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Samobor vs Mladost Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 99-91
33-29 23-16 25-29 18-17
Position#1
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game90.7
Allowed / game78.7
Samobor 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#2
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game73.7
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 4· Sportska dvorana Samobor
Other2024-25
Meetings · Samobor v Mladost
07 May 2025
SAMO96
MLAD86
02 Nov 2024
SAMO99
MLAD91
06 Feb 2024
SAMO113
MLAD92
25 Mar 2023
SAMO75
MLAD109
03 Dec 2022
SAMO73
MLAD79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samobor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mladost winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
Jazine
#7
W
107-97
107
97
+10
101avg 79
H10/03
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
85-80
85
80
+5
78avg 79
A16/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
86-79
86
79
+7
83avg 79
H21/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
101-90
101
90
+11
93avg 79
A27/03
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
W
82-65
82
65
+17
76avg 79
H06/04
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
69-99
69
99
-30
58avg 79
A13/04
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
73-83
73
83
-10
61avg 79
H16/04
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
97-70
97
70
+27
105avg 79
A12/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
83-79
83
79
+4
82avg 79
H22/10
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
W
92-87
92
87
+5
86avg 79
A27/10
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-28
29-18
36-26
22-25
16-26
15-19
28-19
26-16
22-19
21-23
18-19
25-18
18-36
22-21
35-13
26-20
24-15
25-19
12-14
21-17
13-22
25-29
13-22
18-26
19-20
15-24
18-16
21-23
28-17
25-13
29-15
15-25
27-26
25-10
14-22
17-21
19-27
25-23
29-21
19-16
170.4Avg total
87.5Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)90.778.7169.3+12.0100%
Season at home (1)83.079.0162.0+4.0100%
Season away (2)94.578.5173.0+16.0100%
Last 10 (10)87.582.9170.4+4.680%
Last 5 (5)82.883.6166.4-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.083.6157.6-9.614%
vs Similar (7)81.383.9165.1-2.671%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)93.581.1174.6+12.5100%
This opponent (Mladost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MladostCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMladost
Date
Competition
Omis
#10
W
78-59
78
59
+19
75avg 69
H03/03
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
98-84
98
84
+14
99avg 69
H06/03
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
73-80
73
80
-7
64avg 69
A09/03
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
89-77
89
77
+12
85avg 69
H16/03
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
75-91
75
91
-16
62avg 69
A21/03
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
60-88
60
88
-28
45avg 69
H27/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
77-93
77
93
-16
62avg 69
A06/04
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
W
90-84
90
84
+6
87avg 69
H12/10
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
74-69
74
69
+5
63avg 69
A19/10
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
75-68
75
68
+7
70avg 69
H27/10
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
26-3
20-19
15-17
21-19
25-26
26-17
26-22
19-20
9-23
25-19
20-18
31-22
20-23
21-21
17-11
11-20
23-31
23-18
18-22
18-24
22-27
13-19
7-18
15-29
26-24
13-20
23-20
29-21
21-23
19-17
21-23
15-17
27-16
16-19
16-17
15-13
20-22
14-15
26-18
158.2Avg total
78.9Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.773.7153.3+6.0100%
Season at home (2)82.576.0158.5+6.5100%
Season away (1)74.069.0143.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.979.3158.2-0.460%
Last 5 (5)75.280.4155.6-5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)75.891.4167.2-15.66%
vs Similar (6)82.274.5156.7+7.767%
vs Weaker (8)83.973.9157.8+10.088%
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +0.3+0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +0.3+0.3
SamoborMladost
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jazine
#7
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H10/03
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A16/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H21/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A27/03
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H06/04
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A13/04
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H16/04
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
53-30
53
30
+23
A12/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H22/10
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A27/10
Prva Liga
86.8Avg total
43.3Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.742.586.3+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.040.285.2+4.879%-
Last 30 away (16)42.644.687.2-1.931%-
Last 10 (10)43.343.586.8-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)44.242.286.4+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.740.981.6-0.143%-
vs Similar (7)38.044.082.0-6.043%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)47.542.389.8+5.160%-
This opponent (Mladost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MladostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omis
#10
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H03/03
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H06/03
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A09/03
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H16/03
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A21/03
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H27/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A06/04
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H12/10
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A19/10
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H27/10
Prva Liga
83.3Avg total
41.0Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.043.385.3-1.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.941.784.5+1.267%-
Last 30 away (15)41.145.086.1-3.947%-
Last 10 (10)41.042.383.3-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)41.643.284.8-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)38.647.686.2-8.931%-
vs Similar (6)44.838.082.8+6.883%-
vs Weaker (8)46.638.985.5+7.888%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.921.8
56.0%
52.0%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.210.2
36.2%
33.7%30.6
🏀 Free throws17.513.0
74.3%
70.4%13.0
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mladosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mladost: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.421.2
52.5%
52.0%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.47.2
32.1%
33.7%21.6
🏀 Free throws20.014.6
73.0%
70.4%14.6
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Samobor
WWWLLWWWWW
Mladost
WWWLLLWLWW
#1
League position
#2
+6.7
Net rating
-0.1
110.2
Offensive rating
102.7
103.5
Defensive rating
102.8
55.3%
Effective FG%
51.0%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
17.0%
Turnover %
21.0%
25.7%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.2%
3-point %
32.1%
61.9%
Assist %
55.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.2 · 102.7Defence103.5 · 102.8Shooting55.3% · 51.0%3-point %36.2% · 32.1%Ball care17.0% · 21.0%Off. rebounds25.7% · 30.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Samobor   ■ Mladost
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Samobor wins
4
Mladost wins
DateGameScore
06/02/24Samobor v Mladost113-92
27/10/23Mladost v Samobor82-89
26/04/23Mladost v Samobor111-99
25/03/23Samobor v Mladost75-109
08/03/23Mladost v Samobor99-76
03/12/22Samobor v Mladost73-79
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/24AKK Zagreb92-87
22/10/24HHermes83-79
12/10/24ADakovo97-70
16/04/24HOsijek73-83
13/04/24AOsijek69-99
06/04/24HOsijek82-65
27/03/24AOmis101-90
21/03/24HCrikvenica86-79
16/03/24AGorica85-80
10/03/24HJazine107-97
Mladostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/24HOmis75-68
19/10/24ASonik Puntamika74-69
12/10/24HCrikvenica90-84
06/04/24AJazine77-93
27/03/24HKK Zagreb60-88
21/03/24AMarsonia75-91
16/03/24HPodstrana89-77
09/03/24AKvarner73-80
06/03/24HHermes98-84
03/03/24HOmis78-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samobor
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.783.094.5
Allowed / game78.779.078.5
Point differential+12.0+4.0+16.0
Avg total169.3162.0173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mladost
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game79.782.574.0
Allowed / game73.776.069.0
Point differential+6.0+6.5+5.0
Avg total153.3158.5143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samobor330100%90.778.7+12.0
2 Mladost330100%79.773.7+6.0
3 Jazine32167%99.787.0+12.7
4 Marsonia32167%87.779.3+8.3
5 Hermes32167%86.083.3+2.7
6 Skrljevo32167%82.381.3+1.0
7 Gorica32167%83.392.7-9.3
8 Sonik Puntamika31233%64.760.3+4.3
9 Omis31233%68.766.3+2.3
10 Kastela31233%69.772.7-3.0
11 Dakovo31233%77.783.0-5.3
12 KK Zagreb31233%60.767.3-6.7
13 Crikvenica3030%66.778.3-11.7
14 Bosco3030%80.393.7-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Samobor3323251899
Mladost2916291791
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