The Premijer liga clash on 7 November 2026 pits Samobor against Split, with the model pointing to Split as the clear favourite thanks to a 4-2 record and 81.8 points per game compared to Samobor's 1-5 record and 76.8 points per game. Samobor has struggled, losing five of six games overall and all three at home, while Split has won all three road outings and posted a 3-0 road record with an average of 81 points scored and 67.7 points allowed. The last five games for Samobor include a 97-89 win over Cedevita Junior away, but four losses overall, whereas Split's recent results feature a 97-77 win over Batumi away, a 81-93 loss to Cibona at home and an 88-82 win over Promitheas at home. Historically, Split has dominated the head-to-head series, winning all three meetings and the most recent 94-81 victory on 12 April 2026. Pythia projects a 78-86 score, giving Split a 78-86 win probability of 78% versus 22% for Samobor, with a projected total of 163.8 points. The home line of 6.5 carries a 42% chance of covering, and the over on a 160.0 line has a 59% probability, while the game has a 4% chance of overtime. The next game will see Split extend its winning streak against Samobor.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 76.8 | 84.3 | 161.2 | -7.5 | 17% |
| Season at home (3) | 77.7 | 85.7 | 163.3 | -8.0 | 0% |
| Season away (3) | 76.0 | 83.0 | 159.0 | -7.0 | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 75.9 | 87.0 | 162.9 | -11.1 | 10% |
| Last 5 (5) | 80.4 | 85.0 | 165.4 | -4.6 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (10) | 75.2 | 88.9 | 164.1 | -13.7 | 0% |
| vs Similar (9) | 83.4 | 81.8 | 165.2 | +1.7 | 44% |
| vs Weaker (11) | 89.9 | 82.8 | 172.7 | +7.1 | 73% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 81.8 | 75.5 | 157.3 | +6.3 | 67% |
| Season at home (3) | 82.7 | 83.3 | 166.0 | -0.7 | 33% |
| Season away (3) | 81.0 | 67.7 | 148.7 | +13.3 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 81.8 | 79.2 | 161.0 | +2.6 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 84.4 | 85.4 | 169.8 | -1.0 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (9) | 81.3 | 88.7 | 170.0 | -7.3 | 33% |
| vs Similar (6) | 78.2 | 79.5 | 157.7 | -1.3 | 33% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (15) | 89.7 | 74.8 | 164.5 | +14.9 | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 81.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.9 | 41.8 | 83.7 | +0.0 | 40% | 60% |
| Last 30 at home (17) | 45.3 | 42.6 | 87.9 | +2.6 | 59% | 65% |
| Last 30 away (13) | 37.4 | 40.8 | 78.2 | -3.4 | 15% | 54% |
| Last 10 (10) | 39.6 | 40.3 | 79.9 | -0.7 | 30% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 40.6 | 38.4 | 79.0 | +2.2 | 60% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (10) | 40.9 | 44.4 | 85.3 | -3.5 | 20% | 70% |
| vs Similar (9) | 40.0 | 40.4 | 80.4 | -0.4 | 33% | 44% |
| vs Weaker (11) | 44.3 | 40.6 | 84.9 | +3.6 | 64% | 64% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 81.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 43.0 | 39.3 | 82.3 | +3.7 | 60% | 53% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 42.2 | 36.7 | 78.9 | +5.5 | 71% | 43% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 43.7 | 41.6 | 85.3 | +2.1 | 50% | 62% |
| Last 10 (10) | 40.8 | 38.6 | 79.4 | +2.2 | 50% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.6 | 42.4 | 85.0 | +0.2 | 20% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (9) | 41.3 | 42.6 | 83.9 | -1.2 | 33% | 56% |
| vs Similar (6) | 40.5 | 40.8 | 81.3 | -0.3 | 50% | 33% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (15) | 45.0 | 36.8 | 81.8 | +8.2 | 80% | 60% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Split over 79.5 | 75.0% | 1.43 | 1.47 | 1.39 | - | - | - | +12.2pp | Won |
| Split over 80.5 | 71.7% | 1.50 | 1.55 | 1.50 | 1.46 | - | - | +12.0pp | Won |
| Split over 78.5 | 78.0% | 1.36 | 1.39 | 1.37 | 1.33 | - | - | +11.8pp | Won |
| Split over 77.5 | 80.8% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +11.5pp | Won |
| Split over 76.5 | 83.4% | 1.26 | 1.26 | - | - | - | - | +9.6pp | Won |
| Split -1.5 | 75.7% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +9.3pp | Won |
| Over 153.5 | 73.1% | 1.44 | 1.44 | - | - | - | - | +9.2pp | Won |
| Split over 73.5 | 89.7% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +9.2pp | Won |
| Split (regulation) | 75.6% | 1.35 | 1.36 | 1.34 | 1.34 | - | - | +9.1pp | Won |
| Split over 72.5 | 91.3% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | +9.0pp | Won |
| Split over 74.5 | 87.8% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +9.0pp | Won |
| Over 154.5 | 71.0% | 1.47 | 1.47 | - | - | - | - | +8.8pp | Won |
| Over 152.5 | 75.1% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +8.8pp | Won |
| Split win | 77.9% | 1.32 | 1.34 | 1.34 | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.33 | +7.8pp | Won |
| Split +1.5 | 79.8% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +7.6pp | Won |
| Split over 70.5 | 94.0% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +7.4pp | Won |
| Split over 68.5 | 96.0% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +7.3pp | Won |
| Split +2.5 | 82.6% | 1.22 | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | +7.0pp | Won |
| Split over 66.5 | 97.4% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +6.9pp | Won |
| Split over 64.5 | 98.3% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +6.8pp | Won |
| Split +12.5 | 96.0% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +6.7pp | Won |
| Split -2.5 | 72.1% | 1.41 | 1.45 | 1.41 | 1.36 | - | - | +6.6pp | Won |
| Over 150.5 | 78.9% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +6.5pp | Won |
