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San Diego State vs Baylor Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 27 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 81-91
36-40 45-51
Position#70
Record3-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game76.8
vs
Baylor 🏆
USA
Position#200
Record4-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game80.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Diego State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baylor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Diego StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#306
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A02/03
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A05/03
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
80-61
80
61
+19
H09/03
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
52-62
52
62
-10
H13/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
68-95
68
95
-27
H19/03
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
77-45
77
45
+32
H05/11
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
73-57
73
57
+16
H09/11
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
107-108 OT
107
108
-1
H19/11
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
54-94
54
94
-40
A25/11
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
97-80
97
80
+17
A26/11
NCAA
1H
2H
33-34
39-35
34-32
33-42
43-21
37-40
33-28
19-34
23-47
45-48
40-25
37-20
34-21
39-36
38-38
51-51
33-45
21-49
51-41
46-39
149.2Avg total
74.7Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)81.676.8158.4+4.860%
Season at home (3)85.770.0155.7+15.767%
Season away (2)75.587.0162.5-11.550%
Last 10 (10)74.774.5149.2+0.250%
Last 5 (5)81.676.8158.4+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)54.094.0148.0-40.00%
vs Similar ◀ (13)70.268.6138.8+1.546%
vs Weaker (16)74.663.4138.0+11.288%
This opponent (Baylor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaylorUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston
#9
L
61-65
61
65
-4
H09/03
NCAA
Kansas State
#216
W
70-56
70
56
+14
H12/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#33
L
74-76
74
76
-2
A13/03
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
W
75-72
75
72
+3
A21/03
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
66-89
66
89
-23
A23/03
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
W
96-81
96
81
+15
H04/11
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H10/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
W
94-81
94
81
+13
H15/11
NCAA
Creighton
#238
W
81-74
81
74
+7
H24/11
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
81-96
81
96
-15
H25/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-26
32-39
41-24
29-32
39-52
35-24
37-32
38-40
30-47
36-42
46-37
50-44
38-32
40-37
55-42
39-39
44-36
37-38
34-43
47-53
153.5Avg total
77.6Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)86.080.2166.2+5.880%
Season at home (5)86.080.2166.2+5.880%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.675.9153.5+1.760%
Last 5 (5)86.080.2166.2+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)63.375.5138.8-12.20%
vs Similar ◀ (13)77.272.4149.5+4.862%
vs Weaker (11)78.467.0145.4+11.482%
This opponent (San Diego State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.0+3.01st half: +2.2+2.22nd half2nd half: -2.7-2.72nd half: -0.5-0.5
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.0+3.01st half: +2.2+2.22nd half2nd half: -2.7-2.72nd half: -0.5-0.5
San Diego StateBaylor
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
San Diego StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#306
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A02/03
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A05/03
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
43-21
43
21
+22
H09/03
NCAA
Boise State
#55
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H13/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
23-47
23
47
-24
H19/03
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H05/11
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
34-21
34
21
+13
H09/11
NCAA
Troy
#84
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H19/11
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A25/11
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A26/11
NCAA
69.4Avg total
36.2Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.730.363.0+2.467%-
Last 30 at home (18)33.628.462.0+5.178%-
Last 30 away (12)31.433.264.6-1.750%-
Last 10 (10)36.233.269.4+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)39.234.073.2+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)33.045.078.0-12.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)32.230.562.6+1.762%-
vs Weaker (16)33.129.362.4+3.875%-
This opponent (Baylor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaylorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston
#9
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H09/03
NCAA
Kansas State
#216
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H12/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#33
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A13/03
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A21/03
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A23/03
NCAA
UTRGV
#137
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H04/11
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H10/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H15/11
NCAA
Creighton
#238
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H24/11
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H25/11
NCAA
76.4Avg total
39.3Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.433.768.1+0.857%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.131.468.4+5.776%-
Last 30 away (13)31.036.767.7-5.731%-
Last 10 (10)39.337.176.4+2.270%-
Last 5 (5)43.438.081.4+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)29.538.367.8-8.817%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)33.134.167.2-1.054%-
vs Weaker (11)38.730.669.4+8.182%-
This opponent (San Diego State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
San Diego State wins
0
Baylor wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/25AOregon97-80
25/11/25AMichigan54-94
19/11/25HTroy107-108 OT
09/11/25HIdaho State73-57
05/11/25HLong Beach State77-45
19/03/25HNorth Carolina68-95
13/03/25HBoise State52-62
09/03/25HNevada80-61
05/03/25AUNLV67-74
02/03/25AWyoming72-69
Baylorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/25HSt. John's (N.Y.)81-96
24/11/25HCreighton81-74
15/11/25HTarleton94-81
10/11/25HWashington78-69
04/11/25HUTRGV96-81
23/03/25ADuke66-89
21/03/25AMississippi St.75-72
13/03/25ATexas Tech74-76
12/03/25HKansas State70-56
09/03/25HHouston61-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Diego State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW60%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game81.685.775.5
Allowed / game76.870.087.0
Point differential+4.8+15.7-11.5
Avg total158.4155.7162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %20%33%0%
Baylor
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWWWWL80%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games55-
Win %80%80%-
Points / game86.086.0-
Allowed / game80.280.2-
Point differential+5.8+5.8-
Avg total166.2166.2-
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%40%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State660100%89.765.0+24.7
2 Wyoming76186%87.068.9+18.1
3 Fresno State86275%78.167.4+10.8
4 New Mexico75271%77.971.9+6.0
5 Colorado State64267%85.572.2+13.3
6 Nevada64267%78.774.2+4.5
7 San Diego State53260%81.676.8+4.8
8 Boise State74357%75.069.9+5.1
9 Grand Canyon74357%74.669.6+5.0
10 San Jose State73443%73.371.7+1.6
11 UNLV73443%87.087.0+0.0
12 Air Force83538%68.073.5-5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma State660100%93.274.3+18.8
2 Arizona660100%85.568.0+17.5
3 Colorado550100%94.481.6+12.8
4 Houston87188%74.959.1+15.8
5 Iowa State76186%88.967.3+21.6
6 UCF Knights76186%89.179.7+9.4
7 Brigham Young54180%87.268.6+18.6
8 Baylor54180%86.080.2+5.8
9 Kansas86275%76.264.5+11.8
10 Arizona State86275%80.976.6+4.2
11 Cincinnati75271%75.464.1+11.3
12 West Virginia75271%71.360.3+11.0
13 Texas Tech75271%82.171.4+10.7
14 Kansas State75271%89.480.4+9.0
15 Utah Utes75271%82.378.4+3.9
16 TCU53260%80.063.6+16.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
San Diego State364581
Baylor405191
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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