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Samobor vs Omis Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 102-89
23-22 19-13 25-28 35-26
Position#5
Record6-5
FormWLLWW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game81.9
Samobor 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#10
Record6-5
FormLWLWL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game76.0
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 12· Sportska dvorana Samobor
Other2023-24
Meetings · Samobor v Omis
08 Mar 2025
SAMO90
OMIS95
23 Dec 2023
SAMO102
OMIS89
28 Jan 2023
SAMO69
OMIS76
22 Jan 2022
SAMO81
OMIS86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samobor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Omis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
Podstrana
#14
W
88-73
88
73
+15
81avg 70
A22/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
89-82
89
82
+7
86avg 70
A27/10
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
81-79
81
79
+2
73avg 70
A04/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
52-89
52
89
-37
36avg 70
H11/11
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
66-82
66
82
-16
49avg 70
A19/11
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
88-77
88
77
+11
84avg 70
H26/11
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#7
L
85-88
85
88
-3
79avg 70
A29/11
Croatian Cup
Jazine
#7
L
77-91
77
91
-14
61avg 70
A02/12
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
85-74
85
74
+11
74avg 70
H10/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
95-79
95
79
+16
89avg 70
A16/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-11
21-20
20-21
22-21
22-19
15-28
29-12
23-23
14-22
19-24
23-15
25-18
8-30
1-25
21-17
22-17
18-17
18-24
9-22
21-19
28-16
18-14
23-25
19-22
24-23
25-24
13-20
23-21
13-22
28-21
20-27
16-21
22-20
31-20
19-14
13-20
24-24
25-7
22-18
24-30
162.0Avg total
80.6Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.781.9160.6-3.255%
Season at home (4)75.081.0156.0-6.050%
Season away (7)80.982.4163.3-1.657%
Last 10 (10)80.681.4162.0-0.860%
Last 5 (5)86.081.8167.8+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)75.689.2164.8-13.612%
vs Similar (4)72.284.5156.8-12.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)88.278.2166.5+10.088%
This opponent (Omis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OmisCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOmis
Date
Competition
Marsonia
#9
L
75-77
75
77
-2
64avg 67
H14/10
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
36-78
36
78
-42
16avg 67
A22/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
97-86
97
86
+11
97avg 67
H29/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
92-64
92
64
+28
83avg 67
A04/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
W
78-74
78
74
+4
74avg 67
H11/11
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
73-100
73
100
-27
59avg 67
A19/11
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
78-74
78
74
+4
69avg 67
H25/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
64-68
64
68
-4
58avg 67
A02/12
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
93-82
93
82
+11
84avg 67
H09/12
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
59-68
59
68
-9
45avg 67
A16/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
17-17
10-20
24-23
20-21
8-25
4-19
4-13
29-22
29-20
22-18
17-26
18-13
21-14
28-17
25-20
23-16
24-16
16-12
15-30
7-28
17-19
20-38
29-15
17-22
17-17
21-12
23-23
16-24
21-13
14-13
13-18
34-16
22-19
18-18
19-29
16-21
17-13
17-16
9-18
151.6Avg total
74.5Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)76.376.0152.3+0.355%
Season at home (5)84.278.6162.8+5.680%
Season away (6)69.773.8143.5-4.233%
Last 10 (10)74.577.1151.6-2.650%
Last 5 (5)73.478.4151.8-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)66.279.4145.6-13.218%
vs Similar (9)76.375.8152.1+0.644%
vs Weaker (4)88.870.0158.8+18.8100%
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -3.7-3.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -3.7-3.7
SamoborOmis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Podstrana
#14
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A22/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A27/10
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A04/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
9-55
9
55
-46
H11/11
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A19/11
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H26/11
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#7
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A29/11
Croatian Cup
Jazine
#7
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A02/12
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H10/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A16/12
Prva Liga
81.0Avg total
