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Samobor vs Gorica Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 85-74
22-20 31-20 19-14 13-20
Position#5
Record4-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game83.1
Samobor 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#4
Record6-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game72.3
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 10· Sportska dvorana Samobor
Other2023-24
Meetings · Samobor v Gorica
13 Dec 2024
SAMO77
GORI65
10 Dec 2023
SAMO85
GORI74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samobor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gorica winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#1
L
70-91
70
91
-21
61avg 68
A08/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
75-84
75
84
-9
72avg 68
H12/10
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
88-73
88
73
+15
81avg 68
A22/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
89-82
89
82
+7
86avg 68
A27/10
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
81-79
81
79
+2
73avg 68
A04/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
52-89
52
89
-37
36avg 68
H11/11
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
66-82
66
82
-16
49avg 68
A19/11
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
88-77
88
77
+11
84avg 68
H26/11
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#7
L
85-88
85
88
-3
79avg 68
A29/11
Croatian Cup
Jazine
#7
L
77-91
77
91
-14
61avg 68
A02/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
23-22
17-28
13-20
19-25
18-23
20-22
18-14
25-11
21-20
20-21
22-21
22-19
15-28
29-12
23-23
14-22
19-24
23-15
25-18
8-30
1-25
21-17
22-17
18-17
18-24
9-22
21-19
28-16
18-14
23-25
19-22
24-23
25-24
13-20
23-21
13-22
28-21
20-27
16-21
160.7Avg total
77.1Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)76.283.1159.3-6.944%
Season at home (3)71.783.3155.0-11.733%
Season away (6)78.583.0161.5-4.550%
Last 10 (10)77.183.6160.7-6.540%
Last 5 (5)73.685.4159.0-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)75.288.6163.7-13.416%
vs Similar ◀ (3)68.088.0156.0-20.00%
vs Weaker (7)87.378.1165.4+9.186%
This opponent (Gorica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GoricaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGorica
Date
Competition
Marsonia
#9
W
80-60
80
60
+20
80avg 77
A08/10
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
61-78
61
78
-17
53avg 77
H14/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
83-67
83
67
+16
75avg 77
A22/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
83-66
83
66
+17
78avg 77
H28/10
Prva Liga
LTH Castings
#3
L
44-100
44
100
-56
no box
H30/10
Slovenian Cup
Osijek
#2
L
77-84 OT
77
84
-7
no box
A04/11
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
99-87
99
87
+12
95avg 77
H11/11
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
82-63
82
63
+19
85avg 77
A19/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
89-67
89
67
+22
88avg 77
H25/11
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
L
69-79
69
79
-10
64avg 77
A02/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
21-8
16-13
24-18
18-9
19-21
14-23
10-25
17-12
30-18
15-17
21-20
25-7
23-9
22-27
13-23
12-28
10-26
12-23
10-23
21-19
22-6
9-18
12-21
18-35
21-16
23-17
37-19
17-11
16-23
24-9
25-20
19-22
25-13
19-21
26-11
21-24
19-17
16-17
13-21
151.8Avg total
76.7Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)80.372.3152.7+8.067%
Season at home (4)83.074.5157.5+8.575%
Season away (5)78.270.6148.8+7.660%
Last 10 (10)76.775.1151.8+1.660%
Last 5 (5)83.276.0159.2+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.089.3163.3-15.30%
vs Similar ◀ (17)82.579.7162.2+2.859%
vs Weaker (5)82.671.0153.6+11.680%
This opponent (Samobor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.0-1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.0-1.0
SamoborGorica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#1
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A08/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H12/10
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A22/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A27/10
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A04/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
9-55
9
55
-46
H11/11
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A19/11
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H26/11
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#7
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A29/11
Croatian Cup
Jazine
#7
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A02/12
Prva Liga
80.5Avg total
37.4Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.043.281.1-5.233%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.341.678.9-4.346%-
