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Sampaense vs Barcelos Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 27 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 16:30
Scheduled
Position#8
Record4-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game82.4
vs
Position#14
Record2-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game66.6
Allowed / game77.4
PortugalProligaRound 25· Pavilhao Comendador Serafim Marques
Other2026-27
Meetings · Sampaense v Barcelos
27 Mar 2027
SAMP v BARC
upcoming
07 Feb 2015
SAMP83
BARC87
26 Oct 2013
SAMP72
BARC79
13 Apr 2013
SAMP62
BARC73
18 Dec 2011
SAMP87
BARC81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sampaense win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Barcelos win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SampaensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSampaense
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#13
W
87-80
87
80
+7
80avg 73
H19/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
78-88
78
88
-10
69avg 73
A25/04
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
85-81
85
81
+4
76avg 73
H02/05
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
82-90
82
90
-8
54avg 73
A03/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
W
85-80
85
80
+5
82avg 73
H10/10
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#15
L
67-69
67
69
-2
56avg 73
A18/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
99-70
99
70
+29
98avg 73
H24/10
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
105-99
105
99
+6
104avg 73
H30/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#9
W
76-67
76
67
+9
no box
H08/11
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
61-102
61
102
-41
no box
A14/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
22-20
26-22
18-18
14-24
21-13
20-25
23-26
22-24
16-18
29-15
18-24
20-24
19-23
21-22
22-21
21-21
18-18
22-21
24-20
15-15
18-15
16-24
18-15
26-18
21-12
26-20
26-20
33-20
21-32
24-28
27-19
22-21
21-20
14-14
19-12
12-22
17-21
19-40
13-19
165.1Avg total
82.5Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.182.4164.6-0.357%
Season at home (4)91.279.0170.2+12.2100%
Season away (3)70.087.0157.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)82.582.6165.1-0.160%
Last 5 (5)81.681.4163.0+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)67.482.2149.6-14.825%
vs Similar (6)83.279.8163.0+3.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)74.168.6142.8+5.575%
This opponent (Barcelos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelosPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarcelos
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#3
W
71-62
71
62
+9
no box
A24/04
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
65-69
65
69
-4
no box
H30/04
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
56-66
56
66
-10
no box
H01/05
LPB
Lusitania
#5
L
68-73
68
73
-5
57avg 59
A05/10
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
81-79 OT
81
79
+2
72avg 59
H10/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
72-82
72
82
-10
59avg 59
A17/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
L
47-69
47
69
-22
28avg 59
H24/10
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#15
W
80-70
80
70
+10
76avg 59
A01/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
63-82
63
82
-19
no box
H07/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
L
55-87
55
87
-32
no box
A14/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
17-16
19-20
15-11
18-22
20-16
9-13
18-18
10-17
12-19
17-10
17-20
15-19
20-15
16-23
17-16
22-10
19-14
17-18
13-29
20-35
27-10
12-14
13-23
9-15
23-22
6-18
9-14
18-24
24-18
17-15
21-13
23-20
15-24
12-18
13-20
19-21
16-22
10-22
10-22
139.7Avg total
65.8Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)66.677.4144.0-10.929%
Season at home (3)63.776.7140.3-13.033%
Season away (4)68.878.0146.8-9.225%
Last 10 (10)65.873.9139.7-8.130%
Last 5 (5)63.478.0141.4-14.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)62.773.8136.5-11.118%
vs Similar (6)75.875.8151.7+0.067%
vs Weaker (2)66.056.0122.0+10.0100%
This opponent (Sampaense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -4.0-4.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -4.0-4.0
SampaenseBarcelos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SampaenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#13
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H19/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A25/04
Proliga
Academica
#16
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H02/05
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A03/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H10/10
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#15
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A18/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H24/10
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H30/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#9
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H08/11
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A14/11
Proliga
80.1Avg total
40.0Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.138.074.1-1.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.238.579.7+2.767%-