39.9Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.143.182.3-4.040%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.841.880.6-2.954%-
Last 30 away (17)39.444.283.5-4.829%-
Last 10 (10)39.941.181.0-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)47.638.285.8+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)37.645.082.6-7.429%-
vs Similar (4)35.046.581.5-11.525%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)43.137.080.1+6.162%-
This opponent (Omis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OmisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marsonia
#9
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H14/10
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A22/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
58-42
58
42
+16
H29/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A04/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H11/11
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
24-47
24
47
-23
A19/11
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H25/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A02/12
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H09/12
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A16/12
Prva Liga
77.0Avg total
39.7Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.838.775.5-1.843%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.637.678.3+3.064%-
Last 30 away (16)33.539.673.1-6.125%-
Last 10 (10)39.737.377.0+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)36.838.475.2-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)35.439.374.7-3.935%-
vs Similar (9)36.940.177.0-3.244%-
vs Weaker (4)42.832.875.5+10.075%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.421.4
48.2%
52.9%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.0
31.4%
32.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws18.712.8
68.4%
71.2%12.8
They take 69.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Omistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Omis: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.817.8
47.1%
52.9%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.19.4
31.2%
32.9%28.2
🏀 Free throws14.710.0
68.0%
71.2%10.0
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Samobor
WWLLWLLWWW
Omis
LWLWLWWWLL
#5
League position
#10
-2.1
Net rating
-2.9
98.7
Offensive rating
94.5
100.8
Defensive rating
97.5
47.8%
Effective FG%
47.0%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
19.8%
Turnover %
22.2%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.22
31.4%
3-point %
31.2%
56.5%
Assist %
54.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence98.7 · 94.5Defence100.8 · 97.5Shooting47.8% · 47.0%3-point %31.4% · 31.2%Ball care19.8% · 22.2%Off. rebounds32.4% · 31.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Samobor   ■ Omis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Samobor wins
4
Omis wins
DateGameScore
28/01/23Samobor v Omis69-76
29/10/22Omis v Samobor68-61
22/01/22Samobor v Omis81-86
23/10/21Omis v Samobor71-50
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23ACrikvenica95-79
10/12/23HGorica85-74
02/12/23AJazine77-91
29/11/23AKvarner85-88
26/11/23HStoja88-77
19/11/23AKK Zagreb66-82
11/11/23HKastela52-89
04/11/23AMarsonia81-79
27/10/23AMladost89-82
22/10/23APodstrana88-73
Omislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23AGorica59-68
09/12/23HStoja93-82
02/12/23AKastela64-68
25/11/23HMladost78-74
19/11/23AHermes73-100
11/11/23HOsijek78-74
04/11/23ACrikvenica92-64
29/10/23HJazine97-86
22/10/23AKK Zagreb36-78
14/10/23HMarsonia75-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samobor
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW55%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayWWLLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %55%50%57%
Points / game78.775.080.9
Allowed / game81.981.082.4
Point differential-3.2-6.0-1.6
Avg total160.6156.0163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Omis
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL55%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %55%80%33%
Points / game76.384.269.7
Allowed / game76.078.673.8
Point differential+0.3+5.6-4.2
Avg total152.3162.8143.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner1211192%92.075.1+16.9
2 Osijek1211192%87.773.9+13.8
3 KK Zagreb118373%82.571.9+10.5
4 Gorica127558%78.074.1+3.9
5 Kastela116555%81.176.3+4.8
6 Omis116555%76.376.0+0.3
7 Samobor116555%78.781.9-3.2
8 Hermes126650%90.388.3+2.0
9 Jazine126650%85.388.6-3.2
10 Podstrana124833%73.282.8-9.5
11 Mladost113827%77.483.5-6.1
12 Marsonia113827%80.586.7-6.3
13 Stoja1221017%80.389.0-8.7
14 Crikvenica1221017%72.587.8-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Samobor23192535102
Omis2213282689
← all games of the day
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