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San Diego State vs Colorado State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 73-50
33-27 40-23
Position#70
Record14-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game72.1
vs
Position#90
Record12-8
FormWLLWL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game70.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · San Diego State v Colorado State
14 Jan 2027
SAN v COLO
upcoming
12 Mar 2026
SAN 71
COLO62
28 Jan 2026
SAN 73
COLO50
14 Jan 2025
SAN 75
COLO60
13 Feb 2024
SAN 71
COLO55
09 Mar 2023
SAN 64
COLO61
21 Feb 2023
SAN 77
COLO58
01 Mar 2022
SAN v COLO
upcoming
08 Jan 2022
SAN 79
COLO49
04 Jan 2021
SAN 78
COLO65
02 Jan 2021
SAN 67
COLO70
25 Feb 2020
SAN 66
COLO60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Diego State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Colorado State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Diego StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona
#7
L
45-68
45
68
-23
A21/12
NCAA
Whittier
#567
W
121-59
121
59
+62
H22/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
81-68
81
68
+13
A31/12
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
110-107 OT
110
107
+3
H04/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A07/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
71-52
71
52
+19
H11/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
74-57
74
57
+17
A15/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
83-79
83
79
+4
H18/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
69-70
69
70
-1
A22/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
82-71
82
71
+11
A24/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-28
18-40
62-30
59-29
42-38
39-30
50-29
29-50
34-36
39-32
36-21
35-31
38-25
36-32
48-35
35-44
37-35
32-35
39-34
43-37
150.8Avg total
80.9Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)81.372.1153.4+9.374%
Season at home (11)88.272.1160.3+16.182%
Season away (8)71.972.0143.9-0.162%
Last 10 (10)80.969.9150.8+11.080%
Last 5 (5)75.865.8141.6+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)58.776.0134.7-17.333%
vs Similar ◀ (14)76.375.5151.8+0.850%
vs Weaker (13)81.863.8145.6+17.992%
This opponent (Colorado State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Colorado StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern New Mexico
#624
W
104-54
104
54
+50
H14/12
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
58-100
58
100
-42
A20/12
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
62-75
62
75
-13
H31/12
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
70-60
70
60
+10
A04/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
70-80
70
80
-10
H07/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
70-62
70
62
+8
H10/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
69-79
69
79
-10
A14/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A17/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
81-52
81
52
+29
H21/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
61-65
61
65
-4
H24/01
NCAA
1H
2H
60-26
44-28
24-45
34-55
36-37
26-38
35-29
35-31
30-39
40-41
32-29
38-33
22-36
47-43
30-39
43-40
38-21
43-31
35-25
26-40
142.4Avg total
71.8Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)77.870.9148.8+6.960%
Season at home (13)80.668.8149.5+11.862%
Season away (7)72.774.7147.4-2.057%
Last 10 (10)71.870.6142.4+1.240%
Last 5 (5)70.867.4138.2+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)68.677.0145.6-8.420%
vs Similar ◀ (11)74.467.8142.2+6.573%
vs Weaker (13)81.366.5147.8+14.885%
This opponent (San Diego State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +10.2+10.21st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: -0.4-0.4
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +10.2+10.21st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: -0.4-0.4
San Diego StateColorado State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
San Diego StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona
#7
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A21/12
NCAA
Whittier
#567
W
62-30
62
30
+32
H22/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A31/12
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H04/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A07/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
36-21
36
21
+15
H11/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A15/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H18/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A22/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A24/01
NCAA
72.4Avg total
41.3Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.132.169.2+5.067%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.129.968.9+9.282%-
Last 30 away (13)34.535.169.6-0.546%-
Last 10 (10)41.331.172.4+10.280%-
Last 5 (5)39.630.069.6+9.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.035.066.0-4.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)35.932.368.1+3.657%-
vs Weaker (13)39.831.371.2+8.585%-
This opponent (Colorado State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Colorado StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern New Mexico
#624
W
60-26
60
26
+34
H14/12
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
24-45
24
45
-21
A20/12
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H31/12
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A04/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H07/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H10/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
22-36
22
36
-14
A14/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A17/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
38-21
38
21
+17
H21/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H24/01
NCAA
66.8Avg total
34.2Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.030.866.8+5.270%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.930.269.1+8.778%-
Last 30 away (12)31.831.863.5+0.058%-
Last 10 (10)34.232.666.8+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)31.430.061.4+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.833.665.4-1.860%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)36.130.967.0+5.255%-
vs Weaker (13)35.830.065.8+5.885%-
This opponent (San Diego State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26AUNLV82-71
22/01/26AGrand Canyon69-70
18/01/26HNew Mexico83-79
15/01/26AWyoming74-57
11/01/26HFresno State71-52
07/01/26ANevada73-68
04/01/26HBoise State110-107 OT
31/12/25ASan Jose State81-68
22/12/25HWhittier121-59
21/12/25AArizona45-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26HUtah State61-65
21/01/26HAir Force81-52
17/01/26ABoise State73-79
14/01/26AFresno State69-79
10/01/26HUNLV70-62
07/01/26HNew Mexico70-80
04/01/26AGrand Canyon70-60
31/12/25HNevada62-75
20/12/25AUtah State58-100
14/12/25HNorthern New Mexico104-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Diego State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW74%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayWWWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %74%82%62%
Points / game81.388.271.9
Allowed / game72.172.172.0
Point differential+9.3+16.1-0.1
Avg total153.4160.3143.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%64%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %11%18%0%
Colorado State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL60%
HomeLLWWL62%
AwayWLWLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20137
Win %60%62%57%
Points / game77.880.672.7
Allowed / game70.968.874.7
Point differential+7.0+11.8-2.0
Avg total148.8149.5147.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%46%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)25% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State2017385%84.268.0+16.2
2 New Mexico2117481%81.167.5+13.7
3 San Diego State1914574%81.372.1+9.3
4 Nevada2115671%76.370.6+5.7
5 Grand Canyon2013765%74.068.2+5.8
6 Boise State2113862%78.572.1+6.4
7 Colorado State2012860%77.870.9+7.0
8 Wyoming2112957%78.873.2+5.6
9 UNLV20101050%78.077.3+0.7
10 Fresno State2091145%71.870.7+1.1
11 San Jose State2161529%69.776.3-6.7
12 Air Force2031715%61.377.2-15.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
San Diego State334073
Colorado State272350
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