10)86.584.0170.5+2.550%
Last 5 (5)78.680.8159.4-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)79.989.1169.1-9.222%
vs Similar (4)80.582.0162.5-1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)88.979.5168.4+9.475%
This opponent (Hermes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: +3.3+3.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: +3.3+3.3
HermesMarsonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HermesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marsonia
#9
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H19/03
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A24/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A26/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A06/04
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H12/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A22/10
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H27/10
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A02/11
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H10/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
24-64
24
64
-40
A17/11
Prva Liga
88.6Avg total
42.9Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.744.391.0+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.943.091.9+5.969%-
Last 30 away (14)44.145.989.9-1.843%-
Last 10 (10)42.945.788.6-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)38.849.888.6-11.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)42.448.691.0-6.321%-
vs Similar (4)48.043.891.8+4.275%-
vs Weaker (12)51.239.590.8+11.892%-
This opponent (Marsonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarsoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hermes
#8
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A19/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H21/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A27/03
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H07/04
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H12/10
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A19/10
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H27/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A03/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
20-39
20
39
-19
H10/11
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H17/11
Prva Liga
84.2Avg total
42.0Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.343.585.8-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.441.082.4+0.450%-
Last 30 away (14)43.246.489.6-3.136%-
Last 10 (10)42.042.284.2-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)36.643.079.6-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)38.945.984.8-6.922%-
vs Similar (4)45.243.288.5+2.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)48.238.286.5+10.088%-
This opponent (Hermes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hermestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hermes: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.5
52.7%
52.0%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.010.6
36.6%
33.7%31.8
🏀 Free throws15.210.5
69.1%
70.4%10.5
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Marsoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Marsonia: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.121.9
52.0%
52.0%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.8
34.4%
33.7%29.4
🏀 Free throws15.810.6
67.1%
70.4%10.6
They take 70.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hermes
LLLWLWWWLL
Marsonia
WLLWLWLLWW
#14
League position
#6
-7.6
Net rating
+3.0
103.6
Offensive rating
106.1
111.2
Defensive rating
103.1
53.6%
Effective FG%
51.8%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
18.0%
Turnover %
19.1%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
32.9%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.22
36.6%
3-point %
34.4%
71.1%
Assist %
45.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.6 · 106.1Defence111.2 · 103.1Shooting53.6% · 51.8%3-point %36.6% · 34.4%Ball care18.0% · 19.1%Off. rebounds25.6% · 32.9%Free throws0.23 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Hermes   ■ Marsonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Hermes wins
2
Marsonia wins
DateGameScore
19/03/24Hermes v Marsonia103-109 OT
10/12/23Marsonia v Hermes95-91
Hermeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/24AJazine80-129
10/11/24HSkrljevo70-86
02/11/24AGorica80-95
27/10/24HBosco95-91
22/10/24ASamobor79-83
12/10/24HOmis84-76
06/04/24ACrikvenica90-69
26/03/24AJazine98-85
24/03/24AKK Zagreb69-82
19/03/24HMarsonia103-109 OT
Marsonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/24HDakovo80-64
10/11/24HKastela64-88
03/11/24AJazine92-97
27/10/24HSkrljevo75-61
19/10/24AGorica82-94
12/10/24HBosco106-83
07/04/24HStoja87-90
27/03/24AKastela79-85
21/03/24HMladost91-75
19/03/24AHermes109-103 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hermes
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%67%0%
Points / game81.383.079.7
Allowed / game93.384.3102.3
Point differential-12.0-1.3-22.7
Avg total174.7167.3182.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Marsonia
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %50%75%0%
Points / game83.281.287.0
Allowed / game81.274.095.5
Point differential+2.0+7.2-8.5
Avg total164.3155.2182.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samobor770100%90.379.4+10.9
2 Mladost76186%83.176.6+6.6
3 Jazine65183%104.287.2+17.0
4 Skrljevo75271%86.676.1+10.4
5 Kastela64267%75.868.3+7.5
6 Gorica74357%82.487.9-5.4
7 Marsonia63350%83.281.2+2.0
8 Sonik Puntamika62433%66.765.5+1.2
9 KK Zagreb62433%72.778.0-5.3
10 Hermes62433%81.393.3-12.0
11 Omis72529%69.774.1-4.4
12 Bosco61517%80.085.8-5.8
13 Dakovo61517%76.390.2-13.8
14 Crikvenica71614%68.378.3-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hermes2216151871
Marsonia1627282293
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