| Over 145.5 | 86.7% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +6.2pp | Won |
| Split +17.5 | 98.3% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +6.0pp | Won |
| Split +7.5 | 91.3% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +5.8pp | Won |
| Over 135.5 | 95.8% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +5.4pp | Won |
| Samobor over 70.5 | 75.1% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +5.1pp | Won |
| Over 140.5 | 92.2% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +5.1pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 96.1% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +4.8pp | - |
| Samobor over 71.5 | 71.9% | 1.35 | 1.37 | 1.32 | - | - | - | +4.7pp | Won |
| Samobor over 69.5 | 78.2% | 1.26 | 1.26 | - | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Won |
| Samobor under 96.5 | 96.1% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +3.9pp | Won |
| Samobor under 95.5 | 95.3% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +3.8pp | Won |
| Samobor under 93.5 | 93.4% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +3.1pp | Won |
| Samobor under 97.5 | 96.8% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +3.1pp | Won |
| Samobor +22.5 | 88.5% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +3.0pp | Won |
| Samobor +17.5 | 78.3% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +2.1pp | Won |
| Samobor under 91.5 | 90.8% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +2.1pp | Won |
| Samobor under 89.5 | 87.4% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +1.3pp | Won |
| Samobor under 86.5 | 80.8% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +1.3pp | Won |
| Samobor under 87.5 | 83.2% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | +0.9pp | Won |
| Under 185.5 | 90.4% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +0.7pp | Won |
| Samobor under 85.5 | 78.2% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +0.4pp | Won |
| Samobor under 83.5 | 72.2% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | -0.6pp | Won |
| Under 180.5 | 84.5% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | -2.1pp | Won |
| Split under 93.5 | 76.5% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | -2.4pp | Won |
| Split under 92.5 | 73.3% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | -2.9pp | Won |
| Under 175.5 | 76.4% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | -3.1pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 38.2 | 18.6 | 54.8% | 37.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 25.2 | 7.8 | 34.2% | 23.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 20.1 | 15.1 | 71.7% | 15.1 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 32.9 | 17.6 | 54.8% | 35.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 29.0 | 9.8 | 34.2% | 29.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 20.1 | 15.6 | 71.7% | 15.6 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 | Split v Samobor | 94-81 |
| 19/12/25 | Samobor v Split | 86-122 |
| 26/09/25 | Split v Samobor | 75-71 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/26 | A | Cedevita Junior | 97-89 |
| 23/10/26 | H | Skrljevo | 78-89 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Zabok | 72-79 |
| 09/10/26 | H | Cibona | 64-73 |
| 04/10/26 | H | Alkar | 91-95 OT |
| 30/09/26 | A | BC Prievidza | 65-98 |
| 27/09/26 | A | Zadar | 59-81 |
| 23/09/26 | H | BC Prievidza | 83-103 |
| 16/05/26 | A | Dubrovnik | 69-77 |
| 13/05/26 | H | Dubrovnik | 81-86 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLLW | 17% |
| Home | LLL | 0% |
| Away | LLW | 33% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| Win % | 17% | 0% | 33% |
| Points / game | 76.8 | 77.7 | 76.0 |
| Allowed / game | 84.3 | 85.7 | 83.0 |
| Point differential | -7.5 | -8.0 | -7.0 |
| Avg total | 161.2 | 163.3 | 159.0 |
| Over 160 | 50% | 67% | 33% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | 0% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 17% | 33% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWLWL | 67% |
| Home | WLL | 33% |
| Away | WWW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| Win % | 67% | 33% | 100% |
| Points / game | 81.8 | 82.7 | 81.0 |
| Allowed / game | 75.5 | 83.3 | 67.7 |
| Point differential | +6.3 | -0.7 | +13.3 |
| Avg total | 157.3 | 166.0 | 148.7 |
| Over 160 | 33% | 67% | 0% |
| Win by 10+ | 50% | 33% | 67% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | - | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 17% | 33% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 100% | 91.8 | 64.8 | +27.0 | |
| 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 100% | 90.3 | 76.9 | +13.4 | |
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 90.3 | 79.7 | +10.7 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 81.8 | 75.5 | +6.3 | |
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 83.9 | 83.9 | +0.0 | |
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 76.4 | 82.1 | -5.7 | |
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 79.6 | 91.4 | -11.9 | |
| 8 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 79.8 | 88.3 | -8.5 | |
| 9 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 78.6 | 83.3 | -4.7 | |
| 10 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 79.0 | 84.5 | -5.5 | |
| 11 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 76.8 | 84.3 | -7.5 | |
| 12 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 74.6 | 85.0 | -10.4 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 15 | 17 | 21 | 77 | |
| 24 | 23 | 18 | 17 | 82 |
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