Last 30 away (17)38.544.482.8-5.924%-
Last 10 (10)37.443.180.5-5.730%-
Last 5 (5)36.243.279.4-7.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)37.244.181.3-6.826%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)29.048.777.7-19.70%-
vs Weaker (7)42.337.980.1+4.457%-
This opponent (Gorica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marsonia
#9
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A08/10
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H14/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A22/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
48-16
48
16
+32
H28/10
Prva Liga
LTH Castings
#3
L
22-54
22
54
-32
H30/10
Slovenian Cup
Osijek
#2
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A04/11
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H11/11
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A19/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H25/11
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A02/12
Prva Liga
73.8Avg total
39.3Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.638.077.6+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.139.179.1+1.047%-
Last 30 away (15)39.137.076.1+2.160%-
Last 10 (10)39.334.573.8+4.860%-
Last 5 (5)39.837.277.0+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.341.977.1-6.629%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)42.336.678.9+5.671%-
vs Weaker (5)40.034.274.2+5.840%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.821.0
47.9%
52.9%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.07.4
29.6%
32.9%22.2
🏀 Free throws17.711.9
67.2%
71.2%11.9
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Goricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gorica: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.5 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.622.2
57.6%
52.9%44.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.2
32.0%
32.9%24.8
🏀 Free throws15.810.6
67.5%
71.2%10.6
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/8 games with a box score before 10 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Samobor
LLWLLWWWLL
Gorica
LWWWLLWWLW
#5
League position
#4
-9.3
Net rating
+12.7
94.4
Offensive rating
107.8
103.8
Defensive rating
95.2
46.7%
Effective FG%
53.8%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
47.0%
21.0%
Turnover %
18.6%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.24
29.6%
3-point %
32.0%
57.4%
Assist %
64.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence94.4 · 107.8Defence103.8 · 95.2Shooting46.7% · 53.8%3-point %29.6% · 32.0%Ball care21.0% · 18.6%Off. rebounds31.8% · 31.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Samobor   ■ Gorica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Samobor wins
0
Gorica wins
No previous meetings.
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23AJazine77-91
29/11/23AKvarner85-88
26/11/23HStoja88-77
19/11/23AKK Zagreb66-82
11/11/23HKastela52-89
04/11/23AMarsonia81-79
27/10/23AMladost89-82
22/10/23APodstrana88-73
12/10/23HHermes75-84
08/10/23AKvarner70-91
Goricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23AStoja69-79
25/11/23HKastela89-67
19/11/23AMladost82-63
11/11/23HHermes99-87
04/11/23AOsijek77-84 OT
30/10/23HLTH Castings44-100
28/10/23HCrikvenica83-66
22/10/23AJazine83-67
14/10/23HKK Zagreb61-78
08/10/23AMarsonia80-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samobor
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL44%
HomeLLW33%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %44%33%50%
Points / game76.271.778.5
Allowed / game83.183.383.0
Point differential-6.9-11.7-4.5
Avg total159.3155.0161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gorica
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL67%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %67%75%60%
Points / game80.383.078.2
Allowed / game72.374.570.6
Point differential+8.0+8.5+7.6
Avg total152.7157.5148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%75%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %11%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner109190%91.975.3+16.6
2 Osijek109190%88.173.6+14.5
3 KK Zagreb108280%82.669.0+13.6
4 Gorica96367%80.372.3+8.0
5 Omis106460%78.076.8+1.2
6 Hermes95456%88.987.7+1.2
7 Jazine95456%87.490.2-2.8
8 Kastela105550%79.776.7+3.0
9 Samobor94544%76.283.1-6.9
10 Marsonia92722%80.487.0-6.6
11 Podstrana92722%73.786.1-12.4
12 Stoja102820%82.190.1-8.0
13 Mladost102820%77.185.2-8.1
14 Crikvenica102820%72.587.8-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Samobor2231191385
Gorica2020142074
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