Last 30 away (15)31.137.568.5-6.433%-
Last 10 (10)40.040.180.1-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)41.239.280.4+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)32.540.272.8-7.825%-
vs Similar (6)42.740.783.3+2.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)38.531.570.0+7.088%-
This opponent (Barcelos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#3
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A24/04
LPB
Ovarense
#3
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H30/04
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
22-36
22
36
-14
H01/05
LPB
Lusitania
#5
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A05/10
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H10/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A17/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#1
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H24/10
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#15
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A01/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H07/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A14/11
Proliga
74.1Avg total
36.7Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.437.772.1-3.337%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.439.774.1-5.320%-
Last 30 away (15)34.535.770.2-1.353%-
Last 10 (10)36.737.474.1-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)38.842.281.0-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)34.138.572.6-4.436%-
vs Similar (6)36.838.775.5-1.817%-
vs Weaker (2)31.026.057.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Sampaense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sampaensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sampaense: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.821.2
57.6%
52.5%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.47.8
36.4%
30.6%23.4
🏀 Free throws22.614.6
64.6%
67.3%14.6
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Barcelostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelos: 69.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.615.6
47.9%
52.5%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.07.4
23.9%
30.6%22.2
🏀 Free throws23.215.8
68.1%
67.3%15.8
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/5 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sampaense
LWWWLWLWLW
Barcelos
LLWLLWLLLW
#8
League position
#14
+6.6
Net rating
-5.9
99.4
Offensive rating
75.7
92.8
Defensive rating
81.7
56.5%
Effective FG%
42.0%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
44.0%
15.7%
Turnover %
18.7%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.36
36.4%
3-point %
23.9%
52.1%
Assist %
57.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence99.4 · 75.7Defence92.8 · 81.7Shooting56.5% · 42.0%3-point %36.4% · 23.9%Ball care15.7% · 18.7%Free throws0.39 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Sampaense   ■ Barcelos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Sampaense wins
6
Barcelos wins
DateGameScore
07/02/15Sampaense v Barcelos83-87
08/11/14Barcelos v Sampaense76-66
18/01/14Barcelos v Sampaense65-71
26/10/13Sampaense v Barcelos72-79
13/04/13Sampaense v Barcelos62-73
05/01/13Barcelos v Sampaense90-83
07/04/12Barcelos v Sampaense106-98
18/12/11Sampaense v Barcelos87-81
Sampaenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AGalitos Barreiro61-102
08/11/26HCB Queluz76-67
30/10/26HAcademica105-99
24/10/26HIlliabum99-70
18/10/26ABenfica Lisboa B67-69
10/10/26HSangalhos85-80
03/10/26AVasco Da Gama82-90
02/05/26HAcademica85-81
25/04/26AGalomar78-88
19/04/26HSanto Andre87-80
Barceloslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AAcademica55-87
07/11/26HIlliabum63-82
01/11/26ABenfica Lisboa B80-70
24/10/26HSangalhos47-69
17/10/26AVasco Da Gama72-82
10/10/26HBarreirense81-79 OT
05/10/26ALusitania68-73
01/05/16HOvarense56-66
30/04/16HOvarense65-69
24/04/16AOvarense71-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sampaense
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL57%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%100%0%
Points / game82.191.270.0
Allowed / game82.479.087.0
Point differential-0.3+12.2-17.0
Avg total164.6170.2157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Barcelos
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL29%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game66.663.768.8
Allowed / game77.476.778.0
Point differential-10.9-13.0-9.2
Avg total144.0140.3146.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %14%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sangalhos76186%76.661.1+15.4
2 Galitos Barreiro75271%78.371.3+7.0
3 Galitos Aveiro75271%78.973.6+5.3
4 Santo Andre75271%78.174.4+3.7
5 Lusitania64267%81.372.3+9.0
6 Galomar53260%77.269.0+8.2
7 Illiabum74357%74.174.4-0.3
8 Sampaense74357%82.182.4-0.3
9 CB Queluz74357%72.172.6-0.4
10 Maia63350%83.287.8-4.7
11 Vasco Da Gama62433%85.888.8-3.0
12 Ginasio Olhanense72529%84.788.4-3.7
13 Barreirense72529%75.083.9-8.9
14 Barcelos72529%66.677.4-10.9
15 Benfica Lisboa B61517%67.780.7-13.0
16 Academica71614%80.483.3-2.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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